Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433

June 28, 20128 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 28, 2012, 8:25 PM EDT for 8 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2012, 8:25 PM EDT (00:25 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2012, 10:47 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Cass County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Starke County, IN, White County, IN

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 8:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTJasper, Porter59 min
Jun 28, 8:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Starke39 min
Jun 28, 9:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXPulaski, Starke42 min
Jun 28, 9:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTJasper, Lake, Porter51 min
Jun 28, 9:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Fulton, Pulaski43 min
Jun 28, 10:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Pulaski, Starke, White38 min
Jun 28, 10:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Fulton, Miami, Wabash32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2012-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2970 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2012-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2970 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-224 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2175 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

112 
WWUS20 KWNS 290023
SEL3
SPC WW 290023
INZ000-290400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 433
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHWEST INDIANA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY EVENING FROM 725 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 20
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF
VALPARAISO INDIANA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF VALPARAISO
INDIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORM HAS FORMED ALONG THE
LAKE BREEZE NEAR CHI.  THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHWEST IND DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
DESPITE THE STORMS LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND
FAVORABLE EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 9:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton, Jasper, Lake, Marshall, Porter, Pulaski and 1 more64 min
Jun 28, 10:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton, LaPorte, Marshall, Pulaski, Starke63 min
Jun 29, 10:22 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 38 more2 hr
Jun 29, 11:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Carroll and 48 more6 hr
Jun 29, 2:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Carroll and 48 more119 min
Jun 29, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more5 hr
Jun 29, 3:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Delaware, Fayette, Franklin, Henry, Jay and 4 more53 min
Jun 29, 4:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin, Hancock and 11 more83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.