Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 393

June 14, 201239 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 14, 2012, 7:38 PM CDT for 39 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 14, 2012, 7:38 PM CDT (00:38 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2012, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 44 counties

Atchison County, KS, Barton County, KS, Brown County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Lincoln, Russell60 min
Jun 14, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic, Washington45 min
Jun 14, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Marshall, Republic, Washington38 min
Jun 14, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa47 min
Jun 14, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Dickinson, Ottawa45 min
Jun 15, 12:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Elk, Greenwood32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2012-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1868 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2012-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1868 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1860 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 8:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford and 18 more93 min
Jun 14, 11:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 28 more53 min
Jun 15, 2:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 9 more113 min
Jun 15, 1:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel, Kimball and 3 more96 min
Jun 15, 2:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 2 more7 hr
Jun 15, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherry, Sheridan91 min
Jun 15, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Cherry, Keya Paha, Sheridan6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.