Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329

May 31, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 31, 2012, 2:34 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2012, 2:34 PM CDT (19:34 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2012, 8:53 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 69 counties

Massac County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 2:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHNew Madrid25 min
May 31, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHNew Madrid32 min
May 31, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarlisle, Hickman35 min
May 31, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Crittenden, Hopkins, Webster31 min
May 31, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry24 min
May 31, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer36 min
May 31, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHopkins, Webster31 min
May 31, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry31 min
May 31, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGraves, Hickman46 min
May 31, 4:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Perry26 min
May 31, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison47 min
May 31, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Graves32 min
May 31, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison32 min
May 31, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Nelson, Spencer34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 1:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hardin, Massac64 min
May 31, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFloyd, Harrison2 hr
May 30, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Jasper, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton and 1 more8 hr
May 30, 11:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, McDonald, Newton114 min
May 31, 1:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMcDonald83 min
May 31, 11:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot61 min
May 31, 12:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.