Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 217

May 1, 20125 counties in Indiana; 65 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 1, 2012, 2:44 PM EDT for 5 counties in Indiana; 65 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2012, 2:44 PM EDT (18:44 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2012, 9:07 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 70 counties

Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Perry County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Meade County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Hardin, Meade34 min
May 1, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMarion, Washington35 min
May 1, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Nelson34 min
May 1, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Nelson, Spencer26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1383 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1383 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
880 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 2:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Clay, Daviess, Dearborn and 29 more61 min
May 1, 3:01 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Clark, Clay and 46 more7 hr
May 1, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Clay, Fountain, Parke, Vermillion, Vigo and 1 more2 hr
May 1, 6:31 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more5 hr
May 1, 6:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Clark, Clay and 32 more65 min
Apr 30, 9:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Boone, Bourbon, Boyd, Boyle and 52 more53 min
May 1, 1:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Casey, Clinton and 17 more117 min
May 1, 6:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.