Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 987

May 30, 201282 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 30, 2012, 6:57 PM CDT for 82 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2012, 6:57 PM CDT (23:57 UTC)
Expired
May 30, 2012, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 88 counties

Anderson County, KS, Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Clark County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Logan County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Meade County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osage County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Seward County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2012-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2012-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

820 
ACUS11 KWNS 302357
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302357 
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-310200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0987
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN KS...NERN OK...SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323...

VALID 302357Z - 310200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE STORMS WILL PERSIST OVER KS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO
ORGANIZE AND MOVE S AND EWD EVENTUALLY AFFECTING SERN KS...SWRN
MO...NERN OK AND NWRN AR.

DISCUSSION...STORMS OVER CNTRL AND E CNTRL KS APPEAR TO BE MERGING
AND BECOMING BETTER DEFINED AS AN MCS. RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS
SOME ENHANCED AREAS OF OUTFLOW NEAR LYONS AND HEADING TOWARD
HUTCHINSON AND EVENTUALLY WICHITA. THIS SURGE MAY GROW
UPSCALE...EVENTUALLY ABSORBING THE SUPERCELL OVER BUTLER
COUNTY...AND CONTINUING SEWD WITH A WIND AND HAIL THREAT. 

OTHER CELLS WERE CONSOLIDATING OVER WRN KS NEAR THE COLD FRONT. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW UPSCALE AS IT
ENCOUNTERS VERY UNSTABLE AIR FROM DDC SWD INTO NWRN OK. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY.

..JEWELL.. 05/30/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...
PUB...

LAT...LON   36999593 36980208 38700203 39540091 40260026 40209739
            40019741 40019680 39619682 39579583 39679578 39669558
            39439554 39419520 39009515 38969504 38019507 38029594
            36999593

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Harper, Sumner54 min
May 30, 1:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney, Ford and 19 more85 min
May 30, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 80 more7 hr
May 30, 10:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Custer, Dawson, Fillmore and 20 more85 min
May 30, 4:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Custer, Dawson, Frontier, Furnas, Gosper and 3 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.