Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 711

May 5, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 5, 2012, 5:06 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 5, 2012, 5:06 AM CDT (10:06 UTC)
Expired
May 5, 2012, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 45 counties

Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, White County, IL, Posey County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, McLean County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY, Clay County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-05-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1078 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-05-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1078 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1542 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

368 
ACUS11 KWNS 051007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051006
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-051200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0711
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0506 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KY...NRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 245...

VALID 051006Z - 051200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 245
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR A WHILE
LONGER...BUT IT APPEARS THAT SEVERITY MAY DECREASE GRADUALLY.

DISCUSSION...A LINE OF STORMS CONTINUED TO DROP SWD THROUGH WW 245
AND NOW ENTERING NRN MIDDLE TN. ERN PORTIONS OF THE LINE HAVE BEEN
THE MOST IMPRESSIVE ON RADAR WITH CONVECTION KEEPING UP WITH THE
GUST FRONT. HOWEVER...LATEST TRENDS INDICATE THE GUST FRONT SURGING
FARTHER AWAY FROM THE PARENT STORMS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THEN
A GENERAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED...BUT IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT ANOTHER WATCH WILL BE NEEDED
OVER ERN TN AS STORMS INTERACT WITH LESSER INSTABILITY AND COOLER
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES.

..JEWELL.. 05/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...

LAT...LON   35788506 37048826 38508830 37248507 35788506

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 25 more63 min
May 4, 10:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Franklin, Greene, Hamilton and 11 more87 min
May 4, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Edwards, Fayette, Franklin and 24 more8 hr
May 5, 12:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Saline, Wabash and 1 more95 min
May 5, 2:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCPosey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.