Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 620

April 29, 2012Curry County, Quay County, San Miguel County, New Mexico; 4 counties in Oklahoma; 15 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 29, 2012, 2:13 AM MDT for Curry County, Quay County, San Miguel County, New Mexico; 4 counties in Oklahoma; 15 counties in Texas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2012, 2:13 AM MDT (08:13 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2012, 3:45 AM MDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 22 counties

Curry County, NM, Quay County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
153 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

752 
ACUS11 KWNS 290813
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290813 
OKZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-290945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0620
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 AM CDT SUN APR 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 290813Z - 290945Z

THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED/DAMAGING GUST HAS EVOLVED
ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...BUT WITH THREAT ONGOING AND UNLIKELY TO
EXPAND FURTHER...WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

LATEST RADAR DATA SHOWS STORMS SHIFTING EWD ACROSS PARTS OF ERN NM
AND THE TX PANHANDLE AND INTO FAR WRN OK...TO THE COOL SIDE OF A
FRONT WHICH REMAINS WELL SE OF THE AREA -- ACROSS THE TX SOUTH
PLAINS AND NEWD INTO CENTRAL OK.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSES AND POINT
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM AN ASSORTMENT OF MODELS CONTINUE TO REVEAL
VERY MODEST/ELEVATED CAPE ON THE ORDER OF ONLY SEVERAL HUNDRED
J/KG...BUT UNEXPECTED INTENSIFICATION/ORGANIZATION OF THE STORMS
OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO REVEALS OTHERWISE.  ALONG WITH A RISK FOR
LARGE HAIL WITH STRONGER STORMS...A CELL JUST EAST OF AMA HAS SHOWN
AT LEAST TRANSIENT BOWING STRUCTURES -- ALONG WITH RADAR-MEASURED
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 KT LESS THAN 1000 FEET OFF THE SURFACE.  THUS
-- DESPITE A RELATIVELY DEEP/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...A LOCALLY
DAMAGING GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

..GOSS.. 04/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

LAT...LON   34560422 35280495 35720499 35700242 35870073 36089959
            35929858 34770008 34430231 34560422

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 1:22 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarding, Union113 min
Apr 29, 4:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCUnion8 hr
Apr 29, 4:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding, Lea and 2 more88 min
Apr 28, 9:36 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin and 11 more3 hr
Apr 28, 9:54 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Grady and 4 more2 hr
Apr 28, 10:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, McIntosh and 13 more5 hr
Apr 29, 12:37 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Garfield and 8 more23 min
Apr 29, 12:53 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Kay and 12 more2 hr
Apr 29, 4:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Canadian, Craig, Creek, Garfield, Grant and 17 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.