Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 458

April 5, 201217 counties in Georgia; 7 counties in North Carolina; 29 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 5, 2012, 1:54 PM EDT for 17 counties in Georgia; 7 counties in North Carolina; 29 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 5, 2012, 1:54 PM EDT (17:54 UTC)
Expired
Apr 5, 2012, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 53 counties

Bartow County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Murray County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Towns County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Swain County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Union County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-04-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 670 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2012-04-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -15 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
670 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
805 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

040 
ACUS11 KWNS 051754
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051754 
TNZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-051930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0458
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 051754Z - 051930Z

CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED DURING THE AFTERNOON FOR
POSSIBLE WW OVER PORTIONS OF ERN TN AND NRN GA.

COLD CORE MIDLEVEL LOW WAS LOCATED OVER NERN AR AT 17-18Z...AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL BY EVENING. AT THE
SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WAS POSITIONED OVER WRN TN...WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD INTO ERN TN...WRN NC
AND NRN SC. AS THE MIDLEVEL LOW ADVANCES EWD DURING THE DAY...THE
SURFACE FRONT MAY SAG SWD TOWARD SERN TN/NRN GA AS SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE REDEVELOPS NEAR COASTAL SC/GA. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
GUIDANCE INDICATES AIRMASS OVER MIDDLE/ERN TN IS EXPERIENCING MODEST
DESTABILIZATION AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARM INTO THE 70S. AS A
RESULT...MLCAPE VALUES HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 500-1000
J/KG...WHICH IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INVOF
THE SURFACE FRONT. IN ADDITION...MIDLEVEL SWLYS AHEAD OF THE CLOSED
LOW ARE AROUND 30-40 KT...WHICH WILL AID IN MARGINAL STORM
ORGANIZATION. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY POSE A RISK OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...WITH THE THREAT POSSIBLY
SPREADING SWD LATER IN THE AFTERNOON TOWARD NRN GA WITH THE
ADVANCING FRONT.

..GARNER.. 04/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   35018583 36608474 36598301 35988258 34258417 34158543
            35018583

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 5, 1:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Burke, Clarke, Columbia, Effingham, Elbert and 24 more87 min
Apr 5, 1:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBryan, Bulloch, Burke, Candler, Chatham, Columbia and 17 more7 hr
Apr 5, 2:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Calhoun, Chattahoochee, Clay, Coweta, Crawford and 30 more93 min
Apr 5, 2:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaker, Ben Hill, Calhoun, Chattahoochee, Clay, Colquitt and 36 more6 hr
Apr 5, 3:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurke, Chatham, Columbia, Effingham, Elbert, Franklin and 11 more53 min
Apr 5, 4:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtkinson, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun and 33 more86 min
Apr 5, 6:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Bulloch, Burke, Candler, Chatham, Columbia and 12 more85 min
Apr 5, 7:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHeard45 min
Apr 5, 2:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCherokee, Clay8 hr
Apr 5, 4:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay54 min
Apr 5, 1:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 40 more96 min
Apr 5, 1:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer, Fayette and 14 more5 hr
Apr 5, 3:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 16 more53 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.