Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012
Mesoscale Discussion 374
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 28, 2012, 3:37 PM CDT for 59 counties in Kentucky; 21 counties in Virginia; 25 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 113 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2012, 3:37 PM CDT (20:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 28, 2012, 5:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 113 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
All 105 counties
Adair County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Alleghany County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buchanan County, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Norton, VA, City of Staunton, VA, Craig County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Giles County, VA, Highland County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wise County, VA, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Greenbrier County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Pendleton County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Roane County, WV, Summers County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wyoming County, WV
The radar
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 128 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -285 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1346 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 271 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 298 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
038
ACUS11 KWNS 282038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282037
VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-282230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0374
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0337 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN KY AND FAR NORTHERN TN TO WV/FAR
WESTERN VA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 112...
VALID 282037Z - 282230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 112
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 112 CONTINUES UNTIL 01Z...WITH PERSISTENT
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS SPREAD
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. AREAS ON
THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF WW 112...INCLUDING SOUTHEAST KY/FAR WESTERN
VA AND PERHAPS FAR NORTHEAST TN...WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS FOR A WATCH EXTENSION AND/OR NEW WATCH.
SCATTERED SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO OCCUR WITH A WSW-ENE ORIENTED
NEAR/PRE-FRONTAL CORRIDOR FROM NORTHERN KY TO THE SPINE OF THE
APPALACHIANS IN VICINITY OF FAR EASTERN WV/FAR WESTERN VA. A STEEP
LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT EXISTS WITH MLCAPE GENERALLY TO
750-1000 J/KG /SPC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/...IN CONJUNCTION WITH
STRONG/NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER WESTERLY FLOW...IS
SUPPORTING SPLITTING STORMS/RIGHT MOVING SUPERCELLS.
ACCORDINGLY...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN COMMON...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS ALSO A CONCERN AS STORMS TEND TO CONGEAL/SPREAD
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...ALBEIT WITHIN A
MODESTLY FORCED REGIME. EVOLUTION OF THE BROKEN LINE OF
CONVECTION...ALONG WITH THE ADJACENT WARM SECTOR CUMULUS
FIELD...WILL CONTINUED TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A
SEVERE THREAT DEVELOPING S/SE INTO SOUTHEAST KY/FAR WESTERN VA AND
PERHAPS NORTHEAST TN WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS MODESTLY
UNSTABLE/WEAKLY CAPPED. SUCH A THREAT IN THESE AREAS WOULD LIKELY
REQUIRE A WATCH EXTENSION AND/OR PERHAPS A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH.
..GUYER.. 03/28/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...PAH...
LAT...LON 37788686 38228458 38578267 38858135 38898001 38527865
37647946 36638245 37078625 37788686SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 11:43 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Elliott, Fleming and 16 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 28, 1:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bath, Bourbon, Boyd, Boyle, Bracken and 64 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 28, 9:23 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Culpeper, Fauquier, Frederick, Loudoun, Madison and 7 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.