Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 328

March 22, 201219 counties in Kansas; 19 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 22, 2012, 1:34 PM CDT for 19 counties in Kansas; 19 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 22, 2012, 1:34 PM CDT (18:34 UTC)
Expired
Mar 22, 2012, 3:00 PM CDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 45 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Craig County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Kay County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-03-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-03-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
946 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

368 
ACUS11 KWNS 221834
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221834 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-222000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0328
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHERN OK/SOUTHERN KS AND WESTERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 221834Z - 222000Z

POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SOME HAIL /MOSTLY SUB-SEVERE/ AND SOME
FUNNELS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
OK/SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KS INTO WESTERN MO. A WATCH IS UNLIKELY.

AS A CLOSED/VERTICALLY STACKED UPPER LOW MOVES LITTLE OVER THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS...A SMALL SCALE SHORTWAVE TROUGH/UPPER JET EXIT
REGION CONTINUES TO PIVOT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE BROADER CYCLONE. THIS IMPLIED FORCING FOR ASCENT IS
OCCURRING COINCIDENT WITH MODEST CLOUD BREAKS/LOW-LEVEL HEATING
ALONG/JUST NORTH OF A NORTHWARD-PIVOTING WEAK ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENCE/WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY. WHILE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS NOT
PARTICULARLY WARM/MOIST ACROSS THE REGION...INHIBITION HAS DIURNALLY
ERODED IN THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
ACCORDINGLY...TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS MAINLY
FROM NORTHEAST OK INTO SOUTHEAST KS/WESTERN MO. MEAGER TOTAL
BUOYANCY WILL TEMPER THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...BUT SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS IN THESE AREAS WILL NONETHELESS BE CAPABLE OF SOME HAIL.
FUNNELS MAY OCCUR AS WELL GIVEN A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY AND THE
PRESENCE OF STEEP LAPSE RATES/AMBIENT VORTICITY IN PROXIMITY TO THE
COLD/STACKED CYCLONE...BUT EVEN BRIEF TORNADOES SEEM UNLIKELY. GIVEN
THAT THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY REMAIN RATHER
MARGINAL/ISOLATED...A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..GUYER.. 03/22/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   36719521 36749670 36159756 36609832 38029751 38469595
            38639379 37809296 36849260 36549317 36719521

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 4:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell, Latimer and 7 more119 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.