Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1929

September 8, 201216 counties in North Carolina; 28 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 8, 2012, 12:20 PM EDT for 16 counties in North Carolina; 28 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 8, 2012, 12:20 PM EDT (16:20 UTC)
Expired
Sep 8, 2012, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 44 counties

Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-09-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 305 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-09-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
305 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
814 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 8, 1:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabarrus, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln and 6 more2 hr
Sep 8, 1:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba and 44 more7 hr
Sep 8, 3:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba, Chatham and 33 more65 min
Sep 8, 7:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Chowan, Craven, Cumberland and 23 more65 min
Sep 8, 11:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Frederick and 16 more97 min
Sep 8, 12:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbemarle, Arlington, Augusta, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax and 27 more9 hr
Sep 8, 2:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William and 8 more93 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.