Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1620

July 27, 2012Rockingham County, Stokes County, Surry County, North Carolina; 42 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 27, 2012, 1:08 PM EDT for Rockingham County, Stokes County, Surry County, North Carolina; 42 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2012, 1:08 PM EDT (17:08 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2012, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 45 counties

Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henry County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 408 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
408 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-166 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
912 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 1:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Cherokee, Clay and 11 more66 min
Jul 27, 1:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Bertie, Camden and 41 more8 hr
Jul 27, 4:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Caswell, Forsyth, Granville, Guilford and 7 more53 min
Jul 27, 7:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chatham, Chowan, Cumberland, Currituck and 27 more85 min
Jul 26, 9:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Frederick and 17 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.