Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 110

February 3, 201214 counties in Arkansas; 12 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 3, 2012, 11:49 PM CST for 14 counties in Arkansas; 12 counties in Texas. It was in force for 56 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2012, 11:49 PM CST (05:49 UTC)
Expired
Feb 4, 2012, 12:45 AM CST
In force
56 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 26 counties

Clark County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Pike County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Rains County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-02-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 785 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-02-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 201 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
785 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
633 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
251 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

341 
ACUS11 KWNS 040550
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040549
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-040645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0110
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX/FAR SERN OK/SWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 26...

VALID 040549Z - 040645Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 26
CONTINUES.

SEMI-ORGANIZED/FRONTAL BAND OF STORMS HAS REACHED THE ERN EDGE OF WW
26 ATTM...WITH AN OVERALL DECREASING TREND IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY
NOTED OVER THE PAST TWO HOURS.  WHILE INSTABILITY ACROSS E TX/FAR
SERN OK AND ADJACENT SWRN AR REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR STORMS TO
CONTINUE AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES SEWD ACROSS THE REGION...LITTLE
SUPPORT FOR AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION/INTENSITY IS
NOTED IN THE DATA.  THUS -- WHILE AN ISOLATED/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
OR WIND EVENT MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THREAT DOES
NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT ADDITIONAL/DOWNSTREAM WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 02/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON   32459597 32909590 34979325 34209227 32519446 32459597

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 6:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Collin, Dallas, Delta and 21 more95 min
Feb 3, 6:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCamp, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton and 18 more7 hr
Feb 3, 7:14 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Brazos and 32 more91 min
Feb 3, 9:04 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCamp, Collin, Dallas, Delta, Fannin, Franklin and 9 more86 min
Feb 3, 11:38 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson and 20 more2 hr
Feb 4, 3:42 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Atascosa, Austin, Bexar, Caldwell, Colorado and 23 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.