Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 90, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 28, 2012Runnels County, Taylor County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 28, 2012, 7:53 PM CDT for Runnels County, Taylor County, Texas. It was in force for 52 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 28, 2012, 7:53 PM CDT (00:53 UTC)
Expired: May 28, 2012, 8:45 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS San Angelo, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Runnels County, TX, Taylor County, TX

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 28, 8:00 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 60	7 S Abilene, TX

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 28, 3:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 602 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

461 
WUUS54 KSJT 290053
SVRSJT
TXC399-441-290145-
/O.NEW.KSJT.SV.W.0090.120529T0053Z-120529T0145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
753 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN RUNNELS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
  CENTRAL TAYLOR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 748 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  VIEW...OR 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF BLACKWELL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25
  MPH.

  STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
  HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

  WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
  SOME VEHICLE DENTS...
  MINOR ROOF AND PLASTIC SIGN DAMAGE...
  A FEW EXPOSED WINDOWS COULD CRACK OR BREAK...
  SOME TREE LIMB DAMAGE...WEAKENED TREES TOPPLED...
  UNSECURED LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...
  SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE...
  POTENTIALLY DEADLY LIGHTNING.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE ABILENE AND DRASCO BY 805 PM CDT...
  BUFFALO GAP BY 810 PM CDT...
  BRADSHAW AND TUSCOLA BY 815 PM CDT...
  OVALO BY 820 PM CDT...
  LAWN BY 830 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3246 9965 3208 9969 3208 9972 3202 9972
      3203 9997 3214 10009 3232 10012
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 300DEG 24KT 3222 10000

$$

1 follow-up statement

113 
WWUS54 KSJT 290112
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
812 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

TXC399-441-290145-
/O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-120529T0145Z/
RUNNELS TX-TAYLOR TX-
812 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR TAYLOR AND NORTHEASTERN RUNNELS COUNTIES...

AT 807 PM CDT... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF
DRASCO...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF WINTERS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
  HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

  WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
  VEHICLE DINGS...
  MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
  DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS...
  LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...
  AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BRADSHAW AND TUSCOLA BY 825 PM CDT...
  OVALO BY 830 PM CDT...
  LAWN BY 835 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3246 9965 3208 9969 3208 9972 3202 9972
      3203 9997 3214 10009 3232 10012
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 300DEG 24KT 3215 9997

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 28, 5:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 5:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
559 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FROM NEAR VERNON...TO
JAYTON...TO NEAR BIG SPRING AND WILL MOVE IN A GENERAL EASTWARD
DIRECTION THIS EVENING...POTENTIALLY GROWING UPSCALE INTO A
MULTICELL CLUSTER OVERNIGHT. BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...THE
GREATEST RISK FOR ANY TERMINAL IMPACTS WILL BE AT KABI. I HAVE
INCLUDED A VCTS FROM 01-04Z AND WILL UPDATE WITH A TEMPO AS THE
WINDOW OF IMPACT IS NARROWED. OTHER TERMINALS MAY BE TOO FAR SOUTH
TO SEE ANY DIRECTION EFFECTS BUT WILL MAINTAIN A WEAK CU FIELD
THIS EVENING WITH MID CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AT 8-12 KTS...BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY BY MID MORNING.
STORM CHANCES TOMORROW AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO
KABI AND POINTS TO THE NORTH AND EAST.

MVFR CIGS WERE RETAINED AT KJCT FOR A FEW HOURS AROUND SUNRISE
TUESDAY MORNING BUT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED
ELSEWHERE.

JOHNSON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012/

SHORT TERM...
MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL BE CONVECTIVE CHANCES
THIS EVENING. CUMULUS FIELD IS DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHILDRESS TO JUST NORTH OF
MIDLAND. SHORT RANGE AND MESOSCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO BREAK OUT
CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING. A CURSORY LOOK AT THE 18Z NAM REVEALS SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS AFFECTING MAINLY THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHERN
CONCHO VALLEY THIS EVENING...WITH THE GFS NOT TOO DISSIMILAR. WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS ACROSS THIS AREA THIS EVENING WITH SLIGHT
POPS FARTHER SOUTH. MORE ISOLATED OR WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS MAY
DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO OUR SOUTHWEST
AND AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTH EDWARDS PLATEAU.

MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF SHEAR
THIS EVENING WILL RESULT IN SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH ANY STORMS.
MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS AFTER 03Z WHICH WILL MAY ALLOW ACTIVITY TO LINGER WELL
INTO THE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE HEARTLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT.

ON TUESDAY...SHORT WAVE RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA
WITH THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE STRENGTHENING/EXPANDING ACROSS
WEST TEXAS. THIS MEANS HOT TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 95 TO 100 DEGREE RANGE...WITH THE HOTTEST
TEMPERATURES OVER WESTERN COUNTIES.

24

LONG TERM...
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE DIFFICULTIES IN POSITION AND STRENGTH OF
THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY. GFS MODEL HAS IT MOVING INTO THE I-20
CORRIDOR AROUND DAYBREAK THURSDAY AND I-10 AROUND 1 PM. KEEPING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY IN EASTERN
AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS...IN DEEPER MOISTURE AND LIFT OVER THE
FRONT.

UPPER FLOW RETURNS TO ZONAL SATURDAY. LATEST GFS SHOWING STRONGER
RETURN FLOW THIS WEEKEND...SO INCREASED HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES.
DRYLINE REMAINS WEST OF THE REGION...SO KEEPING RAIN CHANCES OUT
AT THIS TIME THOUGH THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STORMS
OVER EXTREME WESTERN SECTIONS. FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS SHORTWAVE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SW UNITED STATES CONTINUES TO BECOME WEAKER
AND HAS VARIED SOLUTIONS AS TO ITS POSITION AS IT MOVES ACROSS
TEXAS. WILL HOLD OFF ON ADDING POPS AT THIS TIME.

FIRE WEATHER...
WILL SEE ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS OVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE BIG
COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY AS 850 MB THERMAL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE
REGION... AND DRYLINE MOVES JUST EAST OF AN IRAAN...ROBERT LEE...
SWEETWATER... HASKELL LINE. 20 FOOT SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 15 MPH...JUST UNDER CRITICAL VALUES.

04

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 71  95  71  97  69 /  40  10  10  10  10
SAN ANGELO 	 72  99  72  99  68 /  20  10  10   0  10
JUNCTION 	 72  95  73  95  71 /  10  10  10  10   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

25

Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 4:58 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
458 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-291100-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
458 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY
AND NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM
STERLING CITY...TO WINTERS...TO CROSS PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF
A HASKELL TO CROSS PLAINS LINE. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUESTED THIS EVENING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY AND PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY.

JOHNSON

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 28, 6:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
630 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

TXZ049-054-127-290030-
FISHER TX-NOLAN TX-TAYLOR TX-
630 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR
FISHER...NOLAN AND TAYLOR COUNTIES...

AT 628 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SWEETWATER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SWEETWATER BY 640 PM CDT
  LAKE SWEETWATER BY 645 PM CDT
  TRENT BY 715 PM CDT

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3268 10020 3257 10014 3252 10014 3252 10011
      3234 10000 3230 10048 3245 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 2330Z 235DEG 22KT 3243 10045

Special weather statement, May 28, 7:12 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
712 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

TXZ054-113-114-127-128-290115-
JONES TX-NOLAN TX-SHACKELFORD TX-TAYLOR TX-CALLAHAN TX-
712 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
JONES...NOLAN...SHACKELFORD...TAYLOR AND CALLAHAN COUNTIES...

AT 706 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 3 MILES EAST OF NOODLE...OR ABOUT 11
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ANSON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HAWLEY BY 715 PM CDT
  FUNSTON BY 720 PM CDT
  THE INTERSECTION OF US-180 AND FARM ROAD 600 AND LAKE FORT PHANTOM
  HILL BY 725 PM CDT
  NUGENT AND LUEDERS BY 730 PM CDT

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3234 9928 3234 10024 3252 10019 3252 10014
      3269 10015 3275 10013 3296 9948 3296 9942
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 257DEG 48KT 3263 9992

Local storm report, May 28, 7:28 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
728 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 PM     TSTM WND GST     DYESS AFB               32.42N  99.86W
05/28/2012  M63 MPH          TAYLOR             TX   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200163

JOHNSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 28, 7:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Jones	63 min
May 28, 7:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor	41 min
May 28, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan	46 min
May 28, 7:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Throckmorton	39 min
May 28, 8:06 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Coke, Nolan	24 min
May 28, 8:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, Runnels, Taylor	52 min
May 28, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coke, Nolan, Runnels, Taylor	46 min
May 28, 9:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coke, Nolan	41 min
May 28, 9:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Runnels, Taylor	52 min
May 28, 9:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Fisher	54 min
May 28, 9:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Nolan	56 min
May 28, 10:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Fisher, Jones, Nolan, Taylor	40 min
May 28, 10:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan	49 min
May 28, 10:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Coleman	52 min
May 28, 11:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan	48 min
May 28, 11:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Brown	46 min
May 28, 11:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan, Taylor	38 min
May 29, 12:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan, Taylor	65 min
May 29, 12:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Fisher, Jones	48 min
May 29, 1:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Nolan, Runnels, Taylor	61 min
May 29, 2:30 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Taylor	45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.