Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 237, NWS Shreveport, LA

August 5, 2012Hempstead County, Nevada County, Arkansas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 5, 2012, 5:08 PM CDT for Hempstead County, Nevada County, Arkansas. It was in force for 52 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Aug 5, 2012, 5:08 PM CDT (22:08 UTC)
Expired: Aug 5, 2012, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Hempstead County, AR, Nevada County, AR

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Aug 5, 5:10 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Blevins, AR	TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN THE TOWN OF BLEVINS.
Aug 5, 5:30 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Prescott, AR	REPORTS OF COUNTLESS TREES DOWN NEAR PRESCOTT AND IN PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA COUNTY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2238 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 957 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

586 
WUUS54 KSHV 052208
SVRSHV
ARC057-099-052300-
/O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0237.120805T2208Z-120805T2300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
508 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HOPE...
  NORTHERN NEVADA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PRESCOTT...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 500 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  BLEVINS...OR 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF PRESCOTT...AND MOVING SOUTH AT
  20 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  WASHINGTON...EMMET...PERRYTOWN AND ROSSTON...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3395 9337 3359 9317 3357 9376 3395 9378
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 353DEG 19KT 3382 9358

$$

05

1 follow-up statement

315 
WWUS54 KSHV 052245
SVSSHV

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
545 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

ARC057-099-052300-
/O.CON.KSHV.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-120805T2300Z/
HEMPSTEAD AR-NEVADA AR-
545 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NEVADA AND HEMPSTEAD COUNTIES...

AT 539 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OAKHAVEN...OR NEAR HOPE...MOVING
SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
PERRYTOWN...LANEBURG...MORRIS...SUTTON...MOUNT MORIAH AND CALE

LAT...LON 3383 9330 3359 9317 3357 9376 3381 9377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 353DEG 19KT 3370 9358

$$

05

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 5, 2:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 5, 2:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
237 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE RED RIVER VALLEY WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS. FRONT TO MAKE LITTLE SOUTHWARD PROGRESS AFTER SUNSET AND
IS FORECAST TO LINGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
MONDAY BEFORE DRIFTING SOUTH TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. MOISTURE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT SHOULD BE ABUNDANT ENOUGH TO
MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ADDITIONALLY...UPPER-TROUGH TO ALLOW
SUFFICIENT MIXING TO KEEP AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES SHY OF 100
DEGREES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

FRONT FORECAST TO DRIFT FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO ELIMINATE THE CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...UPPER TROUGH
FORECAST TO RETROGRADE WESTWARD NEXT WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A
RETURN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
OTHERWISE...BECAUSE OF A RELAXED PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...LIGHT WINDS FORECAST TO PREVAIL THROUGH
MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THE
CONVECTION NEAR MLU AND OVER NE LA HAS DIMINISHED EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE SRN SECTIONS OF NCNTRL LA NEAR A
WEAK SHEAR AXIS. HOWEVER...AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF ELEVATED CIGS
SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON OVER NCNTRL LA/SE
AR...BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY THIN LATE. ELSEWHERE...A SCT CU FIELD
HAS FORMED IN RESPONSE TO STRONG HEATING...WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION HAVING RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SE
OK/CNTRL AR...NEAR A WEAK SFC FRONTAL BNDRY EXTENDING FROM JUST S
OF THE RED RIVER IN EXTREME N TX...INTO SE OK/WCNTRL AND CNTRL AR.
THIS CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPAND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...SLOWLY SHIFTING S INTO SW AR BY LATE AFTERNOON. THERE
IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR S INTO EXTREME NE TX/SW AR
THIS CONVECTION WILL BUILD...BUT BELIEVE THAT THE TXK/ELD
TERMINALS WILL NOT BE AFFECTED UNTIL AFTER 00Z...IF AT ALL.
AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED BASED ON THE CONVECTION COVERAGE/MOVEMENT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 35KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS...BEFORE
THEY DIMINISH BY MID/LATE EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.
EXTENSIVE ELEVATED CIGS SHOULD AGAIN DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM THIS CONVECTION...SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION OVERNIGHT. CAN/T RULE OUT ISOLATED ELEVATED -SHRA
REDEVELOPING AFTER 09Z MONDAY OVER SW AR/EXTREME NRN LA/E
TX...WHICH MAY LOWER CIGS TO AROUND 8-10KFT BY SUNRISE
MONDAY...BUT THIS SHOULD DIMINISH BY MIDDAY AS IT SHIFTS SSE INTO
NCNTRL LA. ONCE STRONGER HEATING IS ABLE TO COMMENCE BY LATE
MORNING/MIDDAY...A SCT CU FIELD SHOULD DEVELOP AGAIN OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA AS THE AC/CIRRUS SHIELD BEGINS TO THIN. ISOLATED
CONVECTION AGAIN CAN/T BE RULED OUT MONDAY AFTERNOON NEAR THE
STATIONARY FRONTAL BNDRY TO OUR N...AS WELL AS FARTHER S. VRB
WINDS 6KTS OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME GENERALLY LIGHT/VRB
OR LIGHT SE AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  96  76  96  76 /  30  30  40  20  10
MLU  74  95  74  96  74 /  30  40  40  30  10
DEQ  74  97  73  99  72 /  30  20  20  10  10
TXK  76  97  75  97  75 /  30  20  20  20  10
ELD  74  95  73  95  73 /  30  30  40  20  10
TYR  76  99  77  99  77 /  30  20  40  20  10
GGG  76  98  76  97  75 /  30  20  40  20  10
LFK  74  96  74  97  74 /  20  30  40  30  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

05/15

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 5, 11:46 AM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1146 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-061700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1146 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE
EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA.
ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...GUSTY WINDS AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE WORK WEEK AS A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 5, 3:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
350 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

OKZ077-052145-
MCCURTAIN-
350 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
     MCCURTAIN...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     BROKEN BOW...

AT 350 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF BROKEN BOW...OR
35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CLAYTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. SHOULD THIS STORM
INTENSIFY...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE NEEDED.

15

Local storm report, Aug 5, 4:12 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
412 PM CDT SUN AUG 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NNW DIERKS            34.19N 94.05W
08/05/2012                   HOWARD             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 278 AND LIBERTY
            HILL ROAD.

&&

20

Special weather statement, Aug 5, 4:40 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
440 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

ARZ051-060-061-052230-
HEMPSTEAD-HOWARD-NEVADA-
440 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
     HEMPSTEAD...HOWARD AND NEVADA...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     BLEVINS...CORINTH...NASHVILLE...TOLLETTE AND WASHINGTON...

AT 431 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF MURFREESBORO...
MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

05

Special weather statement, Aug 5, 5:04 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
504 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

ARZ061-052245-
NEVADA-
504 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTY...

IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
     NEVADA...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     PRESCOTT...

AT 500 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTH OF PRESCOTT...MOVING
SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

05

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 5, 3:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Howard, Sevier	61 min
Aug 5, 5:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier	46 min
Aug 5, 5:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Nevada	40 min
Aug 5, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.