Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 19, NWS Springfield, MO

May 1, 2012Cherokee County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at May 1, 2012, 8:35 AM CDT for Cherokee County, Kansas. It took effect at May 1, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2012, 8:35 AM CDT (13:35 UTC)
In effect from
May 1, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 2, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Cherokee County, KS

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Spring River near Baxter Springs (BXTK1). The gauge peaked at 13.98 ft at May 1, 2012, 9:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10152005/0105/0205/0305/04
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
14 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07187600, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

955 
WGUS43 KSGF 011335
FLWSGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
835 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED  A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN KANSAS...

  SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY
.HEAVY RAINFALL LAST NIGHT...IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WILL CAUSE THE SPRING RIVER TO RISE TO FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND LIVESTOCK ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO 
MONITOR RIVER CONDITIONS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

KSC021-020135-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0019.120502T0000Z-120503T0000Z/
/BXTK1.1.ER.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.UU/
835 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A 
* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...NORTH END OF KIWANIS PARK FLOODS. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

$$
6 follow-up statements
125 
WGUS83 KSGF 011342
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KANSAS...
 
  MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT AFFECTING BOURBON COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND MISSOURI...
 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 
  SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THIS PAST WEEKEND AND LAST NIGHT HAS CAUSED 
RIVER LEVELS TO OR NEAR FLOOD STAGE. DETAILED INFORMATION ON EACH
RIVER FORECAST POINT IS INCLUDED BELOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC217-020442-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120505T0200Z/
/HTNM7.2.ER.120430T1320Z.120502T0000Z.120504T0200Z.NO/
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON.
* AT  7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 45.2 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$

MOC217-020442-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120505T1545Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.120430T0708Z.120502T0000Z.120504T1545Z.NO/
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* AT  7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 71 BRIDGE NORTH OF NEVADA 
  AND THE SOUTH BOUND LANE OF HIGHWAY 71 NEAR THE JUNCTION OF DOUGLAS
  BRANCH AND THE MARMATON RIVER. BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS AT 
  RESIDENCES NEAR THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

KSC011-011412-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-120503T0520Z/
/FSKK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER AT FORT SCOTT.
* AT  3:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 38.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 37.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 30.3 FEET BY .


$$

MOC013-217-020442-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0017.120504T0600Z-120506T0600Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.120504T0600Z.120504T0600Z.120505T0600Z.NO/
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT  7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL OSAGE 
  CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY AND LOST
  CREEK ROAD WEST OF SCHELL LAKE. FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN 
  RIVER CHANNEL AT THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$

MOC039-020442-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120503T2136Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.120430T1045Z.120501T1245Z.120502T2136Z.NO/
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* AT  7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. FLOOD WATERS REACH 
  APPROXIMATELY THREE FEET IN DEPTH AT THE CAPLINGER MILLS 
  CAMPGROUND. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

$$

KSC021-020442-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0019.120502T0000Z-120503T0000Z/
/BXTK1.1.ER.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.UU/
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS.
* AT  7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...NORTH END OF KIWANIS PARK FLOODS. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

$$

MOC097-020442-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0018.120501T1505Z-120503T1212Z/
/WCOM7.1.ER.120501T1505Z.120502T0000Z.120502T1212Z.NO/
842 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO.
* AT  7:31 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING.THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...ROADS ON EAST SIDE OF MAPLE 
  ROAD BRIDGE FLOOD. FLOOD WATERS IMPACT LOW AREAS NEAR GALESBURG 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE WACO FORECAST POINT. BLACKBERRY CREEK FLOODS DUE 
  TO BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE SPRING RIVER.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3725 9462 3718 9462 3723 9451 3730 9454

$$
793 
WGUS83 KSGF 011434
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
933 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS...

  SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY 

.RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OVER WESTERN MISSOURI AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS DUE TO SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM SATURDAY 
THROUGH THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC217-020533-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120505T2113Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.120430T0708Z.120502T1200Z.120504T2113Z.NO/
933 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 71 BRIDGE NORTH OF NEVADA 
  AND THE SOUTH BOUND LANE OF HIGHWAY 71 NEAR THE JUNCTION OF DOUGLAS
  BRANCH AND THE MARMATON RIVER. BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS AT 
  RESIDENCES NEAR THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

MOC217-020533-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120505T0409Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.120430T1320Z.120502T0000Z.120504T0409Z.NO/
933 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 44.1 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$

MOC013-217-020533-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0017.120503T0600Z-120507T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.120503T0600Z.120504T1200Z.120506T0000Z.NO/
933 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 30.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL OSAGE 
  CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY AND LOST
  CREEK ROAD WEST OF SCHELL LAKE. FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN 
  RIVER CHANNEL AT THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$

KSC021-020533-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0019.120502T0000Z-120503T0000Z/
/BXTK1.1.ER.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.UU/
933 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS.
* AT  8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...NORTH END OF KIWANIS PARK FLOODS. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

$$

MOC097-020533-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0018.120501T1444Z-120503T1212Z/
/WCOM7.1.ER.120501T1444Z.120502T0000Z.120502T1212Z.NO/
933 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO.
* AT  8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING.THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. ROADS ON EAST SIDE OF MAPLE 
  ROAD BRIDGE FLOOD. FLOOD WATERS IMPACT LOW AREAS NEAR GALESBURG 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE WACO FORECAST POINT. BLACKBERRY CREEK FLOODS DUE 
  TO BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE SPRING RIVER.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3725 9462 3718 9462 3723 9451 3730 9454

$$

TERRY
394 
WGUS83 KSGF 011803
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
103 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 
  SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE REGION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL
CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. DETAILS ON IMPACTS TO EACH RIVER FORECAST POINT
ARE INCLUDED BELOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC217-020903-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120505T2113Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.120430T0708Z.120502T1200Z.120504T2113Z.NO/
103 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 71 BRIDGE NORTH OF NEVADA 
  AND THE SOUTH BOUND LANE OF HIGHWAY 71 NEAR THE JUNCTION OF DOUGLAS
  BRANCH AND THE MARMATON RIVER. BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS AT 
  RESIDENCES NEAR THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

MOC039-020902-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120504T0600Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.120430T1045Z.120502T0600Z.120503T0600Z.NO/
103 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.7 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE
  RIVER INCLUDING FARMLAND ALONG HIGHWAY N AND BETWEEN HIGHWAY W AND 
  CAPLINGER MILLS. CEDAR CREEK...A TRIBUTARY OF THE SAC RIVER...
  BACKWATERS AND FLOODS PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 39 SOUTH OF CEDAR 
  SPRINGS.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

$$

MOC217-020902-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120505T0409Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.120430T1320Z.120502T0000Z.120504T0409Z.NO/
103 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 44.1 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$

MOC013-217-020902-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0017.120503T0600Z-120507T0000Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.120503T0600Z.120504T1200Z.120506T0000Z.NO/
103 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 30.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL OSAGE 
  CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY AND LOST
  CREEK ROAD WEST OF SCHELL LAKE. FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN 
  RIVER CHANNEL AT THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$

KSC021-020902-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0019.120502T0000Z-120503T0000Z/
/BXTK1.1.ER.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.120502T0000Z.UU/
103 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS.
* AT 12:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...NORTH END OF KIWANIS PARK FLOODS. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

$$

MOC097-020902-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120503T1212Z/
/WCOM7.1.ER.120501T1511Z.120502T0000Z.120502T1212Z.NO/
103 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO.
* AT 12:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. ROADS ON EAST SIDE OF MAPLE 
  ROAD BRIDGE FLOOD. FLOOD WATERS IMPACT LOW AREAS NEAR GALESBURG 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE WACO FORECAST POINT. BLACKBERRY CREEK FLOODS DUE 
  TO BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE SPRING RIVER.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3725 9462 3718 9462 3723 9451 3730 9454

$$

TERRY
704 
WGUS83 KSGF 012113
FLSSGF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
413 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

MOC039-057-185-012124-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FA.W.0023.000000T0000Z-120501T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CEDAR MO-ST. CLAIR MO-DADE MO-
413 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SMALL STREAMS IN CEDAR...
DADE AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3820 9350 3792 9351 3791 9356 3783 9357
      3783 9363 3775 9363 3774 9361 3728 9362
      3729 9408 3821 9405 3820 9356 3822 9356

$$

CRAMER
851 
WGUS83 KSGF 020115
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
815 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...KANSAS...
 
  LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 
  OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING BATES AND VERNON COUNTIES 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 
  SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY 
  SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY.
   
  HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
  RISE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC217-021615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120505T1946Z/
/NVDM7.2.ER.120430T0708Z.120502T1800Z.120504T1946Z.NO/
815 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 71 BRIDGE NORTH OF NEVADA 
  AND THE SOUTH BOUND LANE OF HIGHWAY 71 NEAR THE JUNCTION OF DOUGLAS
  BRANCH AND THE MARMATON RIVER. BASEMENT FLOODING OCCURS AT 
  RESIDENCES NEAR THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3785 9454 3784 9441 3791 9435 3793 9438

$$

MOC039-021615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120504T0000Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.120430T1045Z.120501T2330Z.120503T0000Z.NO/
815 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE
  RIVER INCLUDING FARMLAND ALONG HIGHWAY N AND BETWEEN HIGHWAY W AND 
  CAPLINGER MILLS. CEDAR CREEK...A TRIBUTARY OF THE SAC RIVER...
  BACKWATERS AND FLOODS PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 39 SOUTH OF CEDAR 
  SPRINGS.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

$$

MOC217-021615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120504T1251Z/
/HTNM7.1.ER.120430T1320Z.120502T0600Z.120503T1251Z.NO/
815 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE OSAGE NEAR HORTON.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 43.7 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3800 9454 3801 9437 3795 9437 3794 9455

$$

MOC013-217-021615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0017.120504T1800Z-120506T1200Z/
/SCZM7.1.ER.120504T1800Z.120505T0000Z.120505T1200Z.NO/
815 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 30.1 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL OSAGE 
  CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY AND LOST
  CREEK ROAD WEST OF SCHELL LAKE. FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN 
  RIVER CHANNEL AT THE GAGE SITE.
&& 
LAT...LON 3803 9416 3799 9406 3806 9406 3807 9415

$$

KSC021-021615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-120503T0600Z/
/BXTK1.1.ER.120502T0600Z.120502T0600Z.120502T0600Z.UU/
815 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS.
* AT  7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...NORTH END OF KIWANIS PARK FLOODS. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

$$

MOC097-021615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120503T0256Z/
/WCOM7.1.ER.120501T1511Z.120501T2315Z.120502T0256Z.NO/
815 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER NEAR WACO.
* AT  7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. ROADS ON EAST SIDE OF MAPLE 
  ROAD BRIDGE FLOOD. FLOOD WATERS IMPACT LOW AREAS NEAR GALESBURG 
  UPSTREAM FROM THE WACO FORECAST POINT. BLACKBERRY CREEK FLOODS DUE 
  TO BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE SPRING RIVER.  
&& 
LAT...LON 3725 9462 3718 9462 3723 9451 3730 9454

$$
521 
WGUS83 KSGF 021056
FLSSGF




FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
556 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2012





...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KANSAS...
 
  SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS AFFECTING CHEROKEE COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 
.FLOODING CONTINUES DUE TO HEAVY RAIN FROM THE LAST
 SEVERAL DAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ 
INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

&&

MOC039-030156-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120503T2120Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.120430T1045Z.120501T2330Z.120502T2120Z.NO/
556 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* AT  5:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. FLOOD WATERS REACH 
  APPROXIMATELY THREE FEET IN DEPTH AT THE CAPLINGER MILLS 
  CAMPGROUND. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

$$

KSC021-021126-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-120503T0600Z/
/BXTK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
556 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER ABOVE BAXTER SPRINGS.
* AT  5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.0 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...NORTH END OF KIWANIS PARK FLOODS. 
&& 
LAT...LON 3715 9462 3699 9461 3700 9475 3714 9471

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 1, 7:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 1, 7:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
705 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

HAVE MADE SOME UPDATES TO SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR THE MORNING
HOURS...MAINLY TO INCREASE POPS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA. THETA-E ADVECTION RAMPING UP YET AGAIN OVER EASTERN PORTIONS
OF KANSAS...WHERE THE LOW LEVEL JET HAS REORGANIZED AND IS
PROVIDING MODERATE ASCENT SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP. THE AIRMASS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS IS
CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 1000-1500 J/KG
OF MUCAPE. ATMOSPHERIC PARAMETERS BECOME DECIDEDLY MORE HOSTILE
FURTHER EAST INTO MISSOURI... WHERE EFFECTS OF SUBSIDENCE BEHIND
PASSING SHORTWAVE AND MCV ARE TAKING HOLD. THAT COMBINED WITH WHAT
SHOULD BE A WEAKENING AND VEERING LLJ...LEADS TO ME TO SUSPECT
THAT THIS ADDITIONAL ROUND OF SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD BE GENERALLY
SHORT LIVED...AND CONFINED TO AREAS WEST OF U.S. 65.

BOXELL

&&

.DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE THE REMNANTS OF THE MCS THAT IS
CURRENTLY PUSHING ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS. IT DOES LOOK LIKE
AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI WILL FINALLY GET
A BREAK FROM THE RAIN ONCE THIS SYSTEM CLEARS...AT LEAST FOR A FEW
DAYS.

THE CURRENT MCS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS
WEAKER INSTABILITY AND SHEAR. WE MAY BE DEALING WITH CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS AND A LARGE TRAILING STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION REGION AS
WE HEAD INTO THIS MORNING. WILL LIKELY BE MAKING SOME LAST MINUTE
TWEAKS TO POP AND WEATHER GRIDS THIS MORNING BASED ON LATEST RADAR
TRENDS.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE COMING TO AN END DURING THE
PREDAWN HOURS...THE REMAINING PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO
AGGRAVATE THE FLOODING THREAT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE FLOODING
THREAT THROUGH AT LEAST THIS MORNING...WITH RESIDUAL FLOODING
POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WILL LET THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH RIDE THROUGH 12Z...AND LET ANY WARNINGS COVER THE FLOODING
POTENTIAL AFTER 12Z.

THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT MOST IF NOT ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
SHIFT OUT OF THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT
WAVE TROUGH AND MID LEVEL MCV SHIFT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA.
DEPENDING ON HOW THE CONVECTION EVOLVES EARLY THIS MORNING...THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT IT COULD THROW OUT AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. IF THAT HAPPENS...THERE IS AT LEAST A
SMALL THREAT FOR REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...MOST
AREAS SHOULD REMAIN DRY.

MEANWHILE...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT HAS BEEN A FOCUS FOR THIS
ACTIVITY WILL FINALLY SHIFT NORTH OF THE AREA LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THIS WILL SPELL AN END TO THE ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION FOR
AT LEAST 48 HOURS. THE THEME WILL THEN BECOME BREEZY AND WARM
CONDITIONS INTO MIDWEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEMS
GETTING INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 80S TODAY AND WEDNESDAY OVER
MOST LOCATIONS.

MODELS DO BRING WEAK SHORT WAVE ENERGY ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
ON THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE...THE
CAPPING INVERSION MAY BE TOO STRONG TO FIRE ANY CONVECTION. HAVE
PLACED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI...WHERE THE CAPPING INVERSION MAY BE A BIT WEAKER.
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY SHOULD GET RIGHT BACK INTO THE 80S.

IF MODELS ARE CORRECT IN BRINGING THAT SHORT WAVE ENERGY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY...THE SETUP DOES APPEARS FAVORABLE
FOR MCS DEVELOPMENT TO OUR NORTH AND NORTHWEST. THERE WOULD AT
LEAST BE A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO CLIP CENTRAL
MISSOURI THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING.

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL THEN BEGIN TO SHIFT AS WE GET INTO
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. LONG WAVE CHARTS BEGIN TO
TRANSITION US TO A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS REGIME WOULD
FAVOR THAT FRONT MAKING A SURGE SOUTH ONCE AGAIN. HAVE KEPT POPS
IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE FOR NOW AS TIMING REMAINS SKETCHY AT
BEST. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THAT FRONT WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...

RAIN WILL END AT THE TERMINALS THIS MORNING...WITH FAIR WEATHER
EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE DAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
TODAY...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KT EXPECTED. LLWS WILL
INCREASE THIS EVENING AT ALL TERMINALS AROUND 03Z.

BOXELL

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>070-077>081-088>090-093-094-101-102.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 1, 5:08 AM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
508 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-021015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
508 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A LARGE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH OUT OF THE EASTERN
  MISSOURI OZARKS THIS MORNING. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS
  WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND
  WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.

  A FEW ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY THEN DEVELOP LATER THIS
  MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON ALONG ANY REMAINING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.
  WHILE CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO IS LOW...ANY STORMS THAT
  DEVELOP WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS
  AND WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH.

  RESIDUAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST
  CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS DUE TO HEAVY
  RAINFALL FROM THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS.

  SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH CAN BE
  EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  BRISK AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
  WESTERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY
  AND THURSDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
  FROM LATE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
  MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 1, 3:48 AM CDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
348 AM CDT TUE MAY 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 W REPUBLIC            37.12N 93.50W
05/01/2012  M60 MPH          GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KURTZ
Local storm report, May 1, 3:50 AM CDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 AM CDT TUE MAY 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0314 AM     TSTM WND GST     WNW AURORA              36.97N 93.72W
05/01/2012  E60 MPH          LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KURTZ
Local storm report, May 1, 3:53 AM CDT, 4 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
353 AM CDT TUE MAY 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 AM     HAIL             WNW AURORA              36.97N 93.72W
05/01/2012  E0.75 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KURTZ
Special weather statement, May 1, 4:02 AM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
402 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

MOZ057-058-069>071-081-082-091-092-096-104-105-010945-
CAMDEN MO-DOUGLAS MO-LACLEDE MO-MARIES MO-MILLER MO-OZARK MO-
PHELPS MO-PULASKI MO-TANEY MO-TEXAS MO-WEBSTER MO-WRIGHT MO-
402 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DOUGLAS...EASTERN CAMDEN...
EASTERN TANEY...EASTERN WEBSTER...LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN OZARK...
PULASKI...SOUTHERN MILLER...WESTERN MARIES...WESTERN PHELPS...WESTERN
TEXAS AND WRIGHT COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 359 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CAMDENTON TO 3 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SLEEPER TO DUNCAN TO 9 MILES WEST OF RUETER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE AVA...CAMDENTON...CROCKER...DIXON...FORT
LEONARD WOOD...HARTVILLE...IBERIA...LEBANON...MANSFIELD...MOUNTAIN
GROVE...NORWOOD...OSAGE BEACH...RICHLAND...ST. ROBERT...VIENNA AND
WAYNESVILLE.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE LAKE OF
THE OZARKS STATE PARK AND LAKE OF THE OZARKS. INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 124 AND 174 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3653 9311 3681 9295 3681 9291 3689 9291
      3721 9273 3768 9268 3808 9285 3835 9220
      3830 9218 3829 9194 3813 9193 3765 9199
      3677 9224
TIME...MOT...LOC 0902Z 233DEG 42KT 3805 9273 3774 9258
          3727 9263 3667 9298

BOXELL
Special weather statement, May 1, 4:40 AM CDT, 3 hours 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
440 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

MOZ057-058-070-071-081>083-092-096-097-105-011030-
DENT MO-DOUGLAS MO-HOWELL MO-LACLEDE MO-MARIES MO-MILLER MO-OZARK MO-
PHELPS MO-PULASKI MO-TEXAS MO-WRIGHT MO-
440 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN DOUGLAS...EASTERN
MILLER...EASTERN WRIGHT...MARIES...OZARK...PHELPS...PULASKI...
SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE...TEXAS...WESTERN DENT AND WESTERN HOWELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

AT 436 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SAINT ELIZABETH TO 9
MILES SOUTH OF LAQUEY TO NORWOOD TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THEODOSIA...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND
50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BAKERSFIELD...BELLE...CABOOL...CROCKER...
DIXON...DOOLITTLE...FORT LEONARD WOOD...GAINESVILLE...HOUSTON...
IBERIA...LICKING...MOUNTAIN GROVE...NEWBURG...NORWOOD...
RAYMONDVILLE...ROLLA...ST. JAMES...ST. ROBERT...VIENNA...WAYNESVILLE
AND WILLOW SPRINGS.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 148 AND 196 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED
BY THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3663 9277 3707 9247 3765 9236 3834 9239
      3834 9220 3830 9218 3830 9165 3816 9164
      3816 9160 3764 9159 3706 9170 3649 9209
      3649 9277
TIME...MOT...LOC 0941Z 271DEG 32KT 3827 9227 3764 9224
          3707 9235 3644 9278

BOXELL
Local storm report, May 1, 6:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
615 AM CDT TUE MAY 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 AM     HAIL             MELROSE                 37.03N 94.96W
05/01/2012  E1.00 INCH       CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

1233 AM     HAIL             3 W COLUMBUS            37.17N 94.90W
05/01/2012  E1.00 INCH       CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

1233 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LAMAR                   37.49N 94.28W
05/01/2012                   BARTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS BEING REPORTED IN
            BARTON COUNTY. MANY ROADS ARE BEING CLOSED.

0119 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                37.17N 94.84W
05/01/2012                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL STREETS CLOSED IN COLUMBUS...SOME WITH TWO FEET
            OF WATER OVER THEM. K7 IS CLOSED NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND
            SOUTHEAST 22ND IS CLOSED.

0228 AM     HAIL             PINEVILLE               36.59N 94.38W
05/01/2012  E0.75 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

0258 AM     HAIL             WNW AURORA              36.97N 93.72W
05/01/2012  E0.75 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0314 AM     TSTM WND GST     WNW AURORA              36.97N 93.72W
05/01/2012  E60.00 MPH       LAWRENCE           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0318 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 W REPUBLIC            37.12N 93.50W
05/01/2012  M60.00 MPH       GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BOXELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 10:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCherokee6 hr
Apr 30, 11:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCrawford6 hr
Apr 30, 11:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBourbon5 hr
May 1, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee24 min
May 1, 1:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee34 min
May 1, 4:49 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford27 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.