Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Springfield, MO

919 
WGUS63 KSGF 070522 CCA
FFASGF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1221 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2012

.A VERY SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHING WESTERN MISSOURI THIS
EVENING IS MOVING INTO A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE SUBTROPICAL AIR
MASS OVER THE AREA. THIS PATTERN IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE UP TO TWO OR
THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF FAR WESTERN MISSOURI AND
FAR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS TONIGHT.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>057-066>069-077>080-088-089-093-094-101-
071500-
/O.COR.KSGF.FF.A.0003.120507T0521Z-120507T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-
HICKORY-CAMDEN-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-JASPER-DADE-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-MCDONALD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...
STOCKTON...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...JOPLIN...CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...
NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...ANDERSON...PINEVILLE
1221 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND 
  MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST 
  KANSAS...BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. IN MISSOURI...
  BARTON...BENTON...CAMDEN...CEDAR...DADE...DALLAS...HICKORY...
  JASPER...LAWRENCE...MCDONALD...MILLER...MORGAN...NEWTON...
  POLK...ST. CLAIR AND VERNON.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

* ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IS EXPECTED TO FALL
  TONIGHT OVER AN AREA WHICH IS STILL FAIRLY MOIST FROM RECORD
  HEAVY RAINFALL LAST WEEKEND.

* THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
  STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COLUCCI

366 
WGUS63 KSGF 070940
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
440 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2012

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>057-066>069-077>080-088-089-093-094-101-
071045-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-120507T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-
HICKORY-CAMDEN-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-JASPER-DADE-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-MCDONALD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...
BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...
ELDON...LAKE OZARK...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...
HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...
STOCKTON...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...JOPLIN...CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...
NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...ANDERSON...PINEVILLE
440 AM CDT MON MAY 7 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WHILE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THIS AREA THROUGH A PORTION OF THE MORNING HOURS
TODAY...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY OR
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING. 

$$

BOXELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
946 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...
/ISSUED 935 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012/

CONVECTION CONTINUED TO EXPAND FROM EAST CENTRAL INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS ALONG A SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD FRONT. CONVECTION
ALSO CONTINUED ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70
CORRIDOR BUT THIS ACTIVITY WAS SHOWING A WEAKENING TREND.

EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS KANSAS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
CONGEAL INTO A LINEAR COMPLEX OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE AIDED BY A DEVELOPING 25-30 KT LOW LEVEL JET
AND THE APPROACH OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE. THESE STORMS ARE
CURRENTLY WITHIN AN AXIS OF MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY BUT
THE AIR MASS TO THE EAST ACROSS THE OZARKS HAS STABILIZED
CONSIDERABLY. WITH THE WEAK SHEAR PROFILES THE RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE LOCALIZED AND CONFINED TO AREAS MAINLY WEST OF A
JOPLIN TO OSAGE BEACH LINE.

EXPECT THE STORMS TO BECOME INCREASINGLY ELEVATED AS THEY SPREAD
INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS OVERNIGHT BUT THE RISK OF AN ISOLATED SEVERE
STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

OF MORE CONCERN THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. THE DEVELOPING LOW
LEVEL JET ALONG WITH INCREASING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVERNIGHT
INTERACTING WITH THE SAGGING FRONT WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO CONTINUED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOVEMENT AND
POTENTIAL TRAINING OF THE STORMS... AND A MOISTURE RICH AIR MASS
WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI.

FOSTER

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FOR TONIGHT...COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOWER TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA...BUT WILL BE THE SECONDARY FOCUS FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM. IN ADDITION...A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL
TRACK EAST-NORTHEAST OUT OF OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON INTO WESTERN
MISSOURI THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SHORTWAVE AND
COLD FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT TO PRODUCE
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. SHEAR VALUES LOOK TO BE ON THE WEAK SIDE
HOWEVER WITH THE STRONG INSTABILITY AND LARGE THETA-E DIFFERENCES
WILL SEE A THREAT FOR DOWNBURSTS ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL. SEVERE
RISKS WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TOWARDS THE LATE EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE INSTABILITY DIMINISHES.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A RISK OF TRAINING STORMS TONIGHT ALONG THE
FRONT AND COULD SEE SOME FLASH FLOODING DEVELOP IF THIS
OCCURS...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI WHICH HAD THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH THE PAST SYSTEM.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS THE FRONT WILL
SLOWLY TRACKS SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL REMAIN A RISK
OF SEVERE STORMS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS WHERE THE INSTABILITY WILL
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THE FRONT SHOULD CLEAR THE AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXPECTED TO SWING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS SHOULD BRING A COOLER AND DRIER
AIR MASS TO THE AREA. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL ESTABLISH OVER THE
FORECAST AREA FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION.

THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 630 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012/

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND IMPACT AREA
TERMINALS LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES.

MVFR CEILINGS WILL BECOME MORE PREVALENT LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING AS THE FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION.

FOSTER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
856 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-080200-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
856 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD
  FRONT...AND SPREAD INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING
  AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL INITIALLY IMPACT EXTREME
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND CENTRAL MISSOURI...OR NORTHWEST OF A LINE
  FROM JOPLIN...TO OSAGE BEACH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SPREAD INTO THE
  MISSOURI OZARKS OVERNIGHT.

  A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
  PING PONG BALLS AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

  IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY
  EAST OF U.S. 65. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO BE
  POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
 FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
442 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     HAIL             4 S NEVADA              37.78N 94.35W
05/06/2012  E1.00 INCH       VERNON             MO   PUBLIC

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
443 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     HAIL             NEVADA                  37.84N 94.35W
05/06/2012  E1.75 INCH       VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
448 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND GST     NEVADA                  37.84N 94.35W
05/06/2012  E60 MPH          VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JCOLUCCI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
457 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

MOZ078-062230-
CEDAR MO-
457 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CEDAR COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

AT 452 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF UMBER VIEW HEIGHTS...OR 4
MILES SOUTHEAST OF STOCKTON...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH. PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE STOCKTON.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE STOCKTON
LAKE. IF YOU ARE ON THE LAKE...GET TO SHORE AND TAKE SHELTER.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3783 9363 3775 9363 3774 9362 3757 9362
      3757 9366 3758 9385 3783 9379
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 201DEG 13KT 3767 9373

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
459 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEVADA                  37.84N 94.35W
05/06/2012                   VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE ELM TREE AND POWERLINE DOWN.

&&

AFOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
643 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

MOZ056-070015-
MORGAN MO-
643 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MORGAN COUNTY UNTIL 715
PM CDT...

AT 639 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTH OF STOVER...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF VERSAILLES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE STOVER AND VERSAILLES.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE LAKE OF
THE OZARKS.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 3846 9274 3823 9293 3823 9295 3819 9299
      3820 9302 3821 9299 3823 9301 3827 9304
      3827 9308 3854 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 203DEG 19KT 3832 9304

HATCH