Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
155 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE...CENTERED OVER MISSOURI...WILL BUILD
EASTWARD TODAY...AND WILL BE THE MAIN FEATURE IN OUR WEATHER PATTERN
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. MEANWHILE A LEE SIDE TROUGH...SITUATED
ALONG THE EASTERN FACE OF THE APPALACHIANS...WILL PROVIDE THE
INSTABILITY NECESSARY TO HELP TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN
RELATIVELY UNCHANGED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1142 AM EDT THURSDAY...

ISSUED NEW ZFP FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 469. LINE OF STORMS
WHICH MAY BE HITTING SE WEST VA WITHIN AN HOUR OR TWO IS ALREADY
WARNED FOR SEVERE.

AS OF 1057 AM EDT THURSDAY...

SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW HAS MOVED
FROM JUST SW OF KLWB AROUND 8AM TO PULASKI'S DOORSTEP ATTM. THIS
CLUSTER SHOULD CONTINUE INTO GRAYSON AND CARROLL PERHAPS
EXPANDING TO THE WSW OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. AS IT ENCOUNTERS
HIGHER ELEVATION...THE INFLOW MAY BE DISRUPTED SUCH THAT IT FALLS
APART.

MORE STORMS DEVELOPING FROM THE COLD POOL/OUTFLOW OF AN OVERNIGHT
MCS WHICH MOVED THROUGH OHIO. THE LEADING EDGE OF NEWER STORMS IS
ENTERING CENTRAL WEST VA AND ITS SSW TRACK WILL PLACE IT INTO OUT
SE WEST VA COUNTIES DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE AS INSTABILITY INCREASES WITH HEATING. OUTFLOW FROM
THESE STORMS COULD CAUSE ISOLATED CELLS AHEAD OF IT...WITH THE
LINE AFFECTING THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CWA DURING THE AFTERNOON
IF IT REMAINS. CONSIDERING INCREASING INSTABILITY...IT PROBABLY
WILL MAINTAIN ITSELF. SPC HAS PLACED THE REGION IN A SLT RISK FOR
SEVERE SO CAN'T RULE OUT A POTENTIAL WATCH LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR EASTERN FLANK ALTHOUGH ITS MARGINAL AT
BEST...ALTHOUGH HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE LOW 100S.

AS OF 730 AM EDT THURSDAY...

KEEPING AN EYE ON UPSTREAM MCS MOVING ACROSS LAKE ERIE INTO NRN
OHIO. MOVEMENT HAS BEEN SE AND WILL HAVE TO WATCH TRENDS AS IT
HEADS THIS WAY. MODELS NOT PICKING UP TOO WELL WHICH IS TYPICAL AT
TIMES WITH MCS/S. CORFIDI VECTORS AND SAT TRENDS SHOW SOME
TENDENCY TOWARD A SWWD TURN INTO SRN OHIO/NRN KY LATER THIS
MORNING BUT OUTFLOW FROM IT COULD START CONVECTION UP THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE WV AND FAR SW VA MTNS. THINK THIS AREA IS STILL
THE MOST FAVORED FOR COVERAGE OF STORMS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION AT 400 AM....

LOOKING AT SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING...WAS KEEPING AN EYE ON
A DECAYING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING SOUTH ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA.
WAS CONCERNED THAT DEBRIS CLOUD COVER FROM THIS SYSTEM WOULD
LINGER ACROSS OUR AREA THROUGH LATE MORNING...HELPING TO SOMEWHAT
INHIBIT DAYTIME HEATING ACROSS OUR AREA. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT THESE CLOUDS ARE BECOMING DIFFUSE AS THEY MOVE INTO
THE ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS AND SURROUNDING AREAS...AND WHILE STILL
EXPECT THEM TO LINGER AROUND THROUGH LATE MORNING...DO NOT THINK
THEY WILL HAVE A HUGE IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY.
REGARDLESS...STILL TOOK THEM INTO ACCOUNT AND TWEAKED HIGHS DOWN A
DEGREE OR TWO FROM WHAT GUIDANCE SUGGESTED.

AT ANY RATE...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL AGAIN BUILD EASTWARD STARTING TODAY...AND
TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR AREA WILL BEGIN TO RESPOND IN KIND. HAVE NOT
SEEN ANY WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL SINCE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS
OUR AREA...SO DO NOT THINK THAT SOIL MOISTURES WILL PLAY A ROLE IN
LIMITING AFTERNOON HEATING. AND WITH LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG
WITH DEWPOINT IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S ACROSS THE PIEDMONTS...
BELIEVE WE WILL SEE HEAT INDICES REACH AS HIGH AS 105 DEGREES
ACROSS OUR EASTERNMOST TIER OF COUNTIES. THUS...FELT COMFORTABLE
WITH ISSUING A HEAT ADVISORY FOR THIS AREA FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO REDEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH AID OF INSTABILITY FROM A LEE SIDE TROUGH SITUATED ALONG THE
APPALACHIANS. AS SUCH...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE
PULSE VARIETY TODAY...WITH HIT AND MISS RAINFALL. MAY SEE A FEW OF
THESE STORMS BECOME SEVERE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AS THE MAIN THREAT...ALTHOUGH
HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. AND WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL WINDS...SOME
OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SLOW MOVING...WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 400 AM THURSDAY...

HEAT RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING IN AGAIN FROM THE WEST FRI-SAT...WITH A
BACK DOOR FRONT DROPPING SWD SUNDAY. OUR AREA FRI-SAT WILL BE MAINLY
DEALING WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION IN THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING UNTIL THE FRONT ENTERS FROM THE NORTH ENHANCING
CHANCES SUNDAY. MCS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO STAY NORTH PER RIDGE AXIS
EXTENDING WEST TO EAST INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS MID ATLANTIC. A
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SHORTWAVE INDUCED MCS ARRIVES TOWARD
SUNDAY...BUT OVERALL ITS TOO EARLY TO SAY WHERE THIS WILL SET UP.

SO FOR POPS...KEPT IT LOW FRI-SAT PER HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT INHIBITING
SOME DEVELOPMENT...AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE STORMS FIRE UP
TOWARD THE EVENING WHEN THE CAP BREAKS. STILL LOOKING AT MUCH OF THE
AREA STAYING HOT AND DRY.

WITH THE FRONT SHIFTING SWD INTO LATE WEEKEND THE FLOW WILL BECOMING
MORE WEST AND THE HEAT IMPACT WILL STAY UP. THE DEWPOINTS MAY DROP
EAST OF THE MTNS...BUT LEE TROUGH IN THE PIEDMONT COULD KEEP HIGHER
DEWPOINTS PULLED PER SW FLOW. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HEAT ADVISORY
FRI-SAT IN THE PIEDMONT PER HIGHS AROUND THE CENTURY MARK.

HEADING INTO SUNDAY...THE FORECAST WILL DEPEND ON FRONTAL BOUNDARY
AND SHORTWAVES SUPPORTING ENHANCED CONVECTION. WILL KEEP CHANCES
AFTER MIDDAY WITH 30/40 POPS...PENDING BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT. WITH
SOME ORGANIZATION POSSIBLE...TEMPS MAY BE IMPACTED FROM CLOUDINESS
FROM UPSTREAM CONVECTION...SO WENT A LITTLE COOLER THAN FRI-SAT BUT
WILL STILL BE HOTTER THAN NORMAL WITH UPPER 80S WEST TO  UPPER 90S
EAST...AS OPPOSED TO WIDESPREAD 90S TO AROUND 100 FRI-SAT...OUTSIDE
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SEE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR A LIST OF
RECORD HIGHS FOR JULY 6TH AND 7TH.

SUNDAY NIGHT...NOT CHANGING POPS AS THE NEW 00Z ECMWF AND GFS
SHOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWING WITH POSSIBLE MCS PUSHING IN.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

UPPER RIDGE RETROGRADES WEST AND TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER THE ERN
CONUS THIS PERIOD. MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT THAT COOL DOWN WILL TAKE
PLACE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...SHAVING ABOUT 10 DEG C OFF THE 85H
TEMP AND TRIMMING SFC TEMPS TO A MORE TOLERABLE LEVEL.

SFC FRONT IS PROGGED TO SAG SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY.
THE BIG QUESTION...AS IS ALWAYS THE CASE AT THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR...IS HOW FAR SOUTH THIS FRONT WILL DRIFT BEFORE STALLING.
LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FRONT PUSHING INTO
GA/SC EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH DIFFERING SOLUTIONS ON WHETHER THE
DEEPER MOISTURE CLEARS THE CWA.

FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
EXTENDED WITH HIGHEST COVERAGE MONDAY VCNTY OF THE FRONT. IF
FRONT MOVES FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF THE FCST AREA...MAY BE ABLE TO
TRIM POPS COMPLETELY FOR MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 142 PM EDT THURSDAY...

IMPRESSIVE BOW ECHO ON TOP OF BLF...WITH POTENTIAL GUSTS TO 60KTS
OVER THE NEXT 20 MINUTES. ISOLATED STORMS MAY ALSO FROM AHEAD OF
THE MAIN LINE TO BCB/ROA ALTHOUGH THE MAIN LINE MAY JUST MISS TO
THE SW. LWB ALSO APPEARS TO HAVE ESCAPED THE STRONGEST PUNCH OF
WINDS ATTM. FURTHER EAST LYH/DAN MAY DEAL WITH ISOLATED STORMS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. FIGURES TO BE A BREAK IN THE ACTION LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH POTENTIALLY MORE STORMS THIS EVENING AS
ANOTHER CLUSTER IS MOVING SOUTH OFF OF LAKE ERIE. THIS CLUSTER MAY
MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER EAST TONIGHT THAN CURRENT LINE. WET GROUND
AT LWB/BLF MAKES IFR VIS/CIG MORE LIKELY THAN USUAL. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY...AND WILL BE WATCHING FOR ANY
CLUSTERS MOVING SOUTH OUT OF PENNSYLVANIA POSSIBLY AFFECTING
CENTRAL AND WESTERN VA.

THE GENERAL WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING WITH DAYTIME
HEATING...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET AS HEATING ENDS.
THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE PATCHES OF FOG DEVELOPING DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN THE RIVER VALLEYS OF THE
MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS AREAS WHICH RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
DURING THE PREVIOUS TWENTY FOUR HOUR PERIOD. A STRONGER MORE
IMPACTFUL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT LOOKS TO IMPACT THE AREA BY LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING EASTWARD AGAIN GOING TO KEEP TEMPERATURES
REACHING TOWARD RECORD HIGHS.

     JULY 5TH             JULY 6TH        JULY 7TH
     RECORD HIGH         RECORD HIGH     RECORD HIGH
ROA   100/1999              100/1999        101/1930
LYH    98/1999               98/2010         98/2010
DAN   101/1966              102/1990        104/2010
BCB    93/1966               94/2010         94/2010
BLF    90/1993               92/2010         92/2010

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SENSORS OTS AT KBCB/BLACKSBURG AND
KDAN/DANVILLE. HINTON TRANSMITTER STILL OFF THE AIR DUE TO
COMMERCIAL POWER NOT REACHING THE SITE.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR VAZ044>047-058-
     059.
NC...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ006.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WP
NEAR TERM...KM/NF
SHORT TERM...WP
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...KM/NF
CLIMATE...
EQUIPMENT...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1212 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

NCZ005-VAZ019-020-023-024-033>035-043-061615-
ROCKINGHAM-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-HENRY-
1212 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. IN
ADDITION...DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD...
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ004-061615-
STOKES-
1212 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 469 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS...SEVERE AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS...DUE TO
THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD...
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ006-VAZ044>047-058-059-061615-
CASWELL-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-
CHARLOTTE-
1212 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

WIDELY SCATTERED PULSE VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET. A FEW
OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCE
STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. IN ADDITION...DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF
THESE STORMS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.

ALSO...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF HIGH HUMIDITY AND AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL
REACH AT LEAST 105 DEGREES...INCREASING THE RISK OF HEAT RELATED
ILLNESSES SUCH AS HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD...
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009>018-022-032-WVZ042>045-061615-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-
GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ROANOKE-
PATRICK-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
1212 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 469 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS...SEVERE AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS...DUE TO
THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD...
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
233 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

NCZ001-002-018-051930-
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-WATAUGA NC-
233 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF ALLEGHANY...ASHE AND WATAUGA
COUNTIES...

AT 225 PM EDT...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING SOUTH
THROUGH FAR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.  THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA BETWEEN 3:00 AND 4:00 PM.

WIND GUSTS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH...AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE...ARE
LIKELY WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS.  WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED WITHIN
THE NEXT HOUR.

THESE STORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL.

PLEASE MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR
FUTURE FORECAST UPDATES...AND FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS!

LAT...LON 3631 8190 3636 8181 3635 8173 3641 8175
      3659 8168 3656 8090 3637 8098 3637 8103
      3644 8109 3644 8116 3636 8125 3637 8136
      3629 8137 3629 8141 3625 8147 3620 8146
      3612 8154 3611 8181 3619 8185 3621 8191

PEM

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
254 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

NCZ006-051945-
CASWELL NC-
254 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CASWELL COUNTY...

AT 250 PM EDT...ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM HAS DEVELOPED NEAR
YANCEYVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR JERICHO AROUND 255 PM...TOPNOT AROUND 300
PM...BAYNES AROUND 310 PM AND PROSPECT HILL AROUND 335 PM.

LAT...LON 3637 7946 3650 7946 3650 7930 3640 7914
      3629 7914 3625 7915 3624 7916 3624 7932

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
300 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E RICHLANDS           37.09N 81.76W
07/05/2012                   TAZEWELL           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN CEDAR BLUFF

&&

FISHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
301 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW TAZEWELL           37.08N 81.55W
07/05/2012                   TAZEWELL           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON THOMPSON VALLEY

&&

FISHER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
302 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

VAZ023-051930-
BOTETOURT VA-
302 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BOTETOURT COUNTY...

AT 300 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF
BUCHANAN...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BUCHANAN AROUND 310 PM.

LAT...LON 3764 7973 3752 7965 3743 7987 3759 7994

RCS