Severe Thunderstorm Warning 303, NWS Blacksburg, VA

604 
WWUS51 KRNK 271945 RRA
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
345 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAC045-271955-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
CRAIG VA-
345 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CRAIG COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3727 7931 3721 7935 3717 8011 3718 8011
      3748 8000 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 262DEG 30KT 3735 7991

$$

VAC019-023-067-161-515-770-775-272045-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
ROANOKE VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-CITY OF SALEM VA-
FRANKLIN VA-BOTETOURT VA-BEDFORD VA-
345 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD...THE CITY OF ROANOKE...THE CITY OF SALEM...
EASTERN ROANOKE...NORTHERN FRANKLIN...SOUTHERN BOTETOURT AND BEDFORD
COUNTIES...

AT 341 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR HOLLINS...OR NEAR ROANOKE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CLOVERDALE...
  LAYMANTOWN...
  BLUE RIDGE...
  MONTVALE...
  AND THAXTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3727 7931 3721 7935 3717 8011 3718 8011
      3748 8000 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 262DEG 30KT 3735 7991

$$

AMS

070 
WWUS51 KRNK 272001
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
401 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAC775-272011-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
CITY OF SALEM VA-
401 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE CITY OF SALEM... IS
CANCELLED...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 7931 3721 7936 3717 8010 3718 8002
      3750 7986 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 260DEG 38KT 3736 7978

$$

VAC019-023-067-161-515-770-272045-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
ROANOKE VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-FRANKLIN VA-
BOTETOURT VA-BEDFORD VA-
401 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD...THE CITY OF ROANOKE... EASTERN ROANOKE...
NORTHERN FRANKLIN...SOUTHEASTERN BOTETOURT AND BEDFORD COUNTIES...

AT 358 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BLUE RIDGE...OR NEAR MONTVALE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BLUE RIDGE...
  MONTVALE...
  THAXTON...
  AND GOODE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 7931 3721 7936 3717 8010 3718 8002
      3750 7986 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 260DEG 38KT 3736 7978

$$

AMS

988 
WWUS51 KRNK 272016
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
416 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAC067-161-770-272026-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
ROANOKE VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-FRANKLIN VA-
416 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE CITY OF ROANOKE... EASTERN
ROANOKE AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3730 7931 3720 7977 3724 7979 3721 7981
      3723 7982 3722 7984 3751 7981 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 264DEG 26KT 3747 7960

$$

VAC019-023-515-272045-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-BOTETOURT VA-BEDFORD VA-
416 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD... SOUTHEASTERN BOTETOURT AND NORTHERN
BEDFORD COUNTIES...

AT 411 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR PEAKS OF OTTER RECREATION AREA...OR NEAR BUCHANAN...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PEAKS OF OTTER RECREATION AREA...
  SEDALIA...
  GOODE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3730 7931 3720 7977 3724 7979 3721 7981
      3723 7982 3722 7984 3751 7981 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 264DEG 26KT 3747 7960

$$

AMS

435 
WWUS51 KRNK 272030
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
430 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAC019-023-515-272045-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-BOTETOURT VA-BEDFORD VA-
430 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD... EASTERN BOTETOURT AND CENTRAL BEDFORD
COUNTIES...

AT 428 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR SEDALIA...OR NEAR BIG ISLAND...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR STORM RELATED DAMAGE TO LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS AND ASK THEM TO IMMEDIATELY RELAY THE REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3730 7931 3721 7974 3753 7965 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 265DEG 30KT 3748 7941

$$

AMS

941 
WWUS51 KRNK 272044
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
444 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAC019-023-515-272054-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0303.000000T0000Z-120727T2045Z/
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-BOTETOURT VA-BEDFORD VA-
444 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD... EASTERN
BOTETOURT AND CENTRAL BEDFORD COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 445 PM EDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST OUT 
OF THE WARNING AREA. THUS THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG AT...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. ONCE AGAIN
THAT NUMBER IS 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3730 7931 3721 7974 3753 7965 3755 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 265DEG 30KT 3749 7926

$$

AMS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1206 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS COLD FRONT WILL EXIT OUR AREA TO THE EAST BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE GREAT
LAKES FOR SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1130 AM...

NEAR FULL SUN ONGOING EAST OF BLUE RIDGE WHICH SHOULD PROMOTE
STRONG INSTABILITY TO FUEL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE STORMS ALONG AND EAST OF BLUE RIDGE...MAIN THREAT DAMAGING
WINDS.

MORNING RNK SOUNDING WAS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE DUE TO DEBRIS
REMANTS FROM MCS TO OUR NORTH LAST NIGHT...TEMPS ALOFT STILL WARM
AND WINDS WESTERLY. MODIFIED SOUNDING FOR THE AFTERNOON HOWEVER
SUGGESTS A MORE RESPECTIBLE ENVIRONMENT FOR STORM GROWTH...CAPES
2000-3000...AND STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES PER COOLING TEMPS
ALOFT COOLING FROM APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. AS WE TRANSITION
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ANTICIPATE BACKING OF THE LOWER LEVEL WIND
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH...YIELDING INCREASING CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE. LEE TROUGH SHOULD ALSO STRENGTHEN PER
INTENSE AFTERNOON HEATING FURTHER INCREASING THE CONVERGENCE EAST
OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

BOTH THE RNK WRF AND HRRR SUGGEST INBOUND SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY FROM WV
WILL BE JOINED BY NEW DEVELOPMENT VCNTY OF BLUE RIDGE AND LEE
TROF. AS SUCH MAY END UP WITH SEVERAL BANDS OR STORM CLUSTERS
WHICH WILL THEN MOVE EAST BOUND TOWARD THE COAST DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOR OUR CWA...THE GREATEST INSTABILITY WILL RESIDE OVER OUR
EASTERN COUNTIES...THUS EXPECT TO SEE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR OUR PIEDMONT COUNTIES...MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
ROANOKE VALLEY. MODELS HAVE ALL OF THE ACTIVITY CLEARING THE CWA
AROUND SUNSET.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 425 AM EDT FRIDAY...

UPPER ATMOSPHERIC PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GAINS STRENGTH AND AMPLITUDE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ONCE AGAIN. THIS WILL LEAD TO ENHANCED
NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION DURING THE WEEKEND. A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES IN THE PERSISTENT NW FLOW ALOFT WILL FINALLY
SHIFT THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH AXIS TO THE EAST SIDE OF THE CWA BY LATE
SAT...THEN RESULT IN A GENERALLY QUASI-STATIONARY PATTERN ACROSS THE
U.S. INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FEATURING A LINGERING UPPER
TROUGH...CENTERED JUST EAST OF THE CWA THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. A
CONTINUED SERIES OF DISTURBANCES TRACKING IN NW FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL KEEP A FAIRLY ACTIVE PATTERN IN PLACE.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER PATTERN DOES NOT CHANGE SUBSTANTIALLY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...DAY-TO-DAY CONVECTIVE CHANCES WILL. FOR SAT...THE BEST
LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE CWA...BUT NOTICEABLY
COLDER AIR ALOFT AND PVA IN AFOREMENTIONED NW FLOW ALOFT WILL
ENHANCE PCPN...ESPECIALLY THAT WHICH IS OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ALLEGHANYS AND THE SW BLUE RIDGE. FOR SUN...THE
BEST UPPER SUPPORT AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE
REGION...LEAVING THE CWA IN A MORE STABLE...DRIER AIR MASS. AT THIS
POINT...WITH THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS EAST OF THE REGION...HAVE LIMITED
POPS TO JUST THOSE OROGRAPHICALLY AND DIURNALLY INDUCED.  BY
MON...NEW DISTURBANCES ORIGINATING IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS/SC CANADA
WILL TRACK TOWARD THE REGION...RESULTING IN A SLOW RETROGRESSION OF
THE UPPER TROUGH. HENCE...EXPECT DIURNAL CONVECTION TO BE ON THE
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN MON...ESPECIALLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
ALLEGHANYS WHERE DEEPER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND SE-S SFC FLOW SHOULD
EXIST.

MAX/MIN TEMPS DURING THE PERIOD SHOULD BE CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS
THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS...BUT LIKELY REMAINING SLIGHTLY AOA NORMALS
WITH 850MB TEMPS STILL IN THE +18-+20C RANGE SAT-SUN. GREATER
INSOLATION...ESPECIALLY SUN...WILL ALSO OFFSET THE SLIGHTLY LOWER
LOW-LEVEL THICKNESSES AND 850MB TEMPS. THE MAIN CHANGE WILL BE
NOTICED WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER DEWPOINTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 425 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE BLOCKING PATTERN WHICH BECOMES ESTABLISHED DURING THE SHORT TERM
REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK WITH A STRONG UPPER RIDGE
ANCHORED ACROSS IN THE TX/OK/NM REGION...ANOTHER STRONG RIDGE OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...AND A GENERAL BROAD UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE
EASTERN U.S. THIS UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY RETROGRADES THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIODS...WHICH SLOWLY RESULTS IN THE CWA TRANSITION FROM
NW FLOW ALOFT AT THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD TO A
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AND PWATS CONTINUE TO INCREASE...ALL RESULTING IN ENHANCED CHANCES
FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION AND CLOUD COVER. EXPECT SCT-NMRS DIURNAL
CONVECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD. AT THIS POINT...TUE-WED APPEAR TO
OFFER THE BETTER CHCS FOR CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WITH BETTER UPPER
DYNAMICS IN PLACE...BUT GIVEN MODEL UNCERTAINTIES...AT LEAST CHC
POPS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE CLOUD
COVER WILL HOLD MAX TEMPS NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL...WHILE MIN
TEMPS WILL REMAIN AOA NORMAL WITH WARM MUGGY NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF NOON FRIDAY...

ANTICIPATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND MOVE EAST THROUGH THE PIEDMONT THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH ISOLATED WIND
GUSTS OF 50 KTS. CONDITIONS WILL BE PRIMARILY VFR EXCEPT IN THE
VCNTY OF THE SHRA/TSRA. STORM THREAT GREATEST BETWEEN
2-5PM...DIMINISHING TOWARD SUNSET...SOME VFR DEBIS CLOUDINESS
LINGERING OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS TODAY WILL BE WESTERLY
GENERALLY 7-10KTS WITH SOME LOW END 16-18KT GUSTS. HIGHER GUSTS
LIKELY IN THE VCNTY OF THE STORMS.

THE MAIN SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
ON SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SUB-VFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING.

THE AIR MASS DRIES OUT AND VFR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. RETURN MOISTURE AND RESIDUAL FRONT TO THE
SOUTH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...BUT MAINLY VFR OUTSIDE OF AFTERNOON STORMS
AND OVERNIGHT VALLEY FOG.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NF
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...JC
AVIATION...PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
434 AM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAZ007-009>014-018>020-022>024-WVZ042>045-280845-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
434 AM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING STRONG. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ015>017-032>035-043>047-058-059-280845-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
434 AM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRE INITIALLY ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS...AND THEN SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE PIEDMONT BY LATE
AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...AS WELL AS PROLONGED PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ023-032>034-043>045-058-271930-BEDFORD
VA-BOTETOURT VA-CAMPBELL VA-CASWELL NC-FRANKLIN VA-HALIFAX VA-HENRY
VA-PATRICK VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-ROCKINGHAM NC-STOKES NC-SURRY
NC-WILKES NC-YADKIN NC-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BEDFORD...BOTETOURT...CAMPBELL...
CASWELL...FRANKLIN...HALIFAX...HENRY...PATRICK...PITTSYLVANIA...
ROCKINGHAM...STOKES...SURRY...WILKES AND YADKIN COUNTIES...

AT 224 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE FROM 5 MILES
NORTH OF STEWARTSVILLE TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUDDLESTON TO 4 MILES
WEST OF CALLANDS TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SANDY RIDGE...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS.
DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

BOATERS ON AREA LAKES SHOULD BE PROACTIVE BY GETTING OFF THE LAKE
AND SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR MONTVALE...CALLANDS...MADISON...AND
ELLISBORO AROUND 235 PM...AXTON AROUND 240 PM...SANDY RIVER...
HUDDLESTON...PITTSVILLE...AND STONEVILLE AROUND 245 PM AND THAXTON
AROUND 250 PM.

LAT...LON 3607 8141 3684 7982 3711 7967 3742 7996
      3742 7927 3711 7899 3682 7909 3624 7916
      3626 8044 3623 8043 3613 8045 3605 8139

WERT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
240 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0147 PM     HAIL             2 NW CAMP CREEK         37.51N 81.13W
07/27/2012  E0.88 INCH       MERCER             WV   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT CAMP CREEK STATE PARK

0235 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WSW RICHLANDS         37.09N 81.82W
07/27/2012  M1.16 INCH       TAZEWELL           VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE HOUR RAINFALL REPORT

&&

MBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
302 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAZ011-013-014-017-018-022-023-033-272000-
BOTETOURT VA-CRAIG VA-FLOYD VA-FRANKLIN VA-GILES VA-MONTGOMERY VA-
PULASKI VA-ROANOKE VA-
302 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BOTETOURT...CRAIG...FLOYD...
FRANKLIN...GILES...MONTGOMERY...PULASKI AND ROANOKE COUNTIES...

AT 300 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE FROM 5 MILES
WEST OF SINKING CREEK TO PULASKI...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR CLAYTOR LAKE AND RADFORD AROUND 300
PM...BLACKSBURG AND CHRISTIANSBURG AROUND 315PM...
SALEM AND ROANOKE AROUND 400 PM.

LAT...LON 3746 7971 3742 7976 3740 7981 3737 7978
      3732 7985 3722 7985 3694 8004 3696 8082
      3702 8088 3746 8040

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
314 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAZ017-032-271945-
FLOYD VA-PATRICK VA-
314 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT FLOYD AND PATRICK COUNTIES...

AT 312 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
WOOLWINE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR WOOLWINE AROUND 325 PM...CHARITY AROUND 330
PM AND FAIRY STONE STATE PARK AROUND 345 PM.

LAT...LON 3668 8046 3670 8045 3672 8047 3686 8047
      3687 8023 3685 8007 3679 8006 3678 8010
      3674 8010 3674 8008 3672 8010 3667 8007

AMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
315 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

VAZ018-019-023-WVZ044-271945-
ALLEGHANY VA-BOTETOURT VA-CRAIG VA-MONROE WV-
315 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ALLEGHANY...BOTETOURT...CRAIG
AND MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 312 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST
OF PAINT BANK...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR NEW CASTLE AROUND 320 PM...JORDAN MINES
AROUND 325 PM...ORISKANY AROUND 335 PM...COVINGTON CITY AROUND 340 PM
AND GALA AROUND 345 PM.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

LAT...LON 3746 7972 3746 8034 3769 8032 3769 8030
      3773 8025 3775 8026 3776 8025 3784 7981

AMS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
319 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSW SUITER            37.04N 81.24W
07/27/2012                   BLAND              VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON OLD MOUNTAIN ROAD

0250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE MECHANICSBURG      37.13N 80.92W
07/27/2012                   BLAND              VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON BYRNES CHAPEL ROAD

&&

MBS