Severe Thunderstorm Warning 216, NWS Blacksburg, VA

327 
WWUS51 KRNK 032012
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
412 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

VAC678-032022-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-120703T2045Z/
CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-
412 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE CITY OF LEXINGTON... IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED EAST OF THE CITY. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS 
BEEN CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 3787 7914 3782 7916 3777 7906 3771 7905
      3770 7899 3768 7897 3758 7905 3748 7939
      3767 7968 3770 7966 3771 7953 3790 7916
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 303DEG 19KT 3782 7908 3768 7923
          3760 7942

$$

VAC009-019-163-530-032045-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-120703T2045Z/
ROCKBRIDGE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-BEDFORD VA-AMHERST VA-
412 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR THE CITY OF BUENA VISTA... SOUTHERN ROCKBRIDGE...NORTHERN BEDFORD
AND NORTHERN AMHERST COUNTIES...

AT 410 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH
DIAMETER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF
LOWESVILLE TO FORKS OF BUFFALO TO GLASGOW...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORKS OF BUFFALO TO FORKS OF BUFFALO TO
GLASGOW...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 7914 3782 7916 3777 7906 3771 7905
      3770 7899 3768 7897 3758 7905 3748 7939
      3767 7968 3770 7966 3771 7953 3790 7916
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 303DEG 19KT 3782 7908 3768 7923
          3760 7942

$$

DS

236 
WWUS51 KRNK 032033
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
433 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

VAC163-530-032043-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-120703T2045Z/
ROCKBRIDGE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-
433 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE CITY OF BUENA VISTA...
SOUTHERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE CITY. 
THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 3771 7905 3770 7899 3768 7897 3758 7905
      3749 7934 3757 7944 3757 7943 3759 7945
      3765 7935 3772 7924 3775 7913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 324DEG 18KT 3762 7907 3759 7916
          3754 7928

$$

VAC009-019-032045-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-120703T2045Z/
BEDFORD VA-AMHERST VA-
433 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BEDFORD AND CENTRAL AMHERST COUNTIES...

AT 431 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CLIFFORD TO PLEASANT VIEW TO NAOLA...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CLIFFORD TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF FORKS OF BUFFALO TO BIG
ISLAND...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

&&

LAT...LON 3771 7905 3770 7899 3768 7897 3758 7905
      3749 7934 3757 7944 3757 7943 3759 7945
      3765 7935 3772 7924 3775 7913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 324DEG 18KT 3762 7907 3759 7916
          3754 7928

$$

DS

244 
WWUS51 KRNK 032044
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
444 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

VAC009-019-032054-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-120703T2045Z/
BEDFORD VA-AMHERST VA-
444 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BEDFORD AND
AMHERST COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 445 PM EDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW 
SEVERE LIMITS. THUS THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. THE 
THUNDERSTORM WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE 
HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG AT...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. ONCE AGAIN
THAT NUMBER IS 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

LAT...LON 3771 7905 3770 7899 3768 7897 3758 7905
      3749 7934 3757 7944 3757 7943 3759 7945
      3765 7935 3772 7924 3775 7913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 324DEG 18KT 3758 7903 3755 7912
          3750 7924

$$

DS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
208 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST TODAY.
HOWEVER...WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE MOVING
INTO OUR AREA FROM THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING...
WHICH WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY...MORE SO ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1053 SM EDT TUESDAY...

LOCAL AND LARGE SCALE MODELS FOCUSING ON STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE BLUE THROUGH NW NC AND EXTREME SW VA THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASED
POPS IN THESE AREAS TO INDICATE BEST CHC FOR DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. ALSO...SOME DEVELOPMENT ALBEIT WEAK
ACROSS CENTRAL KY...MAY EJECT AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LATER TODAY
WHICH MAY BE THE CATALYST FOR DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE CWA. APPEARS
AS THOUGH A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TN RIVER VALLEY
TODAY...ANOTHER REASON FOR STORMS TO SPREAD ACROSS WEST VA AND
EVENTUALLY SW VA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ENOUGH INSTABILITY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SEVERE STORMS AGAIN. CONSIDERING CLOUD
FREE SKY AND WARM START THIS MORNING RAISED MAX TEMPS A FEW
DEGREES.

AS OF 740 AM EDT TUESDAY...

A FEW SHRA BEGINNING TO POP UP IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
GREENBRIER COUNTY WV AND NEARBY NICHOLAS COUNTY. THIS SHOULD BE THE
FAVORED AREA FOR INITIAL CONVECTION TODAY AS NEXT NW FLOW SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES FROM THE OH VALLEY...WITH ACTIVITY GRADUALLY
SPREADING/DEVELOPING SE INTO SW VA AROUND 18Z. INCREASED NEAR TERM
POPS 12Z-15Z TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS NEW DEVELOPMENT. TEMPS/DEWPOINTS
APPEAR ON TRACK...SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED THERE.
OTHERWISE...FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.

AS OF 345 AM EDT TUESDAY...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
ARE FALLING TO NEAR SATURATION...AND THAT LIGHT FOG IS FORMING
ACROSS AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL LAST NIGHT. HOWEVER...MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE IN ANY HURRY TO EXIT FROM THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR AREA...AND BELIEVE ANY DENSE FOG WHICH
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ISOLATED AT BEST...IF
AT ALL.

WILL BE LOOKING AT ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING MAINLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THANKS
TO INSTABILITY FROM A LEE SIDE TROUGH STRETCHING ALONG THE EAST
SIDE OF THE APPALACHIAN...WITH SUPPORT FROM A WEAKNESS IN THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVING IN FROM THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY.
BELIEVE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOP TODAY WILL BE
MORE OF THE PULSE VARIETY AS OPPOSED TO THE STRONG LINES OF STORMS
WE SAW OVER THE WEEKEND. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT A
FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS AS THE MAIN THREAT...ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. IN ANY EVENT...BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF THESE
STORMS SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET...ALTHOUGH WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IN A FEW STORMS LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
WEDNESDAY.

THE OTHER CONCERN FOR TODAY WILL BE HOW HIGH TEMPERATURES BECOME.
BELIEVE THERE IS STILL SUFFICIENT SOIL MOISTURE LEFT OVER FROM
SUNDAY NIGHTS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO HOLD HIGH TEMPERATURES A
DEGREE OR TWO BELOW MAV MODEL GUIDANCE FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM NEAR BLUEFIELD WEST VIRGINIA THROUGH DANVILLE VIRGINIA.
AS ALREADY MENTIONED...CLOUD COVER REMAINS THICK ACROSS THAT SAME
AREA THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH MODELS DO NOT APPEAR OPTIMISTIC THAT
THESE CLOUDS WILL LINGER MUCH PAST LATE MORNING. STUCK PRETTY
CLOSE TO MODEL GUIDANCE FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES FURTHER NORTH.

AS SUCH...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE PIEDMONTS WILL PUSH INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 90S DURING THE AFTERNOON...RAISING THE HEAT INDEX TO
NEAR 100 DEGREES FOR AN HOUR OR TWO ACROSS THE EASTERNMOST TIER OF
COUNTIES IN OUR FORECAST AREA. HOT...BUT NEITHER HOT ENOUGH OR FOR
LONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ISSUING A HEAT ADVISORY FOR TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT TUESDAY...

OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL CHANGE VERY LITTLE THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM...WITH STRONG UPPER RIDGE REAMPLIFYING ACROSS THE MIDWEST...BUT
MAINTAINING A SIGNIFICANT HOLD ON THE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHEAST U.S. MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
WILL BE CONTINUED THREAT OF CONVECTION FROM UNSTABLE NORTHWEST FLOW
AND EMBEDDED SHORT WAVES. MODELS IN GENERAL CONSENSUS OF A FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TRAVERSING THE AREA FROM NW-SE TUE
NIGHT/WED...BEFORE THE MIDWEST UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. OVERALL...THE PATTERN...AT LEAST
INITIALLY...BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE FOR MCS TYPE CONVECTION TO IMPACT
THE CWA...FAVORING MORE OF THE DIURNAL PULSE...MULTI-CELL CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY. THIS WILL BE THE RESULT OF MORE NORTHERN FLOW ALOFT...AND
THE BEST GRADIENT AND COLD POCKET ALOFT SHIFTING NE TOWARD NY/PA/NEW
ENGLAND. THIS CERTAINLY APPEARS TO BE THE CASE WED...WITH ANY
POTENTIAL MCS DISSIPATING ACROSS THE REGION EARLY WED IN THE EVENT
THAT SUCH OCCURS TUE NIGHT. WITH THE UPPER RIDGE THEN EXPANDING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION...500MB HEIGHTS RISING...500MB TEMPS
RISING FROM CURRENT -8C TO -10C READINGS TOWARD -5C...UPPER FLOW
BECOMING N-NE...CONDITIONS BECOME FAR LESS THAN IDEAL FOR CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY. IN ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL DRYING INDICATED FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC. THIS WILL LIMIT CONVECTIVE CHCS TO MAINLY DIURNAL
ISOLD-SCT ACTIVITY...FAVORING THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE BLUE RIDGE
AND ALLEGHANYS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR SW VA/NW NC.

TEMPS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WILL REMAIN HOT...ALBEIT NOT AT THE
RECORD LEVELS WE SAW IN RECENT DAYS. UNFORTUNATELY...850MB TEMPS
HOVER IN THE +20C TO +22C RANGE THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM OFFERING
ONLY MINOR COOLING FROM THE RECENT RECORD HIGH TEMPS. AT THIS
POINT...WED WOULD APPEAR TO BE THE COOLEST DAY WITHIN THE SHORT TERM
AS MORNING CONVECTIVE DEBRIS AND AFTERNOON SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY WILL
LIMIT HEATING. FOR THU-FRI...ADDITIONAL INSOLATION AND INCREASING
HEIGHTS/TEMPS ALOFT AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXPANDS EASTWARD FROM THE
MIDWEST WILL PUSH TEMPS TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AGAIN...WITH MID
TO UPPER 90S PIEDMONT AND MOSTLY 80S MOUNTAINS. TEMPS AT NIGHT WILL
REMAIN WARM/MUGGY AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS AS WELL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THERE IS HOPE IN THE LONG TERM PERIODS FOR A GRADUAL COOLING TREND
AS THE HUDSON BAY POLAR VORTEX AMPLIFIES IN RESPONSE TO A
RETROGRADING AND BUILDING WESTERN U.S. RIDGE. THIS WILL ALLOW A
WEST-EAST ORIENTED FRONT TO SAG SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION DURING
THE WEEKEND. THE BIG QUESTION...AS IS ALWAYS THE CASE AT THIS TIME
OF THE YEAR...IS HOW FAR SOUTH THIS FRONT WILL DRIFT BEFORE
STALLING. LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FRONT
MAKING INTO AT LEAST TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF OUR CWA BY
SAT/SUN...BUT BEYOND THAT DISAGREE ON THE AMOUNT OF SOUTHWARD
PROGRESS. THE GFS DEPICTS A STRONGER AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
BEHIND THE FRONT AND A STRONGER CENTRAL/WESTERN U.S. RIDGE...HENCE
STRONGER NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT HELPING TO PUSH THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SOUTHWARD INTO GA/SC. HOWEVER...THE
ECMWF BUILDS A BROAD UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE SE STATES DURING THIS
TIME FRAME AND STALLS THE FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR
CWA. THIS LEAVES THE DOOR OPEN FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS OUR NC COUNTIES. I TEND TO FAVOR THE ECMWF SOLUTION GIVEN THE
RECENT TRENDS WITH THE UPPER HIGH. IN ANY EVENT...ALL LONG RANGE
MODELS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER NW FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE REGION TOWARD THE LATER EXTENDED PERIODS...HENCE AN
INCREASED THREAT OF ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES AFFECTING THE
REGION. CONSIDERING ALL OF THESE FACTORS...WILL EXPECT INCREASED
CONVECTION FROM N-S SAT-SUN IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT...WITH THE
BETTER CONVECTIVE COVERAGE SHIFTING SOUTH INTO THE NC/SW-SC VA
COUNTIES SUN-MON. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED BY VERY WARM
TEMPS ALOFT...-4 TO -5C AT 500MB AND LESS FAVORABLE FLOW ALOFT...AT
LEAST INITIALLY.

TEMPS WILL MODERATE SOME THROUGH THE LONG RANGE PERIODS FROM
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND ASSOCIATED
CONVECTIVE CLOUD COVER. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TO DROP CLOSER TO NORMAL
VALUES...BUT OVERALL REMAIN 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
ENTIRE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 150 PM EDT TUESDAY...

STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE IN SOUTHERN VA
AND NW NC THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. EVENTUALLY CELLS MAY MERGE INTO
A BROKEN LINE AND SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE PIEDMONT AND SOUTHSIDE
VA. THIS WOULD MAKE CONVECTION MOST PROBABLE AT KDAN AND ALSO KLYH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE
WITH WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S ATTM. SMALLER CHANCES FOR
STORMS AT ALL OTHER TERMINALS...ALTHOUGH TEMPORARY IFR CONDS UNDER
THE STRONGEST STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ALTHOUGH CONDS THIS BAD
WERE NOT INCLUDED IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. CHANCES FOR A MORE
ORGANIZED GROUP OF STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT APPROACHING FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY HAS DECREASED...AS CORFIDI VECTORS DONT TARGET THE REGION.
ANY TERMINALS THAT DO GET PRECIP TONIGHT WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO
EXPERIENCE FOG TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY KLWB AS USUAL. WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF MORE WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES...STORMS MAY DEVELOP
IN THE SAME REGIONS ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF AN MCS
PROPAGATING THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A SIMILAR PATTERN IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING WITH DAYTIME HEATING...AND GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET AS HEATING ENDS. THE OTHER CONCERN WILL
BE PATCHES OF FOG DEVELOPING DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN THE RIVER VALLEYS OF THE MOUNTAINS AND
ACROSS AREAS WHICH RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE
PREVIOUS TWENTY FOUR HOUR PERIOD.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NF
NEAR TERM...KM/NF
SHORT TERM...RAB
LONG TERM...PW/RAB
AVIATION...KM/NF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
450 AM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

NCZ003>006-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-040900-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-
CHARLOTTE-
450 AM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001-002-018-019-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-WVZ042>045-040900-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-WILKES-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-
PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
450 AM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A FEW OF WHICH MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS...ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
306 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

VAZ034-031930-
BEDFORD VA-
306 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BEDFORD COUNTY...

AT 302 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
STEWARTSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. IF ON OR NEAR FAR NORTHWEST SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE...GET OUT OF
THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. SUDDEN WIND GUSTS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAPSIZE YOUR VESSEL.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR CHAMBLISSBURG AROUND 320 PM AND GOODVIEW
AROUND 325 PM.

LAT...LON 3731 7976 3722 7963 3716 7971 3719 7972
      3719 7975 3720 7978 3724 7979 3722 7981
      3725 7983

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
310 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

NCZ020-031945-
YADKIN NC-
310 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT YADKIN COUNTY...

AT 306 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF
BOONVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL STAY OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF YADKIN COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3623 8069 3625 8067 3625 8065 3626 8065
      3627 8064 3628 8062 3623 8051 3616 8057

DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
315 PM EDT TUE JUL 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     HAIL             5 WSW FRANCISCO         36.48N 80.45W
07/03/2012  E1.00 INCH       SURRY              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            NEAR HIGHWAY 89

&&

FISHER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
330 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

VAZ016-032000-
CARROLL VA-
330 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CARROLL COUNTY...

AT 327 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST
OF HILLSVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR LAUREL FORK AROUND 400 PM.

LAT...LON 3671 8048 3672 8070 3687 8070 3688 8061

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
334 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

VAZ034-032000-
BEDFORD VA-
334 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BEDFORD COUNTY...

AT 332 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF
MONETA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
IF ON OR NEAR NORTHWEST SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER
AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. SUDDEN WIND GUSTS MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO CAPSIZE YOUR VESSEL.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR MONETA AROUND 345 PM.

LAT...LON 3716 7951 3709 7961 3710 7964 3716 7968
      3715 7970 3716 7971 3719 7972 3719 7974
      3719 7975 3724 7970

DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
339 PM EDT TUE JUL 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NW BASSETT            36.81N 80.04W
07/03/2012                   FRANKLIN           VA   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            ONE TREE DOWN ALONG SALT HOUSE BRANCH ROAD NEAR THE LAKE

&&

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