Special Weather Statement, NWS Raleigh, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
300 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
EVENING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST TONIGHT... THEN STALL OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA ON SATURDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM FRIDAY...

A SHALLOW UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE NOTED AT 300MB AND ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY AND A PREFRONTAL TROUGH ARE TRIGGERING ISOLATED CONVECTION
OVER THE CENTRAL PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN THIS AFTERNOON....WHILE
SCATTERED CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPED OVER THE MOUNTAINS IS ROLLING
OFF INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT.  WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS GENERALLY
WEAK...OUTSIDE OF A SMALL AREA OF 25KT OF 0-6KM EFFECTIVE SHEAR
NORTH OF THE TRIANGLE...WEAK MIXING HAS ALLOWED DEWPOINTS TO LINGER
IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 AND MLCAPE VALUES HAVE RISEN TO OVER
2000 J/KG.  MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE RATHER WEAK BUT THE STRONG
INFLUENCE OF NEAR SURFACE BASED CAPE PUSHED -10 TO -30C CAPE UP TO
OVER 500 J/KG AND THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN SOME REPORTS OF 1-1.25
INCH HAIL WEST OF THE TRIAD.  IN ADDITION...STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND PW VALUES NEAR 1.5 INCHES WILL ALSO SUPPORT A THREAT OF
DOWNBURSTS.  MOST HI-RES MODELS HAVE SHOWN SOME RESEMBLANCE OF THE
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND SUGGEST CONVECTION WILL CARRY OVER THROUGH
THE PIEDMONT...WITH MORE ROBUST ACTIVITY NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER...
AND INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN THIS EVENING...COMING TO AN END BY 03Z.

TONIGHT...
THE COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST TODAY AND CURRENTLY JUST
WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD SINK SOUTH INTO THE PREFRONTAL TROUGH
AND REMNANT OUTFLOWS LATER TONIGHT.  SOME DRIER AIR IS FORECAST TO
FILTER INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT LATE TONIGHT...BUT FORECAST
DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE MID 60S.  PARTIAL PARTIAL CLEARING AND LIGHT
WINDS MAY LEAD TO SOME POCKETS OF FOG DEPENDING ON WHERE HEAVIER
RAIN FALLS THIS EVENING.   WE WILL LEAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE POP OVER
THE SOUTHEAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH.  LOWS
67-71.

SATURDAY...
AN UPPER TROUGH SWING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WILL HELP THE SURFACE
FRONT/TROUGH TOWARD THE NC/SC BORDER BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ALL
INDICATIONS ARE THAT IT WILL HAND UP OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
CWA.  WITH LITTLE AIRMASS CHANGE EXPECTED...STRONG HEATING AND
RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE OF STORMS
DURING THE AFTERNOON...MOSTLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TRIANGLE WHERE
THE FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL END UP.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR
MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO 25KT...BUT THE MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO
BE WEAKLY ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
DOWNBURSTS.   HIGHS 89-92 NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 230 PM FRIDAY...

FOR SATURDAY NIGHT: THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW
DROPPING INTO NRN WI IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
SATURDAY EVENING... HELPING THE WEAK (AND DISSIPATING) SURFACE FRONT
MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO CENTRAL NC. THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF DEPICT THIS FRONT
STRETCHING THROUGH NRN/WRN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NC BY SATURDAY
EVENING... WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY (MLCAPE OF 1200-2000 J/KG ON
THE GFS) LINGERING IN AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF RALEIGH... WHILE
INITIALLY FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 20-25 KTS DROPS TO 10-15 KTS
OVERNIGHT. EXPECTED SCATTERED STORMS ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1 TO
CONTINUE WELL INTO THE EVENING BEFORE DECREASING IN COVERAGE AS THEY
SLIDE TO THE FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW DRYING AIR ALOFT FROM THE NW SATURDAY NIGHT
SO DEEP CONVECTION SHOULD SLOWLY WANE... BUT WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS
AND POTENTIAL POOLING OF HIGH PW AIR IN THE SOUTHERN CWA MAY RESULT
IN PERSISTENT SLOW-MOVING SHOWERS/STORMS... AND THESE COULD MAINTAIN
SCATTERED COVERAGE THROUGH THE NIGHT IF THE NAM'S PROMINENT LOW
LEVEL THETA-E RIDGE NOSING NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL NC COMES
TO FRUITION. MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS LIKELY TO HOLD
OVERNIGHT IN THE SOUTHERN CWA GIVEN THE WARM TEMPS AT 950-925 MB...
AND WILL RETAIN ISOLATED POPS HERE THROUGH THE NIGHT. WE ARE LIKELY
TO SEE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDINESS... ROOTED IN UPSTREAM MCS
ACTIVITY OVER THE MIDWEST... MOVING OVER OUR REGION LATE. ONE
PARTICULAR MCV THAT THE MODELS INDICATE OVER ERN IA OR NW IL
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TOWARD THE VA/NW NC MOUNTAINS TOWARD
SUNDAY MORNING... WHICH COULD HAVE IMPLICATIONS ON SUNDAY'S
CONVECTION CHANCES. WARM LOWS OF 68-72.

FOR SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT: THE OLD SURFACE BOUNDARY APPEARS LIKELY TO
DISSIPATE WITH SSE OR SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS RESUMING OVER ALL OF
CENTRAL NC. AS THE AFOREMENTIONED MCV DROPS THROUGH THE CWA... IT
SHOULD MAKE THE MOST OF THE MARGINAL MOISTURE IN PLACE (PW VALUES
NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL) TO GENERATE AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. MODELS STILL SHOW A PROMINENT 850
MB THETA-E MAX STRETCHING FROM NRN AL ACROSS NRN GA INTO SW NC...
AND IT IS IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE
MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPS IN THE AFTERNOON ACCORDING
TO MODEL OUTPUT. MODELS VARY GREATLY ON DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH THE
NAM AND ECMWF MUCH MORE FAVORABLE THAN THE GFS... SO CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH ON HOW MUCH STORM COVERAGE THERE WILL BE... ESPECIALLY WITH
THE LACK OF A SURFACE FOCUS OTHER THAN A SEA BREEZE. WE MAY SEE THE
BEST COVERAGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST... WHERE THE GREATER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND BETTER INSTABILITY MAY CORRESPOND TO MCV PASSAGE AND
ITS FORCING FOR ASCENT... BUT HIGH SPREAD IN MODEL QPF OUTPUT AND
LOW SREF PROBABILITIES DO NOT FAVOR HAVING POPS HIGHER THAN A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR NOW. HIGHS 88-92 AND LOWS 69-72.

FOR MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT: THE LONGWAVE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID
LEVEL VORTEX OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA WILL DIG DEEPER OVER EASTERN NOAM
MONDAY... WITH ONE VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN PARTICULAR DROPPING THROUGH
THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND HELPING TO PUSH
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD WELL INTO CENTRAL NC MONDAY
AFTERNOON/NIGHT. WITH HIGHER PW VALUES POOLING AHEAD OF THE INCOMING
FRONT... AND INCREASED LIFT WITH AROUND 50 METER MID LEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS AND STRENGTHENING UPPER DIVERGENCE AS A 100 KT JET CORE OVER
ONTARIO AND MI NOSES TOWARD NC... EXPECT AT LEAST SCATTERED COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. HAVE RAISED POPS TO 30-40 PERCENT AREAWIDE.
WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXPECTED TO INCREASE ANEW TO 20-25 KTS AND
WITH STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND GOOD SURFACE HEATING EARLY
IN THE DAY... CONVECTION MAY BECOME ORGANIZED WITH GREATER
COVERAGE... AND WE COULD SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS. HIGHS 88-91. LOWS
64 (BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE NW CWA) TO 71. -GIH

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM FRIDAY...

EXPECT A GENERALLY DRY PERIOD WITH NEAR TO JUST BELOW NORMAL TEMPS
FOR THE MID TO LATE PART OF NEXT WEEK. AS THE MID LEVEL VORTEX SITS
AND SPINS OVER SW QUEBEC AND THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WITH DEEP
TROUGHING HOLDING ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD... THE COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SETTLE JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WITH A SEASONABLY COOL CANADIAN-SOURCE HIGH PRESSURE AREA
BUILDING IN FROM THE NW... WILL GO WITH DRY WEATHER. THICKNESSES OF
20-25 METERS BELOW NORMAL EQUATES TO HIGHS IN THE LOWER-MID 80S. THE
QUEBEC VORTEX IS EXPECTED TO LIFT SLOWLY TO THE NNE AND WEAKEN AS A
SECOND LOW PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA BY
THURSDAY... AND EXPECT A SLOW RISE IN HEIGHTS ALOFT WITH
INCREASINGLY ZONAL FLOW TO OUR NORTH AS THE PLAINS RIDGE WEAKENS A
BIT AND EXPANDS EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. WHILE THE
RECOVERING THICKNESSES AND REBOUNDING PW VALUES MAY YIELD A RETURN
TO TYPICAL SCATTERED LATE-DAY SHOWERS/STORMS BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY...
THE LACK OF A TRIGGER AND FOCUS FOR CONVECTION ALONG WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE RETURN OVERALL PRECLUDES ADDING ANYTHING GREATER THAN
ISOLATED POPS AT THIS TIME. EXPECT HIGHS TO RETURN TO THE UPPER 80S
BY FRIDAY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70. A SIDE NOTE... THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONTINUES TO MONITOR DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. IF THIS LOW STRENGTHENS FURTHER...
THE NHC EXPECTS IT TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY WEST THEN TAKE A MORE
NORTHWESTERLY TRACK INTO THE NORTHWEST GULF BY MID TO LATE NEXT
WEEK. THIS TRACK WOULD MEAN NO IMPACT FOR NC... BUT BASED ON THE
INHERENT UNCERTAINTY AT THIS RANGE... PEOPLE SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON
THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. -GIH

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 145 PM FRIDAY...

SCATTERED STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NC
AND SOUTHWEST VA AND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST INTO THE
PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON....AFFECTING KGSO/KINT BY 19Z AND KRDU BY
20-21Z.  MORE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM KFAY TO
KRWI THIS AFTERNOON...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE STORMS OVER
WESTERN NC MAY PUSH ALL THE WAY EAST INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN THIS
EVENING.  THUS...WHILE IMPACTS AT INDIVIDUAL TERMINALS ARE
UNCERTAIN...MOST TERMINALS ACROSS CENTRAL NC RUN A 30-40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF BEING IMPACTED BY A STORM.

COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING...BUT A
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL SLOWLY SINK THROUGH
CENTRAL NC OVERNIGHT...AND MAY BE THE CATALYST FOR A FEW SHOWERS OR
STORMS OVERNIGHT.  DEWPOINTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL DRAMATICALLY
BEHIND THE FRONT...AND DEPENDING ON WHERE STORMS OCCUR THIS
EVENING...ISOLATED POCKETS OF FOG MAY BE A PROBLEM.

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ONCE AGAIN ON SATURDAY...MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF KRDU AND AFTER 18Z.

OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINATE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS/STORMS AND EARLY
MORNING SUB-VFR VSBYS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...HARTFIELD
LONG TERM...HARTFIELD
AVIATION...SMITH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
348 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-232000-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
348 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON... MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...
WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
437 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NNW GREENSBORO        36.13N  79.85W
06/22/2012                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            GUILFORD CO 911 REPORTED FLOODING AT NEW GARDEN RD AND
            BATTLEGROUND AVE. A WATER RESCUE IS OCCURRING AT THIS
            LOCATION.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200350

TDH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
438 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCZ040-041-222145-
CHATHAM-WAKE-
438 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS WAKE AND CHATHAM COUNTIES
THROUGH 545 PM EDT...

AT 438 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
GOLDSTON...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PITTSBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PITTSBORO...BYNUM...
JORDAN LAKE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES US HIGHWAY 1 BETWEEN EXITS 79 AND 81... AND HIGHWAY
264 BETWEEN EXITS 378 AND 386.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 7892 3570 7886 3562 7909 3563 7914
      3559 7918 3555 7928 3555 7930 3553 7934
      3553 7955 3570 7955 3584 7928 3584 7924
      3586 7925 3586 7924
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 245DEG 10KT 3567 7929

GIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
439 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNW GREENSBORO        36.10N  79.84W
06/22/2012                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            GUILFORD CO 911 REPORTED FLOODING AT JOSEPH BRYAN BLVD
            AND N. HOLDEN RD. A WATER RESCUE AT THIS LOCATION IS
            OCCURRING.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200349

TDH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
440 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCZ026-027-041-222145-
FRANKLIN-NASH-WAKE-
440 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS NASH...WAKE AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT...

AT 440 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
ROLESVILLE...OR ABOUT 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOUISBURG...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE... WAKE FOREST...
FALLS LAKE... ROLESVILLE... PILOT... AND BUNN.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3582 7796 3578 7825 3581 7825 3581 7827
      3580 7828 3577 7835 3576 7842 3597 7855
      3615 7816
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 245DEG 10KT 3591 7840

GIH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
448 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCZ024-222145-
ORANGE-
448 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH 545
PM EDT...

AT 447 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
CARRBORO...OR ABOUT OVER CHAPEL HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS OVER 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM AS IT
MOVES NORTH OF CHAPEL HILL TOWARD DURHAM.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 50 MPH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 261 AND 270.

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. SHOULD THE
STORM ROTATION INCREASE AND THE STORM INTENSIFY A WARNING MAY NEED TO
BE ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3610 7898 3592 7901 3589 7911 3602 7916
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 234DEG 8KT 3597 7909

GIH