Severe Thunderstorm Warning 136, NWS Raleigh, NC

238 
WWUS52 KRAH 222333
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
733 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCC153-165-230015-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-120623T0015Z/
RICHMOND NC-SCOTLAND NC-
733 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR SCOTLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN RICHMOND COUNTIES...

AT 729 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAUREL
HILL...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAURINBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... CAMP MACKALL...EAST
LAURINBURG AND WAGRAM.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3480 7968 3485 7973 3494 7973 3502 7952
      3503 7945 3496 7936 3486 7934 3482 7935
      3477 7933 3463 7946 3463 7947
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 268DEG 16KT 3484 7957

$$

VINCENT

872 
WWUS52 KRAH 222352
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
752 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCC153-230002-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-120623T0015Z/
RICHMOND NC-
752 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN RICHMOND COUNTY 
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST INTO SCOTLAND 
COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WARNING FOR RICHMOND COUNTY HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3481 7969 3482 7962 3485 7963 3491 7956
      3493 7958 3499 7958 3502 7953 3503 7945
      3495 7936 3485 7934 3482 7935 3477 7933
      3463 7946 3463 7947
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 263DEG 17KT 3487 7949

$$

NCC165-230015-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-120623T0015Z/
SCOTLAND NC-
752 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR SCOTLAND COUNTY...

AT 748 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAUREL
HILL...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF LAURINBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... EAST LAURINBURG...CAMP
MACKALL AND WAGRAM.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3481 7969 3482 7962 3485 7963 3491 7956
      3493 7958 3499 7958 3502 7953 3503 7945
      3495 7936 3485 7934 3482 7935 3477 7933
      3463 7946 3463 7947
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 263DEG 17KT 3487 7949

$$

VINCENT

140 
WWUS52 KRAH 230014
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
814 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCC165-230015-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0136.000000T0000Z-120623T0015Z/
SCOTLAND NC-
814 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SCOTLAND COUNTY EXPIRES AT 815
PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED...AND SEVERE 
WEATHER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3481 7969 3482 7962 3485 7963 3491 7956
      3493 7958 3499 7958 3502 7953 3503 7945
      3495 7936 3485 7934 3482 7935 3477 7933
      3463 7946 3463 7947
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 263DEG 17KT 3488 7941

$$

VINCENT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
300 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA INTO THIS
EVENING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST TONIGHT... THEN STALL OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA ON SATURDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM FRIDAY...

A SHALLOW UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE NOTED AT 300MB AND ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY AND A PREFRONTAL TROUGH ARE TRIGGERING ISOLATED CONVECTION
OVER THE CENTRAL PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN THIS AFTERNOON....WHILE
SCATTERED CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPED OVER THE MOUNTAINS IS ROLLING
OFF INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT.  WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS GENERALLY
WEAK...OUTSIDE OF A SMALL AREA OF 25KT OF 0-6KM EFFECTIVE SHEAR
NORTH OF THE TRIANGLE...WEAK MIXING HAS ALLOWED DEWPOINTS TO LINGER
IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 AND MLCAPE VALUES HAVE RISEN TO OVER
2000 J/KG.  MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE RATHER WEAK BUT THE STRONG
INFLUENCE OF NEAR SURFACE BASED CAPE PUSHED -10 TO -30C CAPE UP TO
OVER 500 J/KG AND THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN SOME REPORTS OF 1-1.25
INCH HAIL WEST OF THE TRIAD.  IN ADDITION...STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND PW VALUES NEAR 1.5 INCHES WILL ALSO SUPPORT A THREAT OF
DOWNBURSTS.  MOST HI-RES MODELS HAVE SHOWN SOME RESEMBLANCE OF THE
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND SUGGEST CONVECTION WILL CARRY OVER THROUGH
THE PIEDMONT...WITH MORE ROBUST ACTIVITY NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER...
AND INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN THIS EVENING...COMING TO AN END BY 03Z.

TONIGHT...
THE COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST TODAY AND CURRENTLY JUST
WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD SINK SOUTH INTO THE PREFRONTAL TROUGH
AND REMNANT OUTFLOWS LATER TONIGHT.  SOME DRIER AIR IS FORECAST TO
FILTER INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT LATE TONIGHT...BUT FORECAST
DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE MID 60S.  PARTIAL PARTIAL CLEARING AND LIGHT
WINDS MAY LEAD TO SOME POCKETS OF FOG DEPENDING ON WHERE HEAVIER
RAIN FALLS THIS EVENING.   WE WILL LEAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE POP OVER
THE SOUTHEAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH.  LOWS
67-71.

SATURDAY...
AN UPPER TROUGH SWING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WILL HELP THE SURFACE
FRONT/TROUGH TOWARD THE NC/SC BORDER BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ALL
INDICATIONS ARE THAT IT WILL HAND UP OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
CWA.  WITH LITTLE AIRMASS CHANGE EXPECTED...STRONG HEATING AND
RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE OF STORMS
DURING THE AFTERNOON...MOSTLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TRIANGLE WHERE
THE FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL END UP.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR
MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO 25KT...BUT THE MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO
BE WEAKLY ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
DOWNBURSTS.   HIGHS 89-92 NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 230 PM FRIDAY...

FOR SATURDAY NIGHT: THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW
DROPPING INTO NRN WI IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
SATURDAY EVENING... HELPING THE WEAK (AND DISSIPATING) SURFACE FRONT
MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO CENTRAL NC. THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF DEPICT THIS FRONT
STRETCHING THROUGH NRN/WRN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NC BY SATURDAY
EVENING... WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY (MLCAPE OF 1200-2000 J/KG ON
THE GFS) LINGERING IN AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF RALEIGH... WHILE
INITIALLY FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 20-25 KTS DROPS TO 10-15 KTS
OVERNIGHT. EXPECTED SCATTERED STORMS ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1 TO
CONTINUE WELL INTO THE EVENING BEFORE DECREASING IN COVERAGE AS THEY
SLIDE TO THE FAR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW DRYING AIR ALOFT FROM THE NW SATURDAY NIGHT
SO DEEP CONVECTION SHOULD SLOWLY WANE... BUT WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS
AND POTENTIAL POOLING OF HIGH PW AIR IN THE SOUTHERN CWA MAY RESULT
IN PERSISTENT SLOW-MOVING SHOWERS/STORMS... AND THESE COULD MAINTAIN
SCATTERED COVERAGE THROUGH THE NIGHT IF THE NAM'S PROMINENT LOW
LEVEL THETA-E RIDGE NOSING NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL NC COMES
TO FRUITION. MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS LIKELY TO HOLD
OVERNIGHT IN THE SOUTHERN CWA GIVEN THE WARM TEMPS AT 950-925 MB...
AND WILL RETAIN ISOLATED POPS HERE THROUGH THE NIGHT. WE ARE LIKELY
TO SEE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDINESS... ROOTED IN UPSTREAM MCS
ACTIVITY OVER THE MIDWEST... MOVING OVER OUR REGION LATE. ONE
PARTICULAR MCV THAT THE MODELS INDICATE OVER ERN IA OR NW IL
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TOWARD THE VA/NW NC MOUNTAINS TOWARD
SUNDAY MORNING... WHICH COULD HAVE IMPLICATIONS ON SUNDAY'S
CONVECTION CHANCES. WARM LOWS OF 68-72.

FOR SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT: THE OLD SURFACE BOUNDARY APPEARS LIKELY TO
DISSIPATE WITH SSE OR SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS RESUMING OVER ALL OF
CENTRAL NC. AS THE AFOREMENTIONED MCV DROPS THROUGH THE CWA... IT
SHOULD MAKE THE MOST OF THE MARGINAL MOISTURE IN PLACE (PW VALUES
NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL) TO GENERATE AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. MODELS STILL SHOW A PROMINENT 850
MB THETA-E MAX STRETCHING FROM NRN AL ACROSS NRN GA INTO SW NC...
AND IT IS IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE
MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPS IN THE AFTERNOON ACCORDING
TO MODEL OUTPUT. MODELS VARY GREATLY ON DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH THE
NAM AND ECMWF MUCH MORE FAVORABLE THAN THE GFS... SO CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH ON HOW MUCH STORM COVERAGE THERE WILL BE... ESPECIALLY WITH
THE LACK OF A SURFACE FOCUS OTHER THAN A SEA BREEZE. WE MAY SEE THE
BEST COVERAGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST... WHERE THE GREATER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND BETTER INSTABILITY MAY CORRESPOND TO MCV PASSAGE AND
ITS FORCING FOR ASCENT... BUT HIGH SPREAD IN MODEL QPF OUTPUT AND
LOW SREF PROBABILITIES DO NOT FAVOR HAVING POPS HIGHER THAN A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR NOW. HIGHS 88-92 AND LOWS 69-72.

FOR MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT: THE LONGWAVE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID
LEVEL VORTEX OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA WILL DIG DEEPER OVER EASTERN NOAM
MONDAY... WITH ONE VORTICITY MAXIMUM IN PARTICULAR DROPPING THROUGH
THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND HELPING TO PUSH
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD WELL INTO CENTRAL NC MONDAY
AFTERNOON/NIGHT. WITH HIGHER PW VALUES POOLING AHEAD OF THE INCOMING
FRONT... AND INCREASED LIFT WITH AROUND 50 METER MID LEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS AND STRENGTHENING UPPER DIVERGENCE AS A 100 KT JET CORE OVER
ONTARIO AND MI NOSES TOWARD NC... EXPECT AT LEAST SCATTERED COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. HAVE RAISED POPS TO 30-40 PERCENT AREAWIDE.
WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXPECTED TO INCREASE ANEW TO 20-25 KTS AND
WITH STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND GOOD SURFACE HEATING EARLY
IN THE DAY... CONVECTION MAY BECOME ORGANIZED WITH GREATER
COVERAGE... AND WE COULD SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS. HIGHS 88-91. LOWS
64 (BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE NW CWA) TO 71. -GIH

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM FRIDAY...

EXPECT A GENERALLY DRY PERIOD WITH NEAR TO JUST BELOW NORMAL TEMPS
FOR THE MID TO LATE PART OF NEXT WEEK. AS THE MID LEVEL VORTEX SITS
AND SPINS OVER SW QUEBEC AND THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WITH DEEP
TROUGHING HOLDING ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD... THE COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SETTLE JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WITH A SEASONABLY COOL CANADIAN-SOURCE HIGH PRESSURE AREA
BUILDING IN FROM THE NW... WILL GO WITH DRY WEATHER. THICKNESSES OF
20-25 METERS BELOW NORMAL EQUATES TO HIGHS IN THE LOWER-MID 80S. THE
QUEBEC VORTEX IS EXPECTED TO LIFT SLOWLY TO THE NNE AND WEAKEN AS A
SECOND LOW PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA BY
THURSDAY... AND EXPECT A SLOW RISE IN HEIGHTS ALOFT WITH
INCREASINGLY ZONAL FLOW TO OUR NORTH AS THE PLAINS RIDGE WEAKENS A
BIT AND EXPANDS EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. WHILE THE
RECOVERING THICKNESSES AND REBOUNDING PW VALUES MAY YIELD A RETURN
TO TYPICAL SCATTERED LATE-DAY SHOWERS/STORMS BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY...
THE LACK OF A TRIGGER AND FOCUS FOR CONVECTION ALONG WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE RETURN OVERALL PRECLUDES ADDING ANYTHING GREATER THAN
ISOLATED POPS AT THIS TIME. EXPECT HIGHS TO RETURN TO THE UPPER 80S
BY FRIDAY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70. A SIDE NOTE... THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONTINUES TO MONITOR DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. IF THIS LOW STRENGTHENS FURTHER...
THE NHC EXPECTS IT TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY WEST THEN TAKE A MORE
NORTHWESTERLY TRACK INTO THE NORTHWEST GULF BY MID TO LATE NEXT
WEEK. THIS TRACK WOULD MEAN NO IMPACT FOR NC... BUT BASED ON THE
INHERENT UNCERTAINTY AT THIS RANGE... PEOPLE SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON
THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. -GIH

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 145 PM FRIDAY...

SCATTERED STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NC
AND SOUTHWEST VA AND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST INTO THE
PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON....AFFECTING KGSO/KINT BY 19Z AND KRDU BY
20-21Z.  MORE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM KFAY TO
KRWI THIS AFTERNOON...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE STORMS OVER
WESTERN NC MAY PUSH ALL THE WAY EAST INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN THIS
EVENING.  THUS...WHILE IMPACTS AT INDIVIDUAL TERMINALS ARE
UNCERTAIN...MOST TERMINALS ACROSS CENTRAL NC RUN A 30-40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF BEING IMPACTED BY A STORM.

COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING...BUT A
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL SLOWLY SINK THROUGH
CENTRAL NC OVERNIGHT...AND MAY BE THE CATALYST FOR A FEW SHOWERS OR
STORMS OVERNIGHT.  DEWPOINTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL DRAMATICALLY
BEHIND THE FRONT...AND DEPENDING ON WHERE STORMS OCCUR THIS
EVENING...ISOLATED POCKETS OF FOG MAY BE A PROBLEM.

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ONCE AGAIN ON SATURDAY...MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF KRDU AND AFTER 18Z.

OUTLOOK...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINATE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS/STORMS AND EARLY
MORNING SUB-VFR VSBYS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...HARTFIELD
LONG TERM...HARTFIELD
AVIATION...SMITH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
348 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-232000-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
348 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON... MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...
WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
618 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCZ010-011-222315-
HALIFAX-WARREN-
618 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS WARREN AND HALIFAX COUNTIES
THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

AT 617 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
ARCOLA...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WARRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH. OTHER STRONG STORMS ALSO EXTENDED FROM AFTON TO LAKE GASTON AND
ROANOKE RAPIDS.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE... ARCOLA... AIRLIE...
LITTLETON... AND WARRENTON.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 95 BETWEEN EXITS 160 AND 173.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 7788 3651 7781 3648 7776 3649 7764
      3645 7762 3641 7754 3637 7754 3635 7758
      3631 7757 3619 7796 3623 7813 3625 7814
      3628 7828 3638 7819 3653 7790
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 253DEG 13KT 3632 7804

GIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
619 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW ARCADIA            35.92N  80.34W
06/22/2012                   DAVIDSON           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            DAVIDSON CO 911 REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN NW DAVIDSON CO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200361

TDH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
621 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW ARCADIA            35.92N  80.34W
06/22/2012                   DAVIDSON           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            DAVIDSON CO 911 REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN NW DAVIDSON CO

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200361

TDH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
622 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE SANFORD           35.43N  79.16W
06/22/2012                   LEE                NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN ST. ANDREWS

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200362

14

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
638 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

NCZ077-222315-
HARNETT-
638 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN HARNETT
COUNTY THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

AT 636 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
TIMBERLAKE...OR ABOUT 11 MILES NORTH OF FORT BRAGG...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...TIMBERLAKE...
ERWIN...LILLINGTON...AND DUNN.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 7899 3543 7900 3545 7862 3540 7860
      3533 7853 3531 7854 3530 7858 3528 7858
      3525 7862 3527 7879 3525 7887 3523 7889
      3521 7897
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 268DEG 14KT 3529 7894

VINCENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
644 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     TSTM WND GST     FT BRAGG SIMMONS AAF    35.14N  78.93W
06/22/2012  M45 MPH          CUMBERLAND         NC   ASOS

            45 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED AT FORT BRAGG AT 624 PM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200363

VINCENT