Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1244 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. AN ATTACHED FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL AFFECT THE AREA
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE STALLED
FRONT AND MOVE BACK TOWARD THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING MORE
UNSETTLED WEATHER. TROPICAL SYSTEM LESLIE WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE
EAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A WEAK FRONT IS GRADUALLY PROGRESSING THROUGH OUR REGION THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH SOME SHWR/TSTORM ACTIVITY JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT
INTO CENTRAL NJ. SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS IN STORE FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS, BEFORE TAPERING OFF EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH THE
FRONT ALREADY THROUGH NORTHWEST NJ, THE POCONOS, AND THE LEHIGH
VALLEY, HOURLY TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO
REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS.

OTHERWISE, TODAY SHOULD BE OUR FINAL ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION
IN OUR REGION. A LOW LEVEL JET EXTENDED FROM THE CAROLINAS UP TO
NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING. THE FEATURE WILL LIFT SLOWLY TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY. AN AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW
LEVEL JET WILL REMAIN OVER OUR REGION EARLY TODAY, THEN IT SHOULD DRIFT
SLOWLY TO THE EAST.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER MAINE TODAY WILL PROGRESS TO THE
EAST, REACHING CANADA'S MARITIME PROVINCES LATE IN THE DAY. THE
LOW IS FORECAST TO PULL A WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO OUR
REGION FOR TODAY.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 2
INCHES IN MUCH OF OUR REGION FOR THIS MORNING, WITH A GRADUAL
DECREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. WITH ABUNDANT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE, MODERATE INSTABILITY, THE SURFACE BOUNDARY AND
WEAK IMPULSES TRAVELING IN THE MID LEVEL FLOW, WE HAVE THE
INGREDIENTS FOR SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

WE WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN PLACE FOR THE PHILADELPHIA
METROPOLITAN AREA WITH URBAN LOCATIONS REMAINING THE MOST
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING IN OUR CURRENT SITUATION. HOWEVER,
LOCALIZED FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE IN THE REMAINDER OF OUR
FORECAST AREA, AS WELL.

SOME BREAKS OF SUNSHINE TODAY SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RISE
INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 80S AT MOST LOCATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
AS THE AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE CONTINUES TO DRIFT TO OUR EAST
TONIGHT, THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL COME TO AN END. IMPULSES IN
THE MID LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO NUDGE THE MOISTURE AND THE
WEAKENING SURFACE FRONT OFF THE COAST. THE CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.

THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER AND
SLIGHTLY LESS HUMID THAT THE AIR AHEAD OF IT. AS A RESULT, IT
SHOULD BE ANOTHER MILD NIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE
60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND SLIGHT H5 RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL PROVIDE SOME DEGREE OF RELIEF FROM THE
RECENT SPELL OF HUMID/SHOWERY WEATHER. THE SFC FRONT WILL BE
STALLED SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. ITS NOT A STRONG
RIDGE ALOFT AND WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AT THE SFC...SOME AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS OR A TSTM MAY BE TRIGGERED. THE SLGT CHC
POPS WERE LEFT IN THE GRIDS FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES THU/FRI ABOVE
NORMAL.

AN UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPING TO THE WEST FRI WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND
COLLECT THE SFC FRONT STALLED TO THE SOUTH. THIS WILL PRODUCE
SHOWERS/TSTMS FOR SAT INTO SUN NIGHT. CHC POPS ARE IN THE GRIDS
FOR THESE PERIODS NOW. SOME HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THESE
PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

WE ARE EXPECTING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH
HEAVY RAIN TODAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WORKS ITS WAY SLOWLY
THROUGH OUR REGION FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. AS A RESULT,
CONDITIONS FOR AVIATION WILL AGAIN BE LESS THAN IDEAL. WE WILL
INDICATE PREVAILING VFR CEILING AND VISIBILITY VALUES. HOWEVER,
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DROP TO MVFR OR IFR AT TIMES NEAR AND IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A VERY GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT FROM THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO TAKE
PLACE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN TO PASS
OFF THE COAST LATE IN THE DAY.

CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE MAINLY VFR FOR THIS EVENING.
OVERNIGHT, LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN SOME LOW
CLOUDS AND PATCHY OF FOG.

OUTLOOK...
THU THROUGH FRI NIGHT...MOSTLY VFR BUT OVERNIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE.
SAT THROUGH SUN..VFR AT TIMES...BUT LOWER CONDITIONS IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS WITH MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE COASTAL
WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND
SPEEDS TODAY SHOULD BE MAINLY IN THE 10 TO 20 KNOT RANGE. SPEEDS
ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO AROUND 10 KNOTS FOR TONIGHT.

WAVE HEIGHTS ON OUR OCEAN WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 4
TO 7 FOOT RANGE WITH A LONG PERIOD SOUTHEASTERLY SWELL. THE SWELL
PERIOD THIS MORNING WAS AROUND 14 SECONDS. WE WILL CONTINUE THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ON OUR OCEAN WATERS. WAVE HEIGHTS ON DELAWARE
BAY SHOULD BE MOSTLY IN THE 1 TO 3 FOOT RANGE, POSSIBLY CLOSE TO 4
FEET NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE BAY.

OUTLOOK...
LONG PERIOD SWELLS TO SCA CRITERIA WILL LIKELY EXTEND INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK ON THE OCEAN. SUB-SCA CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON DEL BAY...WITH A FEW HIGHER SWELL WAVES NEAR THE MOUTH
OF THE BAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED FOR
TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR TWO MAY BE COMMON. THERE IS
THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. WITH HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING ECHOES,
SOME LOCATIONS COULD PICK UP 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT
AMOUNT OF TIME. WITH THE WET CONDITIONS OF THE PAST FEW DAYS,
LOCALIZED FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
WE HAVE CONTINUED WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR TODAY.
WAVES IN THE SURF ZONE SHOULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET WITH A 13 TO
14 SECOND SOUTHEASTERLY SWELL.

LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM DISTANT TROPICAL SYSTEM LESLIE ARE
FORECAST TO AFFECT THE COASTS OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY INTO AT
LEAST THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, A PROLONGED PERIOD
WITH A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS ANTICIPATED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ067>071.
NJ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NJZ014-
     024>026.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NJZ015>019.
DE...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR DEZ004.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...O'HARA
NEAR TERM...IOVINO/KLINE
SHORT TERM...IOVINO
LONG TERM...O'HARA
AVIATION...IOVINO/O'HARA
MARINE...IOVINO/O'HARA
HYDROLOGY...IOVINO
RIP CURRENTS...IOVINO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
420 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

DEZ002-003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-020>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-060830-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ015>019-PAZ067>071-060830-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-060830-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH AT
LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-060830-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
420 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1119 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     TORNADO          MOUNT EPHRAIM           39.88N  75.09W
09/04/2012                   CAMDEN             NJ   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            KINGS HIGHWAY AND JEFFERSON AVENUE. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
            AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE AND WIRES PULLED FROM HOMES.
            CONFIRMED EF-0 TORNADO WITH WINDS OF 70 MPH. PLEASE
            REFER TO PNS FOR MORE.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...EVENT...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200715

DRAG/GAINES/MIKETTA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1142 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MONTAGUE                41.30N  74.78W
09/05/2012                   SUSSEX             NJ   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            SEVERAL ROADS WERE FLOODED OVERNIGHT

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200718

GAINES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1151 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     PENN PLACE              39.74N  74.47W
09/04/2012                   BURLINGTON         NJ   PUBLIC

            YOUTUBE VIDEO OF FUNNEL CLOUD ON OSWEGO LAKE

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200719

GAINES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1241 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

NJZ019-051730-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
1241 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BURLINGTON COUNTY...

AT 1238 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAMDEN...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 1250 PM...
JACKSONVILLE AROUND 1255 PM...JOBSTOWN...COLUMBUS...PEMBERTON AROUND
100 PM...PEMBERTON HEIGHTS AROUND 105 PM...WRIGHTSTOWN...GEORGETOWN
AROUND 110 PM...MCGUIRE AFB AND FORT DIX AROUND 115 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO NOT SEEK
SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A
THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3992 7451 3992 7452 3991 7457 3997 7496
      4007 7494 4008 7487 4011 7483 4014 7459
      4005 7453 3992 7447

FORECASTER: GORSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
115 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

NJZ013-014-020-026-051800-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
115 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MONMOUTH AND OCEAN
COUNTIES...

AT 111 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN A LINE OF HEAVY
SHOWERS...EXTENDING FROM LONG BRANCH TO 3 MILES WEST OF LONG BRANCH
TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF ASBURY PARK TO 15 MILES WEST OF ASBURY
PARK...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
NEAR HOWELL...FREEWOOD ACRES...COLLINGWOOD PARK...FARMINGDALE AROUND
120 PM...ELBERON...OAKHURST AROUND 125 PM...WANAMASSA...DEAL AROUND
130 PM...LOCH ARBOUR AND INTERLAKEN AROUND 135 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH A COUPLE OF
THESE STORMS. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4035 7396 4029 7397 4012 7402 4003 7404
      4001 7408 4016 7434 4031 7407 4041 7398
      4040 7396 4036 7396

FORECASTER:DRAG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
150 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

NJZ014-019-020-026-051830-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
OCEAN NJ-
150 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BURLINGTON...MONMOUTH AND OCEAN
COUNTIES...

AT 146 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST
OF TOMS RIVER TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF TOMS RIVER TO 7 MILES WEST OF
TOMS RIVER TO 9 MILES WEST OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR LAKEWOOD...SILVER RIDGE...PLEASANT PLAINS
AROUND 155 PM...LEISURE VILLAGE...HOLIDAY HEIGHTS...HOLIDAY
CITY-DOVER...HOLIDAY CITY SOUTH AROUND 200 PM...SOUTH TOMS RIVER...
SILVERTON AND LEISURE VILLAGE EAST AROUND 205 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

OTHER THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP BEHIND THIS INITIAL BURST OF STORMS
APPROACHING THE NEW JERSEY COAST.

LAT...LON 3988 7408 3988 7410 3992 7410 3988 7413
      3995 7462 3999 7458 4003 7448 4014 7437
      4014 7424 4011 7423 4011 7420 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4014 7402

FORECASTER: DRAG