Alert archive / New Jersey / Special Marine Warnings in 2012

Special Marine Warning 99, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

August 6, 2012

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this special marine warning at Aug 6, 2012, 1:36 AM EDT. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 6, 2012, 1:36 AM EDT (05:36 UTC)
Expired
Aug 6, 2012, 2:30 AM EDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2012-08-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1710 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2012-08-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 79 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1710 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
748 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

299 
WHUS51 KPHI 060536
SMWPHI
ANZ450>452-470-060630-
/O.NEW.KPHI.MA.W.0099.120806T0536Z-120806T0630Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
136 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
  THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN SANDY HOOK AND GREAT EGG INLET
  NJ OUT TO 20 NM...
  THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN SANDY HOOK NJ AND FENWICK
  ISLAND DE OUT 20 TO 40 NM...

  INCLUDING ATLANTIC CITY REEF...AXEL CARLSON REEF...BARNEGAT
  LIGHT...BARNEGAT LIGHT REEF...BEACH HAVEN...BRIGANTINE...FORKED
  RIVER...GARDEN STATE NORTH REEF...GARDEN STATE SOUTH REEF...GREAT
  EGG INLET...GREAT EGG REEF...HARVEY CEDARS...LAVALLETTE...LITTLE
  EGG INLET...LITTLE EGG REEF...MANASQUAN INLET...NORTH BEACH
  HAVEN...OCEAN GATE...SEA GIRT REEF...SEASIDE PARK...SHARK RIVER
  REEF AND SHIP BOTTOM...

* UNTIL 230 AM EDT

* AT 135 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER
  FROM AXEL CARLSON REEF TO 12 NM WEST OF GREAT EGG INLET...OR FROM
  AXEL CARLSON REEF TO 9 NM WEST OF BUOY GE...MOVING EAST AT 25
  KNOTS.

* THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
  OVER GARDEN STATE NORTH REEF BY 150 AM EDT
  OVER LITTLE EGG REEF...GARDEN STATE SOUTH REEF...GARDEN STATE NORTH
  REEF AND BRIGANTINE BY 155 AM EDT
  OVER GREAT EGG INLET AND 3 NM SOUTH OF SHARK RIVER REEF BY 205 AM
  EDT
  OVER GREAT EGG REEF BY 225 AM EDT
  2 NM NORTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY REEF BY 230 AM EDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 3964 7343 3944 7371 3924 7417 3925 7472
      3930 7480 3931 7466 3938 7472 3931 7464
      3936 7457 3931 7462 3931 7460 3945 7440
      3954 7442 3952 7448 3953 7446 3954 7431
      4016 7401 4015 7355 3984 7332
TIME...MOT...LOC 0536Z 272DEG 26KT 4008 7395 3966 7416
          3946 7444 3930 7480

$$

HAYES
2 follow-up statements
695 
FZUS71 KPHI 060559
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
159 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

ANZ450>452-470-060630-
/O.CON.KPHI.MA.W.0099.000000T0000Z-120806T0630Z/
159 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM EDT...

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...
SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...

INCLUDING ATLANTIC CITY REEF...AXEL CARLSON REEF...BARNEGAT LIGHT...
BARNEGAT LIGHT REEF...BEACH HAVEN...BRIGANTINE...FORKED RIVER...
GARDEN STATE NORTH REEF...GARDEN STATE SOUTH REEF...GREAT EGG
INLET...GREAT EGG REEF...HARVEY CEDARS...LAVALLETTE...LITTLE EGG
INLET...LITTLE EGG REEF...MANASQUAN INLET...NORTH BEACH HAVEN...SEA
GIRT REEF...SEASIDE PARK...SHARK RIVER REEF AND SHIP BOTTOM...

AT 156 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR
GREATER FROM SHARK RIVER REEF TO GREAT EGG INLET...OR FROM 4 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SHARK RIVER REEF TO BUOY GE...MOVING EAST AT 25 KNOTS.

THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
  OVER GREAT EGG INLET BY 205 AM EDT...
  OVER GREAT EGG REEF BY 225 AM EDT...
  OVER ATLANTIC CITY REEF BY 230 AM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 3964 7343 3944 7371 3924 7417 3925 7472
      3930 7480 3931 7466 3938 7472 3931 7464
      3936 7457 3931 7462 3931 7460 3945 7440
      3954 7442 3952 7448 3953 7446 3954 7431
      4016 7401 4015 7355 3984 7332
TIME...MOT...LOC 0559Z 272DEG 26KT 4007 7373 3965 7394
          3945 7423 3930 7459

$$

HAYES
945 
FZUS71 KPHI 060626
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
226 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

ANZ450>452-470-060636-
/O.EXP.KPHI.MA.W.0099.000000T0000Z-120806T0630Z/
226 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 230 AM EDT...

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE...
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...
SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...

INCLUDING ATLANTIC CITY REEF...AXEL CARLSON REEF...BARNEGAT LIGHT...
BARNEGAT LIGHT REEF...BEACH HAVEN...BRIGANTINE...FORKED RIVER...
GARDEN STATE NORTH REEF...GARDEN STATE SOUTH REEF...GREAT EGG
INLET...GREAT EGG REEF...HARVEY CEDARS...LAVALLETTE...LITTLE EGG
INLET...LITTLE EGG REEF...MANASQUAN INLET...NORTH BEACH HAVEN...SEA
GIRT REEF...SEASIDE PARK...SHARK RIVER REEF AND SHIP BOTTOM...

LAT...LON 3964 7343 3944 7371 3924 7417 3925 7472
      3930 7480 3931 7466 3938 7472 3931 7464
      3936 7457 3931 7462 3931 7460 3945 7440
      3954 7442 3952 7448 3953 7446 3954 7431
      4016 7401 4015 7355 3984 7332
TIME...MOT...LOC 0626Z 272DEG 26KT 4006 7347 3964 7369
          3944 7398 3929 7434

$$

HAYES

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special marine warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special marine warning went out at Aug 5, 8:15 PM EDT, 5 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 5, 8:15 PM EDT, 5 hours 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
815 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT FROM TORONTO TO NEAR CLEVELAND WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD STALL
JUST SOUTH OF OUR AREA TUESDAY. THEREAFTER...THE FRONT WILL DRIFT
NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE IN
THE OHIO VALLEY SLOWLY STRENGTHENS TOWARD THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.
THAT LOW SHOULD MOVE INTO NEW YORK STATE AND THEN QUEBEC NEXT
WEEKEND...PULLING ITS STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT EASTWARD THROUGH
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES SOMETIME FRIDAY NIGHT OR THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE LAST OF THE WATCHES HAVE BEEN DROPPED AS THE LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ROLL OFFSHORE. WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME THUNDER IN
THE WAKE OF THE FIRST WAVE OF THUNDERSTORMS...ADDITIONAL SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

THE POPS DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE NIGHT,
AND SOME ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE NEEDED FOLLOWING WHAT
OCCURS AFTER THIS SQUALL LINE.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES, WE GENERALLY TOOK AN EVEN BLEND OF THE GFS/NAM
MOS WITH SOME TWEAKS THEN MADE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
THE POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM THE NEAR TERM IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO OUR NORTH. THIS WILL FAVOR MORE OF GENERAL
TROUGH TO EVEN ZONAL FLOW OCCURRING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE
NORTHEAST. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT LOOKS TO BE LEFT BEHIND
THEREFORE IT SHOULD EVENTUALLY STALL. IT DOES APPEAR THAT IT
EVENTUALLY CLEARS MOST OF OUR AREA, WITH PERHAPS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES
HANGING ON TO THE PRE-FRONTAL AIRMASS LONGER. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
SOME CONVECTION HANGING ON FOR A TIME, AND THEREFORE SLIGHT CHC TO
CHC POPS WERE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE SOUTH FOR A TIME.

ELSEWHERE, DRIER AIR IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY ARRIVE FROM THE NORTH
AS THE FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE GFS IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE PUSH OF DRIER AIR, THEREFORE WE
MOSTLY TOOK A MODEL BLEND REGARDING DEW POINTS. THERE MAY BE SOME
CLOUD COVER HANGING ON FOR AWHILE AS THE DRIER AND COOLER AIR TRIES
TO ADVECT SOUTHWARD AND REPLACE A RATHER WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS. IN
ADDITION DEPENDING ON HOW ANY CONVECTION THAT LINGERS BEHAVES, THERE
COULD BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUD DEBRIS LEFTOVER FOR THE MORNING
HOURS.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES, WE MAINLY SIDED WITH A MOS BLEND TO TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES WITH THE SOUTHERN PUSH OF THE DRIER
AIR.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
OVERALL PATTERN AT 500 MB: POSITIVE TILT TROUGHING GRADUALLY EVOLVES
AND AMPLIFIES WITH TIME DURING THIS PERIOD...FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. SO DESPITE THE BRIEF RESPITE IN HEAT AND
HUMIDITY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...SUMMER RETURNS IN ITS FAMILIAR
REFRAIN OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY FROM WEDNESDAY POSSIBLY INTO THE START
OF THE WEEKEND. THERE WILL PROBABLY BE SEVERAL EPISODES OF STRONG
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

TEMPS: DAILY CALENDAR DAY AVG TEMPS SHOULD BE ABOVE NORMAL EACH DAY...
UNTIL SUNDAY WHEN IT COOLS TO NEAR NORMAL. TEMPS COULD BE 5 OR 6
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR A
BELOW NORMAL DAY IN THIS LONG RANGE FORECAST PERIOD IS TUESDAY AND
MAYBE SUNDAY.

12Z GFS/GGEM WERE GIVEN LESS WEIGHT THAN THE 12Z ECMWF/UKMET IN
THE OVERALL FCST.

I THINK WED-SAT WILL BE AN ACTIVE PERIOD...HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN
THE FCST IS THU/FRI.

HAZARDS:

WED-SAT...NARROW SWATHS OF AFTN/EVE SVR - FF PROBABLE AND SEEMS TO
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...MOSTLY IN E PA AND NNJ WHERE FFG IS LOWER
AND THEREFORE MORE VULNERABLE. THIS MORNING THE 1 HR GRIDDED FFG
IS ABOUT 1.8 INCHES UP THERE AND THE 6 HR 2.5. WEDNESDAY IS THE
LOW CONFIDENCE DAY FOR ANY TSTMS.

TT WED AND THU AFTN WILL BE NEAR 49-50 WITH DAILY SWI NEAR -3 AND
KI IN THE LOW-MID 30S. LOW SHEAR DAYS ARE MODELED WED/THU WITH
STRONGER SVR CRITERIA SHEAR OF 35-45 KTS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WHEN THERE SEEMS TO BE BEST CHC OF A WIDESPREAD OUTBREAK. IF THE
12Z ECMWF SOLN IS CORRECT...THE RISK FOR SATURDAY IN THIS AFD IS
OVERSTATED.

SUNDAY...QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY. I MAY HAVE FCST TOO MUCH
SUNSHINE IN THE FCST OR TOO MUCH CHC OF THUNDER.

HEAT INDEX MAY BE IN THE UPPER 90S THU AND POSSIBLY AGAIN FRI?
BELOW ADVY CRITERIA ATTM.

THIS FORECAST FROM 00Z TUE-00Z THU IS 12Z/5 NCEP MOS GUIDANCE BLENDED
WITH THE 4AM KPHI FCST AND THEN AFTER 00Z THU...IS BASED ON THE
14Z HPCGUIDE BLENDED WITH A BIT OF 12Z GFS MEX GUIDANCE, AND MODIFIED
WITH CHECKS OF THE 00Z-12Z/5 ECMWF 2M AND 850 TEMPS AS WELL AS
SWI/TT/KI FIELDS.

THE DAILIES BELOW...

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...AFTER A RELATIVELY WONDERFUL MONDAY
NIGHT OF SLEEPING CONDITIONS WITH LOWER DEWPOINTS...A VERY FINE
TUESDAY AFTN IS FORESEEN...STILL WITH LOW DEWPOINTS! JUST ABOUT
EVERYONE SHOULD LOVE THIS WEATHER!!! LIGHT WIND.

WED-THU...AFTN/EVENING CONVECTION...MAINLY I95 NWWD. COULD BE
STARTING ANOTHER HEATWAVE ON WED WHEN 90-93F SEEMS PROBABLE...WITH
THE PRIMARY QUESTION...DOES IT CONTINUE THE REQUIRED 3RD DAY-FRIDAY?
TEMPS SHOULD MAKE IT INTO THE LOWER 90S WITH 16-17C AT 850MB.
MAINLY S WIND UNDER 15 KTS. PWAT UNDER 1.5 INCHES TO BEGIN ON
WEDNESDAY PROBABLY INCREASES TO NEAR 1.8 INCHES LATE THU. ML CAPE
1000J ON WED GROWS TO 1600J THU. 0-6KM SHEAR NEAR 30 KT LATE THU?

FRI/SAT...LOW PRESSURE EVOLVES OVER NYS IN RESPONSE TO MODELED
SUBSTANTIAL SUMMER TROUGHING OVER THE E GREAT LAKES. LOOKS VERY
UNSTABLE AT TIMES WITH INCREASING SHEAR ALOFT FAVORING ORGANIZED
TSTM PRODUCTION EA AFTN. IF THE SHOWERS HOLD OFF TIL 2PM ISH...THE
17C TEMPS AT 850 MB WILL SUPPORT 90-95F...SIMILAR TO TODAY-SUNDAY
THE 5TH. SSW WIND G 15-20 KTS. PWAT NEAR 1.8 FRIDAY EASES TO 1.5
INCHES SAT. ML CAPE 1000-1500J. 0-6KM SHEAR 35-45 KT FRI-SAT.

SUNDAY...QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY.  COOLER WITH STILL A GOOD
CHANCE OF A HEAVY LATE DAY SHOWER OR TSTM...MAINLY OVER E PA NW NJ
IN ASSN WITH TROUGHING ALOFT.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THE GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS
EVENING AS THE VERTICAL MIXING WANES, THEN AS A COLD FRONT
GRADUALLY MOVES ACROSS A SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. THIS IS MOVING EASTWARD AROUND 30 KNOTS AND HAS GENERALLY
CLEARED KRDG AND WILL DO SO SHORTLY AT KABE. THE TAFS WERE AMENDED
TO SPEED OF THE ARRIVAL TIME. A VFR FORECAST WAS MAINTAINED
THROUGH TONIGHT, HOWEVER WE CARRIED A TEMPO GROUP WITH SUB-VFR AND
STRONGER WINDS DURING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE NIGHT
PROGRESSES, THE THUNDER SHOULD BECOME MORE LIMITED THEREFORE JUST
CARRIED A SHOWER MENTION OVERNIGHT. THERE IS LOWER CONFIDENCE
REGARDING THE AREAL COVERAGE OF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDER
AFTER THIS LINE CLEARS THE REGION.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD SLOW SOME AS IT MOVES SOUTH AND EAST MONDAY,
THEREFORE A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDER MAY LINGER THROUGH MIDDAY MAINLY
FROM THE KPHL METRO AREA ON SOUTHWARD. OVERALL, AN IMPROVING DAY IS
ANTICIPATED AS CLOUDS ERODE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. AS A RESULT, WE
SHIFTED THE WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST AND SCATTERED OUT THE CLOUDS
DURING THE MORNING. THE WINDS ON MONDAY SHOULD BE UP TO ABOUT 10
KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...VFR. PATCHY MVFR FOG IS POSSIBLE /LOW PROB/ AT
KMIV AND KRDG VERY LATE. LIGHT WIND.

TUESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT WIND.  ISOLATED SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A KBWI-KGED LINE. LIGHT WIND.

TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR. MVFR (AND POSSIBLY IFR) CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE LATE IN THE COUNTRYSIDE. LIGHT WIND.

WEDNESDAY...VFR EXCEPT LOW PROB MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
EARLY MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON OVER E PA. S-SW WIND G UNDER 15 KTS.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY...VFR...EXCEPT MVFR CONDS IN FOG/ST IN THE MORNING AND
AGAIN LATE AT NIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOONS...ESPECIALLY N AND W OF KPHL. S-SW WIND G 15 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...
A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN GUSTY FOR AWHILE TONIGHT AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. THERE IS NEARLY 30 KNOTS ABOVE THE SURFACE AND WITH
DECENT MIXING, THIS HAS RESULTED IN GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS
ESPECIALLY NEARSHORE. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL ENOUGH COOLING IN
THE BOUNDARY LAYER OCCURS TO ALLOW THE MIXING TO WANE. BASED ON THE
FORECAST SOUNDINGS, WE WILL KEEP THE SMALL CRAFT IN EFFECT, HOWEVER
OVER THE BAY IT MAY BE ABLE TO BE SHAVED BACK AS THE WINDS DIMINISH
ENOUGH LATER TONIGHT. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THE
SEAS ESPECIALLY ON THE OCEAN TO ABOUT 5 FEET. FOR MONDAY, THE COLD
FRONT SHOULD BE SETTLING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA WITH A WIND
SHIFT OCCURRING MORE TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL ALLOW THE WINDS
TO FURTHER DIMINISH SOME. THE WIND TURNING OFFSHORE WILL ALLOW THE
SEAS TO SUBSIDE, THEREFORE WE WILL HOLD THE SMALL CRAFT AFTERNOON
IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
MON NIGHT-THURSDAY...NO SCA ANTICIPATED.

FRIDAY...NO SCA FCST BUT STAY TUNED TO MODEL DEVELOPMENTS REGARDING
EVOLVING LOW PRES AND FRONTOGENESIS WITH THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS THE HEAVIEST RAIN
MOVES EAST OF AREA.

MID AND LATE WEEK...SMALL SWATHS OF FF URBAN/SMALL STREAM PRODUCING
TSTMS POSSIBLE BUT WHERE. THAT OPPORTUNITY SHIFTS DAILY BUT MOST
FAVORED SEEMS TO BE E PA AND NNJ.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

CURRENTLY OUTLOOKING LOW ENHANCED RISK FOR MONDAY BASED ON
RESIDUALS FROM TODAY. LOW RISK OUTLOOKED FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
JULY WAS A TOP 5 WARMEST JULY IN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA.

PHL  81.8 WAS 3RD WARMEST EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TOP 4 WARMEST WHICH
HAVE ALL OCCURRED SINCE 1994!

2011 82.4
1994 82.1
2012 81.8
2010 81.7

ILG 80.3 WAS ALSO 3RD WARMEST
1955 81.2
2011 80.8
2012 80.3
1894 80.1

ABE 6TH WARMEST AT 77.5
1955 79.0
1949 78.3
2011 AND 1995 78.0
1988 77.9
1994 77.6
2012 77.5

ACY WAS 5TH WARMEST AT 78.5
2011 81.0
2010 79.8
1983 78.7
1999 78.6
2012 78.5

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY FOR ANZ450>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR ANZ430-431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG
NEAR TERM...GORSE
SHORT TERM...GORSE
LONG TERM...DRAG
AVIATION...DRAG/GORSE
MARINE...DRAG/GORSE
HYDROLOGY...HAYES
RIP CURRENTS...DRAG
CLIMATE...DRAG
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 5, 8:12 PM EDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
812 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

DEZ002-003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-016-020>023-
027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070015-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-
OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
812 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF WEDNESDAY... AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-070015-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
812 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OF WEDNESDAY... AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-070015-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
812 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
EARLY MONDAY...MAINLY IN DELAWARE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-070015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
812 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 5, 11:18 PM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1118 PM EDT SUN AUG 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEATHERLY               40.94N  75.82W
08/05/2012                   CARBON             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES ON WIRES IN WEATHERLY BOROUGH.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PACKER TWP              40.90N  75.89W
08/05/2012                   CARBON             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES ON WIRES IN PACKER TWP.

0459 PM     TSTM WND GST     READING AIRPORT         40.38N  75.97W
08/05/2012  M51 MPH          BERKS              PA   ASOS

            51 MPH WIND GUST AT READING AIRPORT.

0504 PM     LIGHTNING        LONG POND               41.05N  75.46W
08/05/2012                   MONROE             PA   NEWSPAPER

            *** 10 INJ *** TEN PEOPLE INJURED BY LIGHTNING STRIKES
            AT POCONO RACEWAY IN LONG POND. TWO INJURIES WERE
            SEVERE... TWO INJURIES WERE MODERATE... AND SIX INJURIES
            WERE MINOR.

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLEETWOOD               40.46N  75.82W
08/05/2012                   BERKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES... WIRES... AND POLES DOWN IN FLEETWOOD.

0513 PM     TSTM WND DMG     READING                 40.33N  75.93W
08/05/2012                   BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN IN READING.

0519 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LONGSWAMP TWP           40.49N  75.67W
08/05/2012                   BERKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS ABOUT 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWN IN
            LONGSWAMP TWP.

0543 PM     TSTM WND GST     PORT DEPOSIT            39.60N  76.12W
08/05/2012  E65 MPH          CECIL              MD   PUBLIC

0551 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRATERFORD              40.23N  75.45W
08/05/2012                   MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN... RANGING FROM 4 TO 8 FEET IN
            LENGTH.

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ANDOVER                 40.99N  74.74W
08/05/2012                   SUSSEX             NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN ANDOVER.

0604 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHESTERTOWN             39.22N  76.07W
08/05/2012                   KENT               MD   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES DOWN FROM CHESTERTOWN TO
            FAIRLEE.

0608 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELKTON                  39.60N  75.82W
08/05/2012                   CECIL              MD   911 CALL CENTER

            SCATTERED TREES DOWN AND WIRES BENT ACROSS THE
            NORTHEAST PORTION OF CECIL COUNTY.

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VERNON                  41.20N  74.48W
08/05/2012                   SUSSEX             NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ONTO WIRES IN VERNON.

0646 PM     HAIL             FEASTERVILLE            40.14N  75.01W
08/05/2012  E0.50 INCH       BUCKS              PA   PUBLIC

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUNELLEN                40.59N  74.46W
08/05/2012                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN IN DUNELLEN.

0800 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LONG BRANCH             40.30N  73.99W
08/05/2012                   MONMOUTH           NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIRES DOWN IN LONG BRANCH.

0805 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND BRICK TWP               40.07N  74.12W
08/05/2012  M47 MPH          OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

1010 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MANSFIELD               40.09N  74.71W
08/05/2012                   BURLINGTON         NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN.

1020 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHESTERFIELD            40.12N  74.64W
08/05/2012                   BURLINGTON         NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN

1047 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ENGLISHTOWN             40.30N  74.36W
08/05/2012                   MONMOUTH           NJ   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMB BROKEN

1100 PM     TSTM WND GST     SANDY HOOK              40.44N  73.99W
08/05/2012  M70 MPH          MONMOUTH           NJ   WEATHER FLOW

1100 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND SANDY HOOK              40.44N  73.99W
08/05/2012  M70 MPH          MONMOUTH           NJ   WEATHER FLOW

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200620 PHI1200621 PHI1200619 PHI1200633 PHI1200622
PHI1200623 PHI1200626 PHI1200625 PHI1200624 PHI1200629 PHI1200628
PHI1200627 PHI1200630 PHI1200632 PHI1200631 PHI1200635 PHI1200634
PHI1200636 PHI1200637 PHI1200638 PHI1200639 PHI1200640

HAYES
Special weather statement, Aug 5, 11:42 PM EDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1142 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-NJZ016-017-021-PAZ067-070-060445-
CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-KENT DE-
KENT MD-NEW CASTLE DE-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-SALEM NJ-
1142 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CECIL...
CHESTER...CUMBERLAND...DELAWARE...GLOUCESTER...KENT...NEW
CASTLE...QUEEN ANNE'S AND SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 1139 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF MIDDLETOWN...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR PORT PENN...
SAINT GEORGES AROUND MIDNIGHT...SALEM...HANCOCKS BRIDGE AROUND 1215
AM...ALLOWAY...QUINTON AROUND 1230 AM...ELMER AND OLIVET AROUND 1245
AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3995 7525 3988 7526 3987 7520 3942 7499
      3933 7536 3943 7547 3946 7555 3950 7556
      3946 7558 3931 7544 3915 7606 3937 7613
      3938 7606 3942 7601 3952 7599 3954 7607
      3958 7608 3971 7622

HAYES
Local storm report, Aug 5, 11:57 PM EDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1157 PM EDT SUN AUG 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEATHERLY               40.94N  75.82W
08/05/2012                   CARBON             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES ON WIRES IN WEATHERLY BOROUGH.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PACKER TWP              40.90N  75.89W
08/05/2012                   CARBON             PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES ON WIRES IN PACKER TWP.

0459 PM     TSTM WND GST     READING AIRPORT         40.38N  75.97W
08/05/2012  M51 MPH          BERKS              PA   ASOS

            51 MPH WIND GUST AT READING AIRPORT.

0504 PM     LIGHTNING        LONG POND               41.05N  75.46W
08/05/2012                   MONROE             PA   NEWSPAPER

            *** 10 INJ *** TEN PEOPLE INJURED BY LIGHTNING STRIKES
            AT POCONO RACEWAY IN LONG POND. TWO INJURIES WERE
            SEVERE... TWO INJURIES WERE MODERATE... AND SIX INJURIES
            WERE MINOR.

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLEETWOOD               40.46N  75.82W
08/05/2012                   BERKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES... WIRES... AND POLES DOWN IN FLEETWOOD.

0513 PM     TSTM WND DMG     READING                 40.33N  75.93W
08/05/2012                   BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN IN READING.

0519 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LONGSWAMP TWP           40.49N  75.67W
08/05/2012                   BERKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS ABOUT 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWN IN
            LONGSWAMP TWP.

0543 PM     TSTM WND GST     PORT DEPOSIT            39.60N  76.12W
08/05/2012  E65 MPH          CECIL              MD   PUBLIC

0551 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRATERFORD              40.23N  75.45W
08/05/2012                   MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN... RANGING FROM 4 TO 8 FEET IN
            LENGTH.

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ANDOVER                 40.99N  74.74W
08/05/2012                   SUSSEX             NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN ANDOVER.

0604 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHESTERTOWN             39.22N  76.07W
08/05/2012                   KENT               MD   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES DOWN FROM CHESTERTOWN TO
            FAIRLEE.

0608 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELKTON                  39.60N  75.82W
08/05/2012                   CECIL              MD   911 CALL CENTER

            SCATTERED TREES DOWN AND WIRES BENT ACROSS THE
            NORTHEAST PORTION OF CECIL COUNTY.

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VERNON                  41.20N  74.48W
08/05/2012                   SUSSEX             NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ONTO WIRES IN VERNON.

0646 PM     HAIL             FEASTERVILLE            40.14N  75.01W
08/05/2012  E0.50 INCH       BUCKS              PA   PUBLIC

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUNELLEN                40.59N  74.46W
08/05/2012                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN IN DUNELLEN.

0800 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LONG BRANCH             40.30N  73.99W
08/05/2012                   MONMOUTH           NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIRES DOWN IN LONG BRANCH.

0805 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND BRICK TWP               40.07N  74.12W
08/05/2012  M47 MPH          OCEAN              NJ   MESONET

1010 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MANSFIELD               40.09N  74.71W
08/05/2012                   BURLINGTON         NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN.

1020 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHESTERFIELD            40.12N  74.64W
08/05/2012                   BURLINGTON         NJ   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN

1047 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ENGLISHTOWN             40.30N  74.36W
08/05/2012                   MONMOUTH           NJ   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMB BROKEN

1100 PM     TSTM WND GST     SANDY HOOK              40.44N  73.99W
08/05/2012  M70 MPH          MONMOUTH           NJ   WEATHER FLOW

1100 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND SANDY HOOK              40.44N  73.99W
08/05/2012  M70 MPH          MONMOUTH           NJ   WEATHER FLOW

1125 PM     LIGHTNING        SPRING LAKE             40.15N  74.03W
08/05/2012                   MONMOUTH           NJ   NWS OFFICE

            HOUSE STRUCK BY LIIGHTNING ON MADISON AVENUE. REPLAYED
            FROM WFO OKX.

1125 PM     HAIL             OCEAN GROVE             40.21N  74.01W
08/05/2012  E0.50 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200620 PHI1200621 PHI1200619 PHI1200633 PHI1200622
PHI1200623 PHI1200626 PHI1200625 PHI1200624 PHI1200629 PHI1200628
PHI1200627 PHI1200630 PHI1200632 PHI1200631 PHI1200635 PHI1200634
PHI1200636 PHI1200637 PHI1200638 PHI1200639 PHI1200640 PHI1200641
PHI1200642

HAYES
Special weather statement, Aug 6, 12:00 AM EDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

NJZ015-017>019-027-PAZ068>071-060500-
BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-MERCER NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BUCKS...
BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...DELAWARE...GLOUCESTER...MERCER...MONTGOMERY
AND PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES...

AT 1157 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 13 MILES SOUTH OF CAMDEN...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR CLEMENTON...
LINDENWOLD AROUND 1215 AM...MARLTON LAKES...BERLIN AROUND 1230
AM...MEDFORD LAKES...LEISURETOWNE AROUND 1245 AM...PEMBERTON HEIGHTS
AND PRESIDENTIAL LAKES AROUND 100 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3979 7441 3972 7473 3973 7474 3972 7475
      3963 7515 3966 7519 4007 7536 4026 7464
      4019 7461 4018 7462

HAYES
Special weather statement, Aug 6, 12:46 AM EDT, 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1246 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

NJZ013-017>020-022-026-027-060545-
ATLANTIC NJ-CAMDEN NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1246 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...
BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER...MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 1244 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF
VINELAND...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
ATSION...WHARTON STATE FOREST AROUND 100 AM...CHATSWORTH...PENN
STATE FOREST AROUND 115 AM...OLD HALFWAY...BAMBER LAKE AROUND 130
AM...BEACHWOOD AND HOLIDAY HEIGHTS AROUND 145 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3990 7407 3988 7409 3992 7410 3990 7412
      3986 7412 3936 7478 3967 7518 4028 7438
      4004 7403

HAYES
Special weather statement, Aug 6, 1:09 AM EDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
109 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

NJZ020>027-060615-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-OCEAN NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
109 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ATLANTIC...BURLINGTON...CAPE
MAY...CUMBERLAND AND OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 105 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTHEAST
OF VINELAND TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF MILLVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR LEESBURG...ELDORA AROUND 115 AM...PORT
REPUBLIC...SEAVILLE AROUND 130 AM...MYSTIC ISLAND...NEW GRETNA AROUND
145 AM...BEACH HAVEN AND NORTH BEACH HAVEN AROUND 200 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3955 7423 3950 7429 3945 7430 3935 7441
      3932 7450 3925 7460 3908 7472 3911 7490
      3917 7491 3919 7503 3921 7504 3918 7515
      3946 7491 3936 7477 3976 7426 3967 7414

HAYES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 5, 9:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem58 min
Aug 5, 9:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington, Mercer, Monmouth57 min
Aug 5, 10:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Monmouth, Ocean60 min
Aug 5, 10:14 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI2 hr
Aug 5, 10:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonmouth48 min
Aug 5, 10:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonmouth, Ocean43 min
Aug 5, 11:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIOcean58 min
Aug 5, 11:25 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI65 min
Aug 5, 11:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHISalem3 hr
Aug 5, 11:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIGloucester, Salem63 min
Aug 6, 12:00 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester60 min
Aug 6, 12:38 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Ocean and 1 more3 hr
Aug 6, 12:46 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington, Camden, Ocean59 min
Aug 6, 1:09 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic66 min
Aug 6, 2:23 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic67 min
Aug 6, 3:32 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic, Cumberland58 min
Aug 6, 5:21 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cumberland, Gloucester, Ocean113 min
Aug 5, 10:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHINew Castle55 min

Nearby

Special Marine Warnings in New Jersey, 2012Every special marine warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.