Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Advisories in 2012

Areal Flood Advisory 233, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

December 26, 20125 counties in Pennsylvania; 11 counties in New Jersey; New Castle County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Dec 26, 2012, 7:55 PM EST for 5 counties in Pennsylvania; 11 counties in New Jersey; New Castle County, Delaware. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 26, 2012, 7:55 PM EST (00:55 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2012, 2:01 AM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties New Castle County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2012-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 16 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2012-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 54 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
16 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-236 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
778 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

885 
WGUS81 KPHI 270055
FLSPHI

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
755 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

DEC003-NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-021-023-025-029-033-PAC017-029-045-
091-101-270445-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0233.121227T0055Z-121227T0445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN NJ-MERCER NJ-BUCKS PA-MONTGOMERY PA-PHILADELPHIA PA-
DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-CHESTER PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-
BURLINGTON NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-ATLANTIC NJ-OCEAN NJ-SALEM NJ-
CUMBERLAND NJ-
755 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  EASTERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN DELAWARE...
  EASTERN CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  CAPE MAY COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHWESTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  ATLANTIC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1145 PM EST

* AT 750 PM EST WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LARGE AREA 
OF ENHANCED RAINFALL MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. DOPPLER ESTIMATES 
SHOW UPWARDS OF A HALF INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS A LARGE 
PORTION OF THE ADVISED AREA WITHIN THE PAST HOUR. AREAS CLOSER TO 
THE SHORE HAVE PICKED UP CLOSE TO AN INCH IN THE PAST HOUR. 
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE 
ADVISED AREA. 

LAT...LON 3980 7417 3980 7411 3955 7423 3892 7491
      3892 7497 3916 7490 3918 7515 3945 7552
      3943 7554 3935 7553 3936 7554 3945 7558
      3945 7552 3947 7559 4011 7588 4043 7543
      4034 7494 4037 7463 4025 7426 3993 7406

$$

HEAVENER
2 follow-up statements
469 
WGUS81 KPHI 270357
FLSPHI

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1057 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

DEC003-NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-021-023-025-029-033-PAC017-029-045-
091-101-270745-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.Y.0233.000000T0000Z-121227T0745Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN NJ-MERCER NJ-BUCKS PA-MONTGOMERY PA-PHILADELPHIA PA-
DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-CHESTER PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-
BURLINGTON NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-ATLANTIC NJ-OCEAN NJ-SALEM NJ-
CUMBERLAND NJ-
1057 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  EASTERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN DELAWARE...
  EASTERN CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  CAPE MAY COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHWESTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  ATLANTIC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 245 AM EST

* AT 1055 PM EST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE HEAVIEST 
RAIN WAS MOVING NORTH OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM THE 
PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO PUSH CREEKS AND STREAMS CLOSE TO 
BANKFULL. SOME OF THESE CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD STILL GO OVER THEIR 
BANKS AS A RESULT OF THE RUNOFF.

IN ADDITION...STREET FLOODING AND FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE 
CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

LAT...LON 3980 7417 3980 7411 3955 7423 3892 7491
      3892 7497 3916 7490 3918 7515 3945 7552
      3943 7554 3935 7553 3936 7554 3945 7558
      3945 7552 3947 7559 4011 7588 4043 7543
      4034 7494 4037 7463 4025 7426 3993 7406

$$

HAYES
850 
WGUS81 KPHI 270701
FLSPHI

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
201 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

DEC003-NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-021-023-025-029-033-PAC017-029-045-
091-101-270711-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.Y.0233.000000T0000Z-121227T0745Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN NJ-MERCER NJ-BUCKS PA-MONTGOMERY PA-PHILADELPHIA PA-
DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-CHESTER PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-
BURLINGTON NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-MONMOUTH NJ-ATLANTIC NJ-OCEAN NJ-SALEM NJ-
CUMBERLAND NJ-
201 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
CUMBERLAND...SALEM...OCEAN...ATLANTIC...SOUTHWESTERN MONMOUTH...CAPE
MAY...BURLINGTON...SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN
NEW CASTLE...GLOUCESTER...DELAWARE...PHILADELPHIA...MONTGOMERY...
SOUTHERN BUCKS...MERCER AND CAMDEN COUNTIES...

WHILE SOME CREEKS AND STREAMS CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH...FLOODING IS NOT 
EXPECTED. THUS...THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3980 7417 3980 7411 3955 7423 3892 7491
      3892 7497 3916 7490 3918 7515 3945 7552
      3943 7554 3935 7553 3936 7554 3945 7558
      3945 7552 3947 7559 4011 7588 4043 7543
      4034 7494 4037 7463 4025 7426 3993 7406

$$

HAYES

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Dec 26, 7:03 PM EST, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 7:03 PM EST, 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
703 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND MOVE
OFF TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRIEFLY BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY AND MOVE TO OUR EAST BY EARLY SATURDAY.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES AND THEN UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY. A
RETURN TO HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WE WILL ALLOW THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO EXPIRE RIGHT NOW IN
THE LOWEST TIER. THE NEXT TIER UPWARD, BERKS, LEHIGH VALLEY AND
WARREN AND MORRIS WE SUSPECT WILL RETAIN POCKETS OF FREEZING
RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. WE ARE GETTING REPORTS OF FREEZING RAIN
MIXING IN INTO THE POCONOS WITH POWER OUTAGES, SO A VERY ROUGH
NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR THE WARNING COUNTIES.

FROM THE SUPPORTIVE UPPER JET STRUCTURE THROUGH THE MID LEVEL
Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE AND THE CLOSED LOW ATTACHED TO A NEGATIVE TILT
TROUGH TO THE H7 TROWAL TO THE LOWER LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS AND STRONG
LOW LEVEL JET BRINGING UP GOOD MOISTURE, THIS IS A POTENT SYSTEM
HEADING TOWARD US. THE PATH OF THE SURFACE LOW IS NOT CONDUCIVE TO
SNOW FROM NEAR THE I95 CORRIDOR SOUTHEAST, BUT AS ONE MOVES
NORTHWEST THE SNOW GROWTH REGION COINCIDES WELL WITH THE BEST LIFT
AND THE THETA E PROFILE IS ISOTHERMAL. THE ONLY THINGS WORKING
AGAINST HEFTIER SNOW AMOUNTS NORTHWEST ARE THE STRONG WIND FIELD IN
THE SNOW GROWTH REGION, WHICH WOULD TEND TO SHATTER CRYSTALS AND
LOWER THE RATIOS; A POSSIBLE MID LEVEL DRY SLOT ARRIVING AROUND
MIDNIGHT; AND WARMING ABOVE THE SURFACE DUE TO THE STRONG LOW LEVEL
JET THAT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE SNOW TO SLEET AND THEN
FREEZING RAIN. FURTHER SOUTHEAST, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO TWO
INCHES ARE FORECAST. SEE THE HYDRO SECTION BELOW. MODELS ALSO SHOW
STRONG WINDS MAKING IT DOWN TO THE SURFACE NEAR THE NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY COASTAL REGION. THIS IS NOT SANDY, BUT IT IS A SIGNIFICANT
SYSTEM.

WE HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MIDDLESEX, MONMOUTH AND
OCEAN COUNTIES AND HAVE MAINTAINED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL DELAWARE AND THE REST OF EASTERN NEW JERSEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WE EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO BE ON THE WANE ON THURSDAY, WITH
LINGERING RAIN NORTHWEST CHANGING BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS SHOULD
BE FAIRLY ROBUST ON THURSDAY, ALTHOUGH THE LOWER LEVEL JET WILL NOT
BE AS STRONG AS IT WILL BE IN THE NEAR TERM. ANOTHER WIND ADVISORY
MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE A
CONTINUITY/GUIDANCE BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NOT MANY CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED DUE TO ONGOING WEATHER
CONDITIONS TODAY. UPDATED THE GRIDS AND BLENDED MODEL GUIDANCE WITH
CONTINUITY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN BLENDED HPC GUIDANCE ALONG WITH
CONTINUITY FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY. THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND
TRACKS UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY. STILL SOME TIMING
ISSUES WITH THIS STORM AND WITH VARIABILITY AMONGST THE MODELS AS TO
THE STRENGTH AND DEPTH OF THE LOW, DIDN'T WANT TO GET CUTESY WITH
THE WEATHER GRIDS. STUCK WITH A RAIN/SNOW FORECAST FOR NOW. BASED ON
THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE, THE BEST CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION TO FALL LOOKS TO BE THROUGH THE I-95 CORRIDOR, SOUTH
AND EAST. HOWEVER, MODEL CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT WE
WILL SEE SNOW THROUGH OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
AND WE HAVE INCREASED THE POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA. ANY
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF ON SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES OFF TOWARDS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

WITH THE LATEST 00Z TAFS, KABE WILL HAVE FREEZING RAIN INTO THIS
EVENING BEFORE WE CHANGE THEM OVER TO RAIN. ALL OTHER TAF SITES
JUST RAIN.

DURING THIS EVENING THE LAST BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN WILL MOVE
THROUGH WITH CIGS ALONG THE MVFR AND IFR THRESHOLD AND VSBYS
DROPPING TO IFR WHEN THE HEAVIER RAIN MOVES THRU. LLWS WILL BE
CONTINUED AS A LLJ WILL AVERAGE AROUND 60KTS FROM THE E OR SE.

OVERNIGHT LIGHTER RAIN IS FORECAST WITH CIGS REMAINING NEAR THE
MVFR AND IFR THRESHOLD, BUT PREVAILING VSBYS SHOULD BE MVFR. WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY BACK TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST WITH LESS
GUSTINESS AS THE LLJ LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST.

RAIN SHOULD END ON THURSDAY MORNING AS VSBYS BECOME VFR. CIGS
SHOULD AVERAGE MVFR AND SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR BY AFTERNOON.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL START INCREASING WITH GUSTINESS LIKELY
BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KTS.

ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON, VFR CIGS ARE FORECAST AND WINDS SHOULD ALSO
INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS CLOSE TO 20 KTS
AND PEAK GUSTS EXCEEDING 30 KTS.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NORTHWEST
WINDS 15-25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 30-35 KNOTS THURSDAY NIGHT, DIMINISHING
TO 10-20 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER FRIDAY
EVENING.

SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THE START OF THE DAY WITH
SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TIMING REMAINS AN ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION AND STRENGTH
OF THE WINDS. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE REGION AND AFFECT
THE TERMINALS.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SOME FLURRIES OR
SNOW SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE NORTHWESTERN TERMINALS /KABE TO KRDG/ ON
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS CAN
BE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY 10-15 KNOTS ON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WE HAVE EXTENDED THE GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY, AND WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE STORM
WARNING OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH 6 AM EST THURSDAY.
IT MAY BE DOWNGRADED TO A GALE WARNING BEFORE THEN. THE LOW LEVEL
JET IS QUITE ROBUST THROUGH THE EVENING (ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST), AND
IT RUNS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION ON THURSDAY.
THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE JET AND THE SURFACE WINDS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. SEAS TONIGHT IN EXCESS OF 15 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STORM
WARNING REGION. THEY WILL APPROACH 15 FEET OVER THE SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT, AND ALL ATLANTIC SEAS WILL SUBSIDE A BIT
THROUGH THURSDAY. SEAS OVER THE BAY GENERALLY WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6
FEET.

OUTLOOK...
GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL START TO DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING AND BECOME
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY. BOTH WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY AND FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS ACROSS THE
REGION.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND KEEP US
HEADLINE FREE THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. A COASTAL STORM IS SLATED TO
ARRIVE OVER THE WEEKEND, IMPACTING THE AREA WATERS STARTING SATURDAY
EVENING. WITH DISAGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODEL GUIDANCE AS TO THE
STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM, THE DETAILS REMAIN A LITTLE FUZZY.
EXPECT AND INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND
AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE NEEDED. A
PERIOD OF GALE FORCE GUSTS ALSO LOOKS POSSIBLE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME
ON SUNDAY. BOTH WINDS AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM BUT A DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT LOOKS TO REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS MAY REMAIN ON THE OPEN
WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MODELS HAVE FAIRLY CONSISTENTLY SHOWN ABOUT 1.25 TO 2.25 INCHES OF
LIQUID OVER THE WATCH AREA, AND THE HEADWATER GUIDANCE AND THE
HIGHER END OF THE AFOREMENTIONED QPF SUPPORT MAINTAINING THE WATCH.
THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT FLOODING MAY BE
CONFINED TO STREAMS AND THE SMALLER RIVERS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WAS ISSUED AROUND RARITAN BAY AND MONMOUTH
COUNTY FOR THE MORNING HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVY WAS ISSUED
FOR OCEAN COUNTY FOR THE SAME HIGH TIDE. WE HAVE ALSO ISSUED A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR HYBRID FLOODING, TIDES AND HEAVY RAIN
RUNOFF IN THE TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER FOR THE OVERNIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

THINKING IS PLACES FARTHER TO THE SOUTH ARE NOT GOING TO HAVE ENOUGH
TIME TO RAMP UP WITH THE LOWER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS
EVENING. ACY'S TIDE IS ABOUT TO CREST NEAR THE MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING THRESHOLD OF 6.0 FEET ABV MLLW. TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE CURRENTLY
1.5 FEET AND WE WOULD NEED A DOUBLING IN LESS THAN THREE HOURS.
THEN FOR THE NEXT, THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE THE WINDS WILL
BE BLOWING OFFSHORE. THERE HAS TO BE A PIVOT POINT IN ALL OF THIS
ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST WHICH FOR NOW WE HAVE THE BEST
CONFIDENCE IN OCEAN COUNTY.

AS FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY, TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE AROUND HALF A FOOT.
CBOFS IS CURRENTLY RUNNING TO HIGH WITH THE APPROACHING HIGH TIDE
CYCLE AND IT JUST TOOK CAMBRIDGE TO OUR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
PRODUCT ISSUANCE LEVEL. THE GUIDANCE DOES THE SAME WITH THE NEXT
HIGH TIDE CYCLE AT TOLCHESTER BEACH ON THURSDAY MORNING, BUT BY
THEN THE BAY SHOULD START DRAINING, SO PREFER TO SEE HOW THE TIDES
TRANSPIRE OVERNIGHT AND JUST LEAVE THE CHANCE IN THE HWO.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR PAZ070-071-101>106.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ060>062.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NJZ008>010-012-015-
     017>019.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ007-008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ021>025-027.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ012>014-020-
     026.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NJZ020-026.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ016>019.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ001.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NJZ012>014.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR DEZ001.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ430-431-452>455.
     STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ450-451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...DELISI/GIGI
SHORT TERM...DELISI
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...GIGI/MEOLA
MARINE...DELISI/MEOLA
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 7:08 PM EST, 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-280015-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ008-280015-
MORRIS-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ007-PAZ060>062-280015-
WARREN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-PAZ101-103-105-280015-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ015-PAZ102-104-106-280015-
MERCER-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012-280015-
MIDDLESEX-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-280015-
NEW CASTLE-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND
NOON ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ016-280015-
SALEM-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT, THEREFORE
LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING COULD RESULT.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND
NOON ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ020-026-280015-
OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR TONIGHT, THEREFORE LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-NJZ021>025-027-280015-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS
EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR TONIGHT, THEREFORE LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THURSDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-014-280015-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR TONIGHT, THEREFORE LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-280015-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-452>455-280015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO GALE FORCE THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-451-280015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
708 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO GALE FORCE THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 26, 2:04 PM EST, 5 hours 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
204 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

PAZ060-061-070-071-101>106-262215-
BERKS-LEHIGH-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...READING...ALLENTOWN...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
204 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HEAVY EMBEDDED SNOW BANDS...

THERE ARE A FEW POCKETS OF HEAVIER SNOW BANDS CURRENTLY PUSHING
THROUGH SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. WINDS
ARE ALSO STARTING TO INCREASE WITH SOME GUSTS UPWARDS OF 25 MPH.
THE COMBINATION OF THE HEAVIER SNOW AND WINDS CAN DROP
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE-HALF MILE AT TIMES. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS UPWARDS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERKS AND LEHIGH
COUNTIES, WITH SLIGHTLY LESS IN CHESTER, MONTGOMERY, AND BUCKS. IN
PHILADELPHIA AND DELAWARE COUNTIES THE SNOW WILL BE TRANSITIONING
TO A SLEET/RAIN MIXTURE OVER THE NEXT HOUR. THERE COULD BE A FEW
AREAS THAT RECEIVE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN THROUGH 3PM.

PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING TODAY AND LEAVE EXTRA ROOM
BETWEEN YOU AND THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
ARRIVE TO YOUR DESTINATION.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-262215-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY
204 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...RAIN WITH POCKETS OF SLEET AND POSSIBLE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...

AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF PHILADELPHIA PROPER WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A
MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SLEET, WITH POSSIBLY VERY ISOLATED FREEZING
RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THIS AFTERNOON BUT A FEW
LOCATIONS WILL BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING OVER THE NEXT HOUR...MAINLY
IN WESTERN GLOUCESTER, CAMDEN, AND NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON. THESE
AREAS COULD SEE THE MIXTURE OF RAIN, SLEET, AND POSSIBLE FREEZING
RAIN.

PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING TODAY AND LEAVE EXTRA ROOM
BETWEEN YOU AND THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
ARRIVE TO YOUR DESTINATION.

HEAVENER
Special weather statement, Dec 26, 3:22 PM EST, 4 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NJZ009-010-015-PAZ101>106-262230-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...
HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...
COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...
PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
322 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONING TO FREEZING RAIN...

AS WARMER AIR MOVES IN ALOFT, THE SNOW IS CHANGING OVER TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN. THIS PROCESS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON AND WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS ON
ANY UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. PLEASE EXERCISE
CAUTION IF DRIVING. THE WORST TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL START
DEVELOPING IN THE UPPER PARTS OF THE COUNTY AS THE SUN STARTS TO
SET. WARM IS MOVING INTO THE REGION AND A TRANSITION TO PLAIN RAIN
WILL START LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-262230-
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
321 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THERE ARE A FEW POCKETS OF HEAVIER SNOW BANDS CURRENTLY PUSHING
THROUGH THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. WINDS ARE
ALSO STARTING TO INCREASE WITH SOME GUSTS UPWARDS OF 25 MPH. THE
COMBINATION OF THE HEAVIER SNOW AND WINDS CAN DROP VISIBILITIES TO
LESS THAN ONE-HALF MILE AT TIMES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UPWARDS OF 2
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
START OCCURRING LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING TODAY AND LEAVE EXTRA ROOM
BETWEEN YOU AND THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
ARRIVE AT YOUR DESTINATION.

GIGI/HEAVENER
Local storm report, Dec 26, 7:41 PM EST, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
741 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST LEWES                   38.78N  75.15W
12/26/2012  M59 MPH          SUSSEX             DE   NOS PLATFORM

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200901

AG
Local storm report, Dec 26, 7:43 PM EST, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
743 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST DOVER AFB               39.13N  75.47W
12/26/2012  M64 MPH          KENT               DE   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200902

AG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 9:10 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIBucks, Lehigh, Northampton4 hr
Dec 26, 9:29 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHIChester118 min
Dec 26, 11:15 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth, Ocean3 hr
Dec 26, 11:30 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHIMonmouth, Ocean3 days
Dec 27, 12:37 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHIHunterdon6 hr
Dec 27, 1:01 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonmouth59 min
Dec 27, 1:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth53 min
Dec 27, 7:58 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHIMorris5 hr
Dec 27, 1:42 PM ESTWind AdvisoryPHICape May5 hr
Dec 27, 1:46 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningPHIBurlington55 hr
Dec 26, 8:34 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHISussex78 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2012Areal Flood Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2012Areal Flood Advisories in Delaware, 2012Every areal flood advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.