Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Warnings in 2012

Areal Flood Warning 48, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

December 26, 2012Monmouth County, Ocean County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood warning at Dec 26, 2012, 11:30 PM EST for Monmouth County, Ocean County, New Jersey. It was in force for 3 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 26, 2012, 11:30 PM EST (04:30 UTC)
Expired
Dec 30, 2012, 6:44 AM EST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2012-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2012-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 413 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
442 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
413 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
963 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

665 
WGUS41 KPHI 270430
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1130 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NJC025-029-271030-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.W.0048.121227T0430Z-121227T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-
1130 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 530 AM EST THURSDAY

* AT 1129 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES 
TO INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FALLING ACROSS OCEAN AND MONMOUTH 
COUNTIES. THE HEAVY RANI HAS RESULTED IN RAPID RISES ON CREEKS AND 
STREAMS...AND STREET FLOODING.

THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PUSH CREEKS AND STREAMS OUT 
OF THEIR BANKS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. 

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4022 7399 3990 7407 3981 7408 3980 7411
      3992 7409 3990 7412 3986 7412 3980 7417
      3977 7439 4017 7457 4028 7439 4044 7422
      4045 7409 4042 7401 4045 7401 4045 7398

$$

HAYES
9 follow-up statements
635 
WGUS41 KPHI 270922
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
422 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

NJC025-029-271630-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121227T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-
422 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1130 AM EST

* AT 418 AM EST...SEVERAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND SMALL RIVERS WERE IN 
FLOOD AS A RESULT OF RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY AND EARLY 
THIS MORNING. THEY INCLUDE THE MANASQUAN RIVER AT SQUANKUM...THE 
SHARK RIVER AT NEPTUNE CITY...AND THE SWIMMING RIVER AT RED BANK.

IN ADDITION...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING 
ACROSS PORTIONS OF MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 
THIS MORNING COULD AGGRAVATE ONGOING FLOODING.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4022 7399 3990 7407 3981 7408 3980 7411
      3992 7409 3990 7412 3986 7412 3980 7417
      3977 7439 4017 7457 4028 7439 4044 7422
      4045 7409 4042 7401 4045 7401 4045 7398

$$

HAYES
231 
WGUS41 KPHI 271616
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1116 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

NJC025-029-280230-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121228T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-
1116 AM EST THU DEC 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 930 PM EST THURSDAY

* AT 1111 AM EST AUTOMATED GAGE DATA INDICATED STREAMS IN EASTERN 
MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AS A RESULT 
OF HEAVY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY. THESE INCLUDE THE MANASQUAN RIVER AT 
SQUANKUM...THE SHARK RIVER AT NEPTUNE CITY...THE SWIMMING RIVER AT 
RED BANK...AND THE NORTH BRANCH METEDECONK RIVER AT LAKEWOOD.   

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4022 7399 3990 7407 3981 7408 3980 7411
      3992 7409 3990 7412 3986 7412 3980 7417
      3977 7439 4017 7457 4028 7439 4044 7422
      4045 7409 4042 7401 4045 7401 4045 7398

$$

JJM
334 
WGUS41 KPHI 280142
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
842 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

NJC025-029-281230-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121228T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-
842 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 730 AM EST FRIDAY

* AT 836 PM EST AUTOMATED GAGE DATA INDICATED STREAMS IN EASTERN     
  MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AS A RESULT 
  OF HEAVY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY. THESE INCLUDE THE MANASQUAN RIVER AT
  SQUANKUM AND THE NORTH BRANCH METEDECONK RIVER AT LAKEWOOD. ONGOING
  ROADWAY FLOODING WAS ALSO REPORTED IN BOTH COUNTIES.      

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS ONGOING. STREAM RISES WILL 
BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED 
PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4022 7399 3990 7407 3981 7408 3980 7411
      3992 7409 3990 7412 3986 7412 3980 7417
      3977 7439 4017 7457 4028 7439 4044 7422
      4045 7409 4042 7401 4045 7401 4045 7398

$$

TFG
397 
WGUS81 KPHI 280930
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
430 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2012

NJC025-280940-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121228T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONMOUTH NJ-
430 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL 
STREAMS IN MONMOUTH COUNTY...

THE MINOR FLOODING THAT RESULTED FROM WEDNESDAY'S HEAVY RAINFALL 
CONTINUED TO SUBSIDE DURING THE NIGHT. MOST RIVERS AND STREAMS IN 
MONMOUTH COUNTY HAVE RETURNED WITHIN THEIR BANKS. AS A RESULT, THE 
FLOOD WARNING FOR MONMOUTH COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3982 7408 3980 7410 3992 7409 3991 7412
      3986 7412 3980 7418 3977 7439 4009 7453
      4017 7441 4017 7426 4011 7423 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4009 7408 4010 7403

$$

NJC029-281230-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121228T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OCEAN NJ-
430 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM EST FOR URBAN
AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN OCEAN COUNTY...

AT 420 AM EST...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUED ALONG TOMS RIVER AND ALONG 
OTHER SMALL STREAMS IN NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTY. THE FLOODING RESULTED 
FROM WEDNESDAY'S HEAVY RAINFALL. THE FLOOD WATERS WILL BE SLOW TO 
SUBSIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS OFTEN DIFFICULT TO 
RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 7408 3980 7410 3992 7409 3991 7412
      3986 7412 3980 7418 3977 7439 4009 7453
      4017 7441 4017 7426 4011 7423 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4009 7408 4010 7403

$$

IOVINO
590 
WGUS41 KPHI 281102
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
602 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2012

NJC029-290630-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121229T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OCEAN NJ-
602 AM EST FRI DEC 28 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...OCEAN COUNTY
  IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 130 AM EST SATURDAY

* AT 600 AM EST...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUED ALONG TOMS RIVER AND
  ALONG OTHER SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS IN NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTY.
  THE FLOODING RESULTED FROM WEDNESDAY'S HEAVY RAINFALL. THE FLOOD
  WATERS WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE WITH MINOR FLOODING EXPECTED TO
  CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.

LAT...LON 3982 7408 3980 7410 3992 7409 3991 7412
      3986 7412 3980 7418 3977 7439 4009 7453
      4017 7441 4017 7426 4011 7423 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4009 7408 4010 7403

$$
915 
WGUS41 KPHI 290229
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012

NJC029-291430-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121229T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OCEAN NJ-
929 PM EST FRI DEC 28 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 930 AM EST SATURDAY

* AT 927 PM EST RIVER GAGES WERE STILL SHOWING FLOODING AROUND TOMS
  RIVER. ELSEWHERE STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE CONTINUING TO RECEDE AND   
  THE EXTENT OF FLOODING IS LESSENING AWAY FROM BARNEGAT BAY.
 
A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING. STREAM RISES WILL 
BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED 
PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING AND DO NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 7408 3980 7410 3992 7409 3991 7412
      3986 7412 3980 7418 3977 7439 4009 7453
      4017 7441 4017 7426 4011 7423 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4009 7408 4010 7403

$$
 
TFG
731 
WGUS41 KPHI 291014
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
514 AM EST SAT DEC 29 2012

NJC029-300830-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121230T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OCEAN NJ-
514 AM EST SAT DEC 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 330 AM EST SUNDAY

* AT 510 AM EST...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUED ALONG TOMS RIVER AND
  ALONG OTHER SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS IN NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTY. THE
  FLOODING RESULTED FROM WEDNESDAY'S HEAVY RAINFALL. WATER LEVELS
  WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE TODAY AND THE MINOR FLOODING SHOULD COME
  TO AN END TONIGHT.

THIS FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 7408 3980 7410 3992 7409 3991 7412
      3986 7412 3980 7418 3977 7439 4009 7453
      4017 7441 4017 7426 4011 7423 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4009 7408 4010 7403

$$

IOVINO
580 
WGUS41 KPHI 300512
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1212 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

NJC029-301230-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121230T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OCEAN NJ-
1212 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
  OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 730 AM EST

* AT 1210 AM EST...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUED ALONG TOMS RIVER IN
  NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTY. THE FLOODING RESULTED FROM WEDNESDAY'S
  HEAVY RAINFALL. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE OVERNIGHT
  AND THE MINOR FLOODING SHOULD COME TO AN END AROUND DAYBREAK.

THIS FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 7408 3980 7410 3992 7409 3991 7412
      3986 7412 3980 7418 3977 7439 4009 7453
      4017 7441 4017 7426 4011 7423 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4009 7408 4010 7403

$$

IOVINO
422 
WGUS81 KPHI 301144
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
644 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

NJC029-301151-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0048.000000T0000Z-121230T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OCEAN NJ-
644 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL
STREAMS IN OCEAN COUNTY...

THE MINOR FLOODING ALONG TOMS RIVER IN NORTHERN OCEAN COUNTY HAS 
ENDED. THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3982 7408 3980 7410 3992 7409 3991 7412
      3986 7412 3980 7418 3977 7439 4009 7453
      4017 7441 4017 7426 4011 7423 4010 7415
      4013 7411 4009 7408 4010 7403

$$

IOVINO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Dec 26, 9:03 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 9:03 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
903 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND MOVE
OFF TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRIEFLY BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY AND MOVE TO OUR EAST BY EARLY SATURDAY.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES AND THEN UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY. A
RETURN TO HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WINTRY WEATHER FIRST, THE TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING NORTH
IS CONTINUING. INITIALLY WITH THE SURGE OF WARM AIR ALOFT AND THEN
LATER BECAUSE OF THE LACK OF ICE IN THE CLOUDS. LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF ADDITIONAL SNOW (LESS THAN ONE INCH) IS EXPECTED. IN THE
POCONOS AND SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO GET ABOVE FREEZING. ADDITIONAL WATER EQUIVALENT OF AROUND ONE
QUARTER OF AN INCH LIKELY.

IN THE NEXT TIER WHERE ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT, THERE ARE POCKETS
OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET CONTINUING. WE BELIEVE TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO RISE, BUT WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING UNTIL THIS
OCCURS.

FOR THE WIND, WE WILL DROP THE ADVISORIES SOUTH OF ATLANTIC
COUNTY. THE LLJ IS OVER THE HIGH WIND WARNING AREA CURRENTLY AND
WE HAVE HAD SEVERAL REPORTS OF 60 MPH PLUS GUSTS.

PRECIPITATION OVERALL IS ON THE DOWNSIDE AND MOST OF THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE OUT OF OUR CWA BY 06Z. WE LOADED IN THE HI
RES WRF-NMMB WHICH HAS HANDLED SFC TEMPS THE CLOSEST TODAY FOR
TEMPERATURE ADJUSTMENTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
WE EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO BE ON THE WANE ON THURSDAY, WITH
LINGERING RAIN NORTHWEST CHANGING BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS SHOULD
BE FAIRLY ROBUST ON THURSDAY, ALTHOUGH THE LOWER LEVEL JET WILL NOT
BE AS STRONG AS IT WILL BE IN THE NEAR TERM. ANOTHER WIND ADVISORY
MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE A
CONTINUITY/GUIDANCE BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NOT MANY CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED DUE TO ONGOING WEATHER
CONDITIONS TODAY. UPDATED THE GRIDS AND BLENDED MODEL GUIDANCE WITH
CONTINUITY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN BLENDED HPC GUIDANCE ALONG WITH
CONTINUITY FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY. THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND
TRACKS UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY. STILL SOME TIMING
ISSUES WITH THIS STORM AND WITH VARIABILITY AMONGST THE MODELS AS TO
THE STRENGTH AND DEPTH OF THE LOW, DIDN'T WANT TO GET CUTESY WITH
THE WEATHER GRIDS. STUCK WITH A RAIN/SNOW FORECAST FOR NOW. BASED ON
THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE, THE BEST CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION TO FALL LOOKS TO BE THROUGH THE I-95 CORRIDOR, SOUTH
AND EAST. HOWEVER, MODEL CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT WE
WILL SEE SNOW THROUGH OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
AND WE HAVE INCREASED THE POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA. ANY
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF ON SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES OFF TOWARDS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

WITH THE LATEST 00Z TAFS, KABE WILL HAVE FREEZING RAIN INTO THIS
EVENING BEFORE WE CHANGE THEM OVER TO RAIN. ALL OTHER TAF SITES
JUST RAIN.

DURING THIS EVENING THE LAST BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN WILL MOVE
THROUGH WITH CIGS ALONG THE MVFR AND IFR THRESHOLD AND VSBYS
DROPPING TO IFR WHEN THE HEAVIER RAIN MOVES THRU. LLWS WILL BE
CONTINUED AS A LLJ WILL AVERAGE AROUND 60KTS FROM THE E OR SE.

OVERNIGHT LIGHTER RAIN IS FORECAST WITH CIGS REMAINING NEAR THE
MVFR AND IFR THRESHOLD, BUT PREVAILING VSBYS SHOULD BE MVFR. WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY BACK TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST WITH LESS
GUSTINESS AS THE LLJ LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST.

RAIN SHOULD END ON THURSDAY MORNING AS VSBYS BECOME VFR. CIGS
SHOULD AVERAGE MVFR AND SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR BY AFTERNOON.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL START INCREASING WITH GUSTINESS LIKELY
BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KTS.

ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON, VFR CIGS ARE FORECAST AND WINDS SHOULD ALSO
INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS CLOSE TO 20 KTS
AND PEAK GUSTS EXCEEDING 30 KTS.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NORTHWEST
WINDS 15-25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 30-35 KNOTS THURSDAY NIGHT, DIMINISHING
TO 10-20 KNOTS ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FURTHER FRIDAY
EVENING.

SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THE START OF THE DAY WITH
SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TIMING REMAINS AN ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION AND STRENGTH
OF THE WINDS. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE REGION AND AFFECT
THE TERMINALS.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SOME FLURRIES OR
SNOW SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE NORTHWESTERN TERMINALS /KABE TO KRDG/ ON
SUNDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS CAN
BE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY 10-15 KNOTS ON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE GALES SOUTH TONIGHT, BUT WITH A RAMP UP
EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY, WILL MAKE NO HEADLINE CHANGES.

WE HAVE EXTENDED THE GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY, AND WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE STORM
WARNING OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH 6 AM EST THURSDAY.
IT MAY BE DOWNGRADED TO A GALE WARNING BEFORE THEN. THE LOW LEVEL
JET IS QUITE ROBUST THROUGH THE EVENING (ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST), AND
IT RUNS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION ON THURSDAY.
THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE JET AND THE SURFACE WINDS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. SEAS TONIGHT IN EXCESS OF 15 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STORM
WARNING REGION. THEY WILL APPROACH 15 FEET OVER THE SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT, AND ALL ATLANTIC SEAS WILL SUBSIDE A BIT
THROUGH THURSDAY. SEAS OVER THE BAY GENERALLY WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6
FEET.

OUTLOOK...
GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL START TO DIMINISH THURSDAY EVENING AND BECOME
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY. BOTH WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY AND FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS ACROSS THE
REGION.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND KEEP US
HEADLINE FREE THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY. A COASTAL STORM IS SLATED TO
ARRIVE OVER THE WEEKEND, IMPACTING THE AREA WATERS STARTING SATURDAY
EVENING. WITH DISAGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODEL GUIDANCE AS TO THE
STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM, THE DETAILS REMAIN A LITTLE FUZZY.
EXPECT AND INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND
AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE NEEDED. A
PERIOD OF GALE FORCE GUSTS ALSO LOOKS POSSIBLE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME
ON SUNDAY. BOTH WINDS AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM BUT A DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT LOOKS TO REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS MAY REMAIN ON THE OPEN
WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MODELS HAVE FAIRLY CONSISTENTLY SHOWN ABOUT 1.25 TO 2.25 INCHES OF
LIQUID OVER THE WATCH AREA, AND THE HEADWATER GUIDANCE AND THE
HIGHER END OF THE AFOREMENTIONED QPF SUPPORT MAINTAINING THE WATCH.
THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT FLOODING MAY BE
CONFINED TO STREAMS AND THE SMALLER RIVERS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WAS ISSUED AROUND RARITAN BAY AND MONMOUTH
COUNTY FOR THE MORNING HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVY WAS ISSUED
FOR OCEAN COUNTY FOR THE SAME HIGH TIDE. FURTHER SOUTH, WE HAVE
UPDATED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY TO ALSO INCLUDE KENT DE &
CUMBERLAND NJ COUNTIES DUE TO EXPECTED HIGHER LEVELS IN THE
DELAWARE BAY. THE REMAINDER OF THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS FOR
HYBRID FLOODING, TIDES AND HEAVY RAIN RUNOFF IN THE TIDAL DELAWARE
RIVER FOR THE OVERNIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

FOR THE NEXT, THURSDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE THE WINDS WILL BE
BLOWING OFFSHORE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS SO NO ADDITIONAL TIDAL
FLOODING IS EXPECTED.  THERE HAS TO BE A PIVOT POINT IN ALL OF
THIS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST WHICH FOR NOW WE HAVE THE BEST
CONFIDENCE IN OCEAN COUNTY.

AS FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY, TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE AROUND A FOOT AND A HALF.
THIS HIGH TIDE CYCLE PASSED WITHOUT A PROBLEM. THE GUIDANCE DOES
THE SAME WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE AT TOLCHESTER BEACH ON
THURSDAY MORNING, BUT BY THEN THE BAY SHOULD START DRAINING, SO
PREFER TO SEE HOW THE TIDES TRANSPIRE OVERNIGHT AND JUST LEAVE THE
CHANCE IN THE HWO.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR PAZ070-071-101>106.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ060>062.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NJZ008>010-012-015-
     017>019.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ007-008.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ016>019-
     021.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ012>014-020-
     026.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NJZ020-026.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ001.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ022-025-027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NJZ012>014.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR DEZ001.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR DEZ001-002.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ430-431-452>455.
     STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ450-451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...GIGI/SZATKOWSKI
SHORT TERM...DELISI
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...GIGI/SZATKOWSKI/MEOLA
MARINE...DELISI/MEOLA
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 8:34 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-280145-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ008-280145-
MORRIS-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ007-PAZ060>062-280145-
WARREN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-PAZ101-103-105-280145-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ015-PAZ102-104-106-280145-
MERCER-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012-280145-
MIDDLESEX-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-280145-
NEW CASTLE-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND
NOON ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ016-280145-
SALEM-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT, THEREFORE
LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING COULD RESULT.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE AROUND
NOON ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-NJZ021-280145-
KENT-CUMBERLAND-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR TONIGHT, THEREFORE LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THURSDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ020-026-280145-
OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR TONIGHT, THEREFORE LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-004-NJZ022>025-027-280145-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS
EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR TONIGHT, THEREFORE LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THURSDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-014-280145-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR TONIGHT, THEREFORE LOCAL POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-280145-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NORTHEAST WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-452>455-280145-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO GALE FORCE THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-451-280145-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
834 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO GALE FORCE THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 26, 7:41 PM EST, 3 hours 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
741 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST LEWES                   38.78N  75.15W
12/26/2012  M59 MPH          SUSSEX             DE   NOS PLATFORM

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200901

AG
Local storm report, Dec 26, 7:43 PM EST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
743 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST DOVER AFB               39.13N  75.47W
12/26/2012  M64 MPH          KENT               DE   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200902

AG
Local storm report, Dec 26, 8:55 PM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
855 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST TUCKERTON SHORES        39.61N  74.32W
12/26/2012  M66 MPH          OCEAN              NJ   WEATHER FLOW

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200903

HEAVENER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 7:55 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more6 hr
Dec 26, 9:10 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, Sussex and 1 more4 hr
Dec 26, 11:15 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth, Ocean3 hr
Dec 27, 12:37 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHIHunterdon6 hr
Dec 27, 1:01 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonmouth59 min
Dec 27, 1:52 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth53 min
Dec 27, 7:58 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHIMorris5 hr
Dec 27, 1:42 PM ESTWind AdvisoryPHICape May5 hr
Dec 27, 1:46 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningPHIBurlington55 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2012Every areal flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.