Areal Flood Advisory 140, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

068 
WGUS81 KPHI 100347
FLSPHI

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1147 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

PAC089-100357-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.Y.0140.000000T0000Z-120810T0500Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MONROE PA-
1147 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...THE SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EASTERN
MONROE COUNTY...

LAT...LON 4124 7512 4116 7515 4115 7508 4109 7503
      4110 7500 4108 7497 4103 7504 4100 7511
      4097 7514 4092 7528 4121 7544 4125 7530
      4126 7513

$$

HEAVENER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
933 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN CANADA, DRAGGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA
LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WITH THEN BUILD IN
FOR SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY, CROSSING THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
LATEST LAPS AND ACARS SOUNDINGS IN THE AREA ARE SHOWING A SLOW
STABILIZATION IN THE AREA WITH CONVECTIVE TEMPS EDGING TOWARD 90F
AND SOME CIN DEVELOPING. OUTSIDE OF DELAWARE EARLY, THE AIR MASS
IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR CWA HAS NOT BEEN OVERTURNED YET AND
THERE IS SOME WARM AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE THAT ARE PROVIDING
RELATIVELY HIGHER CAPES AND AN INSTABILITY FEED INTO ONGOING
CONVECTION FARTHER TO THE NORTH. THE IMPULSES ALOFT ARE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST (AS ARE THE FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES). SO IN SPITE
OF THESE JUXTAPOSITIONS OF INSTABILITY AND KINEMATICS, THE
KINEMATICS IS WINNING AND THERE IS WHERE OUR HIGHEST POPS WILL BE
FOR THE OVERNIGHT. WE HAVE MAINTAINED ENHANCED WORDING THROUGH THE
REST OF THE EVENING, BUT THE OVERALL EVOLUTION LOOKS MORE TOWARD
HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING AS THE GREATER THREATS AND LESS TOWARD WIND.

TEMPERATURES WERE NOT CHANGED MUCH, JUST ADJUSTING FOR WHERE
HEAVIER RAIN FELL RECENTLY AND SOME PATCHY FOG APPEARS TO BE A
SAFE BET OVERNIGHT.

ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WAS PROGGED TO MOVE TOWARD OUR AREA IN THE
APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH LATER TONIGHT. IT WOULD BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A BIT MORE SHEAR, AND WE HAD OUR THUNDERSTORM POPS
RISING TOWARD DAYBREAK IN RESPONSE. THERE ALSO WAS THE HINT OF A
TRIPLE POINT TO OUR SOUTHWEST WITH PERHAPS A WEAK WARM FRONT TO
OUR SOUTH IN THE GUIDANCE FOR LATE TONIGHT, AND THAT COULD ENHANCE
RAIN AND/OR GENERATE SOME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. OUR TEMPERATURE
FORECAST MAINTAINS CONTINUITY AND CALLS FOR ANOTHER HUMID NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE A DAY WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MOISTURE, MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH LITTLE OR NO INHIBITION, MODERATE SHEAR AND A
LIKELY IMPULSE MOVING AROUND THE ADVANCING AND SHARPENING MID LEVEL
TROUGH/LOW. THAT WEAK TRIPLE POINT MIGHT MOVE INTO OUR AREA. WE
ULTIMATELY ARE CARRYING LIKELY THUNDERSTORM POPS WITH ENHANCED
WORDING THAT EMPHASIZE HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS. WE HAVE
LOOKED AT 1 HR, 3 HR AND 6 HR FFG AND FFH VALUES. WE DEEM THE FORMER
TO BE WITHIN REACH ONLY IN THE STRONGEST OF CELLS AND THE LATTER TO BE
OUT OF REACH. WE REFER TO THE CONCERN OVER LOCALIZED FLOODING IN THE
HWO. TEMPERATURES ARE A GUIDANCE/CONTINUITY BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FRIDAY NIGHT...DEEP UPPER TROUGH AND CUT OFF LOW SPINS OVER THE
GREAT LAKES. THERE IS LITTLE MOVEMENT SHOWN ON THE MODELS UNTIL LATE
SATURDAY AND EVEN THIS MAY BE A LITTLE BIT ON THE FAST SIDE AS THESE
UPPER LOW TEND TO MOVE SLOWER THAN FORECAST. IT DEPENDS ON JUST HOW
DEEP THE TROUGH GETS AND JUST HOW FAST IT CAN GET MOVING AS IT LOOKS
LIKE THE LOW IS PRETTY STACKED FROM THE SURFACE INTO THE UPPER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.  HEAVY RAIN REMAINS A THREAT AS PWATS
INCREASE TO AROUND 2 INCHES. THE REGION REMAINS IN AN AREA OF SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. BOTH HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE INCLUDED IN THE GRIDDED FORECAST AT THIS
TIME.

ON SATURDAY, THE SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION AND
THEN OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE, THE SURFACE LOW GETS
WRAPPED UP WITH THE MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND
SLOWLY STARTS TO PUSH NORTHWARD WITH TIME. THE MID LEVELS REALLY
START TO DRY OUT THROUGH THE DAY AND ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION
WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE TOWARDS THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE
BECOMING ISOLATED INTO THE EVENING.

ON SUNDAY, WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL START TO NOSE ITS
WAY NORTH INTO THE AREA AS THE CLOSED LOW PULLS FURTHER TO THE NORTH
OF THE AREA. THIS WILL HELP TO START DRYING US OUT A BIT AS WE HEAD
INTO THE NEW WEEK. WHILE WE KEEP SUNDAY DRY FOR NOW, THERE LOOKS TO
BE A SHORTWAVE THAT PUSHES THROUGH THE MOSTLY ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW
DURING THE MORNING. WHILE THERE MAY BE A FEW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WAVE, THE ATMOSPHERE LOOKS TO BE TOO DRY AT THIS TIME TO
INCLUDE ANY IN THE FORECAST.

THE HIGH REMAINS IN PLACE FOR MOST OF MONDAY BEFORE STARTING TO
SLIDE TO OUR SOUTHEAST LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE IN THE MOSTLY ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW WILL ROTATE THROUGH OUR
AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. WITH A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW HAVING
DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AREA AND SOME WAA STARTING TO TAKE PLACE, THERE
MAY BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND TO SPARK OFF A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE WE CONTINUE TO KEEP MONDAY DRY DURING THE
DAY AND KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY NIGHT.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WE AGAIN SEE SHORTWAVES ROTATE THROUGH THE
ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW. A COLD FRONT STARTS TO DROP DOWN FROM THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN CROSSES THE AREA SOMETIME ON WEDNESDAY
OR EARLY THURSDAY. WITH TIMING AN ISSUE THIS FAR OUT, WE HAVE MADE
LITTLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AND KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS
AS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH DAY.

THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST REMAINED LARGELY UNCHANGED AS WE BLENDED
HPC WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THE 00Z TAFS THAT WERE ISSUED PRETTY MUCH KEPT THE PREMISE OF THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST. WE CARRIED MVFR THUNDER EARLY AT KABE AND KRDG
BECAUSE OF PROXIMITY TO ONGOING CONVECTION. THERE IS LESS
INSTABILITY AND UPPER AIR SUPPORT FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
THUNDER WAS NOT INCLUDED AT THE TERMINALS FARTHER TO THE SE. VFR
CONDITIONS WERE FORECAST THIS EVENING.

OVERNIGHT AS THE AIR MASS IS QUITE MOIST AND HUMID WE DROPPED ALL
THE TERMINALS TO MVFR IN FOG TOWARD MORNING AND FORECAST A NEARLY
IFR CIG OF STRATUS TO FORM AT MOST TERMINALS. BECAUSE KTTN HAD A
THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN, WE ARE FCSTG LIFR CONDITIONS THERE
TOWARD MORNING. AT BOTH KMIV AND KACY WE ARE ALSO FORECASTING IFR
CONDITIONS TOWARD MORNING (CIG AND VSBY) AND WOULD IMAGINE OTHER
SHORE AIRPORTS WOULD BE THE SAME. WE DID CONTINUE THE MENTION OF
LATE SHOWERS AT KABE AND KRDG ASSOCIATED WITH THAT BAND OF
CONVECTION IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.

CONDITIONS SHOULD SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR AS FRIDAY MORNING
PROGRESSES. THE GREATEST CONFIDENCE FOR SHOWERS PRIOR TO NOON ARE
AT KABE AND KRDG. AFTER THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND PROBABLY EVENING ALSO. THE
CURRENT TAFS CARRY A ROUGH ESTIMATE AS TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE FIRST
BAND.

WINDS OVERALL SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF AN ISSUE AWAY FROM THE
THUNDERSTORMS. THEY SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING, LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT (SOUTH IF ANY
DIRECTION) AND THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 10 KNOTS ON FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES AND THEN MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
DETERIORATE TO MVFR, POSSIBLY IFR AT TIMES, AS SHOWERS AND STORMS
DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE AREA, LOWER CEILINGS WILL REMAIN MORE LIKELY AT THE TAF
SITES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY, IMPROVING TO VFR FROM WEST TO EAST.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
ALTHOUGH SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY, THE
GRADIENT WILL BE TIGHTENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE APPROACHING
ADVISORY CRITERIA MAINLY ON FRIDAY. THE THREAT OF CONVECTION WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS ALSO INCREASES THROUGH FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK...
THE MID LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN AND SPIN OVER THE GREAT
LAKES. MEANWHILE, A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO OUR WEST WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT TOWARD OUR REGION FRIDAY NIGHT CAUSING THE GRADIENT TO
TIGHTEN UP AND START TO CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE OVER THE AREA
WATERS WITH GUSTS IN THE 25-30 KNOT RANGE. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND START TO APPROACH
5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LOOK
LIKE THEY WILL BE MET ON FRIDAY NIGHT, BOTH BY SEAS AND WINDS,
BEFORE IT LOOKS LIKE IT BECOMES MORE SEA DRIVEN UNTIL SEAS SUBSIDE
LATER SATURDAY. FOR NOW WE WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY ADVISORIES
AS IT IS INTO THE LATE THIRD PERIOD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL AFFECT THE WATERS, MAINLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY, WHICH
WILL LOCALLY INCREASE WINDS AND WAVES.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
BOTH SEAS AND WINDS REMAINING BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE
REST OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...DELISI
SHORT TERM...DELISI/GIGI
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...GIGI/MEOLA
MARINE...DELISI/MEOLA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-025-
027-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-102000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
358 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
DURING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS. IN ADDITION, LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
WHICH COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE AND ROADWAY FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024-026-102000-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL OCEAN-
358 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
DURING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS. IN ADDITION, LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
WHICH COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE AND ROADWAY FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-102000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
358 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
DURING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
740 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

PAZ054-055-100115-
CARBON PA-MONROE PA-
740 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CARBON AND MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 736 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
WILKES-BARRE TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF WILKES-BARRE TO 20 MILES NORTHWEST
OF LEHIGHTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
TRESCKOW AROUND 745 PM...BEAVER MEADOWS AROUND 800 PM...WEATHERLY...
NESQUEHONING AROUND 815 PM...ARROWHEAD LAKE...JIM THORPE AROUND 830
PM...CHRISTMANS AND BLAKESLEE AROUND 845 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4093 7535 4084 7592 4091 7600 4098 7585
      4101 7575 4103 7574 4105 7578 4109 7577
      4113 7570 4114 7567 4113 7564 4123 7554
      4125 7518

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
824 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

PAZ054-060>062-100130-
BERKS PA-CARBON PA-LEHIGH PA-NORTHAMPTON PA-
824 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BERKS...CARBON...LEHIGH AND
NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

AT 818 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF LEHIGHTON TO 12 MILES NORTH OF READING TO READING...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR WANAMAKERS...ST. LAWRENCE
AROUND 830 PM...NEW TRIPOLI...JORDAN VALLEY AROUND 845 PM...
EMERALD...CLAUSSVILLE AROUND 900 PM...WALNUTPORT...SLATINGTON AROUND
915 PM...COPLAY AND NORTHAMPTON AROUND 930 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4055 7595 4068 7591 4071 7581 4074 7577
      4077 7580 4084 7549 4081 7547 4084 7536
      4066 7540 4042 7548 4044 7553 4037 7559
      4027 7598

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
910 PM EDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LEWES                   38.78N  75.15W
08/09/2012                   SUSSEX             DE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLEMINGTON              40.51N  74.86W
08/09/2012                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN

0315 PM     TSTM WND GST     POTTSTOWN               40.25N  75.64W
08/09/2012  M52 MPH          MONTGOMERY         PA   ASOS

0315 PM     HAIL             ELVERSON                40.16N  75.83W
08/09/2012  M0.88 INCH       CHESTER            PA   PUBLIC

0330 PM     HAIL             POTTSTOWN               40.25N  75.64W
08/09/2012  M0.75 INCH       MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC

0336 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SOUTH COVENTRY TWP      40.18N  75.68W
08/09/2012                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEWTOWN                 40.23N  74.94W
08/09/2012                   BUCKS              PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOPEWELL TWP            40.35N  74.78W
08/09/2012                   MERCER             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HIGH WATER REPORTED ON ROADWAYS

0513 PM     TSTM WND GST     TRENTON                 40.22N  74.76W
08/09/2012  M56 MPH          MERCER             NJ   ASOS

0513 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TRENTON                 40.22N  74.76W
08/09/2012                   MERCER             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL

            WINDOW DAMAGED AT CONTROL TOWER AT MERCER COUNTY
            AIRPORT. TREES ALSO DOWN ON TRAIN TRACKS IN TRENTON.

0519 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TRENTON                 40.22N  74.76W
08/09/2012                   MERCER             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN

0620 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WOODBRIDGE              40.56N  74.28W
08/09/2012                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WATER RESCUE IN PROGRESS

0710 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TULPEHOCKEN TWP         40.44N  76.25W
08/09/2012                   BERKS              PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN IN WESTERN BERKS COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200645 PHI1200644 PHI1200647 PHI1200648 PHI1200646
PHI1200649 PHI1200653 PHI1200650 PHI1200651 PHI1200654 PHI1200652
PHI1200655 PHI1200656

GAINES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
924 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

NJZ001-007-PAZ055-100300-
MONROE PA-SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-
924 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MONROE...SUSSEX AND WARREN
COUNTIES...

AT 923 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 25 MILES WEST OF NEWTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR ANALOMINK...HENRYVILLE AROUND 930
PM...MARSHALLS CREEK...SHAWNEE AROUND 945 PM...WERRY LAKE...HIDDEN
LAKE AROUND 1000 PM...FLATBROOKVILLE AROUND 1030 PM AND FIVE POINTS
AROUND 1045 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4111 7469 4094 7522 4111 7539 4123 7513
      4115 7514 4115 7508 4110 7504 4109 7502
      4116 7491 4121 7487 4124 7487 4129 7483

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1005 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

PAZ060-100300-
BERKS PA-
1005 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BERKS COUNTY...

AT 1003 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES WEST OF READING...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR WOMELSDORF AROUND 1015 PM...
SINKING SPRING...WERNERSVILLE AROUND 1030 PM...WHITFIELD...WYOMISSING
HILLS AROUND 1045 PM...WEST READING AND LAURELDALE AROUND 1100 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4051 7596 4029 7570 4019 7597 4029 7613
      4036 7621 4036 7622 4036 7623

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1005 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

MDZ008-PAZ067-100300-
CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
1005 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CECIL AND CHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 1003 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 25 MILES WEST OF NEWARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR ROCK SPRINGS...CONOWINGO AROUND
1030 PM...RICHARDSMERE...WEST NOTTINGHAM AROUND 1045 PM...RISING SUN
AND GLEN ROY AROUND 1100 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3973 7614 3974 7610 3983 7602 3985 7603
      3988 7600 3991 7599 3965 7582 3959 7610
      3963 7616 3965 7616 3969 7621 3972 7623

FORECASTER: HEAVENER