Special Weather Statement, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
507 AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SATELLITE HAS SHOWN ACCAS DEVELOPING IN VARIOUS AREAS THIS
MORNING AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALSO
DEVELOPED IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. HRRR IS ABOUT THE ONLY MODEL THAT
HAS SHOWED THIS DEVELOPMENT AND IT EXPECTS THIS CONVECTION TO
DISSIPATE LATE MORNING. WILL PROBABLY HAVE STORM REDEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON... BUT AGAIN DO NOT EXPECT THE STORMS TO BE VERY
WIDESPREAD. TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER HOT DAY BEFORE TEMPERATURES COME
COOL SLIGHTLY AS UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE WEST. HEAT INDICES WILL
BE MARGINAL FOR THE CURRENT HEAT ADVISORY... BUT WILL LET IT RIDE
FOR TODAY. WILL LIKELY SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS EACH
PERIOD THROUGH THURSDAY WHEN A FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
FORECAST HIGHS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL
BE ABOVE AVERAGE... BUT NOT AS HIGH AS RECENT DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 104  74 100  74 /  20  30  20  20
HOBART OK        105  73  99  74 /  30  30  20  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 105  76 101  76 /  20  20  20  20
GAGE OK          102  69  97  68 /  30  30  20  10
PONCA CITY OK    104  71  96  73 /  20  20  20  20
DURANT OK        103  75  98  76 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ039>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ086-089-090.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2012

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-081000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT.
ALTHOUGH MOST STORMS WILL JUST PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND MODERATE
TO STRONG WIND GUSTS...A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG AND PERSISTENT
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN
TODAY AND LAST WELL INTO TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF INTERSTATE-35...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST. WITH SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
IN LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY AUG 8.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...40 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HIGH WILDFIRE DANGERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION. THE PERSISTENT
HOT TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO INCREASE CHANCES OF HEAT RELATED
ILLNESSES...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE PARTICIPATING IN STRENUOUS OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...THE STRONGER STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
ALTHOUGH SOME LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE RAIN...WILDFIRE DANGERS WILL
REMAIN HIGH REGION-WIDE DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
NOON TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
945 AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2012

OKZ039-071515-
STEPHENS OK-
945 AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN STEPHENS COUNTY UNTIL
1015 AM CDT...

AT 945 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VELMA...
MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VELMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3441 9793 3467 9778 3458 9756 3430 9758
TIME...MOT...LOC 1439Z 23DEG 10KT 3455 9766

MBS