Special Weather Statement, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
351 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A TRIBUTE TO TEAMWORK AND SERVICE AS...IN ANTICIPATION OF A MOVE
TO ANOTHER OFFICE...I COMPOSE MY LAST AFTERNOON DISCUSSION FOR THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN...

/WE/ PREFER THE ECMWF BEYOND MONDAY...AS THE SOUTHWESTERN CLOSED
LOW IS NEARLY CUTOFF AND SHOULD BE SLOW TO MOVE. /MAKE/ OF IT
WHAT YOU WILL...BUT WE LOWERED SEVERAL PERIODS OF 20-30 PERCENT
POPS TO 10-20 PERCENT...PROMPTED BY VERY WARM MID LEVELS AND
MINIMAL FORCING. /THE/ FRONT ARRIVING SUNDAY OFFERS THE ONLY
CHANCE OF ORGANIZED RAIN...AND TIMING FAVORS OUR SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN COUNTIES. /DIFFERENCE/ BETWEEN MODELS THROUGH MONDAY IS
LITTLE. /WHEN/ THE FRONT DOES ARRIVE...IT WILL DRAW AIR FROM THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES...AND WE LOWERED DAYTIME TEMPS CONSIDERABLY.
/IT/ WILL STILL BE VERY WARM AT NIGHT...A TREND THAT HAS PERSISTED
FOR MONTHS. /MATTERS/ PERTAINING TO THIS FORECAST WERE RELATIVELY
STRAIGHTFORWARD AND LEAVE US WITH LITTLE MORE TO SAY. /MOST/ OF
ALL...ENJOY OUR SOUTHERN PLAINS WEATHER WHEN YOU CAN...AND CHECK
IN AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN WHEN SKIES THREATEN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  92  70  95 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         67  98  66  98 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  71  98  71  98 /  10  10  10   0
GAGE OK           58  95  55  96 /   0  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     70  90  71  90 /  10  10  10  10
DURANT OK         71  88  70  90 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

23/22
BURKE

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
721 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2012

TXZ087-040045-
KNOX TX-
721 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KNOX COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 719 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES
NORTHWEST OF O'BRIEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KNOX CITY...BENJAMIN...GILLILAND...RHINELAND AND VERA.

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 3352 10000 3352 9999 3362 9999 3378 9964
      3367 9951 3359 9947 3341 9979 3340 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 240DEG 49KT 3347 10006

WR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
809 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2012

TXZ087-040215-
KNOX TX-
809 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KNOX COUNTY UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 806 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF
ROCHESTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
POTENTIALLY SEVERE WINDS GUSTING OVER 55 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...GOREE AND RHINELAND.

MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY. BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED OR IF STORMS THREATEN YOU.

LAT...LON 3341 10000 3354 9998 3360 9952 3340 9951
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 241DEG 24KT 3335 10001

WR