Severe Thunderstorm Warning 26, NWS New York, NY

605 
WWUS51 KOKX 012156
SVSOKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
556 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NYC059-103-012215-
/O.CON.KOKX.SV.W.0026.000000T0000Z-120701T2215Z/
SUFFOLK NY-NASSAU NY-
556 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN NASSAU AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES...

AT 554 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MELVILLE TO SAGTIKOS PARKWAY
TO OAKDALE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PLAINVIEW TO BRENTWOOD TO
ISLIP...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  COMMACK BY 600 PM...
  BOHEMIA...NORTH PATCHOGUE...DEER PARK AND SUNRISE HIGHWAY BY 605
  PM...
  BRENTWOOD...NORTH BAY SHORE...BLUE POINT AND ISLIP BY 610 PM...
  ISLIP TERRACE BY 615 PM...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

&&

LAT...LON 4068 7303 4074 7289 4075 7289 4075 7292
      4073 7295 4074 7302 4072 7304 4072 7312
      4069 7315 4074 7356 4092 7354 4090 7350
      4092 7349 4089 7275 4078 7276 4078 7280
      4077 7277 4075 7277 4067 7300
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 274DEG 32KT 4079 7341 4079 7325
          4072 7312

$$

MALOIT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
359 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT AND SETTLES OVER
THE REGION FOR MONDAY AND REMAINS THROUGH TUESDAY. A WARM FRONT
MOVES INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THEN LIFTS TO THE NORTH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE
TRI-STATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON SATURDAY AND
MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800
PM AS THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY.
THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS EVENING...BY
AROUND 01Z...WITH THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENDING.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST TONIGHT WITH THE TROUGH REMAINING
INTO MONDAY. MEANWHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE
FRONT LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. AREA STABILIZES BEHIND THE FRONT
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH A MID LEVEL CAP DEVELOPING LATE MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT. SO HAVE REMOVED THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS MONDAY.

HEAT AND HUMIDITY REMAIN AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID
AND UPPER 60S...SO CONTINUING THE HEAT ADVISORY FOR NYC THROUGH 23Z.

FOR LOWS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT USED THE GFS GUIDANCE...AND A
BLEND OF GFS AND NAM GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS MONDAY.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE OCEAN BEACHES
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE REGION TUESDAY...WITH ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE
KEEPING THE REGION DRY. 850 TEMPERATURES WARM TO 15-17C...AND WITH
MIXING TO AROUND 775 HPA ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND 825 HPA NEAR THE
COAST...EXPECT HIGHS TO REACH FROM THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 - WITH
LOWER TO MID 80S NEAR THE COAST. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH A BLEND OF
MIXING DOWN FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED LEVELS WITH MET/MAV AND BIAS
CORRECTED MOS GUIDANCE AND NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES. WITH DEW POINTS
FORECAST TO BE AROUND 60 - EXPECT HEAT INDICES TO BE AROUND TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW AIR TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

A 500 HPA SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT - WARRANTING
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SHRA/TSTMS. FOR LOWS USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET
GUIDANCE WITH BIAS CORRECTED MAV GUIDANCE. THIS YIELDS VALUES AROUND
5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

A SECOND 500 HPA SHORTWAVE PUSHES IN ON WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH A
COMBINATION MORNING WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE AND A COLD FRONT MOVING IN
DURING THE AFTERNOON. HAVE CHANCE POPS FOR SHRA/TSTMS AS A RESULT.
WITH CAPES FORECAST TO 1500-3000 J/KG...HIGHEST ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...30-35 KT OF BULK SHEAR AND BULK RICHARDSON NUMBERS FROM
25-50 SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT. FOR HIGHS WEDNESDAY BLENDED MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN/ECWMF
LONG RANGE GUIDANCE WITH NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES AND A MIX DOWN
FROM 750 HPA ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND 850 HPA NEAR THE COAST. THIS
YIELDS HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S ACROSS WESTERN INTERIOR REGIONS...FROM
THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
INTERIOR...AND LOW TO MID 80S NEAR FAR EASTERN COASTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.
THEREAFTER...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN THROUGH SATURDAY. LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S
POSSIBLE FOR NYC AND POINTS AWAY FROM THE COAST AS 850 HPA
TEMPERATURES TO 18 TO 20 DEGREES.

COLD FRONT APPROACHES FOR SATURDAY AND MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD BE IN ANY
SHRA/TSRA THAT DEVELOP WITHIN THE REGION AND THE RESULTING VSBY
REDUCTION IF THEY ARE HEAVY. HOWEVER...ONLY EXPECTING SCT COVERAGE
THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY BETWEEN 19-23Z WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVING WITHIN THE REGION AND THEREFORE LEFT AS VCTS IN TAFS. QUICK
AMENDMENTS WITH TEMPOS OF TSRA MAY BE NECESSARY IF COVERAGE
INCREASES OF CELLS ON RADAR. ALSO...WITHIN SOME THUNDERSTORMS...GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THIS IS ALSO MAKING WIND FORECASTS MORE UNCERTAIN THIS AFTERNOON
WITH VARIANCE OF ABOUT 30 DEGREES AT TIMES. EAST OF THE
BOUNDARY...SEA BREEZES ARE LIKELY WITH MORE SOUTHERLY WINDS. TO
THE WEST OF IT...MORE OF A SW-W FLOW IS LIKELY. SUSTAINED WINDS
MAINLY LESS THAN 10 KTS...INCREASING TO 10-15 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
GUSTS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KT ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON BUT
FREQUENCY COULD BE MORE INTERMITTENT.

TONIGHT...EXPECT ANY SHRA/TSRA TO DIMINISH WITH VFR CONDITIONS
AS WELL AS LIGHT WINDS.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MON THROUGH FRI...
.MON-MON NIGHT...MOSTLY VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING SHOWER OR TSTM.
.TUE...VFR. CHANCE OF A LATE DAY TSTM.
.TUES NIGHT-WED...CHANCE OF TSTMS WITH MVFR OR LOWER CONDS.
.WED NIGHT-THU...MOSTLY VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR TSTM.
.FRI...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM WITH STRONG GUSTY
WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.

OTHERWISE A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS THIS
EVENING WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST LATER TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

WITH A RELATIVELY LIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT FORECAST OVER THE REGION -
WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FROM
TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY. IN GENERAL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR
BELOW 10 KT THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF AN
AFTERNOON/EVENING SEA BREEZE IN THE NY BIGHT REGION.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. RATHER
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THEREAFTER...WITH WINDS AND WAVES BELOW SCA
CRITERIA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH WINDS COULD APPROACH 25 KT
ON FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TOTAL BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL REMAINS LESS THAN 1/10
INCH. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SHRA/TSTMS ON WEDNESDAY...BASIN
AVERAGE QPF LIKELY WILL BE LESS THAN A 1/2 AN INCH - HOWEVER
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE UNDER ANY STRONGER
CONVECTION.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE INCREASING WITH THE APPROACH OF THE
FULL MOON ON TUESDAY. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR EVENING HIGH TIDES OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME IS THE TUESDAY EVENING HIGH
TIDE CYCLE.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NYZ072>075-176-
     178.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
138 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NYZ072>074-176-021000-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHERN QUEENS-
138 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 444 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ075-178-021000-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
138 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 444 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-081-179-021000-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
138 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 444 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-021000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
138 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 444 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>071-078-079-177-021000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
138 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 444 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
444 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NJZ002-012115-
WESTERN PASSAIC-
444 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT FAR WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTY...

AT 440 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FRANKLIN...OR 8 MILES WEST OF WEST
MILFORD...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR WEST MILFORD BY 455 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE...AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IN ADDITION...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH AN HOUR...IS
OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. THIS COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS... AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4107 7449 4109 7450 4115 7443 4115 7439
      4102 7440 4103 7442 4102 7443 4105 7445
      4103 7450 4104 7450

MALOIT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
455 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             KILLINGWORTH            41.35N  72.56W
07/01/2012  E0.75 INCH       MIDDLESEX          CT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TFM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
510 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             WESTBROOK               41.28N  72.45W
07/01/2012  E1.50 INCH       MIDDLESEX          CT   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

TFM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
516 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             WALLINGFORD             41.45N  72.82W
07/01/2012  E0.75 INCH       NEW HAVEN          CT   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DAMAGE TO CARS IN WALLINGFORD ON WILBUR CROSS PKWY FROM
            HAIL

&&

TFM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
517 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NJZ002-004-103-104-NYZ069>071-012215-
EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-ROCKLAND-SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-
517 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT BERGEN...PASSAIC...ROCKLAND AND
WESTCHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 515 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RAMSEY...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

PEOPLE IN BERGEN...PASSAIC...ROCKLAND AND WESTCHESTER COUNTIES...
INCLUDING RAMSEY...RIDGEWOOD...NANUET...ORADELL...PEARL RIVER...
TAPPAN...ORANGEBURG...NORWOOD...TARRYTOWN AND DOBBS FERRY...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE...AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IN ADDITION...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH AN
HOUR...IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. THIS COULD CAUSE PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS... AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4114 7431 4113 7368 4110 7372 4103 7367
      4094 7368 4091 7375 4088 7376 4089 7383
      4091 7385 4090 7387 4092 7392 4090 7393
      4095 7429 4099 7430 4100 7433

MALOIT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
521 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NYZ078-079-081-012200-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK-
521 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SUFFOLK COUNTY...

AT 519 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROCKY POINT...OR NEAR WADING RIVER...AND
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR CALVERTON BY 530 PM.
  5 MILES NORTH OF RIVERHEAD BY 540 PM.
  NEAR MATTITUCK BY 550 PM.
  NEAR PECONIC BY 555 PM.
  NEAR NOYACK BY 600 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE...AND
WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IN ADDITION...VERY
HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH AN HOUR...IS
OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. THIS COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS... AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4087 7235 4087 7297 4097 7297 4097 7274
      4099 7263 4106 7248 4109 7245 4110 7242
      4111 7232 4108 7227 4105 7226 4104 7220
      4104 7218 4094 7217

MALOIT