Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
342 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

.SHORT TERM (THRU THU)...
COUPLE OF H5 S/W TROF'S GENERATING ORGANIZED AREA OF STORMS THIS
AFTN. SYSTEM TO THE NORTH APPROACHING TN-KY LINE WORKING WITH A
FNTL BDRY TO CREATE A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS MOVG SOUTH...WITH A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ACROSS MUCH OF MID-TN UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

THE SECOND SYSTEM WITH STRONGER H5 S/W WL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND
GENERALLY IMPACT AREAS SOUTHWEST OF MID-TN. ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY
DEVELOP FURTHER WEST THIS EVENING WITH A SIMILAR TRACK...KEEPING
THE BULK OF ACTIVITY SOUTH OF MID-TN. AFTER THE STORMS DIE DOWN
LATER TNGT...EXPECT TO SEE SOME PATCHY FOG.

THU...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES WITH VERY WARM TEMPS. MODELS
SHOW LITTLE IF ANY STORM ACTIVITY...BUT DESTAB PARMS SHOW POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED STORMS WITH SHOWALTERS TO -3. IN TERMS OF HEAT...HEAT
INDICES LOOK TO REACH THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE. MOST LOCATIONS
WL REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA OF 105...SO WL PUSH OUT
ANOTHER SPS FOR HEAT THU.

.LONG TERM (FRI-WED)...
ACTIVE NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WL CONTINUE ALOFT WITH STORM SYSTEMS
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA PERIODICALLY FRI-MON. THE FIRST SYSTEM
LOOKS TO ARRIVE ON FRI...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LKLY. STORMS
ARE ALSO LKLY SUNDAY.

A COLD FRONT WL APPROACH AND POSSIBLY MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK. LONG-TERM MODELS SHOW SOME DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION
BEHIND THE SYSTEM...AND WL GO WITH LESS CLOUDS AND DROP THE CHANCE
OF RAIN AFTER MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      72  98  74  92 /  40  20  20  70
CLARKSVILLE    71  96  72  90 /  40  20  30  60
CROSSVILLE     68  91  69  87 /  40  20  20  60
COLUMBIA       72  98  74  92 /  20  20  20  60
LAWRENCEBURG   72  97  73  93 /  20  20  20  50
WAVERLY        71  97  73  91 /  40  20  30  60

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
507 AM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-021030-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
507 AM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ROSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
328 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

TNZ066-012100-
CUMBERLAND-
328 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CUMBERLAND COUNTY...

AT 328 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FAIRFIELD GLADE...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CROSSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...WINDS 40
TO 50 MPH....AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3582 8478 3581 8481 3577 8489 3575 8499
      3602 8510 3613 8487 3610 8483 3610 8482
      3608 8479 3606 8478 3599 8471 3591 8467

31

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
335 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

TNZ010-031>033-012115-
CLAY-JACKSON-OVERTON-PUTNAM-
335 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CLAY...JACKSON...OVERTON AND
PUTNAM COUNTIES...

AT 330 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF CELINA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3636 8520 3617 8550 3643 8568 3656 8552

AL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
342 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

TNZ009-030-031-012130-
JACKSON-MACON-SMITH-
342 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN JACKSON...MACON AND SMITH
COUNTIES...

AT 340 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RED BOILING SPRINGS...OR 9
MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3632 8559 3623 8589 3638 8604 3639 8603
      3640 8599 3642 8597 3643 8606 3652 8590

AL

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
402 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

TNZ066-012130-
CUMBERLAND-
402 PM CDT WED AUG 1 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CUMBERLAND COUNTY...

AT 400 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF FAIRFIELD GLADE...OR 9 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CROSSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SMALL HAIL...WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3589 8471 3585 8473 3582 8478 3581 8481
      3576 8491 3575 8501 3577 8503 3595 8507
      3604 8488 3592 8469 3590 8468

31