Severe Thunderstorm Warning 195, NWS Nashville, TN

460 
WWUS54 KOHX 021806
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
106 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

TNC081-119-187-021830-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0195.000000T0000Z-120702T1830Z/
WILLIAMSON TN-HICKMAN TN-MAURY TN-
106 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME NORTH
CENTRAL MAURY...NORTHEASTERN HICKMAN AND NORTHWESTERN WILLIAMSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

AT 102 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FAIRVIEW...OR
12 MILES EAST OF CENTERVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FRANKLIN AND FAIRVIEW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NASHVILLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3590 8681 3576 8730 3587 8738 3597 8726
      3596 8721 3598 8719 3601 8719 3605 8712
      3604 8705 3599 8704 3605 8693 3605 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 1806Z 239DEG 9KT 3586 8723

$$

AL

800 
WWUS54 KOHX 021830
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
130 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

TNC081-119-187-021839-
/O.EXP.KOHX.SV.W.0195.000000T0000Z-120702T1830Z/
WILLIAMSON TN-HICKMAN TN-MAURY TN-
130 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL MAURY...
NORTHEASTERN HICKMAN AND NORTHWESTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE
AT 130 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS 
THUNDERSTORM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN NASHVILLE.

REMEMBER...ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR 
FAR NORTHERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY FOR A DIFFERENT CELL.

LAT...LON 3590 8681 3576 8730 3587 8738 3597 8726
      3596 8721 3598 8719 3601 8719 3605 8712
      3604 8705 3599 8704 3605 8693 3605 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 1829Z 239DEG 9KT 3589 8717

$$

AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1247 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

.UPDATE...

18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR. CUMULUS CONTINUES TO FORM THROUGHOUT MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH SOME ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG TWO REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...ONE
STRETCHING FROM WAYNESBORO TO SPRINGFIELD...AND NOTHER FROM
SPRINGFIELD TO NEAR CROSSVILLE. WILL MENTION VCTS AT ALL AIRPORTS
THROUGH 02Z. SCATTERED CIRRUS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT. LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...BUT ERRATIC
DIRECTIONS/SPEEDS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY CONVECTION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 817 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2012/

UPDATE...

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
INCREASING IN COVERAGE THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHERN AND
NORTHEASTERN ZONES...BOTH IN ASSOCIATION WITH REMNANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FROM YESTERDAYS AND LAST NIGHTS CONVECTION. WILL RAISE
POPS ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ZONES...AND REMOVE AFTERNOON
WORDING TO EXTEND POPS THROUGH THE ENTIRE DAY FOR ALL AREAS. NO
OTHER CHANGES ATTM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 544 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2012/

UPDATE...ADDED AVIATION SECTION FOR 12Z TAF'S.

AVIATION...BNA/CKV/CSV...EXPECT A FEW MORE CLOUDS TODAY AS
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INCREASE. ISOLATED STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING, AND WILL HANDLE
THESE WITH "VCTS" REMARKS FOR NOW GIVEN THE LOW POP'S. OTHERWISE,
IT LOOKS LIKE VFR WX THE NEXT 24 HRS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2012/

DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE HAS SLOWLY BEEN WEAKENING OVER THE PAST
FEW DAYS AS UPPER FLOW BEGINS TO TURN NWLY/WLY. PROGS SHOW THE
UPPER RIDGE...CENTERED OVER GA...SINKING FURTHER SOUTHEAST AS WLY
FLOW TAKES OVER THE AREA. ALSO...BOTH THE ECM AND THE GFS SHOW A
WEAK SHORTWAVE APPROACHING THE AREA TODAY AND TRANSITING THE AREA
ON TUE. THIS WILL INSURE INCREASED TSTM ACTIVITY.

AFTER THIS SHORTWAVE PASSES FLOW TURNS TO NLY OVER THE AREA. THIS
WILL BRING A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS INTO THE AREA...FIRST ON THU
AND THE 2ND LATE ON SUN. ALL OF THIS WILL HELP TO KEEP TEMPS OUT
OF THE TRIPLE DIGIT RANGE BUT STILL SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
BY THE BY...DESPITE HAVING A VERY HOT END TO THE MONTH OF JUNE...
JUNE 1952 IS STILL THE WARMEST JUNE ON RECORD FOR NASHVILLE BY A
LONG SHOT. HOWEVER...THE LAST 4 DAYS JUN 28 - JUL 1 ARE THE HOTTEST 4
DAYS IN 142 YEARS OF RECORDED WEATHER AT NASHVILLE.

SO THE BOTTOM LINE WILL BE...SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN NORMAL
AND INCREASED CHANCES OF RAIN...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. I'VE GOT A 20-30 PCT CHANCE OF RAIN EACH DAY. WHILE THIS
RAIN WILL HELP THE DROUGHT SITUATION A LITTLE BIT...I WOULD NOT
EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT DROUGHT RELIEF. WHAT WE WOULD NEED IS A
LONG PERIOD OF SOAKING RAINFALL. GIVEN THAT IT SUMMER...THAT IS
NOT LIKELY TO HAPPEN...UNLESS THE REMAINS OF A TROPICAL STORM MOVE
INTO THE AREA AND LINGERS SEVERAL DAYS. WHILE THAT IS POSSIBLE...THE
ODDS OF IT HAPPENING ARE REMOTE.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHAMBURGER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
500 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-031030-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
500 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ROSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1246 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

TNZ057-059-060-021830-
HICKMAN-MAURY-WILLIAMSON-
1246 PM CDT MON JUL 2 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HICKMAN...MAURY AND WILLIAMSON
COUNTIES...

AT 1240 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES EAST OF CENTERVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

HALF INCH SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3604 8706 3599 8704 3602 8699 3588 8677
      3570 8727 3587 8740 3597 8726 3596 8721
      3598 8719 3601 8719 3605 8714

BOYD