Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
635 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS ARE STRUGGLING TO GET GOING THIS AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO BE THE CASE UNTIL
TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHEN AN UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHES. THEREFORE
HAVE REMOVED MENTION OF TS THE FIRST HALF OF THE TAF PERIODS AND
PLACED THEM AFTER 18Z TOMORROW AT TAF SITES CLOSEST TO A SURFACE
TROUGH. MVFR TO IFR CIGS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN TAF
SITES NEAR 12Z THEN LIFT TO VFR BY 18Z. GUSTY WINDS MAY DIMINISH
SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT...BUT FRIDAY WILL BE WINDY MOST OF THE DAY.

HENNIG

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
157 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2012

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-121900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
157 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2012 /1257 PM MDT THU OCT 11 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE PRESIDIO
VALLEY NORTHWARD TO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN
BASIN. A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. THE
MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS INCLUDE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS...60 MPH WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ELSEWHERE...STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND
WINDS GUSTS OF 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. THE GREATEST THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS
THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHWEST
PERMIAN BASIN.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND FAR EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
749 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2012

TXZ079-080-120130-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
749 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
SOUTHERN PRESIDIO COUNTY UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PRESIDIO AT
748 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SMALL HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
NICKELS AND STRONG WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3009 10437 2966 10381 2939 10416 2945 10422
      2947 10422 2950 10425 2952 10430 2952 10435
      2954 10439 2958 10441 2963 10452 2968 10455
      2977 10457 2989 10466
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 218DEG 25KT 2949 10440

HLUCHAN