Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Little Rock, AR

172 
WWUS54 KLZK 022155
SVSLZK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
455 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

ARC041-043-079-022205-
/O.EXP.KLZK.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-120402T2200Z/
DESHA AR-DREW AR-LINCOLN AR-
455 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LINCOLN...
EASTERN DREW AND SOUTHWESTERN DESHA COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 500 PM
CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM.

LAT...LON 3383 9180 3384 9145 3339 9145 3338 9146
      3339 9167
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 177DEG 32KT 3367 9157

$$

62

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
241 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
A SYSTEM ALOFT IN NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS
OVERNIGHT. AN MCS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL BUILD INTO THE
SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING
AND BECOMING MORE SCATTERED. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE EARLY.

OTHERWISE...THE PATTERN WILL BE A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE IN THE NEAR
TERM AS A CUTOFF LOW IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WOBBLES TOWARD
ARKANSAS THROUGH THURSDAY. SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM...SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST.

IT APPEARS PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING. WENT WITH LIKELY POPS
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE
MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF LITTLE ROCK ON THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM
TRACKS ALONG THE ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDER AND EVENTUALLY
EXITS THE REGION.

THE PERIOD WILL END WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF COOLER/MORE SEASONABLE
AIR THAT WILL BE AROUND FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW THAT WILL BRING PRECIP DURING THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD WILL HAVE MOVED TO THE SE OF AR AT THE START OF THE LONG
TERM...WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS.
DRY CONDITIONS AND CLOSER TO NORMAL TEMPS WILL BE SEEN FOR
FRI...WITH NW FLOW ALOFT. BY SAT...EXPECT TEMPS TO REBOUND WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTING EAST...WITH UPPER FLOW BECOMING SW.
MENTION INCREASING POPS ACROSS THE NWRN COUNTIES AS COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NW LATE SAT. HOWEVER...THE MAIN ENERGY WILL
REMAIN FAR TO THE NORTH AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE
NRN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL CAUSE THE FRONT TO
STALL OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE STATE FOR SUN. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY
REMAIN STALLED BRIEFLY AS ANOTHER...STRONGER UPPER WAVE DIVES SE
INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY REGION LATE IN THE LONG TERM...PUSHING
THE FRONT SOUTH OF THE STATE AT THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
WILL CONTINUE WITH AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE LONG TERM.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     64  81  61  77 /  20  50  60  60
CAMDEN AR         64  82  64  79 /  50  40  60  50
HARRISON AR       61  80  58  75 /  20  50  70  50
HOT SPRINGS AR    64  81  63  78 /  50  40  60  50
LITTLE ROCK   AR  64  82  63  78 /  40  40  60  50
MONTICELLO AR     65  84  64  79 /  50  40  60  50
MOUNT IDA AR      63  80  62  78 /  50  40  60  40
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  81  59  76 /  20  50  60  50
NEWPORT AR        64  82  61  78 /  20  50  60  60
PINE BLUFF AR     65  83  64  79 /  50  40  60  50
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  80  61  77 /  40  50  60  50
SEARCY AR         64  81  62  78 /  30  40  60  60
STUTTGART AR      64  82  63  79 /  30  40  60  60
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...62

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1250 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1250 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO
WESTERN LOUISIANA WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE
SOUTHWEST OF MENA AND PINE BLUFF.

THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS.
ISOLATED STORMS COULD PRODUCE QUARTER SIZE HAIL OR LARGER.

STORMS WILL TEND TO WEAKEN AND BECOME MORE SCATTERED AS THEY SPREAD
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION TONIGHT. THE CONCERN FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL DECREASE AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT FROM THE PLAINS WILL APPROACH THE
AREA ON TUESDAY AND GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY. THIS SLOW MOVING SYSTEM WILL BRING A FEW ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION.

THERE WILL BE SOME RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...BUT AT THIS TIME IT IS A BIT UNCERTAIN WHEN THE BEST
PERIOD WILL BE AND FUTURE FORECASTS WILL FINE TUNE THIS THREAT.

THE MAIN THREATS OF ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. ALSO SOME AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE NOTED.

THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY PUSH EAST OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY
AND END THE CHANCE OF RAIN. DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON
FRIDAY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF ARKANSAS
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

59/46

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
411 PM CDT MON APR 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EAST CAMDEN             33.61N 92.74W
04/02/2012                   OUACHITA           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES ARE DOWN ALONG HWY 274 NEAR EAST CAMDEN.

&&

227

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
417 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

ARZ053-062-063-066>069-022145-
BRADLEY AR-CALHOUN AR-CLARK AR-CLEVELAND AR-DALLAS AR-DREW
AR-OUACHITA AR-
417 PM CDT MON APR 2 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN OUACHITA...WESTERN
DREW...DALLAS...SOUTHERN CLEVELAND...SOUTHERN CLARK...NORTHERN
CALHOUN AND NORTHERN BRADLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 414 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF
BLUFF CITY TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LUNET TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BLUE
SPRINGS TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF SMEARNY...AND MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WARREN...             FORDYCE...            WILMAR...
  WHELEN SPRINGS...     WEEKS...              TRI COUNTY LAKE...
  TIPTON...             THORNTON...           SPARKMAN...
  SCIPIO...             RICHWOODS...          OKOLONA...
  MT ELBA...            LUNET...              LANARK...
  LAKE MONTICELLO...    LADELLE...            KINGSLAND...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 54 AND 72.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3353 9234 3366 9291 3368 9312 3377 9311
      3381 9314 3380 9318 3385 9331 3390 9331
      3395 9338 3399 9338 3405 9344 3415 9345
      3412 9308 3400 9248 3375 9185 3339 9169
      3339 9199
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 163DEG 33KT 3378 9326 3375 9295
          3364 9235 3347 9200

62