Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 148, NWS Lubbock, TX

May 30, 2012Childress County, Cottle County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2012, 7:13 PM CDT for Childress County, Cottle County, Texas. It was in force for 17 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2012, 7:13 PM CDT (00:13 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2012, 7:30 PM CDT
In force: 17 min
Issued by: NWS Lubbock, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Childress County, TX, Cottle County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 3:38 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 236 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 3472 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

463 
WUUS54 KLUB 310013
SVRLUB
TXC075-101-310115-
/O.NEW.KLUB.SV.W.0148.120531T0013Z-120531T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
713 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CHILDRESS COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.
  NORTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 711 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  CEE VEE...OR 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF PADUCAH...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST
  AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE SWEARINGEN AND
  HACKBERRY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3422 10000 3423 10002 3423 10003 3422 10004
      3386 10004 3386 10005 3415 10052 3417 10052
      3433 10031 3433 9999 3423 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 299DEG 23KT 3420 10039

$$

MEADOWS

2 follow-up statements

621 
WWUS54 KLUB 310023
SVSLUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
723 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXC075-310033-
/O.CAN.KLUB.SV.W.0148.000000T0000Z-120531T0115Z/
CHILDRESS TX-
723 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CHILDRESS
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3386 10004 3412 10046 3428 10026 3432 10007
      3431 10004
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 299DEG 23KT 3417 10032

$$

TXC101-310115-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0148.000000T0000Z-120531T0115Z/
COTTLE TX-
723 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
COTTLE COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 722 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED...PRODUCING  GOLF
BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CEE VEE...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF
PADUCAH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SWEARINGEN AND HACKBERRY.

LAT...LON 3386 10004 3412 10046 3428 10026 3432 10007
      3431 10004
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 299DEG 23KT 3417 10032

$$

MEADOWS

342 
WWUS54 KLUB 310030
SVSLUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
730 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXC101-310041-
/O.CAN.KLUB.SV.W.0148.000000T0000Z-120531T0115Z/
COTTLE TX-
730 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3386 10004 3412 10046 3428 10026 3432 10007
      3431 10004
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 299DEG 23KT 3415 10027

$$

MEADOWS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 6:43 PM CDT, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 6:43 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
643 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

.AVIATION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE KCDS TERMINAL FOR A
SHORT WHILE LONGER THIS EVENING. MOST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
ALREADY MOVED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
STREAM BACK INTO THE AREA TONIGHT WITH LOW STRATUS DEVELOPMENT A
HIGH PROBABILITY AT KLBB. STRONG WINDS WILL THEN DEVELOP OUT OF
THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND A COLD FRONT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012/

SHORT TERM...
COMPLEX ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH HOT AND VERY DRY
CONDITIONS MOST AREAS ON THE CAPROCK...AND MOIST AND INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER ROLLING PLAINS AND ESPECIALLY AGAINST MUCH
OF THE CAP-ROCK FROM ABOUT DICKENS COUNTY NORTHWARD. WE ARE
EXPECTING STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA AS
NOTED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. NOT MUCH REALLY HAS CHANGED SO
WILL NOT ELABORATE FURTHER. OTHERWISE...STORM CHANCES WILL GENERALLY
SLIDE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THOUGH THERE
COULD BE A TENDENCY FOR OUTFLOW TO TRY TO PUSH SOME DEVELOPMENT A
BIT FURTHER WEST EARLY THIS EVENING. NO BIG CHANGE AGAIN FROM THE
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. SURFACE LOW WILL EDGE EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING WITH COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHWARD LATER IN THE EVENING.
MUCH COOLER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL SWEEP SOUTHWARD. LOW CLOUDS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT. THURSDAY SHOULD BEGIN CLOUDY MOST
AREAS WHILE THE COMBINATION OF THE MORE STABLE AIRMASS AND THE COLD
FRONT ADVANCING FAR TO THE SOUTH WILL LIMIT CONVECTIVE OPPORTUNITIES
LATE IN THE DAY. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AS WELL EARLY THURSDAY IN
PARTICULAR. THIN SMOKE PLUME EDGING INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
WITH ONLY MINOR RESTRICTIONS TODAY AS OPPOSED TO YESTERDAY...WILL
MOSTLY DISSIPATE AFTER FRONTAL PUSH. RMCQUEEN

LONG TERM...
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE TO START THE EXTENDED FORECAST
LATE THIS WORK WEEK...GRADUALLY BACKING TO NEAR ZONAL BY LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. AT THE SFC...COOL HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THURSDAY WILL ADVANCE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALLOW RETURN FLOW TO
COMMENCE OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON FRIDAY. IMPROVED MOISTURE
LEVELS EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM...COUPLED WITH A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH GLIDING BY WELL TO THE NORTH...WILL INCREASE THE PROBABILITY
OF CONVECTION MOVING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM AND TOWARD THE
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT /VERSUS THURSDAY NIGHT/. NW/N ZONES STAND THE BEST
CHANCE OF ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY MAKING IT INTO THE CWA LATE FRIDAY
AND HAVE EXPANDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THERE ACCORDINGLY.
LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY/FRONT MAY
FOLLOW...SETTING UP IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE PANHANDLE BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH A DIFFUSE DRYLINE TRAILING IT OFF TO THE SOUTH.
THESE MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES...COUPLED WITH PERHAPS A WEAK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH SPILLING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...MAY BE THE IMPETUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SATURDAY AFTN/EVNG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
BE RATHER TAME...BUT MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY COULD SUPPORT
STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION SHOULD IT MATERIALIZE LOCALLY. EXPECT
THE RESIDUAL QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT TO RETREAT NORTHWARD BY SUNDAY
AS WEAK MID/UPPER FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS WEST TEXAS WITHIN A RIDGE
THAT AMPLIFIES IN ADVANCE OF A WESTERN TROUGH. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS PARTS OR MUCH OF THE FA AND WITH SOME
MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED WITHIN THE RIDGE...COULD NOT RULE
OUT ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED LATE DAY CONVECTION FROM SUNDAY
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...LOW CONFIDENCE IN STORM
DEVELOPMENT...LOCATION AND COVERAGE PRECLUDE MORE THAN POPS OF 10-15
PERCENT EACH AFTN/EVNG ATTM.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES
FRIDAY...BUT WILL QUICKLY JUMP WELL ABOVE AVERAGE THIS
WEEKEND...WHERE THEY WILL STAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        57  76  51  83  59 /  20  10  10  10  20
TULIA         60  77  52  83  61 /  20  10  10  10  20
PLAINVIEW     61  78  52  83  63 /  20  10  10  10  20
LEVELLAND     60  81  56  85  63 /  10  10  10  10  10
LUBBOCK       63  81  55  85  65 /  10  10  10  10  10
DENVER CITY   59  83  59  86  63 /  10  10  10  10  10
BROWNFIELD    61  82  58  85  63 /  10  10  10  10  10
CHILDRESS     65  83  55  83  64 /  50  10  10  10  20
SPUR          65  83  55  86  65 /  30  10  10  10  10
ASPERMONT     68  85  58  87  66 /  30  10  10  10  10

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

01

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 11:00 AM CDT, 8 hours 13 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1100 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXZ021>044-311600-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1100 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. PRIMARY CONCERN WILL
BE LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF A TENNIS BALL AND WIND GUSTS OF
ABOVE 60 MPH...WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 5:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
543 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     HAIL             3 SW CHILDRESS          34.39N 100.29W
05/30/2012  E1.00 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL REPORTED AT PRISON SOUTHWEST OF CHILDRESS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200256

JORDAN

Local storm report, May 30, 5:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
551 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     HAIL             6 NE PADUCAH            34.08N 100.23W
05/30/2012  M4.50 INCH       COTTLE             TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200257

JORDAN

Local storm report, May 30, 5:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
559 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     HAIL             10 S CHILDRESS          34.28N 100.25W
05/30/2012  E1.75 INCH       COTTLE             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200258

JORDAN

Local storm report, May 30, 6:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
601 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     TSTM WND GST     PADUCAH                 34.01N 100.30W
05/30/2012  E90 MPH          COTTLE             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            ESTIMATED 80-90 MPH WINDS IN PADUCAH. POWER IS OUT AND
            SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200259

JORDAN

Local storm report, May 30, 6:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
603 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PADUCAH                 34.01N 100.30W
05/30/2012                   COTTLE             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF FULL TREES UPROOTED...SHEET METAL FLYING
            THROUGH AIR...POSSIBLE COMBINATION STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
            AND GUSTNADO

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200260

JORDAN

Local storm report, May 30, 6:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
605 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     11 NW ESTELLINE         34.66N 100.58W
05/30/2012                   HALL               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BARNS DAMAGED...POWER LINES DOWN...HOME WITH ROOF
            REMOVED...TRAILERS BLOWN OVER. NO INJURIES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200261

JORDAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 7:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LUB	Cottle, King	34 min
May 30, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cottle, King	31 min
May 30, 7:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cottle, King	24 min
May 30, 8:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	King, Stonewall	34 min
May 30, 8:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	King, Stonewall	19 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.