Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 277, NWS Louisville, KY

July 1, 2012Breckinridge County, Hardin County, Meade County, Kentucky; Crawford County, Harrison County, Perry County, Indiana

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2012, 6:26 PM CDT for Breckinridge County, Hardin County, Meade County, Kentucky; Crawford County, Harrison County, Perry County, Indiana. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 1, 2012, 6:26 PM CDT (23:26 UTC)
Expired: Jul 1, 2012, 6:55 PM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Crawford County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Perry County, IN, Breckinridge County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Meade County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 1, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2251 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1768 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

556 
WUUS53 KLMK 012326
SVRLMK
INC025-061-123-KYC027-093-163-012355-
/O.NEW.KLMK.SV.W.0277.120701T2326Z-120701T2355Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
726 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  NORTHWESTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  MEADE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  SOUTHWESTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  EASTERN PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 755 PM EDT/655 PM CDT/

* AT 623 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MOUNT PLEASANT TO UNION STAR TO
  HARDINSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  HARDINSBURG...
  BRANDENBURG...
  CORYDON...
  CAPE SANDY AND FREDONIA...
  CEDAR FLAT AND MIDWAY...
  HIGH PLAINS AND CORNERS...
  MAPLES CORNER AND HILLGROVE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE A BURST
OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...TORRENTIAL RAINS...AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW SPOTS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 3825 8611 3797 8596 3772 8608 3775 8651
      3794 8646 3816 8655
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 269DEG 33KT 3811 8647 3794 8640
          3778 8646
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

SCHOETTMER

1 follow-up statement

014 
WWUS53 KLMK 012357
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
757 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

INC025-061-123-KYC027-093-163-020006-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0277.000000T0000Z-120701T2355Z/
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-CRAWFORD IN-MEADE KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-HARDIN KY-
757 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HARDIN...
NORTHEASTERN BRECKINRIDGE...MEADE...SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN HARRISON AND EASTERN PERRY COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE NO LONGER
SEVERE. HOWEVER STRONG STORMS REMAIN IN THE AREA. THESE ARE CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. GUSTY 
WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR ANOTHER HALF AN HOUR.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE.

LAT...LON 3825 8611 3797 8596 3772 8608 3775 8651
      3794 8646 3816 8655
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 269DEG 33KT 3811 8647 3794 8640
          3778 8646

$$

SCHOETTMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 2:10 PM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 2:10 PM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
310 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

.Short Term (Tonight through Monday night)...
Issued at 310 PM EDT Sun July 1 2012

Several issues to deal with in the short term forecast. Currently,
things are quiet across the CWA, however potential appears to be
growing for scattered thunderstorm activity later this evening. A
look at the latest water vapor imagery shows a weak shortwave
rounding the top of the ridge over southern Illinois, with an
associated weak surface low underneath. This is creating moisture
convergence near the Wabash/Ohio River confluence and a few storms
have already fired near this location. Expect this wave, along with
other waves embedded in the northwest flow over IL/IN to slowly move
toward the region later this evening and should provide enough lift
to kick off scattered storms. One limiting factor will be strength
of the cap with strong mid level high to the south. With the amount
of instability, (CAPE values ~ 2000-4000 J/KG) and dry air at the
low and mid levels expect that storms that do fire will have the
potential to go severe with damaging winds and hail being the main
threats. Secondary threats would be heavy rainfall and cloud to
ground lightning. Deep layer shear is marginal for organization and
expect storm mode to mainly be pulse in nature. Best coverage of
storms should be across southern Indiana and north central Kentucky.
Across south central Kentucky, expect cap to be strong enough to
keep things dry overnight.

As far as the heat goes, current temperatures are ranging in the
upper 90s to low 100s across the region. Record high temperatures
have already been tied or set at BWG, SDF, and LEX with an hour or
two of heating still to go. Will keep heat headlines in place
through late this evening, however will downgrade to an advisory
mainly along and west of I-65 for tomorrow. Will go with no headline
east of this line. Thanks to surrounding offices for collaboration.
Overall high temperatures are expected to be a degree or two cooler
than today, however higher dew points will yield heat indices near
the same values as today. Either way, we should be below Excessive
Heat Warning criteria and with prolonged nature of the heat, felt
advisory was still sufficient. One other factor that could wreck the
temperature forecast will be a better chance of convection. Will
give the following shifts time to re-evaluate.

Overall, expect a weakening of the upper level ridge through this
forecast period which should lead to an increase in isolated to
scattered convective chances tomorrow afternoon and evening. Also,
mid level pattern looks to have several weak waves embedded within
which could enhance areas of convection. Low confidence portion of
the forecast carries slight chances overnight, mainly across the
northern CWA. Monday could bring isolated to scattered coverage
across the entire CWA and will rely on diurnal trends and low
confidence to go with a dry forecast for Monday night.

Expect mild overnight lows once again in the 70s. Tomorrow will see
highs ranging from the upper 90s to around 100 degrees in most
spots. Overnight lows will once again be in the 70s.

.Long Term (Tuesday through Sunday)...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Sun Jul 1 2012

Above normal temp regime continues, but the devil is in the details
here as the upper ridge retrogrades into the Plains. Ohio Valley
will be in the NW flow on the periphery of the ridge for the middle
portion of the week. Forecast confidence is low due to impulses
aloft that will be at best difficult to time. With a hot and fairly
humid air mass in place, it will not take much of a disturbance to
initiate convection on any day. That said, we remain in a drought so
would rather not get carried away with inserting 20-30 POPs across
the board.  Best shot appears to be Tuesday, with POPs trending down
and being more limited to the Bluegrass and the higher terrain after
that as the timing becomes more difficult. The breakdown of the
ridge overhead will keep things just unsettled enough to limit max
temps to the mid/upper 90s, with heat indices just over 100 each
afternoon.

GFS/ECMWF both show the ridge strengthening over the Plains and then
building east Friday into Saturday, which could bring 100 degree
heat back to the area in time for the weekend. Sunday carries
another divergence in the models, as the GFS tries to develop an
East Coast trough, and bring a cold front SE across the Ohio Valley.
Will include a 20-30 POP out of respect for the modest height falls
aloft, but still splitting the difference between the 100 degree
temps in the previous forecast and the lower 90s advertised by the
latest GFS extended MOS.

&&

.Aviation (18Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 1257 PM EDT Sun July 1 2012

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period,
however may have to deal with some periods of shower and
thunderstorm activity at SDF/LEX later this afternoon and evening.
Expecting scattered thunderstorm development in response to
destabilizing atmosphere and a series of weak disturbances in the
mid and upper level flow. Will keep prevailing VFR at SDF/BWG for
now, although will mention a small window of VCTS this evening until
confidence is higher. Conditions will deteriorate to MVFR or worse
in any thunderstorm.

Otherwise, expect generally southwest winds between 5 and 10 mph to
take hold this afternoon, going variable this evening.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING
     FOR INZ076>079-083-084-089>092.

KY...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING
     FOR KYZ023>034-038-045-053-061>063-070>074.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
     KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082.

Short Term.......BJS
Long Term........RAS
Aviation.........BJS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 5:47 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
647 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

KYZ056-057-064>067-075>078-081-082-030200-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-
MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...
COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
647 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012 /547 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2012/

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

EARLY EVENING TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE AROUND 100 DEGREES WITH
SIMILAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER HEAT INDEX READINGS.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS EVENING
AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.
ANY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS
AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE (ALL LOWER CASE).

KYZ061>063-070>074-030200-
BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-
BARREN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
547 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

EARLY EVENING TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES WITH
SIMILAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER HEAT INDEX READINGS.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. ANY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WITH HIGH PRESSURE BREAKING DOWN AND MOVING OUT OF THE OHIO
VALLEY EARLY ON IN THE UPCOMING WEEK...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS EACH AFTERNOON FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL CONTAIN THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE (ALL LOWER CASE).

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>032-053-030200-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-LARUE KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...HODGENVILLE
647 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012 /547 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2012/

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 448 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT /10 PM
CDT/ THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ TO 10 PM EDT
/9 PM CDT/ MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

EARLY EVENING TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES WITH
SIMILAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER HEAT INDEX READINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WITH HIGH PRESSURE BREAKING DOWN AND MOVING OUT OF THE OHIO
VALLEY EARLY ON IN THE UPCOMING WEEK...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS EACH AFTERNOON FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL CONTAIN THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE (ALL LOWER CASE).

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054-055-030200-
FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-
BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-
MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...LEBANON...
DANVILLE
647 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 448 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

LATE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE AROUND 100 DEGREES WITH
SIMILAR HEAT INDEX READINGS.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS
AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE (ALL LOWER CASE).

KYZ033-034-038-045-030200-
HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-SPENCER KY-NELSON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...
BARDSTOWN
647 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 448 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

LATE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE AROUND 100 DEGREES WITH
SIMILAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER HEAT INDEX READINGS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WITH HIGH PRESSURE BREAKING DOWN AND MOVING OUT OF THE OHIO
VALLEY EARLY ON IN THE UPCOMING WEEK...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS EACH AFTERNOON FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL CONTAIN THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE (ALL LOWER CASE).

BJS/AMS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 1, 5:57 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
657 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

INC037-117-012325-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-
657 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN...AND 50 MPH WINDS...

AT 656 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A GUST FRONT AHEAD OF STRONG STORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8
MILES NORTHWEST OF JASPER TO 10 MILES EAST OF JASPER...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

EXPECT STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  ELLSWORTH AND PORTERSVILLE...
  CUZCO AND CRYSTAL...
  THALES AND NORTON...
  FRENCH LICK MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND GREENBRIER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE AWARE THAT A GUST FRONT PRECEDING THESE STORMS WILL GENERATE
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF ANY RAIN.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3851 8707 3851 8698 3851 8696 3849 8695
      3851 8694 3850 8688 3853 8684 3853 8669
      3857 8668 3849 8644 3837 8679 3846 8708
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 231DEG 24KT 3848 8703 3839 8675

SCHOETTMER

Local storm report, Jul 1, 6:10 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
710 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     HAIL             2 S HAWESVILLE          37.87N  86.76W
07/01/2012  E0.70 INCH       HANCOCK            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200669

RL

Local storm report, Jul 1, 6:12 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
712 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0706 PM     TSTM WND DMG     AUSTIN                  38.74N  85.81W
07/01/2012                   SCOTT              IN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES DOWN IN THE AUSTIN AREA

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200670

RL

Special weather statement, Jul 1, 6:14 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
714 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

INC117-175-012345-
WASHINGTON IN-ORANGE IN-
714 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...NICKEL
SIZE HAIL...AND 50 MPH WINDS...

AT 709 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PAOLI...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  PAOLI...
  CHAMBERSBURG AND STAMPERS CREEK...
  TROTTER CROSSING AND MAHAN CROSSING...
  MILLERSBURG AND BROMER...
  LIVONIA AND CLAYSVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS...AND AVOID USING THE
TELEPHONE UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY.

&&

LAT...LON 3873 8629 3842 8607 3843 8654 3853 8661
      3869 8635 3869 8632 3872 8631
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 256DEG 23KT 3851 8644

SCHOETTMER

Local storm report, Jul 1, 6:20 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
720 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0707 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N IRELAND             38.47N  87.00W
07/01/2012                   DUBOIS             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200671

RL

Local storm report, Jul 1, 6:22 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
722 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HAWESVILLE              37.90N  86.76W
07/01/2012                   PERRY              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWN IN HAWESVILLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200672

RL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 1, 2:35 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	LMK	Allen, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Edmonson and 13 more	28 hr
Jul 1, 6:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Hancock	33 min
Jul 1, 6:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Trimble	31 min
Jul 1, 6:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge, Meade	31 min
Jul 1, 6:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Trimble	30 min
Jul 1, 6:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Bullitt	29 min
Jul 1, 4:09 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Jefferson	26 min
Jul 1, 4:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Jefferson	20 min
Jul 1, 4:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Jefferson	29 min
Jul 1, 5:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Dubois	30 min
Jul 1, 5:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Dubois	29 min
Jul 1, 5:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Jefferson	29 min
Jul 1, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Dubois	32 min
Jul 1, 5:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Jefferson, Scott	28 min
Jul 1, 5:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Crawford	31 min
Jul 1, 5:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Crawford, Orange	28 min
Jul 1, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Scott, Washington	29 min
Jul 1, 5:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Dubois	28 min
Jul 1, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Dubois	29 min
Jul 1, 6:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Orange	31 min
Jul 1, 6:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark, Jefferson, Scott	30 min
Jul 1, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Orange, Washington	30 min
Jul 1, 6:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LMK	Scott	29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2012 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Indiana, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.