Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Jackson, KY

832 
WWUS53 KJKL 262147
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
547 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

KYC199-262157-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-120426T2215Z/
PULASKI KY-
547 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PULASKI COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3693 8429 3699 8434 3700 8432 3702 8433
      3703 8430 3706 8433 3709 8428 3711 8429
      3712 8428 3712 8429 3714 8429 3714 8418
      3704 8368 3668 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 294DEG 28KT 3701 8412

$$

KYC051-121-125-235-262215-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-120426T2215Z/
KNOX KY-WHITLEY KY-CLAY KY-LAUREL KY-
547 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
LAUREL...SOUTH CENTRAL CLAY...NORTHEASTERN WHITLEY AND WESTERN KNOX
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 548 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DORTHAE...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF LONDON...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MCHARGUE...MOORE HILL...WOODBINE AND LESBAS AROUND 555 PM EDT.
  GRAY...LYNN CAMP...SILER AND TUTTLE AROUND 600 PM EDT.
  BERTHA STATION...ROSSLAND...ARKLE AND KNOXFORK AROUND 605 PM EDT.
  GARRICH...BAILEYS SWITCH AND BENTLEY STATION AROUND 610 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE SILER
AND PROVIDENCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS EXHIBITED SOME WEAK ROTATION. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP
QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE... SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3693 8429 3699 8434 3700 8432 3702 8433
      3703 8430 3706 8433 3709 8428 3711 8429
      3712 8428 3712 8429 3714 8429 3714 8418
      3704 8368 3668 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 294DEG 28KT 3701 8412
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

BECKER

317 
WWUS53 KJKL 262203
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
603 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

KYC051-121-125-235-262215-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-120426T2215Z/
KNOX KY-WHITLEY KY-CLAY KY-LAUREL KY-
603 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
LAUREL...SOUTH CENTRAL CLAY...NORTHEASTERN WHITLEY AND WESTERN KNOX
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 601 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRAY...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARBOURVILLE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GARRICH...BENTLEY STATION...JARVIS AND LOWELL AROUND 610 PM EDT.
  CANNON...BAILEYS SWITCH...GIRDLER AND HEIDRICK AROUND 615 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
PROVIDENCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS EXHIBITED SOME WEAK ROTATION. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP
QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE... SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3696 8423 3701 8425 3707 8420 3707 8412
      3704 8368 3668 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 294DEG 28KT 3696 8398
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

BECKER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
315 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 314 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

WITH INSTABILITY INCREASING AND CU FIELD REALLY INTENSIFYING...SPC
HAS GONE AHEAD WITH A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR AREAS MAINLY TO
THE SOUTH OF I-64. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
NOW...SO THE THREAT TO THE SOUTH SEEMS REASONABLE. STAY TUNED THIS
EVENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 245 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

COLD FRONT IS NOW BEGINNING TO PUSH INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY...EXTENDING
FROM NEAR MOREHEAD...THROUGH RICHMOND. ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE BEGUN TO
DEVELOP OVER THE PAST HOUR ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...MAINLY IMPACTING
AREAS NORTH OF I-64. PLENTY OF INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN
KENTUCKY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
70S...GIVING SBCAPES AROUND 2000J/KG. IT LOOKS LIKE OUR CAP IS
QUICKLY WEAKENING ACROSS THE STATE WHICH SHOULD GIVE WAY TO MORE
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT HEADING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STILL LOTS OF SHEAR IN PLACE FOR ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

THIS FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS STEADILY TO THE
SOUTHEAST...EVENTUALLY CLEARING THE KENTUCKY BORDER BETWEEN AROUND
00Z. THIS WILL ESSENTIALLY END OUR SEVERE THREAT BY LATE EVENING.
AS THE FRONT SETTLES SOUTHWARD AND THEN STALLS WELL TO OUR SOUTH
TONIGHT...A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL ADVECT SOUTHWARD INTO
EASTERN KENTUCKY. THIS WILL YIELD A COOLER NIGHT WITH LOWS WELL INTO
THE 40S. A FEW OF THE COLDER VALLEYS COULD EVEN SEE SOME UPPER 30S.

TOMORROW...WILL ALSO BE COOLER. THE FRONTAL ZONE IS MUCH SLOWER
COMING BACK TO THE NORTH...SO OUTSIDE OF SOME HIGH CLOUDS...SHOULD BE
A PLEASANT DAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE 60S. BY
TOMORROW NIGHT A SHORTWAVE PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WILL HELP PUSH THE FRONTAL ZONE BACK TO THE NORTH. AT THIS TIME...NOT
MUCH FORCING ALONG THE FRONT WITH ALL THE BETTER FORCING OFF TO OUR
NORTHWEST. THUS...GOING TO KEEP POPS IN THE 20 TO 30 RANGE AS THE
FRONT PUSHES NORTH. IF THE FRONT ENDS UP SLOWER...WE MAY HAVE TO
WATCH A POTENTIAL MCS APPROACHING THE AREA BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY...BUT
RIGHT NOW THIS APPEARS TO STAY NORTH OF OUR AREA. AFTER COOLING OFF
QUICKLY WITH LOTS OF DRY AIR IN PLACE FRIDAY EVENING...TEMPERATURES
SHOULD START TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT LIFTS
NORTH.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO PAINT AN ACTIVE PATTERN IN PLACE TO START THE
PERIOD WITH A WARM FRONT IN THE PROCESS OF LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY EARLY ON SATURDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY. MODELS REMAIN IN
SOME DISCORD WITH THE TIMING AND ULTIMATE LOCATION OF THE FRONT BUT
A LOOSE CONSENSUS SUGGESTS THE FRONT WILL BE NORTH OF THE RIVER BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT BEGINS TO SWEEP
ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH...WARRANTING A SOLID CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER GIVEN THE TIME OF DAY/NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. BY SUNDAY...THE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO SETTLE SOUTH OF
THE AREA BUT NEAR THE TN VALLEY WITH AN AMPLIFYING...TRANSIENT RIDGE
MOVING THROUGH THE MS VALLEY AND INTO ERN KY. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A
BRIEF LULL IN ACTIVITY FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND WILL TREND
THE FORECAST IN THAT DIRECTION.

MODELS BEGIN TO POINT TOWARDS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW TAKING ON
MORE OF A ZONAL APPEARANCE ACROSS THE CONUS BY MONDAY...ALONG WITH
THE USUAL SPREAD IN TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE VARIOUS SHORT WAVES
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW ALSO DEPICTED IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS. HAVE
FOLLOWED A GENERIC BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK. THIS LEADS TO ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WINDING UP OVER
THE PLAINS LATE THIS WEEKEND DRAWING THE STALLED COLD FRONT BACK
NORTH AGAIN AS A WEAK WARM FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK AND BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA FOR
MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THEREAFTER...THE PATTERN BECOMES FAIRLY
PROGRESSIVE WITH TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS TO MUSTER ANY
REAL CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE PARTICULAR SOLUTION...AND HAVE MAINTAINED
A LOW END CHANCE POP THEME THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE INHERITED FORECAST AND A VERY LOOSE MODEL CONSENSUS IN
AN ATTEMPT TO AVOID EXCESSIVE VACILLATION WITH THE FORECAST.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...DID NOT STRAY TOO FAR FROM A BLEND OF THE GOING
FORECAST WITH THE CONSENSUS NUMBERS. GIVEN THE GOOD POSSIBILITY OF
MORE CLOUDS THAN NOT THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE PERIODIC CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION...WOULD EXPECT A LIMITED DIURNAL CURVE ALTHOUGH
GUIDANCE DOES POINT TOWARDS A NEAR NORMAL REGIME EARLY IN THE PERIOD
GRADUALLY MODERATING THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS FOR THE BEGINNING OF MAY.

MB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 138 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

STRATOCU CONTINUES TO SHROUD MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON
AND DESPITE A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON...THE STRATOCU WILL
LIKELY LINGER WELL BEHIND THE FRONT WITH DEWPOINTS STILL PLENTY HIGH
BEHIND THE FRONT. THUS...FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WE WILL CONTINUE TO
SEE CIGS FLUCTUATE BETWEEN MVFR AND VFR THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. BY
LATER THIS EVENING...A BETTER SURGE OF DRIER AIR WILL MIX OUT THIS
CIGS...GIVING WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TRANSITION TO NORTHWEST THROUGH MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON...THEN TAPER OFF THIS EVENING AND BECOME VERY LIGHT
OUT OF THE NORTH. WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLING WELL TO OUR
SOUTH...VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...KAS
SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM....MB
AVIATION...KAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
328 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106-280000-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY
328 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-107>120-280000-
ESTILL-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-
PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...
LONDON...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
328 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 191 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH 9 PM. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
ADDITIONALLY...ANY LOCATIONS THAT SEE REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN
MAY EXPERIENCE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY OCCURRENCES OF HAIL OR DAMAGING
WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

KAS/MB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
504 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     HAIL             LOST CREEK              37.48N 83.33W
04/26/2012  E1.25 INCH       BREATHITT          KY   PUBLIC

            QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL FALLING.

&&

RAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
517 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     HAIL             NANCY                   37.07N 84.75W
04/26/2012  E0.88 INCH       PULASKI            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2260 ARD RIDGE ROAD.

&&

DSTAMPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
519 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     HAIL             5 SE LONDON             37.08N 84.02W
04/26/2012  E0.25 INCH       LAUREL             KY   911 CALL CENTER

&&

DSTAMPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
523 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 E MANCHESTER          37.15N 83.68W
04/26/2012                   CLAY               KY   911 CALL CENTER

            STATE POLICE REPORTS FUNNEL CLOUD ON HAL ROGERS PARKWAY
            AT MILE MARKER 30.

&&

DSTAMPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
524 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             9 NE MONTICELLO         36.93N 84.73W
04/26/2012  E1.00 INCH       WAYNE              KY   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
525 PM EDT THU APR 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             8 E LONDON              37.13N 83.94W
04/26/2012  E0.50 INCH       LAUREL             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DSTAMPER