Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
919 AM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

...SCATTERED STRONG AND ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...

.UPDATE...
REGIONAL SOUNDINGS SHOWING A NICE JUICY ATMOSPHERE WITH PRECIP
WATER AMOUNTS WELL OVER 2 INCHES AND RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL
500MB TEMPS AT -7C/-8C. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH MID LEVEL TROF AXIS
AND VORTICITY SPOKES OF ENERGY SLIDING THROUGH THE REGION TO
PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA. STORM MOTION WILL BE TOWARDS THE EAST AT 15-20 MPH
WITH SCATTERED STRONG AND ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH POSSIBLE
DAMAGING WINDS...EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING THE MAIN THREATS ALTHOUGH
SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ALWAYS POSSIBLE. SLIGHTLY EARLIER
START TO THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL HOLD MAX TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 90S
WHILE SOME TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. ACTIVITY
SHOULD FADE A BIT AFTER SUNSET WITH MINIMAL ACTIVITY AFTER
MIDNIGHT MAINLY LIMITED TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE ATLC AND
NORTHEAST GOMEX.

&&

.AVIATION...
GENERAL VFR CONDS EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING THEN WITH
SCTD/NUMEROUS TSTM ACTIVITY PUSHING INTO TAF LOCATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TEMPO GROUPS...MAINLY AFTER 18Z
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND AT LEAST MVFR CIGS AND IFR VSBYS AT TIMES.
CONDS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNSET WITH LINGERING VFR MID/HIGH CLOUDS
AFTER 01Z/02Z TIME FRAME.

&&

.MARINE...
GENERAL SWLY FLOW AT 10-15 KNOTS WITH SEAS OF 2-3 FT EXPECTED
TODAY WITH A SLIGHTLY STRONGER NOCTURNAL SWLY SURGE AROUND 15
KNOTS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: A GENERAL LOW RISK WILL CONTINUE WITH THE OFFSHORE
FLOW OUTWEIGHING ANY LINGERING 2 FEET EASTERLY SWELLS PUSHING
ONSHORE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  93  71  94  73 /  60  30  60  40
SSI  89  75  90  77 /  60  40  50  40
JAX  91  74  92  75 /  60  40  60  40
SGJ  90  74  92  75 /  60  40  40  30
GNV  92  71  93  72 /  60  40  40  30
OCF  92  72  92  73 /  60  40  40  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

HESS/CHASE

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
116 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

FLZ033-301815-
ST. JOHNS-
116 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ST. JOHNS
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 215 PM
EDT...

AT 117 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 6 MILES SOUTH OF FRUIT COVE...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
PICOLATA...FRUIT COVE...DURBIN...BAKERSVILLE...ELKTON...GUANA RIVER
STATE PARK...SOUTH PONTE VEDRA BEACH...VILANO BEACH...SAINT AUGUSTINE
SOUTH AND SAINT AUGUSTINE SHORES THROUGH 215 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2972 8152 2975 8152 2980 8156 2989 8161
      2996 8160 3002 8168 3012 8163 3012 8154
      3010 8154 3010 8133 2994 8129 2988 8126
      2975 8124
TIME...MOT...LOC 1717Z 279DEG 18KT 3001 8156

SHULER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
125 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

FLZ025-301815-
DUVAL-
125 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CENTRAL DUVAL
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 215 PM
EDT...

AT 126 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER TALLYRAND...OR OVER ARLINGTON...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND TALLYRAND...SAN MARCO...RIVERSIDE...DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE...
ARLINGTON...UNF...FORT CAROLINE...SAN PABLO...MAYPORT AND NEPTUNE
BEACH THROUGH 215 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3025 8145 3030 8172 3044 8172 3045 8140
      3041 8140 3040 8139 3033 8139 3033 8138
      3026 8137
TIME...MOT...LOC 1726Z 276DEG 15KT 3035 8161

SHULER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
136 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     WATER SPOUT      4 ESE BRUNSWICK         31.13N 81.40W
07/30/2012                   AMZ450             GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AN OFF DUTY POLICE OFFICER REPORTED A WATER SPOUT BETWEEN
            ST SIMONS ISLAND AND JEKYLL ISLAND MOVING EAST.

&&

PP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
141 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

GAZ152>154-164>166-301830-
BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND
GLYNN-
141 PM EDT MON JUL 30 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN
BRANTLEY...NORTHEASTERN CHARLTON...NORTHERN CAMDEN AND SOUTHERN GLYNN
COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 230 PM
EDT...

AT 141 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 4 MILES NORTH OF DOVER BLUFF...OR 5 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF BRUNSWICK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND WAVERLY...DOVER BLUFF...
BRUNSWICK...JEKYLL ISLAND AND HIGH POINT THROUGH 230 PM EDT.
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3112 8135 3113 8138 3111 8139 3102 8141
      3100 8140 3101 8145 3098 8147 3096 8144
      3098 8142 3098 8140 3090 8140 3088 8141
      3089 8202 3115 8204 3114 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 1741Z 283DEG 16KT 3107 8149

PETERSON