Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
946 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND FLOODING TO CONTINUE FROM T.S. DEBBY TODAY...

.UPDATE...
LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW RAINFALL CONTINUING ALONG FL/GA BORDER
TROF AXIS WITH HEAVIEST SHORT-TERM AMOUNTS ACROSS CHARLTON AND
CAMDEN COUNTIES...WHILE NEW T.S. DEBBY RAINBAND HAS PUSHED INTO
NORTH FLORIDA ACROSS THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY. FOR NOW WILL
CONTINUE AREAL FLOOD WARNING FOR MANY LOCATIONS AS RADAR ESTIMATED
10-20 INCH STORM RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXTEND ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
NORTHWARD INTO SE GA. ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD 2-4 INCH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS EXPECTED TODAY ALONG CURRENT STALLED FL/GA RAIN BAND AND
AS MODELS ARE SUGGESTING ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS DEVELOPING ACROSS
NORTH FLORIDA. EXACT LOCATION/TIMING OF THIS NEW RAIN BAND IS
CHALLENGE FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FORECAST. SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT STILL APPEARS ISOLATED WHILE A POSSIBLE TORNADO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE NEAR TERM.

TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE TO BE NUDGED DOWNWARD TOPPING OUT ONLY IN
THE LOWER/MID 80S AT THE HIGHEST. SOUTHERLY WINDS SOUTH OF THE
TROF AXIS ACROSS NE FL MAY BECOME BREEZY BUT SHOULD STILL REMAIN
LESS THAN LAKE WIND ADVISORY LEVELS.

&&

.AVIATION...
A MIXTURE OF MVFR AND TEMPO IFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE WITH THE
RAINBANDS AS THEY CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS THE TAF LOCATIONS. KSSI
WILL HAVE CONTINUOUS RAINFALL UNDER THE STALLED RAINBAND AND TROF
AXIS.

&&

.MARINE...
A GENERAL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHEST WINDS/SEAS
OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THERE THROUGH TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WITH THE SOUTHEAST FLOW
AND BREAKERS OF 2-4 FT...IS OVERSTATING THE SITUATION AND WILL
LIKELY DOWNGRADE TO MODERATE WITH THE MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  88  73  86  68 /  60  50  60  60
SSI  84  76  83  75 /  80  70  70  60
JAX  85  75  83  73 /  80  80  80  60
SGJ  85  75  82  76 /  80  80  80  70
GNV  85  74  83  73 /  80  80  80  70
OCF  86  76  82  74 /  70  80  80  70

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-
     CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-
     NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR DUVAL-FLAGLER-
     NASSAU-ST JOHNS.

GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-
     CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-
     INLAND GLYNN-WARE.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR COASTAL CAMDEN-
     COASTAL GLYNN.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ALTAMAHA
     SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

HESS/PETERSON/WALKER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1014 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-270930-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
1014 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

...RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THE BLACK CREEK...ST. MARYS
RIVER...SUWANNEE RIVER...SANTA FE RIVER...

...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TONIGHT...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.FLOOD IMPACT...
THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE PROLONGED PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION...WITH A FLOOD WATCH REMAINING IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
COULD CAUSE MORE DANGEROUS FLOODING.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MAJOR FLOODING IS ONGOING ALONG THE BLACK CREEK IN PORTIONS OF CLAY
COUNTY. MODERATE FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST ALONG THE ST. MARYS
RIVER IN PORTIONS OF BAKER...NASSAU...CAMDEN...AND CHARLTON
COUNTIES. MINOR FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST ALONG THE SANTA FE
RIVERS IN PORTIONS OF
ALACHUA...BRADFORD...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...SUWANNEE...AND UNION
COUNTIES. MINOR FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST ALONG THE SUWANNEE
RIVER IN PORTIONS OF COLUMBIA AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
EXIST FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREATS ARE
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.RIP CURRENTS...
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES TODAY.

WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS
BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTS...DUE TO SOUTH WINDS 20 KNOTS WITH
SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA FROM LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WHICH WILL EXACERBATE EXISTING
FLOODING CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. SPOTTERS ARE
REQUESTED TO ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

NELSON/PP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
848 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0816 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LAKE CITY               30.19N 82.64W
06/26/2012  E8.77 INCH       COLUMBIA           FL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HEAVY RAIN...24 HOUR TOTAL 8.77 INCHES

&&

AWALKER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1202 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 N WHITE SPRINGS       30.44N 82.76W
06/26/2012  M13.00 INCH      HAMILTON           FL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            A CO-OP OBSERVER MEASURED 13 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE SINCE
            LAST NIGHT.

&&

PP

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
140 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

FLZ032-037-261815-
CLAY-PUTNAM-
140 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN
CLAY AND NORTHERN PUTNAM COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS
VALID UNTIL 215 PM EDT...

AT 141 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 7 MILES SOUTH OF FLORAHOME...OR 2 MILES
NORTHWEST OF INTERLACHEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND FLORAHOME...CARRAWAY AND
PENNEY FARMS THROUGH 215 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS
INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH
LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2999 8181 2985 8161 2961 8191 2966 8200
TIME...MOT...LOC 1741Z 210DEG 19KT 2965 8192

ENYEDI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
213 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

FLZ032-261845-
CLAY-
213 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CENTRAL CLAY
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 212 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 14 MILES SOUTH OF PENNEY FARMS...OR 12 MILES
NORTHEAST OF MELROSE...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PENNEY FARMS THROUGH 245
PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION
WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2983 8182 2980 8186 2980 8191 2978 8192
      2978 8194 3001 8190 3000 8174
TIME...MOT...LOC 1812Z 196DEG 20KT 2982 8187

ENYEDI