Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
739 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO WORK THROUGH THE AREA
THIS EVENING KEEPING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STAY IN THE FORECAST FOR PARTS OF
THE AREA TO START THE WORK WEEK AS MOISTURE WORKS NORTH INTO THE
AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE DECREASING ACROSS THE AREA WITH
SUNSET. MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO TEMPERATURES FOR THE
OVERNIGHT TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT TRENDS. WENT CLOSE TO GUIDANCE FOR
LOW TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT.  NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FA WILL
BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT LATER DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND SOME FOG
FORMATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. FOG DOES NOT LOOK LIKE IT WILL BE
DENSE ENOUGH TO PUT IN THE FORECAST AT THIS AND THEREFORE LEFT FOG
OUT CURRENTLY FOR THE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
MOISTURE WILL WORK UP INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FA FOR MONDAY
DURING THE DAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
NORTHERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN OHIO...AND SE INDIANA. THE REST OF
THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY. WITH LESS CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE SLIGHTLY
WARMER THAN SUNDAY. WENT WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO THE LOWER
90S WITH THE LOWEST TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FA WHERE MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE PRESENT.
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE EVENING HOURS MONDAY NIGHT
AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY WORK INTO THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
RISING UPPER HEIGHTS AND SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN
TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS CONTINUING TO INCREASE TUESDAY WITH A
WARM AND MUGGY TUESDAY NIGHT. HAVE LEANED TOWARDS WARMER GUIDANCE
FOR TEMPERATURES BOTH PERIODS. A WEAK DISTURBANCE ROUNDING AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL COMBINED WITH PEAK HEATING COULD RESULT IN SOME
STORMS DEVELOPING TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
STORMS WILL INCREASE HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY RESULTING IN A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THE FRONT WILL CLEAR THE FORECAST AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL USHER
IN LESS HUMID AIR WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL. THE HIGH WILL
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY AND THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. BUT QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY THAT FAR OUT IN TIME WHETHER THERE WILL MUCH OF A CHANCE
OF RAIN ON SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING...MAINLY NEAR KDAY AND KILN. THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH
BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED CU WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. IT IS APPEARING LESS LIKELY NOW THAT A STRATUS DECK WILL
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. HAVE THEREFORE REMOVED THIS FEATURE
FROM THE FORECAST. IN TURN HOWEVER...PLENTY OF SURFACE
MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH RADIATIONAL COOLING UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES TO ALLOW FOR FOG/MIST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. THIS SEEMS
REASONABLE AS AREAS UPSTREAM ACROSS IL/IN LAST NIGHT EXPERIENCED
SEVERAL HOURS OF MVFR VSBYS. THE BEST CHANCES FOR MORE DENSE
FOG/MIST APPEARS TO BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS. AFTER
SUNRISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN WITH SCATTERED CU
LASTING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOVAK
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...LATTO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
531 AM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-160945-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
531 AM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
450 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

OHZ045-046-054-055-152115-
DELAWARE OH-FRANKLIN OH-MADISON OH-UNION OH-
450 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN UNION...
NORTHEASTERN MADISON...NORTHERN FRANKLIN AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE
COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 448 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM PLAIN
CITY EASTWARD TO POWELL...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED
INCLUDE...DUBLIN...HILLIARD...UPPER
ARLINGTON...WORTHINGTON...WESTERVILLE...MINERVA
PARK...GAHANNA...COLUMBUS AND BEXLEY.

ALSO...SHAWNEE HILLS...COLUMBUS ZOO...RIVERLEA...MARBLE CLIFF...HUBER
RIDGE AND GRANDVIEW HEIGHTS ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4015 8278 3994 8291 4004 8341 4020 8339

ASL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
513 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

OHZ046-055-056-152200-
DELAWARE OH-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING OH-
513 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN LICKING...NORTHERN
FRANKLIN AND SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM EDT...

AT 509 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM DUBLIN
EASTWARD TO WESTERVILLE...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...POWELL...UPPER
ARLINGTON...WORTHINGTON...COLUMBUS...MINERVA
PARK...BEXLEY...GAHANNA...SUMMIT STATION AND JOHNSTOWN.

ALSO...MARBLE CLIFF...RIVERLEA...GRANDVIEW HEIGHTS...HUBER RIDGE...
WHITEHALL...CENTER VILLAGE...NEW ALBANY AND JERSEY ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4016 8252 3992 8286 4002 8325 4003 8326
      4005 8325 4005 8321 4010 8321 4011 8317
      4015 8317 4019 8314

ASL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
529 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W DUBLIN              40.12N 83.15W
07/15/2012  M1.50 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

ANOVAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
549 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WESTERVILLE             40.12N 82.92W
07/15/2012  U0.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            SOME FLOODING OF INTERSECTIONS WAS REPORTED ACROSS
            NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY.

&&

ASL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
738 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

OHZ042-051-061-160015-
DARKE OH-MIAMI OH-MONTGOMERY OH-
738 PM EDT SUN JUL 15 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY...
SOUTHWESTERN MIAMI AND SOUTHEASTERN DARKE COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM
EDT...

AT 734 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR UNION
CORNERS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...COVINGTON...PLEASANT
HILL...WEST MILTON AND TROY.

ALSO...PITSBURG...CIRCLE HILL...LAURA...POTSDAM...LUDLOW FALLS...
PHILLIPSBURG...GARLAND AND UNION ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

LAT...LON 4007 8415 3983 8437 4003 8461 4015 8445

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