Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

May 7, 2012Mercer County, Ohio

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this special weather statement at May 7, 2012, 4:08 PM EDT for Mercer County, Ohio. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 7, 2012, 4:08 PM EDT (20:08 UTC)
Expired: May 7, 2012, 4:45 PM EDT
In force: 37 min
Issued by: NWS Wilmington, OH

County Mercer County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 807 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -29 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 961 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 7, 1:36 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 7, 1:36 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
136 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST
THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN
THE WARM... UNSTABLE AND VERY MOIST AIR AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH
A THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. THIS SYSTEM
WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY...WITH A SECONDARY COLD FRONT FOLLOWING ON
WEDNESDAY... LEADING TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK.

 &&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MID/UPR LEVEL RIDGE TO FLATTEN AS SHORTWAVE TRACKS EAST THRU OHIO
TODAY. ASSOCIATED SFC LOW PRESSURE TO TRACK EAST INTO NW OHIO BY
00Z TUE. EXPECT AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP IN THE
WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. BEST 0-6KM BULK SHEAR
ACRS THE NORTH EARLY CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT AND THEN INCREASES
TO AROUND 25 KTS WITH THE APPROACH OF THE COLD FRONT BY EVENING.
EXPECT THE COMBINATION OF INSTBY/SHEAR TO RESULT IN ORGANIZED
MULTI-CELL STORMS. MAIN SEVERE WEATHER DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
BETTER CHANCE FOR ROTATING STORMS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE NWD
ADVANCING WARM FRONT. FAVORABLE MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE REGION
WITH PW/S INCREASING TO BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.7 INCHES ABOUT 200
PERCENT ABOVE NORMAL. THEREFORE...EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES. THESE RAINFALL RATES ALONG WITH A WET GROUND FROM RECENT
RAIN MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING. WILL HIGHLIGHT THE SEVERE
WEATHER AND FLOOD THREATS IN THE HWO PRODUCT.

REGARDING POPS...REMNANTS OF WEAKENING MCS TO AFFECT THE NORTH
EARLY. WILL ALLOW FOR THIS CONVECTION AND THEN RAMP POPS UP TO
CATEGORICAL BY LATE AFTN. TEMPS WILL BE TRICKY TODAY...DUE TO
CLOUD COVER/AIRMASS CHANGE AND PRECIPITATION. HAVE OPTED TO GO
WITH A BLENDED SOLN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROF TO DIG SE THRU THE UPPER MS
VALLEY/WRN GREAT LAKES WITH WESTERLY FLOW BACKING MORE SW OVER
ILNS FA LATE TONIGHT/TUE. SFC LOW TO TRACK NE THRU THE GREAT LAKES
INTO SRN CANADA WITH SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO PUSH INTO EASTERN
SECTION OF ILN/S FA BY 12Z TUE. ONGOING CONVECTION WITH POTENTIAL
SEVERE WEATHER AHD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
FAVORABLE MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN HALF OF FA
OVERNIGHT IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE POST FRONTAL 925 MB CONVERGENCE.
WILL CONTINUE CATEGORICAL POPS IN THE EAST THRU EARLY TUE AND THEN
SLOWLY DROP TO LKLY BY LATE MORNING AND THEN ENDING TUE EVENING.
KEPT TONIGHTS LOWS ON THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE. FOR HIGHS TUESDAY
HAVE OPTED FOR A BLENDED SOLN.

UPPER LEVEL TROF TO CONTINUE DIGGING SE INTO OHIO VALLEY WED. THIS
INDUCES AN E-W SFC TROF WHICH DROPS S INTO ILN/S FA WED AFTN.
MARGINAL INSTBY ALSO DEVELOPS SO CAN NOT RULE OUT THUNDER BUT KEPT
MENTION LIMITED TO CHANCE CAT OF SHOWERS. EXPECT BEST POPS ACRS
THE NORTH WHERE INSTBY AND FORCING OVERLAPS. HAVE TRENDED WED/S
HIGHS A LTL COOLER THAN GUID.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. INITIALLY
THIS WILL BRING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. BUT THEN READINGS WILL
REBOUND ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH WHICH WILL BE COINCIDENT WITH
BUILDING UPPER HEIGHTS. AN APPROACHING TROUGH MAY BRING A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT KLUK/KCMH DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TAF
SITES THROUGH 21Z. AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AFTER 21Z. THESE WILL AFFECT ALL TAF
SITES THROUGH THE EVENING. ASIDE FROM THUNDERSTORMS...CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR A MORE STEADY RAINFALL TO OCCUR DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. HAVE REFLECTED THIS WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF LIGHT
RAIN IN THE TAFS AFTER THE PASSAGE OF HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS.

BEHIND THE FRONT...CIGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR...WITH 1 TO 2 KFT
STRATUS EXPECTED AREA WIDE LATE TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE SOME
PERIODS WHERE CIGS ACROSS NORTHERN TERMINALS KDAY/KLCK/KCMH WILL
DROP TO IFR BEFORE SUNRISE. FOG/MIST DEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. AFTER SUNRISE
TUESDAY...CIGS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE. HOWEVER...AT THIS POINT IT
APPEARS THAT MVFR CIGS WILL LAST THROUGH THE BETTER PART OF THE
MORNING.

OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...LATTO

Hazardous weather outlook, May 7, 5:36 AM EDT, 10 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
536 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-080945-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
536 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING
THROUGH THE REGION. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE
MAIN THREATS. INTENSE RAINFALL FROM THESE STORMS COULD ALSO
PRODUCE FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 7, 12:38 PM EDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1238 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

OHZ055-056-071715-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING OH-
1238 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN LICKING AND NORTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 115 PM EDT...

AT 1238 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEW
ALBANY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...SUMMIT STATION...
JOHNSTOWN...PATASKALA...BEECHWOOD TRAILS...GRANVILLE SOUTH AND
GRANVILLE.

ALSO...JERSEY AND ALEXANDRIA ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3998 8250 3999 8290 4012 8291 4013 8284
      4013 8276 4015 8276 4019 8251 4008 8246

HATZOS

Special weather statement, May 7, 1:08 PM EDT, 3 hours before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
108 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

OHZ056-071745-
LICKING OH-
108 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LICKING COUNTY THROUGH
145 PM EDT...

AT 107 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BEECHWOOD
TRAILS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
BEECHWOOD TRAILS...GRANVILLE...GRANVILLE SOUTH...
NEWARK...HEBRON...HEATH AND ALEXANDRIA.

LAT...LON 4013 8265 4017 8231 4004 8228 3995 8237
      3996 8271 3999 8273 4008 8272

HATZOS

Special weather statement, May 7, 2:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
236 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

OHZ064-065-071900-
FAIRFIELD OH-PICKAWAY OH-
236 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL PICKAWAY AND WESTERN
FAIRFIELD COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 233 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ASHVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL
PICKAWAY AND WESTERN FAIRFIELD COUNTIES...INCLUDING RINGGOLD...SLATE
RUN METRO PARK...ROYALTON AND LITHOPOLIS.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3961 8299 3970 8308 3980 8290 3979 8283
      3982 8283 3983 8280 3985 8280 3986 8279
      3973 8270

ASL

Special weather statement, May 7, 3:45 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
345 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

OHZ034-072015-
MERCER OH-
345 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MERCER COUNTY THROUGH 415 PM
EDT...

AT 342 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FORT
RECOVERY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...FORT RECOVERY...ST.
HENRY...COLDWATER AND CELINA.

ALSO...WABASH...CARTHAGENA...NEPTUNE...MONTEZUMA AND CHICKASAW ARE
NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4062 8445 4051 8445 4041 8450 4035 8479
      4035 8481 4050 8481 4052 8481 4058 8472
      4064 8454

HATZOS

Special weather statement, May 7, 4:08 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
408 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

OHZ034-035-072045-
AUGLAIZE OH-MERCER OH-
408 PM EDT MON MAY 7 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN MERCER AND WESTERN
AUGLAIZE COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM EDT...

AT 404 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ST.
HENRY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. IN ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...COLDWATER AND CELINA.

ALSO...CARTHAGENA...MARIA STEIN...MONTEZUMA...CHICKASAW...NEPTUNE AND
BULKHEAD ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4062 8452 4062 8446 4053 8440 4047 8440
      4041 8446 4037 8453 4036 8473 4042 8478
      4050 8474

HATZOS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 7, 12:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Licking	37 min
May 7, 1:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Licking	37 min
May 7, 2:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Pickaway	24 min
May 7, 3:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Mercer	30 min
May 7, 4:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Auglaize, Mercer	43 min
May 7, 4:35 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Fairfield	115 min
May 7, 4:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Darke, Mercer	40 min
May 7, 4:38 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Auglaize, Darke, Mercer	109 min
May 7, 4:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Auglaize, Shelby	49 min
May 7, 4:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hardin	57 min
May 7, 4:59 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Auglaize, Mercer	88 min
May 7, 5:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Fairfield	41 min
May 7, 5:15 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Preble	45 min
May 7, 5:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Darke, Miami, Shelby	44 min
May 7, 5:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hardin	21 min
May 7, 5:31 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Auglaize, Hardin, Logan	113 min
May 7, 5:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hardin	31 min
May 7, 5:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Champaign, Miami	29 min
May 7, 5:57 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Fairfield	87 min
May 7, 4:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Wayne	28 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.