Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

March 18, 2012Licking County, Ohio

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this special weather statement at Mar 18, 2012, 6:57 PM EDT for Licking County, Ohio. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 18, 2012, 6:57 PM EDT (22:57 UTC)
Expired: Mar 18, 2012, 7:30 PM EDT
In force: 33 min
Issued by: NWS Wilmington, OH

County Licking County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 429 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1015 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 18, 4:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 18, 4:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
420 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW AN
UNSEASONABLY WARM AIRMASS TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
DISTURBANCES IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE INTERACTING WITH AN UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND POSSIBLY ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL MOVE IN LATE MONDAY
WHICH WILL BRING AN END TO THE THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A VORT MAX MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN
OHIO. A 500 MB WIND SPEED MAX WILL ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM FORMATION
AND STRENGTH. IN ADDITION...WBZ AROUND 9 KFT FAVORS LARGE HAIL. AS
THUNDERSTORMS EXPAND IN COVERAGE...SOME CELLS MAY BECOME SEVERE
AND SPC HAS PLACED THE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
ACTIVITY SHOULD FALL APART QUICKLY THIS EVENING AS DAYTIME HEATING
WANES AND FORCING SHIFTS EASTWARD. LOWS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE LESS FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM
FORMATION ON MONDAY WITH AN UPPER RIDGE STARTING TO BUILD
IN...ANOTHER WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY HELP A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ON MONDAY AFTERNOON IN THE LINGERING
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. ANY ACTIVITY WILL END MONDAY EVENING AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHEAST AND DAYTIME HEATING LESSENS.

AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD AND SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN
BECOMES ANTICYCLONIC ON MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...CONVECTION WILL BE ABSENT...SKIES WILL BE MAINLY
CLEAR...AND TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UNSEASONABLY WARM. HIGHS AROUND
80 EACH DAY WILL BE CLOSE TO OR ABOVE DAILY RECORD HIGHS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WITH A LARGE SPRAWLING
RIDGE CONTINUING  TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. PREFER SLOWER ECMWF SOLN GIVEN HIGH DEGREE OF
AMPLIFICATION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPS
AND DRY WEATHER WEATHER THRU MID WEEK.

HAVE MAINTAINED A DRY FCST FOR WED AND THURSDAY. EXPECT HIGHS TO
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTH TO 80 SOUTH ON BOTH WED AND THU.
AGAIN RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN JEOPARDY. RECORD HIGHS
FOR WED ARE 82 AT CVG, 78 AT DAY AND 77 AT CMH. THE RECORDS FOR
THURSDAY ARE  WARMER WITH...85 CVG, 84 AT DAY AND 82 AT CMH.

NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND SLOWER BUT ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT
TIME WITH CONSISTENCY REGARDING EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF UPPER LOW
OVER THE NATIONS MID SECTION. WILL INTRODUCE LOW POPS INTO THE SW
EARLY FRIDAY AND THEN SPREAD CHC POPS NE ACRS THE FA DURG THE DAY.

WL BUMP POPS UP TO HIGH CHC EARLY SATURDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF SFC
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. UNDER CONTD INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LOW...WL
CONTINUE LOW POPS THRU SAT AND THEN DIMINISH TO SLIGHT CHC ON SUNDAY
AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO SHIFT SE.

HIGH TEMPS WILL COOL BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...WITH FCST HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S/70S ON FRIDAY AND LOWER AND MID 60S SATURDAY AND THEN
UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THIS IS A DIFFICULT FORECAST WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTION OVER THE
NEXT 6-10 HOURS. A SHORTWAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
AND WILL HELP TO DEVELOP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. AT THIS TIME IT IS DIFFICULT
TO BE SPECIFIC WITH EXPECTED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LOCATIONS.
HOWEVER...THE CHANCES SEEM SLIGHTLY HIGHER FOR THE COLUMBUS AREA
THIS EVENING...BASED ON HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL OUTPUT. HAVE KEPT
CONDITIONS VFR IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME...BUT DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENTS
MAY NEED TO BE MADE ONCE POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM TIMING IS DETERMINED.

AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND
OVERNIGHT...SKIES WILL SOMEWHAT CLEAR OUT AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD
END. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS WILL BE LIKELY...AT LEAST IN THE MVFR
CATEGORY. THE CLEARING DOES NOT LOOK TO BE COMPLETE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS.

ALTHOUGH THE TAFS ARE DRY FOR MONDAY...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
OF DISORGANIZED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DEVELOPING.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO
NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO
SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...HATZOS

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 18, 5:14 PM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

KYZ097>100-OHZ026-044>046-052>056-062>065-072>074-079>082-088-192115-
BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
SCIOTO-
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>096-OHZ034-035-042-043-051-060-
061-070-071-077-078-192115-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-MIAMI-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-
BUTLER-WARREN-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 18, 5:59 PM EDT, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
559 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     HAIL             NORTH LEWISBURG         40.22N 83.56W
03/18/2012  E1.50 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ALANR

Local storm report, Mar 18, 6:20 PM EDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
620 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             HILLIARD                40.04N 83.14W
03/18/2012  M0.50 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SFH

Local storm report, Mar 18, 6:28 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
628 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     COLUMBUS                39.99N 82.99W
03/18/2012                   FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOCATED NEAR OHIO 161 AND HAMILTON ROAD.

&&

SFH

Local storm report, Mar 18, 6:31 PM EDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
631 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             HILLIARD                40.04N 83.14W
03/18/2012  M1.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SFH

Local storm report, Mar 18, 6:53 PM EDT, 4 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Mar 18, 6:57 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 18, 3:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Logan, Union	40 min
Mar 18, 4:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Champaign, Logan, Union	35 min
Mar 18, 4:14 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Logan	3 hr
Mar 18, 4:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Logan	24 min
Mar 18, 4:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Champaign, Logan, Union	31 min
Mar 18, 4:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Union	29 min
Mar 18, 4:53 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Champaign	112 min
Mar 18, 5:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Pike	20 min
Mar 18, 5:12 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Union	2 hr
Mar 18, 5:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Union	31 min
Mar 18, 5:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Greene	28 min
Mar 18, 5:18 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Delaware, Union	57 min
Mar 18, 5:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Clark, Fayette, Greene, Madison	35 min
Mar 18, 5:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Champaign, Delaware, Franklin, Union	49 min
Mar 18, 5:49 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Champaign, Union	116 min
Mar 18, 5:57 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	ILN	Delaware, Franklin	33 min
Mar 18, 6:02 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fayette, Madison, Pickaway, Ross	43 min
Mar 18, 6:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Franklin, Madison	40 min
Mar 18, 6:15 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Delaware, Franklin	3 hr
Mar 18, 6:25 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	ILN	Delaware, Franklin, Licking	35 min
Mar 18, 6:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Licking	49 min
Mar 18, 6:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Pickaway	33 min
Mar 18, 6:45 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Licking	3 hr
Mar 18, 7:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Hocking, Pickaway	45 min
Mar 18, 7:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Licking	53 min
Mar 18, 7:25 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Franklin, Madison	3 hr
Mar 18, 7:33 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Licking	117 min
Mar 18, 7:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Hocking	53 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.