Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Wilmington, OH

971 
WWUS51 KILN 182138
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
538 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

OHC023-057-182148-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-120318T2200Z/
CLARK OH-GREENE OH-
538 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN GREENE AND SOUTHERN
CLARK COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED EAST INTO MADISON AND FAYETTE COUNTIES.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3965 8365 3977 8364 3977 8359 3981 8350
      3982 8330 3960 8335
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 276DEG 26KT 3973 8359

$$

OHC047-097-182200-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-120318T2200Z/
FAYETTE OH-MADISON OH-
538 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN MADISON AND NORTHERN FAYETTE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO...

AT 535 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SOUTH SOLON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JEFFERSONVILLE AND BLOOMINGBURG.

IN ADDITION...BOOKWALTER...MIDWAY AND MADISON MILLS ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3965 8365 3977 8364 3977 8359 3981 8350
      3982 8330 3960 8335
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 276DEG 26KT 3973 8359

$$

HATZOS

781 
WWUS51 KILN 182154
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
554 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

OHC047-097-182204-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-120318T2200Z/
FAYETTE OH-MADISON OH-
554 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MADISON AND NORTHERN
FAYETTE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO WILL EXPIRE AT 600 PM EDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

HALF INCH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3965 8365 3977 8364 3977 8359 3981 8350
      3982 8330 3960 8335
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 276DEG 26KT 3972 8344

$$

HATZOS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
420 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW AN
UNSEASONABLY WARM AIRMASS TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
DISTURBANCES IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE INTERACTING WITH AN UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND POSSIBLY ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL MOVE IN LATE MONDAY
WHICH WILL BRING AN END TO THE THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A VORT MAX MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN
OHIO. A 500 MB WIND SPEED MAX WILL ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM FORMATION
AND STRENGTH. IN ADDITION...WBZ AROUND 9 KFT FAVORS LARGE HAIL. AS
THUNDERSTORMS EXPAND IN COVERAGE...SOME CELLS MAY BECOME SEVERE
AND SPC HAS PLACED THE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
ACTIVITY SHOULD FALL APART QUICKLY THIS EVENING AS DAYTIME HEATING
WANES AND FORCING SHIFTS EASTWARD. LOWS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE LESS FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM
FORMATION ON MONDAY WITH AN UPPER RIDGE STARTING TO BUILD
IN...ANOTHER WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY HELP A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ON MONDAY AFTERNOON IN THE LINGERING
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. ANY ACTIVITY WILL END MONDAY EVENING AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHEAST AND DAYTIME HEATING LESSENS.

AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD AND SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN
BECOMES ANTICYCLONIC ON MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...CONVECTION WILL BE ABSENT...SKIES WILL BE MAINLY
CLEAR...AND TEMPERATURES WILL STAY UNSEASONABLY WARM. HIGHS AROUND
80 EACH DAY WILL BE CLOSE TO OR ABOVE DAILY RECORD HIGHS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WITH A LARGE SPRAWLING
RIDGE CONTINUING  TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. PREFER SLOWER ECMWF SOLN GIVEN HIGH DEGREE OF
AMPLIFICATION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPS
AND DRY WEATHER WEATHER THRU MID WEEK.

HAVE MAINTAINED A DRY FCST FOR WED AND THURSDAY. EXPECT HIGHS TO
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTH TO 80 SOUTH ON BOTH WED AND THU.
AGAIN RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN JEOPARDY. RECORD HIGHS
FOR WED ARE 82 AT CVG, 78 AT DAY AND 77 AT CMH. THE RECORDS FOR
THURSDAY ARE  WARMER WITH...85 CVG, 84 AT DAY AND 82 AT CMH.

NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND SLOWER BUT ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT
TIME WITH CONSISTENCY REGARDING EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF UPPER LOW
OVER THE NATIONS MID SECTION. WILL INTRODUCE LOW POPS INTO THE SW
EARLY FRIDAY AND THEN SPREAD CHC POPS NE ACRS THE FA DURG THE DAY.

WL BUMP POPS UP TO HIGH CHC EARLY SATURDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF SFC
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. UNDER CONTD INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LOW...WL
CONTINUE LOW POPS THRU SAT AND THEN DIMINISH TO SLIGHT CHC ON SUNDAY
AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO SHIFT SE.

HIGH TEMPS WILL COOL BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...WITH FCST HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S/70S ON FRIDAY AND LOWER AND MID 60S SATURDAY AND THEN
UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THIS IS A DIFFICULT FORECAST WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTION OVER THE
NEXT 6-10 HOURS. A SHORTWAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
AND WILL HELP TO DEVELOP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. AT THIS TIME IT IS DIFFICULT
TO BE SPECIFIC WITH EXPECTED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LOCATIONS.
HOWEVER...THE CHANCES SEEM SLIGHTLY HIGHER FOR THE COLUMBUS AREA
THIS EVENING...BASED ON HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL OUTPUT. HAVE KEPT
CONDITIONS VFR IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME...BUT DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENTS
MAY NEED TO BE MADE ONCE POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM TIMING IS DETERMINED.

AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND
OVERNIGHT...SKIES WILL SOMEWHAT CLEAR OUT AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD
END. VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS WILL BE LIKELY...AT LEAST IN THE MVFR
CATEGORY. THE CLEARING DOES NOT LOOK TO BE COMPLETE ENOUGH TO
WARRANT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS.

ALTHOUGH THE TAFS ARE DRY FOR MONDAY...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
OF DISORGANIZED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DEVELOPING.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO
NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO
SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...HATZOS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

KYZ097>100-OHZ026-044>046-052>056-062>065-072>074-079>082-088-192115-
BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
SCIOTO-
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>096-OHZ034-035-042-043-051-060-
061-070-071-077-078-192115-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-MIAMI-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-
BUTLER-WARREN-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
446 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

OHZ044-045-182115-
LOGAN OH-UNION OH-
446 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN UNION AND EASTERN
LOGAN COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 443 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEW
JERUSALEM...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...WEST MANSFIELD.

ALSO...EAST LIBERTY...BYHALIA...RAYMOND...SOMERSVILLE...BROADWAY AND
ESSEX ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 4048 8331 4030 8339 4033 8365 4038 8370
      4051 8363

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
507 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             NORTH LEWISBURG         40.22N 83.56W
03/18/2012  E0.88 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MILES PER HOUR.

&&

MIKEG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
510 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

OHZ073-082-182130-
PIKE OH-ROSS OH-
510 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ROSS AND
NORTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

AT 506 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WAVERLY...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN PIKE AND SOUTHEASTERN ROSS COUNTIES...INCLUDING RICHMOND
DALE AND LINN.

LAT...LON 3916 8278 3906 8279 3904 8279 3904 8303
      3917 8303 3923 8276 3918 8276

HATZOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

OHZ044-045-052-182145-
CHAMPAIGN OH-LOGAN OH-UNION OH-
514 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN UNION...SOUTHEASTERN
LOGAN AND EASTERN CHAMPAIGN COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT...

AT 510 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NORTH
LEWISBURG...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...MARYSVILLE.

ALSO...POTTERSBURG...MILFORD CENTER AND UNIONVILLE CENTER ARE NEAR
THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 4012 8327 4013 8355 4017 8365 4025 8365
      4027 8355 4027 8325

HATZOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
517 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

OHZ053-054-062-063-182145-
CLARK OH-FAYETTE OH-GREENE OH-MADISON OH-
517 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
MADISON...NORTHEASTERN GREENE...NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE AND SOUTHEASTERN
CLARK COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT...

AT 514 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM NEAR CEDARVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...JAMESTOWN...SOUTH
CHARLESTON AND JEFFERSONVILLE.

ALSO...SELMA...BELL CENTER...GLADSTONE...SHADY GROVE...SOUTH SOLON...
BOOKWALTER AND MIDWAY ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3984 8344 3959 8343 3967 8383 3973 8392
      3982 8389 3984 8374

HATZOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
518 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

OHZ045-046-056-182215-
DELAWARE OH-LICKING OH-UNION OH-
518 PM EDT SUN MAR 18 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN UNION...
NORTHWESTERN LICKING AND DELAWARE COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 514 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MAGNETIC
SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...DELAWARE...ASHLEY AND
SUNBURY.

ALSO...OSTRANDER...RADNOR...WARRENSBURG...BELLEPOINT...DELAWARE STATE
PARK...STRATFORD...LEONARDSBURG AND LEWIS CENTER ARE NEAR THE PATH OF
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 4048 8324 4045 8324 4044 8302 4042 8301
      4042 8293 4036 8292 4035 8275 4035 8274
      4028 8275 4028 8270 4013 8276 4028 8341
      4049 8332