Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Wilmington, NC

346 
WWUS52 KILM 012136
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
536 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCC017-019-047-129-141-012215-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-120701T2215Z/
COLUMBUS NC-BLADEN NC-PENDER NC-NEW HANOVER NC-BRUNSWICK NC-
536 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
BLADEN AND EAST CENTRAL COLUMBUS COUNTIES...

AT 533 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MAPLE HILL TO WARDS CORNER 
TO FREEMAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
   MALPASS CORNER...
   ASHTON...
   BATARORA...
   EDGECOMB...
   WOODSIDE...
   TOPSAIL BEACH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3417 7784 3384 7796 3384 7797 3425 7845
      3439 7816 3456 7829 3458 7826 3457 7825
      3465 7819 3473 7809 3473 7800 3472 7799
      3472 7768 3447 7758 3445 7752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 327DEG 32KT 3463 7768 3452 7806
          3433 7825

$$

III

108 
WWUS52 KILM 012149
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
549 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCC017-019-047-129-141-012215-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-120701T2215Z/
COLUMBUS NC-BLADEN NC-PENDER NC-NEW HANOVER NC-BRUNSWICK NC-
549 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
BLADEN AND EAST CENTRAL COLUMBUS COUNTIES...

AT 547 PM EDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF
70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 
MILES NORTH OF EDGECOMB TO LONG CREEK TO DELCO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 
30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
   EDGECOMB...
   WOODSIDE...
   TOPSAIL BEACH...
   TOWN CREEK...
   SEAGATE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3417 7784 3384 7796 3384 7797 3425 7845
      3439 7816 3456 7829 3458 7826 3457 7825
      3465 7819 3473 7809 3473 7800 3472 7799
      3472 7768 3447 7758 3445 7752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 327DEG 32KT 3454 7761 3442 7797
          3430 7823

$$

III

002 
WWUS52 KILM 012204
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
604 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCC017-019-047-129-141-012215-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-120701T2215Z/
COLUMBUS NC-BLADEN NC-PENDER NC-NEW HANOVER NC-BRUNSWICK NC-
604 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
BLADEN AND EAST CENTRAL COLUMBUS COUNTIES...

AT 600 PM EDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF
70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
EDGECOMB TO WRIGHTSBORO TO FREEMAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
   BATARORA...
   BISHOP...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3417 7784 3384 7796 3384 7797 3425 7845
      3439 7816 3456 7829 3458 7826 3457 7825
      3462 7821 3456 7807 3469 7780 3472 7768
      3447 7758 3445 7752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 327DEG 32KT 3442 7757 3427 7789
          3427 7829

$$

III

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
219 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HUMID AND VERY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE
HOLDS ACROSS THE REGION. SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES ALOFT COMBINED WITH
THE INTENSE HEAT COULD TRIGGER STRONG TO SEVERE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN THE UPCOMING WEEK
WILL COOL SLIGHTLY AS THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS BACK TO THE WEST.
EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE DAYS AHEAD WILL BRING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1:30 PM SUNDAY...STILL SOME QUESTIONS REGARDING TIMING AND
LOCATION OF CONVECTION INITIATION AND WHERE AND WHEN THE RESULTING
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL MANIFEST ITSELF LOCALLY. MCS STILL
MOVING ACROSS THE NC/VA BORDER ALONG REMNANT SYNOPTIC FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HEADING SOUTH FROM THIS FEATURE WILL
CERTAINLY PROVIDE A MESOSCALE FORCING...BUT ANY SUCH STORMS WOULD
LIKELY STAY NORTH OF HERE. FURTHER SOUTH THERE IS SOME GRADUALLY
INCREASING AGITATION IN THE CU FIELD ROUGHLY BANDED FROM PAMLICO
SOUND TO UPSTATE SC...ROUGHLY FOLLOWING THE N SIDE OF
PIEDMONT/THERMAL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. NO SURPRISE WITH THESE
VARIOUS FEATURES THAT RAPID CYCLE/HI RES MODELS OF VARIOUS
PERSUASIONS HAVE DIFFERENT IDEAS OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION AND
TRACK. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS LOCALLY STILL APPEARS TO BE
ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES IN ASSOCIATION THE THE SURFACE TROUGH. HRRR
FIRES STORMS JUST WEST OF MARLBORO COUNTY AND BEGIN TO AFFECT THE
REGION BY 20Z. SFC OBS SHOW HEIGHTENED CONVG INTO THE TROUGH IN
THIS LOCALE WITH A POSSIBLE MESOLOW NORTH OF SSC SO THIS SEEMS
PLAUSIBLE. RUC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW FRIGHTFULLY HIGH
INSTABILITY IN PLACE BOTH WITH RESPECT TO THE SURFACE AND THE
100MB MEAN LAYER. THE HIGHER VALUES OF THE FORMER WILL NOT BE
REALIZED TODAY DUE THE HIGH STORM BASES BUT THE MLCAPES OVER
WESTERN ZONES WHERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP ARE APPROACHING 5000
J/KG...AND SHOW THE CAP JUST ABOUT ERODED. OTHER THAN THE OBVIOUS
FORECAST/POP RAMIFICATIONS DETERMINING CONVECTIVE INITIATION FEELS
OF HEIGHTENED IMPORTANCE TODAY AS STORMS WILL TURN SEVERE ALMOST
IMMEDIATELY DUE THE EXTREME UPDRAFT ACCELERATION EXPECTED.

NOT TO MAKE IT SEEM LIKE AN AFTERTHOUGHT BUT THE EXCESSIVE HEAT
WARNING CERTAINLY VERIFYING WELL. HIS AROUND THE REGION SOLIDLY IN
THE 110-115 RANGE. ILM EVEN PEAKED AT AN INCREDIBLE 120F WHEN IT
READ 99/80.

EXCERPT FROM PREVIOUS:

REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER...AS MENTIONED YESTERDAY THE CORRIDOR
OF MCS DEVELOPMENT AND PROPAGATION IS SHIFTING SOUTHWARD FROM THE
MIDATLANTIC/DELMARVA OF DAYS PAST MORE INTO MIDATLANTIC/CAROLINAS
BY THE SLIGHT RETREAT OF THE UPPER RIDGE. WHAT IS A LITTLE
DIFFERENT FROM YESTERDAY IS THAT THE BAND OF NW FLOW THAT MANAGES
TO DEVELOP IS STRONGER THAN PROGGED YESTERDAY...WITH A BROAD SWATH
OF 40KT 500MB WINDS NOW SEEN IN THE 12Z WRF. CLUSTER OF TSMS
SHOULD ORGANIZE OVER NW NC NEAR VA BORDER POSSIBLY EVEN TRIGGERED
BY OUTFLOW FROM SMALL MCS NOW MOVING INTO FAR WESTERN VA. ONCE
STORMS DO FIRE THEY WILL EXIST IN AN ENVIRONMENT DUBBED
'THERMODYNAMICALLY IMPRESSIVE' BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER.
AFTERNOON SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY MAY PEAK OUT WITH EXTREME
VALUES EXCEEDING 6000 J/KG...ABOUT AS HIGH AS IT GETS HERE IN THE
CAROLINAS. ONCE STORMS GET THIS FAR SOUTH HOWEVER THESE VALUES
WILL HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 3500-4500 J/KG RANGE...WHICH IS USUALLY
STILL DEFINED AS EXTREME INSTABILITY. A LARGE PORTION OF THIS VERY
'FAT' CAPE LIES ABOVE -10C AND EVEN -20C FAVORING THE GROWTH OF
VERY LARGE HAIL IN WHAT WILL BE EXTREMELY VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS. THIS
IS REFLECTED IN THE SPC HATCHED AREA FOR HAIL IN THE LATEST
SWODY1. STORM ELECTRIFICATION WILL ALSO BE EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG
LEADING TO VERY HIGH FLASH RATES. STORM TOPS/DEPTH WILL BE NOTABLY
HIGH DUE TO NOT ONLY THE HIGH CAPE/UPDRAFT ACCELERATION BUT ALSO
BY FAIRLY STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE RESULTING FROM BAND OF
WESTERLIES ASSOC WITH UPPER TROUGH OVER NY. THE EXTREME HEAT IN
PLACE WILL YIELD A HIGH STORM CLOUD BASE INCLUDING STEEP/ALMOST
DRY ADIABATIC SUBCLOUD LAPSE RATES. THIS WILL ENHANCE THE DAMAGING
WIND THREAT WHILE AT THE SAME TIME RENDER THE TORNADO THREAT
NEARLY NIL. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW IS PROGGED TO BE A LITTLE
STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY ADDING A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE
DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT OF THE STORM COMPLEX IN THE OTHERWISE NW TO
WNW STEERING FLOW. BEST FORECAST NOW...IS THAT NORTHERN ZONES WILL
HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF GETTING HIT BY THE SOUTHEAST-BOUND MCS.
THIS WILL BE HIGHLY SUBJECT HOWEVER TO WHERE EXACTLY THE STORMS
INITIATE AND STORM-SCALE COLD POOL INTERACTION AND RESULTING
PROPAGATION VECTOR ONCE THEY ORGANIZE. THE EXACT LOCATION MAY BE
FINE TUNED BUT FOR NOW THE FCST IS BEING HEDGED TOWARDS THE WRF
SOLN...SHOWING THE TEMPORAL WINDOW AT A MAXIMUM FOR CONVECTION
ROUGHLY 23-02Z.

RECORD HIGH TEMPS TODAY...ILM 98...FLO 101...CRE 91.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 2:20 PM SUNDAY...STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION A DECENT
POSSIBILITY DURING THE SHORT TERM...ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY...WITH
CONTINUED INTENSE SURFACE HEATING...A MODERATELY TO STRONGLY
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AND AMPLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE. BEST TIMING WILL
BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE MID LEVEL CAP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE ERODES
AWAY. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM ONGOING ACTIVITY TO OUR NORTH MAY
ALSO REACH THE FORECAST AREA IN TIME TO TRIGGER CONVECTION.

STRONG CONVECTION ALSO A POSSIBILITY ON TUESDAY AS ATMOSPHERE WILL
REMAIN MOIST AND UNSTABLE. BEST CHANCES AGAIN WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS DAYTIME HEATING INCREASES INSTABILITY
THROUGH STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. TRIGGERS INCLUDE SEA BREEZE
FRONT...OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND THE PIEDMONT TROUGH.

SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE AND CONTINUED WARM SWLY FLOW WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL FOR BOTH DAYS...MID TO UPPER 90S FOR
MAXIMUMS AND MINIMUMS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. RIGHT NOW BORDERLINE
ON MEETING HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR MONDAY. WILL FURTHER EVALUATE
AS TO IF AND WHEN WE ISSUE AN ADVISORY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 2:20 PM SUNDAY...PERIOD BEGINS WITH AREA UNDER NORTHEAST
EDGE OF 5H RIDGE. THE RIDGE IS SLOWLY BEING SUPPRESSED SOUTHWEST
BY A 5H TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST SLOWLY EXPANDING SOUTH. THIS
KEEPS THE AREA MORE OR LESS IN DEEP WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW AND
ALLOW SURFACE BOUNDARIES TO BECOME MORE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE.
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ALONG SEA BREEZE AND PIEDMONT TROUGH AS
WELL AS ANY LEFT OVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OR DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
BOUNDARIES FROM LINGERING DEBRIS CLOUD. SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN US IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL WORK TO ENHANCE
ANY ONGOING CONVECTION. POP VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 40
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHEST VALUES EARLIER. TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH COASTAL AREAS COOLING A
LITTLE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS THE SEA BREEZE IS ABLE TO PENETRATE
FARTHER INLAND. LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 18Z...VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WITH INTERMEDIATE MVFR
FROM HAZE AT ALL SITES. VERY UNSTABLE WITH THE INTENSE HEAT...AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES. SPC HAS PLACE ALL TAF SITES IN A HIGHER END
SLIGHT RISK. WILL INCLUDE CB MENTIONED IN FORECAST FOR NOW WILL HAVE
TO AMEND TO +TSRA ONCE CONVECTION BEGINS TO FORM. ANTICIPATE SO MVFR
FROM THIS CONVECTION WITH LITTLE IFR ONLY IN LOCATION IN OR NEAR
DOWNDRAFT. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN LATE TONIGHT WITH THE
STAGNANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE STILL IN PLACE.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...MAINLY IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...OTHERWISE VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1:30 PM SUNDAY...NO CHANGES TO THE FAIRLY STEADY-STATE
FORECAST. SW WINDS TO BE MAINTAINED BETWEEN PIEDMONT TROUGH AND
WEST ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE. SEAS WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 3 FT FOR MUCH
OF THE PERIOD WITH A FEW 4 FT NEAR FRYING PAN SHOALS. DANGEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND WILL
CONTINUE TO BE SHOW IN CWF TEXT. SEVERAL MARINE WEATHER STATEMENTS
AND/OR MARINE WARNINGS APPEAR LIKELY THIS EVENING INTO EARLY
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 2:20 PM SUNDAY...THE COMBINATION OF A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE INLAND AND HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL KEEP UP A STEADY
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 FT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS A POSSIBILITY
OVER THE WATERS...ESPECIALLY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 2:20 PM SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SPEEDS OCCASIONALLY EXCEEDING 15 KT. PRESENCE OF
DIURNAL ENHANCED PIEDMONT TROUGH...AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE...AND
SUBTLE EXPANSION OF BERMUDA HIGH WILL ALL LEAD TO INCREASES IN
SPEEDS LATER IN THE PERIOD. ALONG THE COAST OCCASIONAL 20 KT IS
POSSIBLE. SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 2 TO 4 FT ON WED TO 3 TO 5 FT FOR
THU/FRI...MAINLY AS A SOUTHERLY WIND WAVE WITH A SLIGHT SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST 1 FT OR SO SWELL.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
AS OF 2:20 PM SUNDAY...LATEST ETSURGE MDL FORECAST DATA SHOWS A
POSITIVE HALF FOOT ANOMALY FOR HIGH TIDE TONIGHT...JUST BREACHING
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS FOR LOW LYING AREAS ADJOINING
THE CAPE FEAR RIVER. HIGH TIDE WILL BE BETWEEN 8 PM AND 9 PM. SAME
DATA INDICATES THAT WE COULD SEE A REPEAT OF THIS SCENARIO ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. HAVE ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY TO COVER TONIGHTS EVENT.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SCZ017-
     023-024-032-033-039-053>056.

NC...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ087-
     096-099-105>109.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     NCZ107.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ110.

MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...REK
NEAR TERM...MBB
SHORT TERM...REK
LONG TERM...III
AVIATION...DRH
MARINE...MJC/III/MBB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...REK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
207 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ087-096-099-105-106-108-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-
021815-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-
INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
207 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY RISK WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-252-254-256-021815-
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
207 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS LATE MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ107-021815-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-
207 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
 COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
THE PRIMARY RISK WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR ALONG THE CAPE FEAR RIVER IN
DOWNTOWN WILMINGTON DURING THE EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS EARLY IN THE
WEEK.

A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ110-021815-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
207 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY RISK WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
435 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     HAIL             PARKTON                 34.90N  79.01W
07/01/2012  E1.00 INCH       ROBESON            NC   911 CALL CENTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200173

RAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
445 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     HAIL             5 N ST. PAULS           34.88N  78.97W
07/01/2012  E1.50 INCH       ROBESON            NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200174

REK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
509 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S MARION              34.12N  79.40W
07/01/2012                   MARION             SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ACROSS POWER LINES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200175

REK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 ENE OATS              34.28N  79.98W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE IN ROAD AT INDIAN BRANCH ROAD AND S CENTER ROAD

0439 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E CLYDE               34.37N  80.13W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREE IN ROAD AT SC 151 AND
            NEW MARKET ROAD

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW DOVESVILLE        34.45N  79.93W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREE IN ROAD AT HARTSVILLE
            HIGHWAY AND QUIETBROOK RD.

0502 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SOCIETY HILL            34.51N  79.86W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SC HIGHWAY PARTOL REPORTED TREE IN ROAD ON US 15.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200176
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200177
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200178
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200179

RAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
511 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 ENE OATS              34.28N  79.98W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE IN ROAD AT INDIAN BRANCH ROAD AND S CENTER ROAD

0414 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E CLYDE               34.37N  80.13W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREE IN ROAD AT SC 151 AND
            NEW MARKET ROAD

0420 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW DOVESVILLE        34.45N  79.93W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREE IN ROAD AT HARTSVILLE
            HIGHWAY AND QUIETBROOK RD.

0421 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SOCIETY HILL            34.51N  79.86W
07/01/2012                   DARLINGTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SC HIGHWAY PARTOL REPORTED TREE IN ROAD ON US 15.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200176
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200177
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200178
EVENT NUMBER ILM1200179

RAN