River Flood Warning 1, NWS Huntsville, AL

976 
WGUS84 KHUN 112051
FLSHUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
251 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROAD.
THE DEPTH OF WATER IS NOT ALWAYS OBVIOUS. AS LITTLE AS TWO FEET
OF WATER WILL CARRY MOST CARS AWAY. ALSO...THE ROAD BED MAY BE
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER...AND YOU COULD BE STRANDED OR TRAPPED. 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV  /ALL LOWER CASE/. ONCE THERE...CLICK ON THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
VIEW LOCAL RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ALC089-121051-
/O.EXT.KHUN.FL.W.0001.120111T2048Z-120113T2145Z/
/BSBA1.1.ER.120111T1848Z.120112T1200Z.120113T1545Z.NO/
251 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET AND QUICKLY RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.  
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  2 PM WEDNESDAY WAS 18.2 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD YARDS ON THE 
  DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF THE BROWNSBORO ROAD BRIDGE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.1
  FEET ON FEB 6 2010.

&&
RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     6PM 12AM  6AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

FLINT RIVER
BROWNSBORO   17.0  18.2 WED 2 PM  18.7 18.8 18.9  18.9 THU 6 AM 

$$

785 
WGUS44 KHUN 112321
FLWHUN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
521 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
  FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER 
IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. THE DANGERS OF RAPIDLY RISING WATER ARE 
MORE DIFFICULT TO RECOGNIZE AT NIGHT. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE
FLOOD WATERS. PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 
RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV /ALL 
LOWER CASE/. ONCE THERE...CLICK ON THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO VIEW LOCAL
RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ALC089-121321-
/O.EXT.KHUN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120114T0000Z/
/BSBA1.2.ER.120111T1848Z.120112T1200Z.120113T1800Z.NO/
521 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...THE 
FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.  
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  4 PM WEDNESDAY WAS 18.8 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...BACKWATER ON A NEARBY TRIBUTARY ADDED TO 
  FLOODWATERS FROM FLINT RIVER BOTH REACH A SMALL BRIDGE ON 
  BROWNSBORO ROAD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.8 FEET
  ON JAN 25 2010.

&&


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED    12AM  6AM 12PM  6PM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   THU  THU  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

FLINT RIVER
BROWNSBORO   17.0  18.8 WED 4 PM  19.4 19.5 19.5 19.2  19.5 THU 6 AM 

$$

638 
WGUS84 KHUN 120223
FLSHUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
823 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO
RECOGNIZE FLOOD DANGERS. IF WHILE DRIVING YOU SEE WATER OVER A 
ROAD...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO
ALLOW YOUR VEHICLE TO CROSS. 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV /ALL 
LOWER CASE/. ONCE THERE...CLICK ON THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO VIEW LOCAL
RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ALC089-121623-
/O.EXT.KHUN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120113T2120Z/
/BSBA1.2.ER.120111T1848Z.120112T1200Z.120113T1520Z.NO/
823 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.  
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  7 PM WEDNESDAY WAS 19.1 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...BACKWATER ON A NEARBY TRIBUTARY ADDED TO 
  FLOODWATERS FROM FLINT RIVER BOTH REACH A SMALL BRIDGE ON 
  BROWNSBORO ROAD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.8 FEET
  ON JAN 25 2010.

&&


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED    12AM  6AM 12PM  6PM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   THU  THU  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

FLINT RIVER
BROWNSBORO   17.0  19.1 WED 7 PM  19.5 19.7 19.5 19.1  19.7 THU 6 AM 

$$

360 
WGUS84 KHUN 121717
FLSHUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1117 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

ALTHOUGH THE RIVER IS FALLING QUICKLY AND HAS DROPPED BELOW MODERATE FLOOD CRITERIA...THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. IT IS FORECAST TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROAD. THE 
DEPTH OF WATER IS NOT ALWAYS OBVIOUS. AS LITTLE AS TWO FEET OF WATER 
WILL CARRY MOST CARS AWAY. ALSO...THE ROAD BED MAY BE WASHED OUT 
UNDER THE WATER...AND YOU COULD BE STRANDED OR TRAPPED. 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV /ALL 
LOWER CASE/. ONCE THERE...CLICK ON THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO VIEW LOCAL
RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ALC089-130717-
/O.EXT.KHUN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120113T1047Z/
/BSBA1.2.ER.120111T1848Z.120112T0700Z.120113T0447Z.NO/
1117 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.  
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  10 AM THURSDAY WAS 19.6 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD YARDS ON THE 
  DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF THE BROWNSBORO ROAD BRIDGE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.8 FEET
  ON JAN 25 2010.

&&
RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED    12PM  6PM 12AM  6AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   THU  THU  FRI  FRI   STG DAY TIME

FLINT RIVER
BROWNSBORO   17.0  18.0 THU 10 AM 18.1 17.4 16.9 16.4   CRESTED 

$$

235 
WGUS84 KHUN 122235
FLSHUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
435 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ALABAMA...

  FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO HAS FALLEN TO 16.2 FEET AND 
BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  IT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TO AROUND 15.0
FEET AROUND MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH FRIDAY 
MORNING. THEREFORE...THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROAD. THE 
DEPTH OF WATER IS NOT ALWAYS OBVIOUS. AS LITTLE AS TWO FEET OF WATER 
WILL CARRY MOST CARS AWAY. ALSO...THE ROAD BED MAY BE WASHED OUT 
UNDER THE WATER...AND YOU COULD BE STRANDED OR TRAPPED. 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV /ALL 
LOWER CASE/. ONCE THERE...CLICK ON THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO VIEW LOCAL
RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ALC089-122305-
/O.CAN.KHUN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120113T1047Z/
/BSBA1.2.ER.120111T1848Z.120112T0700Z.120113T0447Z.NO/
435 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012

* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.  
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST 
  NEAR 17.4 FEET BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS A LARGE FIELD ON THE UPSTREAM 
  LEFT BANK AND IS FLOODING LARGE PORTIONS OF THE DOWNSTREAM LEFT 
  BANK.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.1 FEET
  ON FEB 6 2010.

&&
RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     6PM 12AM  6AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   THU  FRI  FRI   STG DAY TIME

FLINT RIVER
BROWNSBORO   17.0  16.2 THU 3 PM   15.5 15.2 15.1   CRESTED 

$$

720 
WGUS84 KHUN 122248 CCA
FLSHUN
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
435 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ALABAMA...

  FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO HAS FALLEN TO 16.2 FEET AND
BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  IT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TO AROUND 15.0
FEET AROUND MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. THEREFORE...THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROAD. THE
DEPTH OF WATER IS NOT ALWAYS OBVIOUS. AS LITTLE AS TWO FEET OF WATER
WILL CARRY MOST CARS AWAY. ALSO...THE ROAD BED MAY BE WASHED OUT
UNDER THE WATER...AND YOU COULD BE STRANDED OR TRAPPED.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV /ALL
LOWER CASE/. ONCE THERE...CLICK ON THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO VIEW LOCAL
RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ALC089-122305-
/O.COR.KHUN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120113T1047Z/
/BSBA1.2.ER.120111T1848Z.120112T0700Z.120113T0447Z.NO/
435 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012

* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...CONTINUE TO DROP BELOW ACTION STAGE OF 1.50 FEET EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS A LARGE FIELD ON THE UPSTREAM
  LEFT BANK AND IS FLOODING LARGE PORTIONS OF THE DOWNSTREAM LEFT
  BANK.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.1 FEET
  ON FEB 6 2010.

&&
RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     6PM 12AM  6AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   THU  FRI  FRI   STG DAY TIME

FLINT RIVER
BROWNSBORO   17.0  16.2 THU 3 PM   15.5 15.2 15.1   CRESTED

$$

670 
WGUS84 KHUN 122249 CCB
FLSHUN
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
435 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ALABAMA...

  FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

THE FLINT RIVER AT BROWNSBORO HAS FALLEN TO 16.2 FEET AND 
BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  IT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TO AROUND 15.0
FEET AROUND MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH FRIDAY 
MORNING. THEREFORE...THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROAD. THE 
DEPTH OF WATER IS NOT ALWAYS OBVIOUS. AS LITTLE AS TWO FEET OF WATER 
WILL CARRY MOST CARS AWAY. ALSO...THE ROAD BED MAY BE WASHED OUT 
UNDER THE WATER...AND YOU COULD BE STRANDED OR TRAPPED. 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV /ALL 
LOWER CASE/. ONCE THERE...CLICK ON THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO VIEW LOCAL
RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ALC089-122305-
/O.COR.KHUN.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120113T1047Z/
/BSBA1.2.ER.120111T1848Z.120112T0700Z.120113T0447Z.NO/
435 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012

* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.  
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...CONTINUE TO DROP BELOW ACTION STAGE OF 15.0 FEET EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS A LARGE FIELD ON THE UPSTREAM 
  LEFT BANK AND IS FLOODING LARGE PORTIONS OF THE DOWNSTREAM LEFT 
  BANK.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.1 FEET
  ON FEB 6 2010.

&&
RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     6PM 12AM  6AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   THU  FRI  FRI   STG DAY TIME

FLINT RIVER
BROWNSBORO   17.0  16.2 THU 3 PM   15.5 15.2 15.1   CRESTED 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
636 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 431 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012/
EARLY MORNING ANALYSIS SHOWS A SFC LOW MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
AND A VIGOROUS PARENT UPR LOW MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MISS
VALLEY. THE SFC PRESSURE PATTERN IS COMPLICATED AND INDICATES
PERHAPS A DOUBLE-LOW SITUATION STRETCHING FROM WEST CENTRAL AL INTO
WESTERN TN. MAINLY SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED TSRA EXISTED THROUGH
MOST OF THE EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...THE
UPR LOW HAS GAINED AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE TILT AND WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED MID/UPR LVL DRY SLOT ROTATING AROUND
THE SOUTHERN/EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
AL. STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND STRENGTHENING UPR LVL DIFFLUENCE HAVE
LEAD TO THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND EXPANSION OF TSRA ACTIVITY EARLY
THIS MORNING. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS REASONABLY IMPRESSIVE...BUT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS ESSENTIALLY ZERO WITH PARCELS STILL ELEVATED.
RECENT STORM ORGANIZATION HAS BEEN OBSERVED WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
CELLS...BUT WHILE STORMS REMAIN ELEVATED...THE PROSPECTS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER REMAIN SMALL. RADAR IMAGERY HAS INDICATED THE POSSIBILITY OF
BRIEF MAINLY SMALL HAIL IN A COUPLE OF THE CELLS. HOWEVER...THE MAIN
THREAT FROM THE RAIN AND STORMS THIS MORNING APPEARS TO BE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. WHILE NO REPORTS HAVE BEEN
RECEIVED THUS FAR...AND INDICATIONS ARE THAT RAINFALL HAS NOT
EXCEEDED THREAT VALUES...RAINFALL RATES AROUND ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
PER HOUR HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR THIS AND
OTHER TYPICAL CONVECTIVE THREATS UNTIL THE STORMS PASS THROUGH THE
AREA THIS MORNING.

BASED ON THE LATEST TRENDS...THE MAIN SHIELD OF MDT/HVY RAIN MAY
EXIT CENTRAL AREAS AS EARLY AS 6 AM...AND EASTERN COUNTIES AS EARLY
AS 9 AM. POPS (ALTHOUGH STILL HIGH FOR TODAY) HAVE BEEN TAILORED TO
SHOW LOWER VALUES WEST/HIGHER EAST DURING THE 12Z-00Z
TIMEFRAME...BUT THIS IS MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE RAINFALL THIS
MORNING. AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THE HEAVIER SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL
QUICKLY BEGIN TO WANE...BUT THE ADVANCE OF THE UPR LOW AND ASSOCIATED
LIFT WILL AID IN CONTINUED LGT SHRA AND LGT DRIZZLE THROUGH THE DAY.
BASICALLY...THIS IS SHAPING UP TO BE ANOTHER CLOUDY COOL DAY WITH LOW
CLOUDS...A FEW LGT SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE. THE INITIAL AIRMASS BEHIND
THE FRONT IS PACIFIC AND MODIFIED CONTINENTAL ORIGIN...AND THUS NOT
TOO COLD. TEMPS WILL INITIALLY FALL A LITTLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT...BUT WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY WITH VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 50S.

A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TOMORROW
AS AN UPR TROUGH QUICKLY DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CONUS. THE
LEADING EDGE OF THIS AIRMASS CAN ALREADY BE SEEN THIS MORNING MOVING
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. TEMPERATURES TOMORROW MORNING WILL LIKELY
BE IN THE 40S AREAWIDE...BUT WILL FALL GRADUALLY THROUGH THE DAY AS
COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES. MOISTURE WITH THE COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL
BE FOLLOWING THE FRONT ON THURSDAY...CHARACTERISTIC OF AN ANAFRONT
SITUATION. VERTICAL MOISTURE/THERMAL PROFILES HAVE BEEN INCREASINGLY
SUPPORTIVE OF DENDRITIC GROWTH AND THE 00Z AND EVEN LATEST 06Z
MODELS HAVE CONTINUES THIS TREND. EXPERIENCE ALSO SUGGESTS THAT THE
MOISTURE COLUMN WILL BE A LITTLE DEEPER THAN MODEL PROGS INDICATE.
AS A RESULT...MENTION OF FZN PRECIP HAS BEEN RETAINED IN THE FCST
PACKAGE FOR THIS MORNING. LIKEWISE...A CONTINUING TREND FOR STEEPER
LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES AND INCREASED FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THE UPR
LOW HAVE LENT SUPPORT FOR INCREASED FORECAST CONFIDENCE. POPS WERE
RAISED ACCORDINGLY INTO THE CHANCE CATEGORY...BUT FURTHER INCREASES
MAY BE NECESSARY. QPF STILL LOOKS GENERALLY SMALL WITH THIS EVENT
AND WILL LIKELY BE GREATER ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN (AS WILL ANY
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS). IN ADDITION TO THE FALLING TEMPS AND LGT
WINTRY MIX...WINDS WILL BE STRONG OUT OF THE NW ON THURSDAY...WITH
WIND CHILL PROBABLY IN THE 20S DURING THE DAY.

TEMPS WILL LIKELY FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING ON THURS NIGHT...BUT THE
COLDEST NIGHT OF THE PERIOD IS LIKELY TO BE ON SAT UNDER A CLEAR SKY
AND LGT WIND REGIME. LOWS IN THE UPR TEENS TO LOW 20S APPEAR
PROBABLE AT THIS TIME. A BRIEF WARMUP WILL OCCUR LATER ON SATURDAY
AHEAD OF ANOTHER QUICK BUT GLANCING BLOW OF COLD AIR. TEMPS MAY
BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON SUNDAY BUT THEN ANOTHER REBOUND INTO WARMER
TEMPS IS IN STORE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MODEL CONSENSUS IS INCREASING FOR ANOTHER FRONT AND CHANCE FOR RAIN
FROM LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THIS FRONT WILL BE THE
LEADING EDGE OF A PACIFIC AIRMASS UNDER A DEVELOPING ZONAL FLOW
REGIME AND THUS NOT LIKELY THAT STRONG. LONG WAVE TRENDS AND
TELECONNECTIONS SUGGEST TEMPS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT
WEEK.

KDW

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 12Z TAFS...ALTHOUGH COLD FRONT IS STILL WEST OF BOTH HSV/MSL...
LATEST RADAR DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED TSRA
ACTIVITY HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD. WILL MAINTAIN VCTS/CB THRU 11/15Z AT
HSV...AND KEEP VCSH IN FORECAST FOR REMAINDER OF PERIOD -- AND FOR
ENTIRE PERIOD AT MSL -- AS THREAT FOR LIGHT SHRA WILL PERSIST WELL
AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. ERRATIC CIGS CURRENTLY REPORTED AT BOTH
AIRPORTS SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A UNIFORMLY BROKEN DECK OF MVFR STRATUS
AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH PREVAILING CIGS AROUND 2500 FT AGL
BENEATH OVC050. SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SW AS FRONT
PUSHES THRU REGION...WITH 15G25 KNOTS EXPECTED THRU EARLY EVENING.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY AND BACK TO SSW LATER THIS EVENING...BUT
SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO PREVENT CONCERN FOR REDUCED
VSBY. REGARDLESS...CIGS WILL BEGIN TO LOWER LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL
INDICATE THIS TREND BUT HOLD FORECAST IN THE MVFR RANGE OF 1500-2000
FT AGL.

70/DD

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...NONE.

TN...NONE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
918 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-120000-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
918 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT MUCH OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS MORNING. WITHIN THE STRONGER STORMS...HEAVY
RAIN AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. IN ADDITION...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1/2 TO 1 INCH IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME COULD
CREATE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS THAT HAVE
ALREADY EXPERIENCED HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

A REINFORCING SURGE OF MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY ON THURSDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN
TO MIX WITH LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA BY LATE THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH THE TRANSITION TO LIGHT SNOW OCCURRING ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. MINOR ACCUMULATIONS
OF SNOW...RANGING BETWEEN A TRACE AND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH...WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ANY THREAT FOR SNOW WILL END EARLY THURSDAY
EVENING...BUT STRONG WINDS WILL DROP WIND CHILL VALUES INTO THE 10 TO
15 DEGREE RANGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

DD/DJN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
928 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

ALZ007-008-016-111615-
CULLMAN-MARSHALL-MORGAN-
928 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CULLMAN...MARSHALL AND MORGAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM CST...

AT 923 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HOLLY POND...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  FAIRVIEW.
  BAILEYTON.
  HULACO...JOPPA.
  RYAN CROSSROADS...ARAB.
  EDDY.

SEEK SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3415 8675 3444 8666 3436 8638 3425 8645
      3425 8649 3424 8652 3423 8652 3421 8654
      3418 8655 3412 8660
TIME...MOT...LOC 1528Z 198DEG 12KT 3419 8662

SL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
954 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

ALZ006-009-TNZ096-097-111645-
FRANKLIN-JACKSON-LINCOLN-MADISON-
954 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FRANKLIN...JACKSON...LINCOLN AND
MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 AM CST...

AT 948 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RYLAND...OR NEAR MOORES MILL...MOVING NORTH
AT 30 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  HAZEL GREEN.
  NEW MARKET...FISK.
  PLEVNA.
  LINCOLN.
  ELORA...FRANCISCO.
  FLINTVILLE...CRYSTAL SPRINGS.

SEEK SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3515 8615 3475 8634 3476 8663 3515 8653
      3515 8637 3512 8636 3515 8635 3513 8635
      3512 8632 3514 8631 3515 8633
TIME...MOT...LOC 1554Z 198DEG 26KT 3485 8646

SL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1011 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

ALZ009-010-111700-
DE KALB-JACKSON-
1011 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DEKALB AND JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL
1100 AM CST...

AT 1008 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR POWELL...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  PISGAH...HENAGAR.
  MARTINTOWN.
  ROSALIE.
  FACKLER.
  FABIUS...FLAT ROCK.
  STEVENSON.

SEEK SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 8579 3453 8599 3492 8588 3485 8557
      3483 8557
TIME...MOT...LOC 1611Z 201DEG 27KT 3456 8587

SL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1016 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0951 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W HUNTSVILLE          34.74N 86.65W
01/11/2012  E0.00 INCH       MADISON            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO TO THREE INCHES OF WATER REPORTED COVERING THE ROAD
            WEST OF CLIFF MANOR ON GOVERNORS DRIVE.

0951 AM     HAIL             2 SW HUNTSVILLE         34.71N 86.61W
01/11/2012  E0.25 INCH       MADISON            AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED COVERING THE GROUND AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF BOB WALLACE AND WALL TRIANA.

0951 AM     HAIL             4 E MERIDIANVILLE       34.84N 86.50W
01/11/2012  E0.25 INCH       MADISON            AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

0956 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NE HUNTSVILLE         34.75N 86.57W
01/11/2012                   MADISON            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIX TO SEVEN INCHES OF STANDING WATER REPORTED AT THE
            FIVE POINTS AREA.

&&

KWEBER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1032 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

ALZ006-TNZ076-096-097-111715-
FRANKLIN-LINCOLN-MADISON-MOORE-
1032 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FRANKLIN...LINCOLN...MADISON AND
MOORE COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 AM CST...

AT 1032 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR PLEVNA...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  ELORA.
  FLINTVILLE...CRYSTAL SPRINGS.
  MOLINO.
  KELSO...HUNTLAND.
  SMITHLAND.
  MAXWELL.

SEEK SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8611 3499 8628 3499 8631 3498 8631
      3497 8629 3493 8632 3493 8633 3493 8632
      3485 8637 3491 8662 3530 8652
TIME...MOT...LOC 1632Z 202DEG 16KT 3498 8643

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1036 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0944 AM     HAIL             HUNTSVILLE              34.73N 86.59W
01/11/2012  E0.50 INCH       MADISON            AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UP TO ONE HALF AN INCH HAIL WAS REPORTED AT THE
            UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT HUNTSVILLE CAMPUS.

1018 AM     HAIL             1 S HUNTSVILLE          34.71N 86.59W
01/11/2012  E0.50 INCH       MADISON            AL   PUBLIC

            PEA TO ONE HALF INCH HAIL REPORTED.

&&

KWEBER