Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Hastings, NE

112 
WWUS53 KGID 192202
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
502 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

KSC123-192230-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-120519T2230Z/
MITCHELL KS-
502 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MITCHELL
COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 501 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ASHERVILLE...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF BELOIT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BELOIT...ASHERVILLE...SIMPSON AND SCOTTSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3921 9835 3926 9834 3957 9828 3956 9792
      3922 9794
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 212DEG 22KT 3935 9810
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

428 
WWUS53 KGID 192227
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
527 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

KSC123-192237-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-120519T2230Z/
MITCHELL KS-
527 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MITCHELL COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
530 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3921 9835 3926 9834 3957 9828 3956 9792
      3922 9794
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 212DEG 22KT 3947 9800

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
226 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

.SHORT TERM...REST OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PRIMARY FORECAST
CONCERN LIES WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THIS EVENING.

UPPER LEVEL PROFILER AND SATELLITE DATA NOT SHOWING ANY SURPRISES
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE SYSTEM OF INTEREST STARTING TO
PUSH OUT OF CO AND ONTO THE PLAINS...AND ACTIVITY IS ALREADY
ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SWRN NEB/WRN KS AND MOVING TOWARD THE
WRN EDGE OF THE CWA. AT THE SFC...MAIN FRONT MADE PRETTY GOOD
EASTWARD PROGRESS THIS MORNING...MAKING IT ABOUT HALFWAY THROUGH
THE CWA...WHERE IT HAS SINCE SLOWED/STALLED OUT. WARMER MID LEVEL
TEMPS HAVE KEPT THE AREA IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT CAPPED OFF
SO FAR...BUT THAT ISNT EXPECTED TO LAST TOO MUCH LONGER AS THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES. EVEN WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER IN
PLACE...TEMPS CLIMBING WELL INTO THE 70S AND LOWER 80S ALONG WITH
DEWPOINTS APPROACHING/AT 60 DEGREES HAS RESULTED IN INSTABILITY
VALUES NEAR/+ 2000 J/KG ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH WEAKER
SHEAR...WITH LESS INSTABILITY BUT BETTER SHEAR SET UP BEHIND THE
FRONT.

THIS SURFACE FRONT WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...BUT WILL ALSO HAVE TO KEEP AN
EYE ON THE ONGOING ELEVATED ACTIVITY TO THE WEST. SHORT TERM/HIRES
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE E/SE HALF OF THE CWA
BEING PRIMARILY IMPACTED BY ANY ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT...WHERE HAIL/WIND AND AN ISO TOR WILL REMAIN A CONCERN.
HAIL/WIND WOULD BE THE CONCERNS WITH THE ACTIVITY FURTHER WEST.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SHIFT OFF TO THE E/NE...AND SHIFT OUT
OF THE CWA NEAR/IF NOT BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

ONCE WE GET PAST MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND THROUGH TOMORROW...DRY
FORECAST REMAINS IN PLACE...WITH SLIGHT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SETTING
UP IN THE UPPER LEVELS BEHIND THIS LATEST TROUGH AXIS AND AHEAD OF
WEAK RIDGING DEVELOPING OVER THE ROCKIES. ONCE THE SFC FRONT
PUSHES  OUT OF THE CWA...HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN FROM THE
WEST...AND IS EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THROUGH THE DAY. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS GENERALLY NORTHERLY...WITH
SPEEDS ARND 10 MPH...AND WITH COOLER AIR ACCOMPANYING THIS SFC
HIGH...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 'ONLY' TOP OUT IN THE LOW/MID
70S...OR NEAR AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD BE A
STRONG INFLUENCE ON KEEP OUR WEATHER DRY WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS DEVELOPING DURING THIS PERIOD.
TUESDAY MAY VERY WELL BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH 850 MB BEING THE
WARMEST AHEAD OF LEE TROUGH AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
ALSO...TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE QUITE WINDY WITH AN INCREASING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...ESPECIALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMES QUITE AMPLIFIED BY WEDNESDAY.
MODELS  ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH
DEVELOPS IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES AND A LONGWAVE RIDGE TO THE
EAST. THE GFS IS MORE EARLY AND AGGRESSIVE THAN THE ECMWF AT
EJECTING PIECES OF ENERGY INTO THE PLAINS...WHICH WILL LEAD TO AT
LEAST LOW CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THE REST OF
THE LONG TERM FORECAST. AT THE SURFACE...A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST
TO PASS EAST OF THE CWA BY SOMETIME WEDNESDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT
IN WESTERN NEBRASKA PREDICTED TO STALL SOMEWHERE JUST WEST OF THE
CWA. THE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE CWA SHOULD SHUNT MOISTURE RETURN
TO AT LEAST SOME EXTENT...CALLING INTO QUESTION THE CHANCES OF
SEVERE WEATHER AND FOR THAT MATTER...PRECIPITATION. MOISTURE
SHOULD EVENTUALLY MAKE A RETURN WITH THE STALLED BOUNDARY HANGING
AROUND THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND. DETERMINING SEVERE CHANCES
WILL BE DICEY...BUT STORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD
BE STRONG TO SEVERE...ESPECIALLY AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET KICKS IN
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE PLACEMENT OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL BE
CRUCIAL IN DETERMINING SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES FURTHER OUT THAN
WEDNESDAY. SHEAR NEAR THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BE AMPLE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER...BUT INSTABILITY SEEMS TO BE THE LIMITING FACTOR HERE.
NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS OF THE CWA HAVE POTENTIAL TO BE COOLER
THAN THE REST IF THE BOUNDARY DRAPES INTO OUR CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF. PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THIS TAF PERIOD LIES WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PUSHING OUT OF
THE ROCKIES WILL BRING INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO THE
TERMINAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING...AND HAVE
VC MENTION AS WELL AS A TEMPO GROUP MENTIONED. THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WILL REMAIN NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THIS TAF
PERIOD. OUTSIDE OF MVFR CIGS BEING POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
AS THE STORM SYSTEM PASSES...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
231 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
201215-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
231 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO THE MID TO LATE
EVENING HOURS. THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE WINDY. WIND WILL BLOW FROM THE SOUTH AT
SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALTHOUGH PREDICTABILITY IS LOW...STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...DURING THE TIME PERIOD OF THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

ADO/HEINLEIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
352 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

NEZ075-085-192130-
ADAMS NE-WEBSTER NE-
352 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN ADAMS AND WESTERN
WEBSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 347 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF INAVALE...OR 31 MILES SOUTH
OF HASTINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BLADEN...
  BLUE HILL...
  AYR...
  ROSELAND...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4008 9851 4013 9873 4015 9873 4060 9859
      4053 9828
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 197DEG 21KT 4019 9859

HEINLEIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
422 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             BLUE HILL               40.33N 98.45W
05/19/2012  E1.00 INCH       WEBSTER            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL STARTED AROUND 405 PM.

&&

ODER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
423 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             3 W BLUE HILL           40.33N 98.50W
05/19/2012  E1.00 INCH       WEBSTER            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ODER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
430 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             BLUE HILL               40.33N 98.45W
05/19/2012  E1.50 INCH       WEBSTER            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ODER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
432 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

NEZ076-085-086-192215-
CLAY NE-NUCKOLLS NE-WEBSTER NE-
432 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER...
NORTHWESTERN NUCKOLLS AND SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM
CDT...

AT 424 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A GUSTNADO NEAR
ROSEMONT...OR 24 MILES SOUTH OF HASTINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.ALONG A BOUNDARY TO THE EAST OF THE MAIN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WHICH IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. THIS GUSTNADO IS DETACHED FROM THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. ALTHOUGH TYPICALLY WEAKER AND SHORTER LIVED
THAN A TORNADO...GUSTNADOES CAN STILL CAUSE INJURY OR MINOR DAMAGE.
GUSTNADOES TYPICALLY APPEAR AS A SWIRL OF DUST OR DEBRIS. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN ADAMS...WESTERN
CLAY...AND NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  LAWRENCE...
  DEWEESE...
  FAIRFIELD...
  EDGAR...
  CLAY CENTER...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4012 9839 4022 9842 4056 9808 4035 9789
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 234DEG 18KT 4025 9835

HEINLEIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
444 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

KSZ006-007-NEZ085-086-192215-
JEWELL KS-NUCKOLLS NE-SMITH KS-WEBSTER NE-
444 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WEBSTER...
SOUTHWESTERN NUCKOLLS...NORTHWESTERN JEWELL AND NORTHEASTERN SMITH
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF ESBON...OR 37 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  GUIDE ROCK...
  COWLES...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4019 9845 4007 9815 3981 9847 3989 9863
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 211DEG 25KT 3992 9849