Alert archive / Texas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2012
Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Fort Worth, TX
NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this winter storm warning at Dec 25, 2012, 3:13 AM CST for 5 counties in Texas. It took effect at Dec 25, 2012, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 25, 2012, 3:13 AM CST (09:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 25, 2012, 9:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 25, 2012, 6:16 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fort Worth, TX
Counties Cooke County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Montague County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2604 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 175 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 258 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
508 WWUS44 KFWD 250913 WSWFWD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 313 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES BORDERING THE RED RIVER... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF BRECKENRIDGE TO ARLINGTON TO SULPHUR SPRINGS LINE... .SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BUT AS A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY. SNOW WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE NORTH...AS 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE COUNTIES THAT BORDER THE RED RIVER. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS TO THE SOUTH...TAPERING DOWN TO 1 INCH OR LESS ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR. TXZ091>095-251715- /O.UPG.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.121225T1800Z-121226T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KFWD.WS.W.0001.121225T1500Z-121226T0600Z/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS 313 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. THIS IS AN UPGRADE TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. * TIMING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND INTO AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. * LOCATION...THE COUNTIES OF MONTAGUE...COOKE...GRAYSON...FANNIN AND LAMAR ARE UNDER THE WINTER STORM WARNING. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 4 AND 6 INCHES. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER AND BECOME SNOW PACKED...BUT SURFACE ROADS WILL ALSO BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON IN AREAS WHERE HEAVIER SNOW FALLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES IN THE WARNING AREA WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS AND POSSIBLY IMPASSIBLE. DO NOT TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. KEEP AN EXTRA BLANKET...FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. && $$ TXZ115>120-251715- /O.EXB.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.121225T1500Z-121226T0600Z/ STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-ROCKWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS... WEATHERFORD...BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL 313 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * TIMING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF STEPHENS...PALO PINTO...PARKER...TARRANT...DALLAS AND ROCKWALL. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ TXZ100>107-251715- /O.EXT.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.121225T1500Z-121226T0600Z/ YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...DECATUR... BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY... PLANO...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER...SULPHUR SPRINGS 313 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY. ALL SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE EVENING HOURS. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF YOUNG...JACK...WISE...DENTON...COLLIN...HUNT...DELTA AND HOPKINS. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON IN AREAS WHERE HEAVIER SNOW FALLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ 92
3 follow-up statements
952 WWUS44 KFWD 251709 WSWFWD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1109 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES BORDERING THE RED RIVER... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF BRECKENRIDGE TO ARLINGTON TO SULPHUR SPRINGS LINE... .SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE THE REGION TODAY. A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS DURING THE MIDDAY AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AND THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET ONCE THE FRONT PASSES. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE NORTH...AS 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE COUNTIES THAT BORDER THE RED RIVER. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS TO THE SOUTH...TAPERING DOWN TO 1 INCH OR LESS ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR. TXZ091>095-260115- /O.CON.KFWD.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121226T0600Z/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS 1109 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. * LOCATION...THE COUNTIES OF MONTAGUE...COOKE...GRAYSON...FANNIN AND LAMAR ARE UNDER THE WINTER STORM WARNING. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 4 AND 6 INCHES. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER AND BECOME SNOW PACKED...BUT SURFACE ROADS WILL ALSO BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON IN AREAS WHERE HEAVIER SNOW FALLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES IN THE WARNING AREA WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS AND POSSIBLY IMPASSIBLE. DO NOT TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. KEEP AN EXTRA BLANKET...FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. && $$ TXZ100>107-115>120-260115- /O.CON.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-121226T0600Z/ YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS- PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-ROCKWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...DECATUR... BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY... PLANO...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER...SULPHUR SPRINGS... BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD...BRIAR...FORT WORTH... ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL 1109 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF STEPHENS...PALO PINTO...PARKER...TARRANT...DALLAS AND ROCKWALL. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$
355 WWUS44 KFWD 252154 WSWFWD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 354 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES BORDERING THE RED RIVER... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF BRECKENRIDGE TO ARLINGTON TO SULPHUR SPRINGS LINE... .SYNOPSIS...STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO EFFECT NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH SNOW AND AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE. THE SURFACE SYSTEM HAS TAKEN A TRACK SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST...THUS THE AREA OF WINTER WEATHER WILL AFFECT AREAS FARTHER SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR FROM CLEBURNE EAST TO SOUTH OF ATHENS BEFORE ENDING LATE THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF THE METROPLEX NORTH AND NORTHEAST TO THE RED RIVER AND INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO NEARLY 4 INCHES ACROSS THE METROPLEX TO 3 TO 6 INCHES GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A DENTON TO GREENVILLE AND PARIS LINE. DUE TO TEMPERATURES PLUMMETING OVERNIGHT AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED ROADS...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED AND EXTENDED FOR AREAS GENERALLY NORTH OF A JACKSBORO TO CRESSON AND ATHENS LINE FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING WEDNESDAY. TXZ091>095-260600- /O.EXB.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.121226T0600Z-121226T1500Z/ /O.CON.KFWD.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121226T0600Z/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS 354 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS CONTINUE THE WINTER WEATHER WARNING THROUGH MIDNIGHT AND ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED ROADS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...OVERNIGHT. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF MONTAGUE...COOKE...GRAYSON...FANNIN AND LAMAR. * MAIN IMPACT...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL COVERING ROADS AND MAKING DRIVING HAZARDOUS. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ TXZ121>123-260600- /O.EXB.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.121226T0600Z-121226T1500Z/ KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TERRELL...KAUFMAN...FORNEY... WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN...EDGEWOOD...EMORY... POINT...EAST TAWAKONI 354 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED ROADS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE ENDING. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF KAUFMAN...VAN ZANDT AND RAINS. * MAIN IMPACT...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL COVERING ROADS AND MAKING DRIVING HAZARDOUS. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ TXZ101>107-117>120-260600- /O.EXT.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-121226T1500Z/ JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACKSBORO...DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT... DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...PLANO... GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER...SULPHUR SPRINGS...WEATHERFORD... BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL 354 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS EXTENDED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LIGHT SNOW THIS EVENING...SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED ROADS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE ENDING AROUND MID EVENING. AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDNIGHT. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF JACK...WISE...DENTON...COLLIN...HUNT... DELTA...HOPKINS... PARKER...TARRANT...DALLAS...ROCKWALL. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL COVERING ROADS AND MAKING DRIVING HAZARDOUS. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ TXZ100-115-116-260600- /O.CON.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-121226T0600Z/ YOUNG-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...BRECKENRIDGE... MINERAL WELLS 354 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF YOUNG...STEPHENS...PALO PINTO. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES. * OTHER IMPACTS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$
514 WWUS44 KFWD 260016 WSWFWD URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 616 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LIGHT SNOW AND ICE DEVELOPING ON AREA ROADWAYS IN SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF A LINE FROM JACKSBORO TO BURLESON TO CANTON... TXZ091>095-260830- /O.CAN.KFWD.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121226T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.121226T0016Z-121226T1500Z/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS 616 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING HOWEVER A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. * TIMING...OVERNIGHT. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF MONTAGUE...COOKE...GRAYSON...FANNIN AND LAMAR. * MAIN IMPACT...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. IN PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...WET ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME ICY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT MAKING FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. * OTHER IMPACTS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ TXZ100-115-116-260130- /O.CAN.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-121226T0600Z/ YOUNG-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...BRECKENRIDGE... MINERAL WELLS 616 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. NO ADDITIONAL WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANY WET ROADWAYS MAY DEVELOP ICY SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. $$ TXZ121>123-260830- /O.EXT.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.121226T0016Z-121226T1500Z/ KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TERRELL...KAUFMAN...FORNEY... WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN...EDGEWOOD...EMORY... POINT...EAST TAWAKONI 616 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH MIDNIGHT. ANY WET ROADWAYS WILL BECOME ICY AS TEMPERATURES FALL WELL BELOW FREEZING LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF KAUFMAN...VAN ZANDT AND RAINS. * MAIN IMPACT...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. IN PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...WET ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME ICY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT MAKING FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. * OTHER IMPACTS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ TXZ101>107-117>120-260830- /O.CON.KFWD.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-121226T1500Z/ JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACKSBORO...DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT... DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...PLANO... GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER...SULPHUR SPRINGS...WEATHERFORD... BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL 616 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE ENDING AROUND MID EVENING. AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDNIGHT. * LOCATION...THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF JACK...WISE...DENTON...COLLIN...HUNT... DELTA... HOPKINS... PARKER...TARRANT...DALLAS...ROCKWALL. * MAIN IMPACT...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. IN PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...WET ROADWAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME ICY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT MAKING FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. * OTHER IMPACTS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO ICE OVER...BUT SOME SURFACE ROADS MAY BECOME ICY BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE PREPARED FOR ICY SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND HIGHWAYS BY CHRISTMAS EVENING. CHECK ROAD CONDITIONS BEFORE DEPARTING IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST LOCATIONS WHERE ICY SPOTS MAY DEVELOP. && $$ CAVANAUGH
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 24, 11:50 PM CST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 11:50 PM CST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1150 PM CST MON DEC 24 2012 .AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/ CONCERNS...THREAT FOR THUNDER OVERNIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN THE DFW METROPLEX TUESDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIDESPREAD LIGHT SHOWERS ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION AND MVFR STRATUS IS SPREADING NORTH INTO WACO. THE METROPLEX TAF SITES WILL REMAIN VFR UNTIL THE PRECIPITATION INCREASES BY 08-09Z BUT WACO WILL CONTINUE IN MVFR THROUGH THE NIGHT. EXPECT SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND MVFR CIGS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER IS HIGHER AT WACO AND SOME SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AROUND THE WACO AREA AS WELL...WITH A THREAT FOR HAIL. LATEST GUIDANCES SUGGEST THE SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD BECOME HEAVIER CLOSER TO DAYBREAK AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW GETS CLOSER TO THE REGION AND LIFT INCREASES. THIS COULD RESULT IN TEMPORARY IFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES DURING PERIODS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE DAY WITH A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN THE DFW METROPLEX IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THERE COULD ALSO BE A BRIEF WINDOW OF SLEET MIXED IN AS WELL BEFORE THE CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW. THE SNOW WILL LAST FOR A FEW HOURS AND ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE. AT THIS SAME TIME...A STRONG FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE METROPLEX RESULTING IN VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS. THE WINDS COULD CAUSE BLOWING SNOW THAT COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES. CONDITIONS OVERALL SHOULD INCREASE IN THE EVENING HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST...BUT THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. AT KACT...THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ALL LIQUID... ENDING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE FRONT WILL ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME FLURRIES BUT THE POTENTIAL IS FAIRLY LOW. CEILINGS SHOULD IMPROVE AT ALL SITES TUESDAY EVENING BUT THERE IS A POTENTIAL THAT THE MVFR CIGS BEHIND THIS SYSTEM COULD HOLD IN LONGER THAN IS IN THE CURRENT TAF FORECAST. 82/JLD && .UPDATE... WE HAVE ANALYZED THE 00Z UPPER AIR DATA AND HAVE WATCHED THE SURFACE OBS CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF ANY DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THEM AND THE MODEL DATA. THE BIG THING THAT STANDS OUT ARE THAT THE SURFACE LOW IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AT 6PM WAS ABOUT 80 MILES FARTHER SOUTH THAN ALL OF THE MODELS HAD FORECAST 24 HOURS AGO. WHEN DEALING WITH A SWINGING/DIGGING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM...THE SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN AND PRESSURE TENDENCIES OFFER ENORMOUS CLUES ON THE FUTURE TRACK OF A POTENTIAL VORTICITY ANOMALY BEFORE IT CLOSES OFF TO BECOME A FULL FLEDGED UPPER LOW. THE 3PM AND 6PM SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A LARGE REGION OF PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM. GIVEN THE ORIENTATION OF THE PRESSURE FALLS AND LOCATION OF THE SURFACE LOW...IT CAN BE DETERMINED WITHOUT EVEN LOOKING AT A FORECAST MODEL THAT THE UPPER LOW HAS NOT FINISHED DIGGING SOUTH. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW FAR SOUTH WILL THE UPPER LOW MAKE IT BEFORE IT BEGINS TO SWING BACK TO THE NORTHEAST. AT THIS HOUR PRESSURE FALLS CONTINUE IN THE REGION FROM LUBBOCK TO MIDLAND...WITH ANOTHER PRESSURE FALL AREA DEVELOPING IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. EXTRAPOLATING SUGGESTS THE UPPER LOW WILL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF LUBBOCK BY SUNRISE AND TO NEAR WACO BY SUNSET. AS THE LOW APPROACHES WACO...A WARM FRONT WILL BE ORGANIZING OUT OF THE WEAK STATIONARY FRONT CURRENTLY ANALYZED FROM SAN ANTONIO TO HOUSTON. BAROCLINIC QG THEORY SUGGESTS THAT ONCE LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION BEGINS IN EARNEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS BY MORNING...IT WILL INDUCE HEIGHT RISES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF OUR UPPER LOW WHICH WILL CAUSE THE LOW TO CLOSE OFF AND FINISH DIGGING SOUTH...AND START ITS GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST. TOMORROW EVENING I WOULD EXPECT THE LOW TO TRACK FROM NEAR WACO TO NEAR SHREVEPORT. IN SUMMARY THE USUAL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE TOO FAR NORTH WITH THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW. OUR EXPECTATIONS FOR THE TRACK OF THE LOW ALIGN WELL WITH THE RAP FORECAST WHICH IS TO THE SOUTH OF ALL OTHER MODELS...SO WE WILL USE THE RAP HEAVILY. OUR FORECAST HAS BEEN ON THE SOUTHERLY SIDE AND SNOWIER SIDE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. SO ALTHOUGH WE ARE SEEING AN EVEN MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK COME TO FRUITION...THIS DOES NOT NECESSARILY MEAN THE FORECAST SNOW AMOUNTS NEED TO BE AMENDED MUCH. THIS IS IN PART DUE TO THE DIFFICULTY IN GETTING THE COLDER/SUBFREEZING AIR FARTHER SOUTH BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS. THE EXCEPTION IS THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHERE THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK SUGGESTS MORE PRECIP WILL FALL IN SUBFREEZING AIR. DUE TO THE TERRAIN EFFECTS HERE...COLD AIR HAS AN EASY TIME GETTING INTO OUR NORTHWEST ZONES WHEN WE HAVE A NORTH/NORTHEAST SURFACE WIND. HAVE EXPANDED THE SNOW ADVISORY TO INCLUDE YOUNG/JACK/WISE COUNTIES...AND HAVE INCREASED SNOW TOTALS TO THE 2-4 INCH RANGE FROM BOWIE TO SHERMAN. THE NORTHEAST ZONES LIKELY WONT SWITCH TO SNOW UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...AS COLD AIR WILL HAVE TROUBLE MOVING IN AT THE SURFACE DUE TO THE LEE SHADOW WARMING EFFECT OF THE OZARK PLATEAU. MOST OF THE SNOW THAT OCCURS THERE WILL BE AFTER 6 PM AND WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHETHER MESOSCALE BANDING CAN SET UP IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LOW. THE NEW NAM HAS FINALLY FORECAST SOME SIGNIFICANT BANDING TO OCCUR...THUS WILL LEAVE THE ADVISORY ALONE IN THIS AREA...BUT CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE LOWER IN THE NORTHEAST ZONES FOR 2+ INCHES OF SNOW. FARTHER TO THE SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY...FOR THE I-20 CORRIDOR AND INCLUDING THE METROPLEX...THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT SNOW WILL OCCUR. HOWEVER ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT IT WILL STILL BE A BRIEF 1-3 HOUR EVENT WITH NOT ENOUGH TIME TO GET ACCUMULATIONS OVER AN INCH. IT MUST BE STRESSED THAT WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 20S BY SUNSET...ANY APPRECIABLE MOISTURE REMAINING ON BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND EVEN SURFACE STREETS WILL LIKELY RE- FREEZE INTO BLACK ICE. ALTHOUGH WE ARE USING 1+ INCH AS CRITERIA FOR THE COUNTIES IN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AREA...WE MAY EXPAND THE ADVISORY SOUTH INTO THE METROPLEX OVERNIGHT DUE SOLELY TO TRAVEL IMPACTS. FINALLY CONCERNING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. WITH A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW...THIS MEANS THERE IS LESS OF A CHANCE OF THE WARM FRONT MAKING IT INTO THE SOUTHEAST CWA TONIGHT AS IT WILL LIKELY STAY SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER 3 AM...WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY HIGH ENOUGH FOR A FEW SEVERE HAIL STORMS SOUTH OF I-20. HAVE TONED DOWN THE DAMAGING WIND AND TORNADO THREAT FROM OUR PRODUCTS...BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE HAIL STORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. TR.92 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 PM CST MON DEC 24 2012/ OUR CHRISTMAS DAY/NIGHT WINTER STORM IS TAKING SHAPE OVER THE INTERIOR WEST THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD DEVELOP A CLOSED CIRCULATION AS IT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN PANHANDLE BY DAYBREAK CHRISTMAS. ALTHOUGH TODAY/S MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW SLIGHT TIMING AND TRACKING DIFFERENCES...THE AGREEMENT AND CONSENSUS BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE ECMWF HAVE BEEN AND CONTINUE TO BE THE PREFERRED SOLUTION FOR THIS STORM. THE 500MB CENTER SHOULD TRACK ALONG I-20 BETWEEN ABILENE AND DFW THEN JUST SOUTH OF I-30 FROM DFW TO TEXARKANA. IF THE TRACK IS 30 MILES SOUTH OR NORTH OF OUR FORECAST THEN IMPACTS WILL ALSO SHIFT ACCORDINGLY. LAST NIGHTS FRONT IS LOCATED FROM NORTH OF HOUSTON TO NEAR SAN ANTONIO TO AROUND FORT STOCKTON. SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL BEGIN OVERNIGHT ALONG THIS FRONT AND TRACK EAST ALONG THE FRONT. WE ARE EXPECTING A WARM FRONT TO LIFT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE EAST-CENTRAL COUNTIES EARLY CHRISTMAS MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW SLIDES EAST. CONVECTION WILL BEGIN OVERNIGHT AS THE ELEVATED WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTHWARD. STRONG UPPER DYNAMICS AND MID LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO SOME STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE AND AFTER DAYBREAK. HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT BUT DAMAGING WIND CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. AS FOR TORNADOES...STORMS MOVING OVER THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE IN STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY AND BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD MOVE INTO EAST TEXAS BY LATE MORNING. COLD ARCTIC AIR HAS BEEN BUILDING OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS AND WILL SURGE INTO NORTH TEXAS BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE LOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN RAIN TRANSITIONING TO SNOW WEST TO EAST ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20 FROM LATE MORNING (NW) THROUGH MID AFTERNOON (NE). WE STILL EXPECT 1-3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS GENERALLY EAST OF A SHERMAN TO GREENVILLE LINE. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF A BAND OF HEAVIER SNOW OCCURRED OVER THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES AROUND PARIS WHERE THE 700MB FRONTOGENESIS IS MORE LIKELY TO ENHANCE THE WRAP-AROUND BANDING. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO END OVER THE NORTHEAST BY MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS COULD TOTAL 4-8 INCHES...AND TRAVEL NORTH OF THE RED RIVER OR INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS WILL BE TREACHEROUS CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS NORTH WINDS BLOW 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40MPH. BLOWING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WHERE SNOW HAS OCCURRED. IT WILL BE BITTERLY COLD ON CHRISTMAS NIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. ALSO ANY MOISTURE REMAINING ON ROADWAYS CHRISTMAS EVENING WILL FREEZE OVERNIGHT SO WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTERS NEED TO BE ALERT FOR ICY SPOTS. COLD AND DRY FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES MODERATE ON THURSDAY AS WINDS RETURN SOUTH. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN COUNTIES. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL NOT BE AS COLD...BUT WILL KEEP HIGHS/LOWS BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND. 75 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 42 46 21 35 21 / 50 70 10 5 5 WACO, TX 43 53 23 42 18 / 60 50 10 5 5 PARIS, TX 40 43 21 31 15 / 50 80 40 10 5 DENTON, TX 38 42 20 31 17 / 50 80 10 5 5 MCKINNEY, TX 41 43 22 31 16 / 50 80 20 10 5 DALLAS, TX 43 46 22 36 23 / 50 70 10 5 5 TERRELL, TX 43 48 24 35 18 / 50 80 20 10 5 CORSICANA, TX 44 52 23 40 21 / 60 70 10 5 5 TEMPLE, TX 47 56 23 43 20 / 70 40 10 5 5 MINERAL WELLS, TX 38 41 17 35 18 / 50 60 10 5 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 9 PM CST TUESDAY FOR TXZ091>095-100>107. && 82/92
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 24, 7:43 PM CST, 7 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 743 PM CST MON DEC 24 2012 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-260145- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 743 PM CST MON DEC 24 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CONTAINING LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-20. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON ON CHRISTMAS DAY. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SOUTH OF I-20 WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS. HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...BUT DAMAGING WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF A TEMPLE TO ATHENS LINE. A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS CHRISTMAS DAY. RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WITH AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 380 SEEING THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF A GRAHAM...DENTON...SULPHUR SPRINGS LINE. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE SNOWFALL ACROSS THE NORTH...VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL OCCUR CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES. WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ICY ROADS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WHERE ANY MOISTURE REFREEZES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED SOUTH AND EAST OF A LAMPASAS...TO DALLAS...TO CANTON LINE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 25, 1:38 AM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
138 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
TXZ103-118-119-250800-
DALLAS TX-DENTON TX-TARRANT TX-
138 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
WESTERN DALLAS COUNTY
SOUTHERN DENTON COUNTY
TARRANT COUNTY
AT 137 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES NORTH OF FORT WORTH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS NEAR ARLINGTON ALSO MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE
STORMS AS THEY MOVE ACROSS NORTH FORT WORTH AND WESTERN DALLAS.
LAT...LON 3307 9684 3256 9696 3271 9751 3299 9742
3299 9740 3305 9740 3316 9736
TIME...MOT...LOC 0737Z 214DEG 25KT 3282 9731Special weather statement, Dec 25, 1:53 AM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
153 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
TXZ119-120-250830-
DALLAS TX-ROCKWALL TX-
153 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
EASTERN DALLAS COUNTY
ROCKWALL COUNTY
AT 154 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HUTCHINS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BALCH SPRINGS...FATE...
GARLAND...HEATH...HUTCHINS...MESQUITE...ROCKWALL...ROWLETT...ROYSE
CITY...SACHSE...SUNNYVALE AND WILMER.
PENNY-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.
LAT...LON 3298 9630 3296 9630 3281 9643 3281 9652
3271 9652 3255 9666 3267 9682 3299 9667
TIME...MOT...LOC 0754Z 220DEG 39KT 3268 9667
92Special weather statement, Dec 25, 3:01 AM CST, 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
301 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
TXZ105-250930-
HUNT TX-
301 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHERN HUNT COUNTY
AT 301 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES WEST OF GREENVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
45 MPH.
CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CAMPBELL...COMMERCE AND
GREENVILLE.
NICKEL-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.
LAT...LON 3305 9587 3301 9611 3315 9625 3336 9611
3336 9586
TIME...MOT...LOC 0901Z 230DEG 39KT 3316 9612The office that day
Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 1:38 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Tarrant | 22 min |
| Dec 25, 1:53 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Rockwall | 37 min |
| Dec 25, 3:01 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hunt | 29 min |
| Dec 25, 3:15 AM CST | Wind Advisory | FWD | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 40 more | 18 hr |
| Dec 25, 4:02 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Palo Pinto | 28 min |
| Dec 25, 4:33 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hood | 27 min |
| Dec 25, 4:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hood, Parker | 37 min |
| Dec 25, 4:46 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Denton | 29 min |
| Dec 25, 4:53 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Erath, Palo Pinto | 37 min |
| Dec 25, 5:15 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Comanche | 30 min |
| Dec 25, 5:18 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Ellis | 27 min |
| Dec 25, 5:25 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Tarrant | 35 min |
| Dec 25, 5:38 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Erath | 37 min |
| Dec 25, 5:42 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hood, Parker | 33 min |
| Dec 25, 5:44 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Wise | 31 min |
| Dec 25, 5:55 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Navarro | 35 min |
| Dec 25, 5:58 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Kaufman | 32 min |
| Dec 25, 6:02 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hill | 28 min |
| Dec 25, 6:25 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Robertson | 35 min |
| Dec 25, 6:31 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Somervell | 29 min |
| Dec 25, 6:49 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Coryell | 26 min |
| Dec 25, 6:51 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Falls | 24 min |
| Dec 25, 6:55 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Robertson | 35 min |
| Dec 25, 7:20 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Limestone | 25 min |
| Dec 25, 7:27 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Leon | 33 min |
| Dec 25, 7:31 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Cherokee | 29 min |
| Dec 25, 7:45 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Leon | 45 min |
| Dec 25, 8:06 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Anderson | 24 min |
| Dec 25, 8:14 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Falls, Limestone, Navarro, Robertson | 31 min |
| Dec 25, 8:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson | 51 min |
| Dec 25, 9:02 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Leon | 28 min |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Texas, 2012Every winter storm warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.