Alert archive / Arizona / Areal Flood Advisories in 2012

Areal Flood Advisory 21, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 15, 2012Coconino County, Gila County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this areal flood advisory at Jul 15, 2012, 11:29 PM MST for Coconino County, Gila County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2012, 11:29 PM MST (06:29 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2012, 1:30 AM MST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2012-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 8 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2012-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jul 15, 10:50 PM MST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 10:50 PM MST, 39 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 9:30 AM MST, 13 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST SUN JUL 15 2012

AZZ004>018-037>040-160700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
930 AM MST SUN JUL 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHERN ARIZONA
THROUGH 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. SEE PRODUCT PHXFFAFGZ FOR DETAILS.

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RESULTING IN LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING. ADDITIONAL THREATS INCLUDE LIGHTNING...STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 5:01 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino, Navajo119 min
Jul 15, 5:35 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZGila, Navajo3 hr
Jul 15, 5:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai20 min
Jul 15, 5:58 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZNavajo51 min
Jul 15, 6:07 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai23 min
Jul 15, 6:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai16 min
Jul 15, 9:46 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Gila14 min
Jul 15, 10:29 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino90 min
Jul 16, 12:30 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai87 min
Jul 16, 12:51 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino, Yavapai54 min
Jul 16, 11:52 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino23 min
Jul 16, 1:31 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino29 min
Jul 16, 1:39 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino36 min
Jul 16, 2:15 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino16 min
Jul 16, 3:40 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino35 min
Jul 16, 3:49 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino26 min
Jul 16, 4:14 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino31 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Arizona, 2012Every areal flood advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.