Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

May 22, 20127 counties in Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at May 22, 2012, 4:27 PM EDT for 7 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 22, 2012, 4:27 PM EDT (20:27 UTC)
Expired: May 22, 2012, 5:00 PM EDT
In force: 33 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Catoosa County, GA, Dade County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Murray County, GA, Walker County, GA, Whitfield County, GA

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 40 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -184 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1072 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 0 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 22, 3:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 22, 3:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
307 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS SURFACE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA. WITHIN THIS
TROUGH...DEWPOINTS HAVE MIXED NICELY WITH LOWER TO MID 50S VALUES
ALLOWING FOR SUPPRESSED CONVECTIVE INITIATION. SURFACE MOISTURE
IS MORE PLENTIFUL OVER NORTHWEST ZONES WHERE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
ACTIVITY IS MOVING INTO THE AREA AT THIS HOUR.

MOST SIGNIFICANT FEATURE OF THE SHORT TERM IS UPPER LOW MOVING
THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS EVIDENCED BY WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. IT
ALSO SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DRY AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA
AND WILL PLAY A LARGE ROLE ON CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. TO GO
ALONG WITH THIS DRY AIR IS A COLD POOL WITH TEMPS AROUND -16C AT
500 MB ALLOWING FOR INCREASED MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ARE
MOST LIKELY TO SEE THE INFLUENCES OF RESIDUAL MID LEVEL MOISTURE
AND APPROACHING COLD POOL. WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF LIKELY
POPS FOR EASTERN ZONES THROUGH THIS EVENING AS WELL AS THE
ADVERTISEMENT OF SCT SEVERE. MAY BE DIFFICULT TO GET ROBUST
ACTIVITY GOING BUT ONCE IT GOES...FEEL LIKE SEVERE HAIL WILL NOT
BE DIFFICULT TO COME BY.

UPPER LOW WILL HAVE LARGELY SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA BY WED
BUT SECONDARY LOBE WILL ROTATE THROUGH NORTH ALABAMA AND GEORGIA
LATE IN THE DAY. EXPECTING MOISTURE TO ONLY BE SUFFICIENT TO
SUPPORT CONVECTION OVER EXTREME NORTH GEORGIA AND WILL CARRY LOW
END SCATTERED POPS THERE. ALTHOUGH NOT AS COLD AS TODAY...TEMPS
ALOFT WILL STILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH
LARGE HAIL.

DEESE

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE PREVIOUS LONG TERM FORECAST TO
INCLUDE POPS INTO THE EVENING HOURS ON THURSDAY AS OROGRAPHICALLY
INDUCED THUNDERSTORMS MAY LAST PAST 00Z. IN ADDITION...MADE SLIGHT
CHANGES TO THE MAX TEMPS IN THE LONG TERM AT RMG TO BRING THE
HIGH TEMP DOWN A DEGREE OR TWO. OVERALL...PREVIOUS FORECAST AND
DISCUSSION STILL HOLDS.

11

/ISSUED 417 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012/
LONG TERM GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MAIN INFLUENCING
SYNOPTIC FEATURES. AS A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE EAST CENTRAL
CONUS DAMPENS OUT AND EJECTS NORTHEASTWARD BY THURSDAY... A STRONG
UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY. THE GFS HAS A BIT STRONGER RIDGING
AND FARTHER EASTWARD SETUP THAN THE ECMWF... NONETHELESS A RATHER
WARM AND STAGNANT PATTERN LOOKS TO BE THE RULE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH FOR MOST AFTERNOON AND EVENING
PERIODS DUE TO WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW AND OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT. WHILE
HAVE ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MOSTLY THE NORTHERN PORTION... THE
BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP WILL BE NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
AS THE RIDGE FINALLY BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN.

FOR TEMPS...MEX GUIDANCE LOOKED REASONABLE SO MADE ONLY MINOR
TWEAKS. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH THE WARMEST DAYS BEING FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS MANY
AREAS ARE PROGGED TO REACH HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S.

BAKER

&&

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
INITIAL TSRA DEVELOPMENT LOOKS TO BE TAKING PLACE EAST OF THE ATL
TERMINALS BUT SHOULD AFFECT AHN BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. COLD POOL
ALOFT COMING ACROSS HOWEVER REQUIRES A SHORT TERM TEMPO FOR ALL TAF
SITES. DRY AIR AT THE MID LEVELS LOOKS TO RESULT IN POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG GUSTS IN TSRA DEVELOPMENT AND HAVE INCLUDED THESE IN TEMPO
AS WELL. UPPER LOW SHIFTS EAST ON WED AND EXPECT TSRA POTENTIAL TO
BE CONFINED TO EXTREME NORTH GEORGIA AND OUTSIDE OF THE TERMINALS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON CONVECTION...HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.

DEESE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          58  87  62  87 /  20  20  20  20
ATLANTA         60  84  65  88 /  20  10  10   5
BLAIRSVILLE     53  80  54  82 /  30  20  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    51  84  57  87 /  20  10  10  10
COLUMBUS        61  88  66  90 /  20  10  10   5
GAINESVILLE     58  83  63  82 /  20  20  20  20
MACON           58  90  62  91 /  20  20  10   5
ROME            52  87  55  89 /  20  10  20  20
PEACHTREE CITY  52  84  57  87 /  20  10  10   5
VIDALIA         66  89  70  94 /  20  20  20   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DEESE
LONG TERM....11/BAKER
AVIATION...DEESE

Hazardous weather outlook, May 22, 10:53 AM EDT, 5 hours 34 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1053 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-230930-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1053 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS EAST GEORGIA AND
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS WEST GEORGIA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO
GOLFBALL SIZE...STRONG WINDS... AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE BEST
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM.

.DISCUSSION...
THE COMBINATION OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WITH FORECAST CAPE VALUES
OF NEAR 1500 J/KG AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST GEORGIA AND
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EAST GEORGIA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS EACH DAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 22, 3:27 PM EDT, 1 hour before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
327 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

GAZ076-086-113-221945-
327 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 35 MPH WINDS
IN TOOMBS...EMANUEL AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 323 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM COLEMANS LAKE TO REIDSVILLE...MOVING EAST
AT 25 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS TOOMBS...EMANUEL AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE PONDEROSA...
OHOOPEE...NEW BRANCH...JOHNSON CORNER...SANTA CLAUS...LYONS...THREE
POINTS...MODOC...LEXSY...DELLWOOD...COLEMANS LAKE...BLUNDALE...
SUMMERTOWN...STILLMORE AND OAK PARK. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 8203 3255 8208 3251 8215 3236 8224
      3218 8218 3191 8222 3191 8225 3194 8230
      3295 8247 3303 8228 3293 8227 3284 8231
      3281 8222 3282 8215 3266 8208 3261 8200
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 270DEG 23KT 3282 8224 3236 8211
          3200 8203

Special weather statement, May 22, 3:30 PM EDT, 57 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
330 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

GAZ001>004-222000-
330 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN
WHITFIELD...WALKER...CATOOSA AND DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

AT 329 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WOOD STATION...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WHITFIELD...WALKER...CATOOSA AND DADE COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM
EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE CEDAR
GROVE...WOOD STATION...BLUE SPRING...BEAUMONT...RINGGOLD...BOYNTON...
FORT OGLETHORPE...LAFAYETTE...LINWOOD...ROCK SPRING...CHICKAMAUGA...
COOPER HEIGHTS...CHATTANOOGA VALLEY...FAIRVIEW AND NOBLE. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8484 3491 8483 3471 8490 3471 8494
      3469 8491 3468 8494 3465 8492 3462 8493
      3462 8506 3461 8506 3460 8540 3473 8554
      3497 8555
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 308DEG 19KT 3479 8518

Local storm report, May 22, 3:43 PM EDT, 44 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 22, 3:43 PM EDT, 44 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 22, 3:53 PM EDT, 34 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 22, 4:27 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
427 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

GAZ001>007-014-222100-
427 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IN
WHITFIELD...WALKER...MURRAY...CATOOSA...DADE...DAWSON...FANNIN AND
GILMER COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

AT 425 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MILL CREEK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WHITFIELD...WALKER...MURRAY...CATOOSA...DADE...DAWSON...FANNIN
AND GILMER COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF
THESE STORMS INCLUDE MILL CREEK...DALTON...ROCKY FACE...DAWNVILLE...
TUNNEL HILL...VARNELL...WOOD STATION...BEAUMONT...RINGGOLD...
VILLANOW...SUTTLES MILL...NAOMI...ROCK SPRING...NOBLE AND ETON. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3498 8421 3452 8429 3453 8434 3457 8435
      3455 8465 3458 8465 3460 8472 3463 8473
      3461 8486 3464 8491 3462 8506 3459 8506
      3460 8552 3498 8561
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 320DEG 12KT 3472 8500

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 21, 8:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Jackson, Madison	44 min
May 21, 8:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Haralson	27 min
May 21, 8:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	DeKalb, Fulton	50 min
May 21, 8:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Barrow	31 min
May 21, 8:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke, Greene, Madison, Oconee, Oglethorpe	28 min
May 22, 2:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Toombs	24 min
May 22, 2:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Dade, Walker	37 min
May 22, 2:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel, Treutlen	31 min
May 22, 2:34 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Pickens	26 min
May 22, 2:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dawson, Forsyth	25 min
May 22, 2:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Toombs	20 min
May 22, 2:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Banks, Hall	33 min
May 22, 2:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel, Toombs	38 min
May 22, 2:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Dade, Walker, Whitfield	36 min
May 22, 2:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Toombs	33 min
May 22, 2:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dawson, Pickens	32 min
May 22, 3:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel	18 min
May 22, 3:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Dade, Walker, Whitfield	30 min
May 22, 3:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dawson, Forsyth, Gilmer, Lumpkin, Pickens	32 min
May 22, 3:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Dade, Murray, Walker, Whitfield	37 min
May 22, 4:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Gilmer, Gordon, Murray and 3 more	32 min
May 22, 5:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattooga, Dawson, Gordon, Pickens	32 min
May 22, 6:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Barrow, Gwinnett	31 min
May 22, 7:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Barrow, Gwinnett, Oconee, Walton	31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.