Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 27, NWS Detroit, MI
NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Oct 11, 2012, 12:21 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 11, 2012, 1:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 19 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2012, 12:21 AM EDT (04:21 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 11, 2012, 1:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2012, 7:54 PM EDT
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Detroit, MI
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
252 WHUS73 KDTX 110421 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1221 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALES EXPECTED ON LAKE HURON TODAY... .ONGOING WESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOT GALES WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT...BUT THEN INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE FLOW BACKS TO SOUTHWEST. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL EXIST FROM SAGINAW BAY NORTHEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF LAKE HURON WHERE FUNNELING WILL LEAD TO WIND GUSTS OF 40 KNOTS AT TIMES. ON EITHER SIDE OF THIS SWATH OF MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS...EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO REACH 35 KNOTS DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON BY EARLY EVENING...BUT PERSIST OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON AS COLDER...NORTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT SETS UP FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR MAINTAINING 35 KNOT WIND GUSTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. WHILE WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT...PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING EVEN COLDER AIR OVER THE LAKE AND MAINTAIN HIGH WAVES INTO FRIDAY. LHZ422-111630- /O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121011T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0023.121011T1200Z-121012T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T1400Z-121012T0000Z/ INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- 1221 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ421-441-111630- /O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121011T1400Z/ /O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0023.121011T1200Z-121012T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T1400Z-121012T0000Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- 1221 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361>363-111630- /O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0023.121011T1200Z-121012T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T0500Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 1221 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ442-443-462>464-111630- /O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0023.121011T1200Z-121012T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T1400Z-121012T0000Z/ HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 1221 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ DG
4 follow-up statements
741 WHUS73 KDTX 110742 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 342 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALES EXPECTED ON LAKE HURON TODAY... .WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING NEAR GALE FORCE OVER PARTS OF LAKE HURON WILL SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT THEN INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE FLOW BACKS TO SOUTHWEST. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL EXIST FROM SAGINAW BAY NORTHEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF LAKE HURON WHERE WIND FUNNELING WILL LEAD TO WIND GUSTS OF 40 KNOTS AT TIMES. ON EITHER SIDE OF THIS SWATH OF MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS...EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO REACH 35 KNOTS DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SLIGHTLY OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON BY EARLY EVENING...BUT PERSIST OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON AS COLDER...NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE WAKE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT SETS UP FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR MAINTAINING 35 KNOT WIND GUSTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. WHILE WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE AREA WIDE OVERNIGHT...PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING EVEN COLDER AIR OVER LAKE HURON AND MAINTAIN HIGH WAVES INTO FRIDAY. LHZ421-441-112000- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121011T1400Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T1400Z-121012T0000Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- 342 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361>363-112000- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 342 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 42 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ422-442-443-462>464-112000- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T1400Z-121012T0000Z/ INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 342 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 41 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LCZ460-LEZ444-112000- /O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0082.121011T1600Z-121013T0300Z/ LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- 342 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM EDT FRIDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DG
404 WHUS73 KDTX 111345 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 945 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALES WILL OCCUR TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY ADVANCE THROUGH NORTHERN GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN TODAY IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. MARGINALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE LAKE WILL SUPPORT GALE FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY FROM SAGINAW BAY ACROSS CENTRAL LAKE HURON. GALE WARNINGS WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR LAKE HURON TODAY INTO THIS EVENING WITH 40 KNOT GUSTS EXPECTED AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN AFOREMENTIONED PEAK WIND SWATH WITH 35 KNOT GUSTS ON EITHER SIDE OF THAT. GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST WITHIN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD EXTEND 35 KNOT GUSTS OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON THROUGH THE EVENING GIVEN BETTER FETCH TO HELP ELEVATE WIND GUSTS. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE AREA BY FRIDAY...ALLOWING WINDS AND WAVES TO SUBSIDE. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...LEADING TO TO INCREASED WINDS AND WAVES AS WELL AS A MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. DG LHZ421-441-120000- /O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121011T1400Z/ /O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T1345Z-121012T0000Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- 945 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ422-442-443-462>464-120000- /O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0027.121011T1345Z-121012T0000Z/ INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 945 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 43 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ361>363-120145- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 945 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LCZ460-LEZ444-120145- /O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0082.121011T1345Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- 945 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
008 WHUS73 KDTX 111939 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 339 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALES WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING... .LATEST MARINE OBSERVATIONS ACROSS LAKE HURON REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF CONTINUING THE GALE WARNING INTO THE EVENING. A COLD FRONT NOW OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE LAKE THIS AFTERNOON WILL ADVANCE ACROSS LAKE ERIE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST FOLLOWING FROPA. WHILE GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL PERSIST IN THE POST FRONTAL COLD AIRMASS THIS EVENING...THE GRADIENT WILL QUICKLY RELAX OVERNIGHT ALLOWING WINDS AND WAVES TO DIMINISH. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY...LEADING TO LIGHT WINDS. WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN THIS WEEKEND AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM LIFTS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. LHZ361>363-120300- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 339 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-120000- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0000Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 339 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 38 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LCZ460-LEZ444-120300- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- 339 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
058 WHUS73 KDTX 112354 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 754 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...HIGHER WAVES CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY... .WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS LAKE HURON THIS EVENING...WITH NO MORE STATIONS REPORTING GALE FORCE WINDS. THEREFORE WILL PULL DOWN THE GALE WARNINGS ACROSS ALL OF THE LAKE HURON ZONES EARLY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO 30 KNOTS ACROSS SAGINAW BAY WITH RESIDUAL WAVES TRACKING SOUTH BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...THEREFORE WILL REPLACE THE GALE WARNINGS WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE LAKE HURON NEARSHORE AND SAGINAW BAY ZONES. FURTHER SOUTH WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA...THEREFORE WILL CANCEL THE SMALL CRAFTS OVER LAKE ST. CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE EARLY. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY...LEADING TO LIGHT WINDS. WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN THIS WEEKEND AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM LIFTS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. LHZ421-441>443-121200- /O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0083.121011T2354Z-121012T2000Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 754 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ422-120800- /O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0083.121011T2354Z-121012T0800Z/ INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- 754 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ462>464-120100- /O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0000Z/ LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 754 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE GALE WARNING. $$ LHZ361>363-120100- /O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 754 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE GALE WARNING. $$ LCZ460-LEZ444-120100- /O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121012T0300Z/ LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- 754 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ KURIMSKI
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 10, 9:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 9:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
945 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012
.UPDATE...
THE EXPANSIVE CLOUD FIELD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN HAS QUICKLY
DISAPPEARED ONCE THE SUN SET...BRINGING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO THE
REGION THIS EVENING. WITH WINDS DYING ALONG WITH THE CLEARING
SKIES TEMPERATURES HAVE PLUMMETED PRECIPITOUSLY ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH SEVERAL READINGS ALREADY IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S.
WITH THESE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO HOLD SWAY FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE TO FALL WELL BELOW GUIDANCE
VALUES...INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S AWAY FROM THE DETROIT URBAN
HEAT ISLAND WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD STAY IN THE LOWER 30S. THESE
CONDITIONS WARRANT ISSUING A FREEZE WARNING AS A WIDESPREAD HARD
FREEZE HAS NOT YET GRIPPED THE REGION. THEREFORE WILL ISSUE A
FREEZE WARNING THROUGH 9 AM THURSDAY MORNING WHEN TEMPERATURES
SHOULD RISE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK.
ACROSS THE MARINE AREAS WINDS ARE SLOWLY DYING DOWN ACROSS SAGINAW
BAY AND THE TIP OF THE THUMB. HOWEVER RESIDUAL WAVE ACTION SHOULD
KEEP WAVES ELEVATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO NEARSHORE ZONES
THROUGH THE NIGHT. WILL EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS THESE ZONES WITH A GALE WATCH IN EFFECT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF LAKE HURON WITH CONTINUED GUSTY WINDS
EXPECTED. GIVEN THE CURRENT HEADLINES WILL HOLD OFF ON MAKING A
DECISION ON HOW TO HANDLE THE GALE WATCH.
&&
.AVIATION...ISSUED 730 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012
//DISCUSSION...
EXTENSIVE STRATOCU FIELD IS CURRENTLY HANGING TOUGH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AS COLD AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WARM LAKES. THE
MAIN QUESTION THIS EVENING IS HOW MUCH OF THIS DECK WILL ERODE THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF SUNSHINE AND DRIER AIR ADVECTING IN FROM
THE WEST. CURRENT THINKING IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS SET OF TAFS...WITH
THESE CLOUDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AFTER 03Z AS
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS MORE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND LOW LEVEL DRY
AIR ADVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT. WIND GUSTS SHOULD SUBSIDE
SHORTLY...WITH A PERSISTENT WESTERLY WIND OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS
REMAINING THROUGH THE NIGHT. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PICK UP THURSDAY MORNING...GUSTING TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS AT THE TAF
SITES THROUGHOUT THE DAYTIME HOURS WITH A PERSISTENT TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT IN PLACE..
FOR DTW...THE EXPECTATION IS FOR STRATO CU BASED IN THE 4000 TO 5000
FT LATER TO PERSIST WELL INTO THE EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE HOWEVER
THAT THE CLOUD BASES MAY OCCASIONALLY LIFT TO 6000 FT. THE STRONGER
WIND GUSTS SHOULD DIMINISH BELOW 20 KNOTS AROUND 00Z...HOWEVER
CONTINUED LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL PERSIST THROUGH 02Z.
WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE WELL INTO THE
EVENING.
//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...
* MEDIUM CONFIDENCE CEILING HEIGHTS AT OR BELOW 5000 FT THIS
EVENING. LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING OF CLEARING TONIGHT.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 331 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012
SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
THE RATHER COLD AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING AS THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH /850MB TEMPS DOWN TO -5 C/
DOES NOT ROTATE ACROSS SE MI UNTIL 00-03Z. INSTABILITY OFF LAKE
MICHIGAN ALONG WITH DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION UNDER A FAIRLY
IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL COLD POOL /500MB TEMPS DOWN TO -28C/ ALLOWED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
THERE HAVE EVEN BEEN A FEW REPORTS OF SMALL GRAUPEL/HAIL WITHIN SOME
OF THIS CONVECTION. THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS AND ASSOCIATED COLD
POOL WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON...WITH MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE RAPIDLY OVERSPREADING THE
FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST. THIS SHOULD END ANY RESIDUAL SHOWER
ACTIVITY BY EARLY THIS EVENING.
AS IS MOST OFTEN THE CASE WITH THESE EARLY AUTUMN COLD SNAPS...THE
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL BE ONE OF LOW CONFIDENCE
RESULTING TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN CLOUD TRENDS. THE STRONG SFC HIGH
NOW CENTERED OVER MISSOURI WILL QUICKLY TRACK INTO THE UPPER OH/TN
VALLEYS TONIGHT. THIS WILL SUSTAIN WESTERLY FLOW IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER OVER SRN LAKE MI THROUGH ROUGHLY 06Z. THE INSTABILITY OFF THE
LAKE ALONG WITH A DEEPENING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION SHOULD PROVE
SUFFICIENT IN SUSTAINING A STRATO CU FIELD OFF LAKE MI DESPITE
CONTINUED LOW LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTION FROM THE WEST. THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING THIS EVENING MAY ALLOW SOME LARGE BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS...WHICH SHOULD FILL IN LATER IN THE EVENING. THE FLOW WILL
BACK MORE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 06Z...WHICH WILL ADVECT WARMER
AND DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR ACROSS THE LAKE AND SHOULD LEAD TO AN
EROSION OF THE STRATUS DECK FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALREADY BE ADVANCING
IN FROM THE WEST AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. THE EXPECTED CLOUD COVER
AND LIGHT SFC WINDS THROUGH THE NIGHT WILL SUPPORT HOLDING MIN TEMPS
IN THE LOW-MID 30S. IF HOWEVER CONDITIONS CLEAR MORE QUICKLY THEN
EXPECTED /WHICH IS MORE PROBABLY SOUTH OF I-94/...SUBFREEZING TEMPS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.
LONG TERM...
FAST UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DRIVE ANOTHER COLD FRONT
THROUGH SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN LATE TOMORROW/TOMORROW EVENING. THIS FRONT
WILL HAVE LESS MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND NOT AS MUCH UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT AS THE MAIN PV CENTER SLIDES JUST NORTH OF MICHIGAN. IN
ADDITION...THE WARM ADVECTION OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT LOOKS TO BE A
BIT LESS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...ALONG WITH THE COLDER START...LOOKING
AT MAXES PREDOMINATELY IN THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 DEGREES.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR A RATHER INACTIVE FRONT...AND WILL BE
CARRYING JUST LOW POPS TOMORROW INTO TOMORROW NIGHT.
ANOTHER HEALTHY SHOT OF COLD ADVECTION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS FORECASTED TO FALL TO AROUND -5 C...AND
LIKELY LOOKING AT LOWER 50S FOR HIGHS ON FRIDAY. UNLIKE TODAYS
WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...THE FLOW IS NORTHWEST...SO IT IS DOUBTFUL
LAKE EFFECT WILL MAKE IT INTO THE CWA WITH THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
AROUND...AND CERTAINLY SHOULD SEE MORE SUNSHINE.
THE WEEKEND WILL TURN WET AND MILDER...AS UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST OFF
THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST OPENS UP AND HEADS
NORTHEASTWARD...AFTER DROPPING SOUTH TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA INTIALLY.
RAIN IS LIKELY WITH BOTH THE WARM FRONTAL FORCING AND COLD FRONT
SWINGING THROUGH ON SUNDAY...AS THE LOW UNDERGOES DECENT
CYCLOGENESIS TRACKING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION...PER 12Z EUROPEAN.
UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL RESUME EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
12Z GFS/EURO BEEN INDICATING SOME SEMBLANCE OF A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY...SUPPORTING A
RENEWED CHANCE OF RAIN WITH MILDER TEMPS.
MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY ADVANCE INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
THURSDAY MORNING. AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES...THE WINDS WILL BACK
FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST. THE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN A BIT...ALLOWING
THE GUSTS TO FALL BELOW 25 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN AGAIN ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT.
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE LAKE WILL POSE THE RISK OF
GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY FROM SAGINAW BAY ACROSS CENTRAL
LAKE HURON. WITH STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE STABILITY PROFILE
OVER THE LAKE...A GALE WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR LAKE HURON.
GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF
THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
IN BY FRIDAY ALLOWING WINDS AND WAVES TO SUBSIDE. ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND...WHICH WILL LEAD TO INCREASED WINDS AND WAVES.
&&
.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...FREEZE WARNING...MIZ047-MIZ048-MIZ049-MIZ053-MIZ054-MIZ055-MIZ060-
MIZ061-MIZ062-MIZ063-MIZ068-MIZ069-MIZ070-MIZ075-MIZ076-MIZ082-
MIZ083...UNTIL 9 AM THURSDAY.
LAKE HURON...
GALE WATCH...LHZ361-LHZ362-LHZ363-LHZ421-LHZ422-LHZ441-LHZ442-
LHZ443-LHZ462-LHZ463-LHZ464...FROM 8 AM THURSDAY TO 8 PM
THURSDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...OUTER SAGINAW BAY AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS
FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH...UNTIL 8 AM THURSDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...INNER SAGINAW BAY...UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY.
LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.
&&
UPDATE.......KURIMSKI
AVIATION.....KURIMSKI
SHORT TERM...SC
LONG TERM....SF
MARINE.......SC
YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 10, 9:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 950 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-120200- MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE- LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE- LENAWEE-MONROE- 950 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT. SEE THE LATEST NON-PRECIPITATION WEATHER MESSAGE FOR THE FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-120200- ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 950 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE... LAKE HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST FOR MORE DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY GALE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST FOR MORE DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. KURIMSKI YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
The office that day
Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 9:12 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | DTX | Bay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more | 12 hr |
| Oct 11, 3:42 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | DTX | 16 hr | |
| Oct 11, 3:16 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | DTX | Bay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Livingston, Macomb and 7 more | 15 hr |
| Oct 11, 7:54 PM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | DTX | 20 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.